Bayesian analysis of size-dependent overwinter mortality from size-frequency distributions

Ecology

Volumn 91, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 1016-1024

  Carlson, Stephanie M ^a   Kottas, Athanasios ^a   Mangel, Marc ^a  

^a University of California Santa Cruz   (United States)

Author keywords

Inverse gaussian distribution; Markov chain monte carlo; Metropolis hastings algorithm; Threespine stickleback

Indexed keywords

FRESH WATER;

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; BODY SIZE; GAUSSIAN METHOD; LAKE ECOSYSTEM; MARKOV CHAIN; MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; MORTALITY; OVERWINTERING; SIZE DISTRIBUTION; SIZE EFFECT; TELEOST; TIME SERIES; WINTER;

ANIMAL; ARTICLE; BAYES THEOREM; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; BODY SIZE; ECOSYSTEM; LONGEVITY; MONTE CARLO METHOD; PHYSIOLOGY; PROBABILITY; SEASON; SMEGMAMORPHA;

ANIMALS; BAYES THEOREM; BODY SIZE; ECOSYSTEM; FRESH WATER; LONGEVITY; MARKOV CHAINS; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; MONTE CARLO METHOD; SEASONS; SMEGMAMORPHA;

ALASKA; UNITED STATES;

GASTEROSTEUS; GASTEROSTEUS ACULEATUS;

EID: 77951160156     PISSN: 00129658     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/09-0252.1     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Allen, J. R. M., and R. J. Wootton. 1982. Age, growth and rate of food consumption in an upland population of the threespined stickleback, Gasterosteus aculeatus L. Journal of Fish Biology 21: 95-105.
2. Brodie, E. D., A. J. Moore, and F. J. Janzen. 1995. Visualizing and quantifying natural selection. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 10: 313-318.
3. Carlson, S. M., E. M. Olsen, and L. A. Vøllestad. 2008. Seasonal mortality and the effect of body size: A review and an empirical test using individual data on brown trout. Functional Ecology 22: 663-673.
4. Chapman, L. J., and D. L. Kramer. 1991. The consequences of flooding for the dispersal and fate of poeciliid fish in an intermittent tropical stream. Oecologia 87: 299-306.
5. Clark, J. S. 2007. Models for ecological data. Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
6. Elliott, J. M. 1994. Quantitative ecology and the brown trout. Oxford University Press, New York, New York, USA.
7. Elliott, J. M., M. A. Hurley, and J. A. Elliott. 1997. Variable effects of droughts on the density of a sea-trout Salmo trutta population over 30 years. Journal of Applied Ecology 34: 1229-1238.
8. Good, S. P., J. J. Dodson, M. G. Meekan, and D. A. J. Ryan. 2001. Annual variation in size-selective mortality of Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) fry. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58: 1187-1195.
9. Gupta, R. C., and H. O. Akman. 1995. On the reliability studies of a weighted inverse Gaussian model. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 48: 69-83.
10. Hartman, W. L., and R. L. Burgner. 1972. Limnology and fish ecology of sockeye salmon nursery lakes of the world. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada 29: 699-715.
11. Johnson, D. S., D. L. Thomas, J. M. Ver Hoef, and A. Christ. 2008. A general framework for the analysis of animal resource selection from telemetry data. Biometrics 64: 968-976.
12. Johnston, P., N. E. Bergeron, and J. J. Dodson. 2005. Assessment of winter size-selective mortality of young-of-the-year Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) using otolith microstructure analysis. Ecology of Freshwater Fish 14: 168-176.
13. Kawaguchi, S., S. G. Candy, R. King, M. Naganobu, and S. Nicol. 2006. Modeling growth of Antarctic krill I. Growth trends with sex, length, season, and region. Marine Ecology Progress Series 306: 1-15.
14. Kawaguchi, S., L. A. Finley, S. Jarman, S. G. Candy, R. M. Ross, L. B. Quetin, V. Siegel, W. Trivelpiece, M. Naganobu, and S. Nicol. 2007. Male krill grow fast and die young. Marine Ecology Progress Series 345: 199-210.
15. Kingsolver, J. G., H. E. Hoekstra, J. M. Hoekstra, D. Berrigan, S. N. Vignieri, C. E. Hill, A. Hoang, P. Gibert, and P. Beerli. 2001. The strength of phenotypic selection in natural populations. American Naturalist 157: 245-261.
16. Kingsolver, J. G., and D. W. Pfennig. 2007. Patterns and power of phenotypic selection in nature. BioScience 57: 561-572.
17. Lee, J., and J. O. Berger. 2001. Semiparametric Bayesian analysis of selection models. Journal of the American Statistical Association 96: 1397-1409.
18. Letcher, B. H., G. E. Horton, T. L. Dubreuil, and M. J. O'Donnell. 2005. A field test of the extent of bias in selection estimates after accounting for emigration. Evolutionary Ecology Research 7: 643-650.
19. Mangel, M. 2006. The theoretical biologist's toolbox. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
20. Munch, S. B., M. Mangel, and D. O. Conover. 2003. Quantifying natural selection on body size from field data: winter mortality in Menidia menidia. Ecology 84: 2168-2177.
21. Murray, J. D. 2002. Mathematical biology. I. An introduction. Third edition. Springer, New York, New York, USA.
22. Patil, G. P. 2002. Weighted distributions. Pages 2369-2377 in A. H. El-Shaarawi and W. W. Piegorsch, editors. Encyclopedia of environmetrics. Volume 4. Wiley, Chichester, UK.
23. Post, J. R., and D. O. Evans. 1989. Size-dependent over-winter mortality of young-of-the-year yellow perch (Perca flavescens): laboratory, in situ enclosure, and field experiments. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 46: 1958-1968.
24. Quetin, L. B., and R. M. Ross. 2003. Episodic recruitment in the Antarctic krill Euphausia superba in the Palmer LTER study region. Marine Ecology Progress Series 259: 185-200.
25. Robert, C. P., and G. Casella. 2004. Monte Carlo statistical methods. Second edition. Springer, New York, New York, USA.
26. Robins, J. B., C. A. Abrey, T. P. Quinn, and D. E. Rogers. 2005. Lacustrine growth of juvenile pink salmon and a comparison with sympatric sockeye salmon. Journal of Fish Biology 66: 1671-1680.
27. Rogers, D. E. 1977. Collection and analysis of biological data from the Wood River lake system, Nushagak District, Bristol Bay, Alaska: biology of the threespine stickleback in the Wood River lakes. Fisheries Research Institute, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
28. Sansgiry, P. S., and O. Akman. 2001. Reliability estimation via length-biased transformation. Communications in Statistics, Theory and Methods 30: 2473-2479.
29. Schindler, D. E., D. E. Rogers, M. D. Scheuerell, and C. A. Abrey. 2005. Effects of changing climate on zooplankton and juvenile sockeye salmon growth in southwestern Alaska. Ecology 86: 198-209.
30. Seshadri, V. 1999. The inverse Gaussian distribution, statistical theory and applications. Springer, New York, New York, USA.
31. Sogard, S. M. 1997. Size-selective mortality in the juvenile stage of teleost fishes: a review. Bulletin of Marine Science 60: 1129-1157.
32. Thomas, D. L., D. Johnson, and B. Griffith. 2006. A Bayesian random effects discrete-choice model for resource selection: population-level selection inference. Journal of Wildlife Management 70: 404-412.
33. Toneys, M. L., and D. W. Coble. 1979. Size-related, first winter mortality of freshwater fishes. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 108: 415-419.
34. Wright, P. J., N. B. Metcalfe, and J. E. Thorpe. 1990. Otolith and somatic growth rates in Atlantic salmon parr (Salmo salar L. ): evidence against coupling. Journal of Fish Biology 36: 241-249.