Improving cost-effectiveness in the department of defense

Air and Space Power Journal

Volumn 24, Issue 1, 2010, Pages

  Miller, Col Drew ^a  

^a NONE

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EID: 77949697961     PISSN: 1555385X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. William Matthews, "Obama's Partial Victory: Minus Some 'Wasteful Projects,' U.S. Spending Bill Remains Massive," Defense News, 2 November 2009, http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?i=4354391 (accessed 14 December 2009).
2. Quoted in Robert A. Watson and Ben Brown, The Most Effective Organization in the U.S.: Leadership Secrets of the Salvation Army (New York: Crown Business, 2001) (see book cover).
3. See NBC Nightly News, 10 September 2001, http://icue.nbcunifiles.com/icue/files/icue/site/pdf/3551.pdf (accessed 14 December 2009).
4. A not-for-profit corporation or "think tank," RAND developed the original Planning, Programming, and Budgeting System methodology and MCDM tools for the DOD's use. See Richard J. Hillestad and Paul K. Davis, Resource Allocation for the New Defense Strategy: The DynaRank Decision-Support System (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 1998), http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR996/ (accessed 14 December 2009);
5. Paul K. Davis and Paul Dreyer, RAND's Portfolio Analysis Tool (PAT): Theory, Methods, and Reference Manual (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2009), http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/2009/RAND_TR756.sum.pdf (accessed 14 December 2009).
6. Russ Banham and Sam Knox, "When Do Companies Outgrow Their Spreadsheets?" CFO Research Services, 1 June 2004;
7. Robert Kugel, "A Better Spreadsheet Alternative," Intelligent Enterprise, 20 May 2005, http://intelligent-enterprise.informationweek.com/showArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=D321T4AWB2TRLQE1GHRSKH4ATMY32JVN?articleID=163106301 (accessed 14 December 2009);
8. Grenville J. Croll, "The Importance and Criticality of Spreadsheets in the City of London," European Spreadsheet Risks Interest Group, 2005, [4], http://arxiv.org/pdf/0709.4063v2 (accessed 14 December 2009).
9. Maj Gen Stephen R. Lorenz, Lt Col James A. Hubert, and Maj Keith H. Maxwell, "Linking Resource Allocation to Performance Management and Strategic Planning: An Air Force Challenge," Aerospace Power Journal 15, no. 4 (Winter 2001): 34-35, http://www.airpower.au.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj01/win01/win01.pdf (accessed 14 December 2009).
10. "Strategic Planning and Budgeting Domain Overview Briefing," DOD Business Management Modernization Program, August 2004.
11. See Hillestad and Davis, Resource Allocation for the New Defense Strategy.
12. See Hillestad and Davis, Resource Allocation for the New Defense Strategy., 38.
13. Mason Brooks and Drew Miller, "Inside the Detention Camps: A New Campaign in Iraq," Joint Force Quarterly, 1st Quarter 2009, 129-33, http://www.ndu.edu/inss/Press/jfq_pages/editions/i52/25.pdf (accessed 14 December 2009).
14. David S. C. Chu and Nurith Berstein, "Decisionmaking for Defense," in New Challenges, New Tools for Defense Decisionmaking, ed. Stuart E. Johnson, Martin C. Libicki, and Gregory F. Treverton (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2003), 26, http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1576/MR1576.ch1.pdf (accessed 14 December 2009).
15. "Limitation of Systems," Bob Behn's Public Management Report 3, no. 9 (May 2006): 1-2, http://www.ksg.harvard.edu/thebehnreport/May2006.pdf (accessed 14 December 2009).
16. See Irving L. Janis, Groupthink: Psychological Studies of Policy Decisions and Fiascos, 2d ed., rev. (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1982).
17. Henry Mintzberg, The Rise and Fall of Strategic Planning: Reconceiving Roles for Planning, Plans, Planners (New York: Free Press, 1994), 185.
18. For a good summary of these common decision-making errors, see Herbert A. Simon and Associates, "Report of the Research Briefing Panel on Decision Making and Problem Solving," in Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy, Research Briefings 1986: Report of the Research Briefing Panel on Decision Making and Problem Solving (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1986), 17-35, http://www.netlibrary.com/urlapi.asp?action=summary&v=1&bookid=14732 (accessed 15 December 2009).
19. Drew Miller, Institute for Defense Analyses, Using Decision Trees as a Decision Support System for EBO Analysis and Rapid COA Analysis and Selection, 2003. (Available from the author at drmiller@drewmiller.com)
20. "Report to the Senior Executive Council on Streamlining Decision Process," item no. 20, Defense Planning Guidance, 2004-9, October 2002.
21. Department of Defense, Joint Defense Capabilities Study: Improving DoD Strategic Planning, Resourcing and Execution to Satisfy Joint Capabilities (Washington, DC: Department of Defense, January 2004), B-12, http://www.worldcat.org/wcpa/oclc/56134236?page=frame&url=http%3A%2F%2Fpurl.access.gpo.gov%2FGPO%2FLPS52753%26checksum%3Df2bfe7764aba17f961c9c53aed657ee2&title=&linktype=digitalObject&detail= (accessed 15 December 2009).
22. Drew Miller, "Using DynaRank for Effects-Based Operations and Capabilities-Based Tradeoff Analysis" (presentation to the Military Operations Research Society Symposium, US Military Academy, West Point, NY, June 2005).
23. Drew Miller, "Using DynaRank for Effects-Based Operations and Capabilities-Based Tradeoff Analysis" (presentation to the Military Operations Research Society Symposium, US Military Academy, West Point, NY, June 2005).
24. Anthony H. Cordesman and Paul S. Frederiksen, Is Defense Transformation Affordable? Cost Escalation in Major Weapons Programs (Washington, DC: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 27 June 2006), 4, http://www.comw.org/rma/fulltext/0606cordesman.pdf (accessed 15 December 2009).
25. Michael Barzelay and Fred Thompson, Efficiency Counts: Developing the Capacity to Manage Costs at Air Force Materiel Command (Arlington, VA: IBM Center for the Business of Government, August 2003), http://www.businessofgovernment.org/pdfs/barzelay_report_fms.pdf (accessed 15 December 2009);
26. Sean Wilson, USAFE/A5PE, "USAFE POM Process," PowerPoint Briefing, 2003; and Robert Millman, USAFE/A5PE, "FY07 APOM Capability Program Deliverables," PowerPoint Briefing, 2003.
27. Barzelay and Thompson, Efficiency Counts.
28. Lorenz, Hubert, and Maxwell, "Linking Resource Allocation";
29. Philip J. Candreva, "Accounting for Transformation," Armed Forces Comptroller 49, no. 4 (Fall 2004): 11, http://web.ebscohost.com/ehost/viewarticle?data=dGJyMPPp44rp2%2fdV0%2bnjisfk5Ie41%2beK8%2bTnjqzj34HspOOA7enyWK%2borUmzpbBIrq%2beSa6ws064qrY4v8OkjPDX7Ivf2fKB7eTnfLujtUqvr7NRr6a1PurX7H%2b72%2bw%2b4ti7hfLepIzf3btZzJzfhruntEi3qrFKs5zkh%2fDj34y75uJ%2bxOvqhNLb9owA&hid=101 (accessed 15 December 2009).
30. Paul K. Davis, "Uncertainty-Sensitive Planning," in New Challenges, New Tools, 155, http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1576/MR1576.ch5.pdf (accessed 15 December 2009).
31. For example, Lt Gen William Gus Pagonis, USA, director of logistics during the Gulf War of 1991, was hired by Sears in 1993 to fix its logistics system. He retired from Sears in 2004 as president of its logistics services.