메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 9, Issue 3, 2009, Pages 879-894

Evaluation of a statistical downscaling procedure for the estimation of climate change impacts on droughts

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE PREDICTION; DOWNSCALING; DROUGHT; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; MULTIPLE REGRESSION; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT;

EID: 77949536139     PISSN: 15618633     EISSN: 16849981     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-9-879-2009     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (56)

References (61)
  • 1
    • 33846070316 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statement on meteorological drought
    • American Meteorological Society (AMS)
    • American Meteorological Society (AMS): Statement on meteorological drought, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 85, 771-773, 2004.
    • (2004) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.85 , pp. 771-773
  • 2
    • 0038080914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 850 hPa relative vorticity centres of action for winter precipitation in the Greek area
    • Bartzokas, A., Lolis, C., and Metaxas, D. A.: The 850 hPa relative vorticity centres of action for winter precipitation in the Greek area, Int. J. Climatol., 23, 813-828, 2003.
    • (2003) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.23 , pp. 813-828
    • Bartzokas, A.1    Lolis, C.2    Metaxas, D.A.3
  • 3
    • 35348963142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in drought characteristics for Europe projected by the PRUDENCE regional climate models
    • Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H. J.: Changes in drought characteristics for Europe projected by the PRUDENCE regional climate models, Int. J. Climatol., 27(12), 1595-1610, 2007.
    • (2007) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.27 , Issue.12 , pp. 1595-1610
    • Blenkinsop, S.1    Fowler, H.J.2
  • 4
    • 0033922055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: Experimental design and comparison with the instrumental record for the twentieth century
    • Boer, G. J., Flato, G., Reader, M. C., and Ramsden, D.: A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: experimental design and comparison with the instrumental record for the twentieth century, Clim. Dyn., 16, 405-425, 2000.
    • (2000) Clim. Dyn. , vol.16 , pp. 405-425
    • Boer, G.J.1    Flato, G.2    Reader, M.C.3    Ramsden, D.4
  • 6
    • 0031282613 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical linkage of daily precipitation in Switzerland to atmospheric circulation and temperature
    • Brandsma, T. and Buishand, T. A.: Statistical linkage of daily precipitation in Switzerland to atmospheric circulation and temperature, J. Hydrol., 198, 98-123, 1997.
    • (1997) J. Hydrol. , vol.198 , pp. 98-123
    • Brandsma, T.1    Buishand, T.A.2
  • 7
    • 2442618873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the choice of the temporal aggregation level for statistical downscaling of precipitation
    • Buishand, T. A., Shabalova, M. V., and Brandsma, T.: On the choice of the temporal aggregation level for statistical downscaling of precipitation, J. Climate, 17, 1816-1827, 2004.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 1816-1827
    • Buishand, T.A.1    Shabalova, M.V.2    Brandsma, T.3
  • 8
    • 0030417468 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expanded downscaling for generating local weather scenarios
    • Burger, G.: Expanded downscaling for generating local weather scenarios, Clim. Res., 7, 111-128, 1996.
    • (1996) Clim. Res. , vol.7 , pp. 111-128
    • Burger, G.1
  • 9
    • 33846798345 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • HydroTest: A webbased toolbox of evaluation metrics for the standardised assessment of hydrological forecasts
    • Dawson, C. W., Abrahart, R. J., and See, L. M.: HydroTest: a webbased toolbox of evaluation metrics for the standardised assessment of hydrological forecasts, Envir. Model. Soft., 22, 1034-1052, 2007.
    • (2007) Envir. Model. Soft. , vol.22 , pp. 1034-1052
    • Dawson, C.W.1    Abrahart, R.J.2    See, L.M.3
  • 10
    • 0033368667 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling future landslide activity based on general circulation models
    • Dehn, M. and Buma, J.: Modelling future landslide activity based on general circulation models, Geomorphology, 30, 175-187, 1999.
    • (1999) Geomorphology , vol.30 , pp. 175-187
    • Dehn, M.1    Buma, J.2
  • 11
    • 18744391157 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of statistical downscaling and climate change factor methods: Impacts on low flows in the River Thames, UK
    • Diaz-Nieto, J. and Wilby, R. L.: A comparison of statistical downscaling and climate change factor methods: Impacts on low flows in the River Thames, UK, Clim. Change, 69, 245-268, 2005.
    • (2005) Clim. Change , vol.69 , pp. 245-268
    • Diaz-Nieto, J.1    Wilby, R.L.2
  • 12
    • 64749088615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of relative drought indices in assessing climate-change impacts on drought conditions in Czechia
    • doi:10.1007/s00704-008-0020-x
    • Dubrovsky, M., Svoboda, M. D., Trnka, M., Hayes, M. J., Wilhite, D. A., Zalud, Z., and Hlavinka, P.: Application of relative drought indices in assessing climate-change impacts on drought conditions in Czechia, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 96, 155-171, doi:10.1007/s00704-008-0020-x, 2009.
    • (2009) Theor. Appl. Climatol. , vol.96 , pp. 155-171
    • Dubrovsky, M.1    Svoboda, M.D.2    Trnka, M.3    Hayes, M.J.4    Wilhite, D.A.5    Zalud, Z.6    Hlavinka, P.7
  • 14
    • 0036830423 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrologic impacts of climate change on inflows to Perth, Australia
    • Evans, J. and Schreider, S.: Hydrologic impacts of climate change on inflows to Perth, Australia, Clim. Change, 55, 361-393, 2002.
    • (2002) Clim. Change , vol.55 , pp. 361-393
    • Evans, J.1    Schreider, S.2
  • 15
    • 0034745101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Warming asymmetry in climate change simulations
    • Flato, G. M. and Boer, G. J.: Warming asymmetry in climate change simulations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 195-198, 2001.
    • (2001) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.28 , pp. 195-198
    • Flato, G.M.1    Boer, G.J.2
  • 16
    • 35348933854 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: Recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modeling
    • Fowler, H. J., Blenkinsop, S., and Tebaldi, C.: Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modeling, Int. J. Climatol., 27(12), 1547-1578, 2007.
    • (2007) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.27 , Issue.12 , pp. 1547-1578
    • Fowler, H.J.1    Blenkinsop, S.2    Tebaldi, C.3
  • 19
    • 0028254103 scopus 로고
    • On the sensitivity of sample L moments to sample size
    • Guttman, N. B.: On the sensitivity of sample L moments to sample size, J. Climatol, 7, 1026-1029, 1994.
    • (1994) J. Climatol , vol.7 , pp. 1026-1029
    • Guttman, N.B.1
  • 21
    • 0035868538 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Have streamflow droughts in Europe more severe of frequent?
    • Hisdal, H., Stahl, K., Tallaksen, L. M., and Demuth, S.: Have streamflow droughts in Europe more severe of frequent?, Int. J. Climatol., 21, 317-333, 2001.
    • (2001) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.21 , pp. 317-333
    • Hisdal, H.1    Stahl, K.2    Tallaksen, L.M.3    Demuth, S.4
  • 22
    • 33646350283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extreme precipitation events in NW Greece
    • Houssos, E. E. and Bartzokas, A.: Extreme precipitation events in NW Greece, Adv. Geosci., 7, 91-96, 2006, http://www.adv-geosci.net/7/91/2006/.
    • (2006) Adv. Geosci. , vol.7 , pp. 91-96
    • Houssos, E.E.1    Bartzokas, A.2
  • 23
    • 0033607106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical downscaling in central Europe: Evaluation of methods and potential predictors
    • Huth, R.: Statistical downscaling in central Europe: Evaluation of methods and potential predictors, Clim. Res., 13, 91-101, 1999.
    • (1999) Clim. Res. , vol.13 , pp. 91-101
    • Huth, R.1
  • 24
    • 77949499472 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (IPCC), Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., andMiller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, New York
    • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (IPCC): Climate Change 2007: The physical Science Basis, in: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., andMiller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, New York, 996 pp., 2007.
    • (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
  • 27
    • 0001063092 scopus 로고
    • A method of relating general circulation model simulated climate to observed local climate. Part I: Seasonal statistics
    • Karl, T. R., Wang, W. C., Schlesinger, M. E., Knight, R. W., and Portman, D.: A method of relating general circulation model simulated climate to observed local climate. Part I: Seasonal statistics, J. Climate, 3, 1053-1079, 1990.
    • (1990) J. Climate , vol.3 , pp. 1053-1079
    • Karl, T.R.1    Wang, W.C.2    Schlesinger, M.E.3    Knight, R.W.4    Portman, D.5
  • 28
    • 0036700832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The quantification of drought: An evaluation of drought indices
    • Keyantash, J. and Dracup, J. A.: The quantification of drought: An evaluation of drought indices, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 83(8), 1167-1180, 2002.
    • (2002) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.83 , Issue.8 , pp. 1167-1180
    • Keyantash, J.1    Dracup, J.A.2
  • 30
    • 43949112345 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification of the relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought
    • Loukas, A., and Vasiliades, L.: Identification of the relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought, Geophys. Res. Abstr., 7, 05479, 2005.
    • (2005) Geophys. Res. Abstr. , vol.7 , pp. 05479
    • Loukas, A.1    Vasiliades, L.2
  • 31
    • 34548498868 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A modeling system for the evaluation of water resources management strategies in Thessaly, Greece
    • Loukas, A., Mylopoulos, N., and Vasiliades, L.: A modeling system for the evaluation of water resources management strategies in Thessaly, Greece, Water Resour. Manag., 21(10), 1673-1702, 2007a.
    • (2007) Water Resour. Manag. , vol.21 , Issue.10 , pp. 1673-1702
    • Loukas, A.1    Mylopoulos, N.2    Vasiliades, L.3
  • 32
    • 77954950808 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of climate change on drought impulses in Thessaly, Greece
    • Loukas, A., Vasiliades, L., and Tzabiras, J.: Evaluation of climate change on drought impulses in Thessaly, Greece, European Water Journal, 17-18(1), 2007b.
    • (2007) European Water Journal , vol.17-18 , pp. 1
    • Loukas, A.1    Vasiliades, L.2    Tzabiras, J.3
  • 33
    • 47249090811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change effects on drought severity
    • Loukas, A., Vasiliades, L., and Tzabiras, J.: Climate change effects on drought severity, Adv. Geosci., 17, 23-29, 2008, http://www.adv-geosci.net/17/ 23/2008/.
    • (2008) Adv. Geosci. , vol.17 , pp. 23-29
    • Loukas, A.1    Vasiliades, L.2    Tzabiras, J.3
  • 34
    • 0029750418 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Low frequency variability of surface air temperature in A 1,000-Year integration of a coupled atmosphere-ocean-land surface model
    • Manabe, S. and Stouffer, R. J.: 1996, Low frequency variability of surface air temperature in a 1,000-Year integration of a coupled atmosphere-ocean-land surface model, J. Climate, 9, 376-393, 1996.
    • (1996) J. Climate , vol.9 , pp. 376-393
    • Manabe, S.1    Stouffer, R.J.2
  • 35
    • 34250350003 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Drought index evaluation for assessing future wheat production in Greece
    • Mavromatis, T.: Drought index evaluation for assessing future wheat production in Greece, Int. J. Climatol., 27(7), 911-924, 2007.
    • (2007) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.27 , Issue.7 , pp. 911-924
    • Mavromatis, T.1
  • 36
    • 0033382614 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • General-Circulation-Model simulations of future snowpack in the western United States
    • McCabe, G. J. andWolock, D. M.: General-Circulation-Model simulations of future snowpack in the western United States, J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 35(6), 1473-1484, 1999.
    • (1999) J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. , vol.35 , Issue.6 , pp. 1473-1484
    • McCabe, G.J.1    Wolock, D.M.2
  • 37
    • 0001170158 scopus 로고
    • Drought monitoring with multiple time scales
    • Preprints, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc
    • McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., and Kleist, J.: Drought monitoring with multiple time scales, Preprints, 9th Conference on Applied Climatology, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 233-236, 1995.
    • (1995) 9th Conference on Applied Climatology , pp. 233-236
    • McKee, T.B.1    Doesken, N.J.2    Kleist, J.3
  • 38
    • 0001895140 scopus 로고
    • The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales
    • Preprints, Anaheim, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc
    • McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., and Kleist, J.: The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, Preprints, 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, Anaheim, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 179-184, 1993.
    • (1993) 8th Conference on Applied Climatology , pp. 179-184
    • McKee, T.B.1    Doesken, N.J.2    Kleist, J.3
  • 40
    • 42149109732 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Iberian autumnal precipitation characterization through observed, simulated and reanalysed data
    • Morata, A., Luna, M. Y., Martin, M. L., Sotillo, M. G., and Valero, F.: Iberian autumnal precipitation characterization through observed, simulated and reanalysed data, Adv. Geosci., 16, 49-54, 2008, http://www.adv-geosci.net/16/49/ 2008/.
    • (2008) Adv. Geosci. , vol.16 , pp. 49-54
    • Morata, A.1    Luna, M.Y.2    Martin, M.L.3    Sotillo, M.G.4    Valero, F.5
  • 41
    • 85036757559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Observatory of Athens, Scientific Report, National Observatory of Athens, Athens, Greece
    • National Observatory of Athens: Climatic Changes in Mediterranean, Scientific Report, National Observatory of Athens, Athens, Greece, 2001.
    • (2001) Climatic Changes in Mediterranean
  • 43
    • 0001805672 scopus 로고
    • Analysis and modeling of hydrologic time series
    • edited by Maidment, D. R., McGraw-Hill, Inc., New York, Chap. 19, 72
    • Salas, J. D.: Analysis and Modeling of Hydrologic Time Series, in Handbook of Hydrology, edited by Maidment, D. R., McGraw-Hill, Inc., New York, Chap. 19, 19.1-19.72, 1993.
    • (1993) Handbook of Hydrology , vol.19 , pp. 1-19
    • Salas, J.D.1
  • 44
    • 0035875227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling temperature and precipitation: A comparison of regression-based methods and artificial neural networks
    • Schoof, J. T. and Pryor, S. C.: Downscaling temperature and precipitation: a comparison of regression-based methods and artificial neural networks, Int. J. Climatol., 21, 773-790, 2001.
    • (2001) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.21 , pp. 773-790
    • Schoof, J.T.1    Pryor, S.C.2
  • 45
    • 0035834944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Low flow hydrology: A review
    • Smakhtin, V. U.: Low flow hydrology: A review, J. Hydrol., 240, 147-186, 2001.
    • (2001) J. Hydrol. , vol.240 , pp. 147-186
    • Smakhtin, V.U.1
  • 46
    • 26444431850 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A high-resolution 44-year atmospheric hindcast for the Mediterranean Basin: Contribution to the regional improvement of global reanalysis
    • Sotillo, M. G., Ratsimandresy, A.W., Carretero, J. C., Bentamy, A., Valero, F., and Gonzalez-Rouco, J. F.: A high-resolution 44-year atmospheric hindcast for the Mediterranean Basin: Contribution to the regional improvement of global reanalysis, Clim. Dyn., 25, 219-236, 2005.
    • (2005) Clim. Dyn. , vol.25 , pp. 219-236
    • Sotillo, M.G.1    Ratsimandresy, A.W.2    Carretero, J.C.3    Bentamy, A.4    Valero, F.5    Gonzalez-Rouco, J.F.6
  • 48
    • 1342329662 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A statistical downscaling method for monthly total precipitation over Turkey
    • Tatli, H., Dalfes, H. N., and Mentes, S. S.: A statistical downscaling method for monthly total precipitation over Turkey, Int. J. Climatol., 24, 161-180, 2004.
    • (2004) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.24 , pp. 161-180
    • Tatli, H.1    Dalfes, H.N.2    Mentes, S.S.3
  • 49
    • 6044273005 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and water: From climate models to water resources management and vice versa
    • Varis, O., Kajander, T., and Lemmela, R.: Climate and water: From climate models to water resources management and vice versa, Clim. Change, 66, 321-344, 2004.
    • (2004) Clim. Change , vol.66 , pp. 321-344
    • Varis, O.1    Kajander, T.2    Lemmela, R.3
  • 50
    • 33646176212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological response to different time scales of climatological drought: An evaluation of the Standardized Precipitation Index in a mountainous Mediterranean basin
    • Vicente-Serrano, S. M. and López-Moreno, J. I.: Hydrological response to different time scales of climatological drought: an evaluation of the Standardized Precipitation Index in a mountainous Mediterranean basin, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 523-533, 2005, http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci. net/9/523/2005/.
    • (2005) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.9 , pp. 523-533
    • Vicente-Serrano, S.M.1    López-Moreno, J.I.2
  • 51
    • 0033507337 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the use of "inflation" in statistical downscaling
    • Von Storch, H.: On the use of "inflation" in statistical downscaling, J. Climate, 12, 3505-3506, 1999.
    • (1999) J. Climate , vol.12 , pp. 3505-3506
    • Von Storch, H.1
  • 52
    • 35748966683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model-based scenarios of Mediterranean droughts
    • Weiss, M., Flörke, F., Menzel, L., and Alcamo, J.: Model-based scenarios of Mediterranean droughts, Adv. Geosci., 12, 145-151, 2007,http://www.adv-geosci.net/12/145/2007/.
    • (2007) Adv. Geosci. , vol.12 , pp. 145-151
    • Weiss, M.1    Flörke, F.2    Menzel, L.3    Alcamo, J.4
  • 53
    • 0036174909 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SDSM - A decision support tool for the assessment of regional climate change impacts
    • Wilby, R. L, Dawson, C. W., and Barrow, E. M.: SDSM - a decision support tool for the assessment of regional climate change impacts, Envir. Model. Soft., 17(2), 145-157, 2002.
    • (2002) Envir. Model. Soft. , vol.17 , Issue.2 , pp. 145-157
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Dawson, C.W.2    Barrow, E.M.3
  • 54
    • 0031412203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling general circulation model output: A review of methods and limitations
    • Wilby, R. L. and Wigley, T. M. L.: Downscaling General Circulation Model output: a review of methods and limitations, Prog. Phys. Geogr., 21, 530-548, 1997.
    • (1997) Prog. Phys. Geogr. , vol.21 , pp. 530-548
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Wigley, T.M.L.2
  • 56
    • 0022195325 scopus 로고
    • Understanding the drought phenomenon: The role of definitions
    • Wilhite, D. A. and Glantz, M. H.: Understanding the drought phenomenon: The role of definitions, Water Int., 10(3), 111-120, 1985.
    • (1985) Water Int. , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 111-120
    • Wilhite, D.A.1    Glantz, M.H.2
  • 57
    • 17144407618 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of the length of record on the standardized precipitation index calculation
    • Wu, H., Hayes, M. J., Wilhite, D. A., and Svoboda, M. D.: The effect of the length of record on the standardized precipitation index calculation, Int. J. Climatol., 25(4), 505-520, 2005.
    • (2005) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.25 , Issue.4 , pp. 505-520
    • Wu, H.1    Hayes, M.J.2    Wilhite, D.A.3    Svoboda, M.D.4
  • 58
    • 0034688851 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Connection between the large-scale 500 hPa geopotential height fields and precipitation over Greece during wintertime
    • Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Buckard, R., Patrikas, I., and Maheras, P.: Connection between the large-scale 500 hPa geopotential height fields and precipitation over Greece during wintertime, Clim. Res., 14, 129-146, 2000.
    • (2000) Clim. Res. , vol.14 , pp. 129-146
    • Xoplaki, E.1    Luterbacher, J.2    Buckard, R.3    Patrikas, I.4    Maheras, P.5
  • 59
    • 28844471688 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling hydrological consequences of climate change - Progress and challenges
    • Xu, C. Y., Widen, E., and Halldin, S.: Modelling hydrological consequences of climate change - progress and challenges, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 22(6), 789-797, 2005.
    • (2005) Adv. Atmos. Sci. , vol.22 , Issue.6 , pp. 789-797
    • Xu, C.Y.1    Widen, E.2    Halldin, S.3
  • 60
    • 0032855811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From GCMs to river flow: A review of downscaling techniques and hydrologic modeling approaches
    • Xu, C. Y.: From GCMs to river flow: A review of downscaling techniques and hydrologic modeling approaches, Prog. Phys. Geogr., 23, 229-249, 1999.
    • (1999) Prog. Phys. Geogr. , vol.23 , pp. 229-249
    • Xu, C.Y.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.