Voter migration as a source of electoral change in the Rocky Mountain West

Political Geography

Volumn 29, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 28-39

  Robinson, Tony ^a   Noriega, Stephen ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

Author keywords

Electoral change; Neighborhood effects; Rocky Mountains; Voter migration

Indexed keywords

ELECTORAL GEOGRAPHY; ELECTORAL SYSTEM; EMIGRATION; NEIGHBORHOOD; PARTY POLITICS; VOTING BEHAVIOR;

ROCKY MOUNTAINS;

EID: 77950370802     PISSN: 09626298     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.polgeo.2009.12.012     Document Type: Article

References (78)

1. Abramson P.R. Generational change in American politics 1975, D.C. Heath, Lexington, Mass.
2. Abramson P.R. Generations and political change in the United States. Research in Political Sociology 1989, 4:235-280.
3. Agnew J. Mapping politics: how context counts in electoral geography. Political Geography 1996, 15:129-146.
4. Anselin L. Lagrange multiplier test diagnostics for spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. Geographical Analysis 1988, 20:1-17.
5. Anselin L. GeoDa 0.9 user's guide 2003, Spatial Analysis Laboratory, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Electronics, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, IL.
6. Anselin L., Bera A. Spatial dependence in linear regression models with an introduction to spatial econometrics. Handbook of applied economic statistics 1988, 237-289. Marcel Dekker, New York. A. Ullah, D.E. Giles (Eds.).
7. Anselin L., Cho W.T. Spatial effects and ecological inference. Political Analysis 2002, 10:276-297.
8. Ansolabehere S., Lovett J. Measuring the political consequences of residential mobility 2008, Cooperative Congressional Election Study, Working Paper 09-01, pp. 2, 14.
9. Barreto M.A., Fraga L., Manzano S., Martinez-Ebers V., Segura G. Should they dance with the one who brung 'em? Latinos and the 2008 presidential election. Political Science and Politics 2007, 41:753-760.
10. Bishop B., Cushing R. The big sort: how the clustering of like-minded Americans is tearing us apart. Red, blue and purple America: The future of election demographics 2008, 50-78. Brookings Institute Press, Washington, D.C, pp. 58, 63, 65. R. Teixeira (Ed.).
11. Brasington D.M. House prices and the structure of local government: an application of spatial statistics. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 2004, 29:211-231.
12. Brown T.A. Migration and politics: The impact of population mobility on American voting behavior 1988, University of North Carolina Press, Chapel Hill, p. 40, 71.
13. Burbank M.J. The psychological basis of contextual effects. Political Geography 1995, 14:621-635.
14. Calvo E., Escobar M. The local voter: a geographically weighted approach to ecological inference. American Journal of Political Science 2003, 47:189-204.
15. Campbell, D. (Aug 28, 2002). Conversion or mobilization? Using religion's growing potency in U.S. politics to revisit realignment theory. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts.
16. Carmines E.G., Stimson J.A. Issue evolution, population replacement, and normal partisan change. American Political Science Review 1981, 75:107-118.
17. Cho W.K., Gimpel J.G., Hui I. Regional migration flows and the partisan sorting of the American electorate April 18, 2009, Paper presented at the American Politics Workshop, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, p. 12.
18. Converse P.E. On the possibility of major political realignment in the South. Elections and the political order 1966, 212-242. John Wiley and Sons, New York, 227. A. Campbell, P.E. Converse, W.E. Miller, D.E. Stokes (Eds.).
19. Cox D.R. On an internal method for deriving a summary measure. Biometrika 2008, 95:1002-1005.
20. Cox K.R. The voting decision in a spatial context. Progress in geography 1969, Vol. I:81-117. Edward Arnold, London. C. Board, R.J. Chroley, P. Hagget, D.R. Stoddart (Eds.).
21. Cox K.R. Geography, social contexts, and voting behavior in Wales, 1861-1951. Mass politics 1969, 117-159. The Free Press, New York. E. Allardt, S. Rokkan (Eds.).
22. Dogan M. Political Cleavage and Social Stratification in France and Italy. Party systems and vote alignments (pp. 129-195) 1967, The Free Press, New York. S.M. Lipset, S. Rokkan (Eds.).
23. Dorling D., Rallings C., Thrasher M. The epidemiology of the Liberal Democrat vote. Political Geography 1988, 17:45-70.
24. Dyer J., Vedlitz A., Hill D.B. New voters, switchers, and political party realignment in Texas. Western Political Quarterly 1988, 41:155-167.
25. Erikson R.S. The 1928-1936 partisan realignment: the case for the conversion hypothesis. American Political Science Review 1981, 75:951-962.
26. Erikson R.S. Voter conversion and the New Deal realignment: a response to Campbell. Western Political Quarterly 1986, 39:729-732.
27. Florax R.J., DeGraaf T. The performance of diagnostic tests for spatial dependence in linear regression models: a meta-analysis of simulation studies. Advances in spatial econometrics - Methodology, tools and applications 2004, 29-65. Springer, Berlin/Heidelberg. L. Anselin, R.J. Florax, S.J. Rey (Eds.).
28. Florida R. The rise of the creative class 2002, Basic Books, New York.
29. Freedman D.A., Klein S.P., Sacks J., Smyth C.A., Everett C.G. Ecological regression and voting rights. Evaluation Review 1991, 15:673-711.
30. Frendreis J.P. Migration as a source of changing party strength. Social Science Quarterly 1989, 70:211-220.
31. Frey W. Immigration and balkanization: toward one America or two?. America's demographic tapestry: Baseline for the new millennium 1999, 78-97. Rutgers University Press, New Brunswick. J.W. Hughes, J.J. Seneca (Eds.).
32. Frey W., Liaw K.L. The impact of recent immigration on population redistribution within the United States. The immigration debate: Studies of economic, demographic and fiscal effects of immigration 1998, 388-448. National Academy Press, Washington D.C. J.P. Smith, B. Edmonton (Eds.).
33. Garrett T.A., Marsh T.L. The revenue impacts of cross-border lottery shopping in the presence of spatial autocorrelation. Regional Science and Urban Econometrics 2002, 32:501-519.
34. Gabe T.M. Growth of creative occupations in U.S. metropolitan areas: a shift-share analysis. Growth and Change 2006, 37:396-415.
35. Gimpel J.G., Cho W.K., Wu T. Spatial dimensions of Arab American voter mobilization after September 11. Political Geography 2007, 26:330-351.
36. Gimpel J.G., Schuknecht J.E. Interstate migration and electoral politics. The Journal of Politics 2001, 63:207-231.
37. Gimpel J.G., Schuknecht J.E. Reconsidering political regionalism in the American states. State Politics and Policy Quarterly 2002, 2:325-352.
38. Gimpel J.G., Schuknecht J.E. Patchwork nation: Sectionalism and political change in American politics 2003, The University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, pp. 3, 25, 27, 382.
39. Goodman L. Ecological regression and the behavior of individuals. American Sociological Review 1953, 64:610-625.
40. Goodsell M.F. Spatial autocorrelation 1986, GeoBooks, Norwich.
41. Hayes A.F., Cai L. Using heteroscedasticity-consistent standard error estimators in OLS regression: an introduction and software implementation. Behavior Research Methods 2007, 39:709-722.
42. Huckfeldt R., Sprague J. Citizens, politics, and social communication: Information and influence in an election campaign 1995, Cambridge University Press, New York.
43. Johnson M., Stein R.M., Wrinkle R. Language choice, residential stability and voting among Latino Americans. Social Science Quarterly 2003, 84:412-424.
44. Johnston R., Jones K., Sarker R., Propper C., Burgess S., Bolster A. Party support and the neighbourhood effect: spatial polarisation of the British electorate, 1991-2001. Political Geography 2004, 23:367-402.
45. Judis J., Teixeira R. The emerging democratic majority 2002, Scribner, New York.
46. Kahn M. Demographic change and the demand for environmental regulation. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 2002, 21:45-62.
47. Kasindorf M., Kenworthy T. Behind Democrats' climb in Mountain West. USA Today 2006, November 21:15A.
48. Keeter S. The aging of the boomers and the rise of the millenials. Red, blue and purple America: The future of election demographics 2008, 225-258. The Brookings Institute, Washington, D.C. R. Teixeira (Ed.).
49. King G. A solution to the ecological inference problem 1997, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
50. Knotts H.G. James G. Gimpel and Jason E. Schuknecht, patchwork nation: sectionalism and political change in American politics. Political Geography 2006, 25:596-597.
51. Kodrzycki Y.K. Migration of recent college graduates: evidence from the national longitudinal survey of youth. New England Economic Review 2000, 12:13-34.
52. Lacombe D.J., Shaughnessy T.J. Accounting for spatial error correlation in the 2004 presidential popular vote. Public Finance Review 2007, 35:480-499.
53. Larch M., Walde J. Lag or error? Detecting the nature of spatial autocorrelation. Studies in classification, data analysis and knowledge organizationed 2006, 301-308. Springer Berlin Heidelberg Press, Berlin. C. Preisach, H. Burkhardt, L. Schmidt-Thieme (Eds.).
54. Marchant-Shapiro T., Patterson K.D. Partisan change in the Mountain West. Political Behavior 1995, 17:350-378.
55. Markusen A. Urban development and the politics of the creative class: evidence from the study of artists. Environment and Planning 2006, 38:1921-1940.
56. McGranahan D.A., Wojan T.R. Recasting the creative class to examine growth processes in rural and urban counties. Regional Studies 2007, 41:197-216.
57. Miller W.L. Electoral dynamics in Britain since 1918 1977, Macmillan, London.
58. Miller W.L. Social class and party choice in England: A new analysis. British Journal of Political Science 1978, 8:257-284.
59. Nelson P.B. Geographic perspective on amenity migration across the USA: national-, regional- and local-scale analysis. The amenity migrants: Seeking and sustaining mountains and their cultures 2006, 55-72. CAB International, Cambridge. L.A.G. Moss (Ed.).
60. O'Loughlin J. Can King's ecological inference method answer a social scientific puzzle: who voted for the Nazi Party in Weimar Germany?. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 2000, 90:592-601.
61. Owen G., Grofman B. Estimating the likelihood of fallacious ecological inference: linear ecological regression in the presence of context effects. Political Geography 1997, 16:675-690.
62. Parker S.L. Shifting party tides in Florida: where have all the Democrats gone?. The South's new politics: Realignment and dealignment 1988, 22-37. University of South Carolina Press, Columbia. R.H. Swansbrough, D.M. Brodsky (Eds.).
63. Pattie C.J., Johnston R.J. Context, conversion and conviction: social networks and voting at the 1992 British general election. Political Studies 1999, 47:877-889.
64. Pattie C.J., Johnston R.J. People who talk together vote together: an exploration of contextual effects in Great Britain. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 2000, 90:41-66.
65. Prindle D.F. Voter turnout, critical elections and the New Deal realignment. Social Science History 1979, 3:144-170.
66. Rankin D. The West: the electoral gateway. The elections of 2004 2005, 185-214. CQ Press, Washington, DC. M. Nelson (Ed.).
67. Robinson W.S. Ecological correlations and the behavior of individuals. American Sociological Review 1950, 15:351-357.
68. Rudzitis G. Nonmetropolitan geography: migration, sense of place, and the American West. Urban Geography 1993, 14:574-585.
69. Sager R. The elephant in the room: Evangelicals, Libertarians and the battle to control the Republican Party 2006, John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
70. Schaller T. Whistling past Dixie: How democrats can win without the South 2006, Simon and Schuster, New York.
71. Shelley F.M., Archer J.C. Some geographical aspects of the American presidential election of 1992. Political Geography 1994, 13:137-159.
72. Shumway J.M., Otterstrom S.M. Spatial patterns of migration and income change in the Mountain West: the dominance of service-based amenity-rich counties. Professional Geographer 2001, 53:492-502.
73. Sprague, J., & Westefield, L. P. (1979). Contextual effects from behavioral contagion. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Western Political Science Association, Portland, OR.
74. Sui D.Z., Hugill P.J. A GIS-based spatial analysis on neighborhood effects and voter turn-out: a case study in college station, Texas. Political Geography 2002, 21:159-173.
75. Suro R. Latino power? It will take time for the population boom to translate. Washington Post 2006, June 26:B01.
76. Teixeira R. Postindustrial hopes deferred: why the democratic majority is still likely to emerge. Brookings Review 2003, 21:40-44.
77. Wolfinger R., Arseneau R.B. Partisan change in the South, 1952-1976. Political parties: Development and decay 1978, 179-210. Sage, New York. L. Maisel, J. Cooper (Eds.).
78. Wolfinger R., Hagen M.G. Republican prospects: southern comfort. Public Opinion 1985, 8:8-13.