Relating recent infection prevalence to incidence with a sub-population of assay non-progressors

Journal of Mathematical Biology

Volumn 60, Issue 5, 2010, Pages 687-710

  McWalter, Thomas Andrew ^a   Welte, Alex ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF THE WITWATERSRAND   (South Africa)

^b STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY   (South Africa)

Author keywords

Cross sectional survey; Epidemiology; Incidence; Prevalence

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DISEASE COURSE; ENZYME IMMUNOASSAY; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; HUMAN; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS INFECTION; INCIDENCE; PREVALENCE; VIROLOGY;

COMPUTER SIMULATION; DISEASE PROGRESSION; HIV; HIV INFECTIONS; HUMANS; IMMUNOENZYME TECHNIQUES; INCIDENCE; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; PREVALENCE;

HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS;

EID: 77951880024     PISSN: 03036812     EISSN: 14321416     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00285-009-0282-7     Document Type: Article

References (12)

1. Agresti A (2002) Categorical data analysis, 2nd edn. Wiley, New York.
2. Brookmeyer R, Quinn TC (1995) Estimation of current human immunodeficiency virus incidence rates from a cross-sectional survey using early diagnostic tests. Am J Epidemiol 141(2): 166-172.
3. Cole SR, Chu H, Brookmeyer R (2006) Confidence intervals for biomarker-based human immunodeficiency virus incidence estimates and differences using prevalent data. Am J Epidemiol 165(1): 94-100.
4. Hargrove JW, Humphrey JH, Mutasa K, Parekh BS, McDougal JS, Ntozini R, Chidawanyika H, Moulton LH, Ward B, Nathoo K, Iliff PJ, Kopp E (2008) Improved HIV-1 incidence estimates using the BED capture enzyme immunoassay. AIDS 22(4): 511-518.
5. Janssen RS, Satten GA, Stramer SL, Rawal BD, O'Brien TR, Weiblen BJ, Hecht FM, Jack N, Cleghorn FR, Kahn JO, Chesney MA, Busch MP (1998) New testing strategy to detect early HIV-1 infection for use in incidence estimates and for clinical and prevention purposes. JAMA 280(1): 42-48.
6. McDougal JS, Parekh BS, Peterson ML, Branson BM, Dobbs T, Ackers M, Gurwith M (2006) Comparison of HIV type 1 incidence observed during longitudinal follow-up with incidence estimated by cross-sectional analysis using the BED capture enzyme immunoassay. AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses 22(10): 945-952.
7. McWalter TA, Welte A (2008) On the estimation of the proportion of true recent infections using the BED capture enzyme immunoassay. Available at http://arxiv. org/abs/0806. 1297.
8. Parekh BS, Kennedy SM, Dobbs T, Pau C-P, Byers R, Green T, Hu DJ, Vanichseni S, Young NL, Choopanya K, Mastro TD, McDougal JS (2002) Quantitative detection of increasing HIV type 1 antibodies after seroconversion: A simple assay for detecting recent HIV infection and estimating incidence. AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses 18(4): 295-307.
9. Parekh BS, McDougal JS (2001) New approaches for detecting recent HIV-1 infection. AIDS Rev 3: 183-193.
10. Posner SJ, Myers L, Hassig SE, Rice JC, Kissinger P, Farley TA (2004) Estimating HIV incidence and detection rates from surveillance data. Epidemiology 15(2): 164-172.
11. Welte A, McWalter TA, Bärnighausen T (2009) A simplified formula for inferring HIV incidence from cross-sectional surveys using a test for recent infection. AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses 25(1): 125-126.
12. Wong K-F, Tsai W-Y, Kuhn L (2006) Estimating HIV hazard rates from cross-sectional HIV prevalence data. Stat Med 25(15): 2441-2449.