What do transnational terrorists target? Has it changed? Are we safer?

Journal of Conflict Resolution

Volumn 54, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 214-236

  Brandt, Patrick T ^a   Sandler, Todd ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT DALLAS   (United States)

Author keywords

Bayesian Poisson changepoint regression; Homeland security; Target choice dynamics; Transnational terrorism

Indexed keywords

EID: 77952004779     PISSN: 00220027     EISSN: 15528766     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0022002709355437     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Alexander, Yonah, and Dennis A. Pluchinsky. 1992. Europe's red terrorists: The fighting communist organizations. London: Frank Cass.
2. Brandt, Patrick T., and Todd Sandler. 2009. Hostage taking: Understanding terrorism event dynamics. Journal of Policy Modeling 31 (5): 758-78.
3. Chib, Siddhartha. 1998. Estimation and comparison of multiple change-point models. Journal of Econometrics 86 (2): 221-41.
4. Cleveland, Robert B., William S. Cleveland, Jean E. McRae, and Irma Terpenning. 1990. STL: A seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess. Journal of Official Statistics 6 (1): 3-73.
5. Enders, Walter, and Todd Sandler. 1993. The effectiveness of anti-terrorism policies: A vectorautoregression-intervention analysis. American Political Science Review 87 (4): 829-44.
6. Enders, Walter, and Todd Sandler. 2000. Is transnational terrorism becoming more threatening? A time-series investigation. Journal of Conflict Resolution 44 (3): 307-32.
7. Enders, Walter, and Todd Sandler. 2005. After 9/11: Is it all different now? Journal of Conflict Resolution 49 (2): 259-77.
8. Enders, Walter, and Todd Sandler. 2006. The political economy of terrorism. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
9. Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia, and Helga Wagner. 2006. Auxiliary mixture sampling for parameter-driven models of time series of counts with applications to state space modeling. Biometrika 93 (4): 827-41.
10. Hoffman, Bruce. 2006. Inside terrorism. Revised and expanded ed. New York: Columbia University Press.
11. Kass, Robert E., and Adrian E. Raftery. 1995. Bayes factors. Journal of the American Statistical Association 90 (430): 773-95.
12. Kollias, Christos, Petros Messis, Nikolaos Mylonidis, and Suzanna-Maria Paleologou. 2009. Terrorism and the effectiveness of security spending in Greece: Policy implications of some empirical findings. Journal of Policy Modeling 31 (5): 788-802.
13. Landes, William M. 1978. An economic study of U.S. aircraft hijackings, 1961-1976. Journal of Law and Economics 21 (1): 1-31.
14. Lee, Beom S., Walter Enders, and Todd Sandler. 2009. 9/11: What did we know and when did we know it? Defence and Peace Economics 19 (2): 79-93.
15. Mickolus, Edward F. 1982. International terrorism: Attributes of terrorist events, 1968-1977 (ITERATE 2). Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research.
16. Mickolus, Edward F., Todd Sandler, Jean M. Murdock, and Peter Flemming. 2008. International terrorism: Attributes of terrorist events, 1968-2007 (ITERATE). Dunn Loring, VA: Vinyard Software.
17. Park, Jong Hee. 2008. Modeling structural changes using Bayesian inference: Historical changes in U.S. presidential uses of force abroad. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, State College, PA.
18. Rapoport, David C. 2004. Modern terror: The four waves. In Attacking terrorism: Elements of a grand strategy, ed. Audrey Kurth Cronin and James M. Ludes, 46-73. Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press.
19. Sageman, Marc. 2004. Understanding terror networks. Philadelphia, PA: University of Pennsylvania Press.
20. Sandler, Todd, John T. Tschirhart, and Jon Cauley. 1983. A theoretical analysis of transnational terrorism. American Political Science Review 77 (1): 36-54.