Carotid Intima-Media Thickness and Presence or Absence of Plaque Improves Prediction of Coronary Heart Disease Risk. The ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) Study

Journal of the American College of Cardiology

Volumn 55, Issue 15, 2010, Pages 1600-1607

  Nambi, Vijay ^a,b   Chambless, Lloyd ^c   Folsom, Aaron R ^d   He, Max ^c   Hu, Yijuan ^c   Mosley, Tom ^e   Volcik, Kelly ^f   Boerwinkle, Eric ^f   Ballantyne, Christie M ^a,b  

^a BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^b HOUSTON METHODIST RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (United States)

^c IL   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA   (United States)

^e UNIVERSITY OF MISSISSIPPI SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^f UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MEDICAL SCHOOL   (United States)

Author keywords

CIMT; plaque; risk prediction

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AREA UNDER THE CURVE; ARTERIAL WALL THICKNESS; ARTICLE; CARDIOVASCULAR RISK; CONTROLLED STUDY; DISEASE CLASSIFICATION; FEMALE; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; ISCHEMIC HEART DISEASE; MALE; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC; RISK FACTOR; ULTRASOUND;

ATHEROSCLEROSIS; CAROTID ARTERY, COMMON; CAROTID ARTERY, INTERNAL; CONFIDENCE INTERVALS; CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE; FEMALE; FOLLOW-UP STUDIES; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; PROGNOSIS; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS; RESIDENCE CHARACTERISTICS; RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTORS; ROC CURVE; TIME FACTORS; TUNICA INTIMA; UNITED STATES;

EID: 77950327422     PISSN: 07351097     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.11.075     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Ridker P.M., Buring J.E., Rifai N., and Cook N.R. Development and validation of improved algorithms for the assessment of global cardiovascular risk in women: the Reynolds Risk Score. JAMA 297 (2007) 611-619
2. Ridker P.M., Paynter N.P., Rifai N., Gaziano J.M., and Cook N.R. C-reactive protein and parental history improve global cardiovascular risk prediction: the Reynolds Risk Score for men. Circulation 118 (2008) 2243-2255
3. del Sol A.I., Moons K.G., Hollander M., et al. Is carotid intima-media thickness useful in cardiovascular disease risk assessment?. The Rotterdam Study. Stroke 32 (2001) 1532-1538
4. Chambless L.E., Folsom A.R., Sharrett A.R., et al. Coronary heart disease risk prediction in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. J Clin Epidemiol 56 (2003) 880-890
5. Brautbar A., Ballantyne C.M., Lawson K., et al. Impact of adding a single allele in the 9p21 locus to traditional risk factors on reclassification of coronary heart disease risk and implications for lipid-modifying therapy in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. Circ Cardiovasc Genetics 2 (2009) 279-285
6. Folsom A.R., Kronmal R.A., Detrano R.C., et al. Coronary artery calcification compared with carotid intima-media thickness in the prediction of cardiovascular disease incidence: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Arch Intern Med 168 (2008) 1333-1339
7. Chambless L.E., Heiss G., Folsom A.R., et al. Association of coronary heart disease incidence with carotid arterial wall thickness and major risk factors: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, 1987-1993. Am J Epidemiol 146 (1997) 483-494
8. O'Leary D.H., Polak J.F., Kronmal R.A., et al. Carotid-artery intima and media thickness as a risk factor for myocardial infarction and stroke in older adults. N Engl J Med 340 (1999) 14-22
9. Taylor A.J., Kent S.M., Flaherty P.J., Coyle L.C., Markwood T.T., and Vernalis M.N. ARBITER: Arterial Biology for the Investigation of the Treatment Effects of Reducing Cholesterol. A randomized trial comparing the effects of atorvastatin and pravastatin on carotid intima medial thickness. Circulation 106 (2002) 2055-2060
10. Lloyd-Jones D.M., and Tian L. Predicting cardiovascular risk: so what do we do now?. Arch Intern Med 166 (2006) 1342-1344
11. Hunt K.J., Sharrett A.R., Chambless L.E., Folsom A.R., Evans G.W., and Heiss G. Acoustic shadowing on B-mode ultrasound of the carotid artery predicts CHD. Ultrasound Med Biol 27 (2001) 357-365
12. Hlatky M.A., Greenland P., Arnett D.K., et al. Criteria for evaluation of novel markers of cardiovascular risk: a scientific statement from the American Heart Association. Circulation 119 (2009) 2408-2416
13. The ARIC Investigators. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study: design and objectives. Am J Epidemiol 129 (1989) 687-702
14. Li R., Cai J., Tegeler C., Sorlie P., Metcalf P.A., and Heiss G. Reproducibility of extracranial carotid atherosclerotic lesions assessed by B-mode ultrasound: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Ultrasound Med Biol 22 (1996) 791-799
15. Li R., Duncan B.B., Metcalf P.A., et al. B-mode-detected carotid artery plaque in a general population. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study Investigators. Stroke 25 (1994) 2377-2383
16. The ARIC Study Group. High-resolution B-mode ultrasound scanning methods in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. J Neuroimaging 1 (1991) 68-73
17. National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. Operations Manual, No. 7: Blood Collection and Processing. Version 1.0 (1987), ARIC Coordinating Center, School of Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC
18. Chambless L.E., Zhong M.M., Arnett D., Folsom A.R., Riley W.A., and Heiss G. Variability in B-mode ultrasound measurements in the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) study. Ultrasound Med Biol 22 (1996) 545-554
19. White A.D., Folsom A.R., Chambless L.E., et al. Community surveillance of coronary heart disease in the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) study: methods and initial two years' experience. J Clin Epidemiol 49 (1996) 223-233
20. Chambless L.E., and Diao G. Estimation of time-dependent area under the ROC curve for long-term risk prediction. Stat Med 25 (2006) 3474-3486
21. Harrell Jr. F.E., Lee K.L., and Mark D.B. Multivariable prognostic models: issues in developing models, evaluating assumptions and adequacy, and measuring and reducing errors. Stat Med 15 (1996) 361-387
22. Efron B., and Tibshirani R.J. An Introduction to the Bootstrap (1993), Chapman & Hall, New York, NY
23. Steyerberg E.W., Harrell F.E., Borsboom G.J., Eijkemans M.J., Vergouwe Y., and Habbema J.D. Internal validation of predictive models: efficiency of some procedures for logistic regression analysis. J Clin Epidemiol 54 (2001) 774-781
24. May S., and Hosmer D.W. A simplified method of calculating an overall goodness-of-fit test for the Cox proportional hazards model. Lifetime Data Anal 4 (1998) 109-120
25. Pencina M.J., D'Agostino R.B., D'Agostino R.B., and Vasan R.S. Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: from area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond. Stat Med 27 (2008) 157-172 discussion 207-12
26. Schlendorf K.H., Nasir K., and Blumenthal R.S. Limitations of the Framingham risk score are now much clearer. Prev Med 48 (2009) 115-116
27. Newman A.B., Naydeck B.L., Ives D.G., et al. Coronary artery calcium, carotid artery wall thickness, and cardiovascular disease outcomes in adults 70 to 99 years old. Am J Cardiol 101 (2008) 186-192
28. Lester S.J., Eleid M.F., Khandheria B.K., and Hurst R.T. Carotid intima-media thickness and coronary artery calcium score as indications of subclinical atherosclerosis. Mayo Clin Proc 84 (2009) 229-233
29. Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in Adults. Executive summary of the third report of the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in Adults (Adult Treatment Panel III). JAMA 285 (2001) 2486-2497
30. Pasternak R.C., Abrams J., Greenland P., Smaha L.A., Wilson P.W., and Houston-Miller N. 34th Bethesda Conference, Task Force 1. Identification of coronary heart disease risk: is there a detection gap?. J Am Coll Cardiol 41 (2003) 1863-1874
31. Nambi V., and Ballantyne C.M. "Risky business": ten years is not a lifetime. Circulation 119 (2009) 362-364
32. Berry J.D., Liu K., Folsom A.R., et al. Prevalence and progression of subclinical atherosclerosis in younger adults with low short-term but high lifetime estimated risk for cardiovascular disease: the coronary artery risk development in young adults study and multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis. Circulation 119 (2009) 382-389