Indices of precipitation extremes in Southern Portugal-a geostatistical approach

Natural Hazards and Earth System Science

Volumn 9, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 241-250

  Durao R ^a   J Pereira, M ^a   C Costa, A ^b   M Corte Real J ^c   Soares, A ^a  

^a INSTITUTO SUPERIOR TÉCNICO   (Portugal)

^b NOVA INFORMATION MANAGEMENT SCHOOL NOVA IMS   (Portugal)

^c UNIVERSITY OF ÉVORA   (Portugal)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DATA SET; DETECTION METHOD; EXTREME EVENT; GEOSTATISTICS; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RAINFALL; SOIL EROSION; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; TEMPORAL VARIATION;

PORTUGAL;

EID: 77949522403     PISSN: 15618633     EISSN: 16849981     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-9-241-2009     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Brunetti, M., Colacino, M., Maugeri, M., and Nanni, T.: Trends in the daily intensity of precipitation in Italy from 1951 to 1996, Int. J. Climatol., 21(3), 299-316, 2001.
2. Corte-Real, J., Qian, B., and Xu, H.: Regional climate change in Portugal: precipitation variability associated with large-scale atmospheric circulation, Int. J. Climatol., 18, 619-635, 1998.
3. Costa, A. C. and Soares, A.: Trends in extreme precipitation indices derived from a daily rainfall database for the South of Portugal, Int. J. Climatol., doi:10.1002/joc.1834, in press, 2008.
4. Costa, A. C., Negreiros, J., and Soares, A.: Identification of inho-mogeneities in precipitation time series using stochastic simulation, in: geoENV VI-Geostatistics for Environmental Applications, edited by: Soares, A., Pereira, M. J., and Dimitrakopoulos, Springer, 275-282, 2008a.
5. Costa, A. C., Durão, R., Pereira, M. J., and Soares, A.: A Geosta-tistical exploratory analysis of precipitation extremes in southern Portugal, Revstat-Statistical Journal, 6(1), 21-32, 2008b.
6. Daly, C.: Guidelines for assessing the suitability of spatial climate data sets, Int. J. Climatol., 26(6), 707-721, 2006.
7. Daveau, S.: Répartition et rythme des précipitations au Portugal, Memórias C.E.G, Lisbon, 192 pp., 1977.
8. Goodess, C. M. and Jones, P. D.: Links between circulation and changes in the characteristics of Iberian rainfall, Int. J. Climatol., 22(13), 1593-1615, 2002.
9. Goovaerts, P.: Geostatistics for Natural Resources Evaluation. Applied Geostatistics Series, Oxford University Press, New York, Oxford, 483 pp., 1997.
10. Goovaerts, P.: Geostatistical approaches for incorporating elevation into the spatial interpolation of rainfall, J. Hydrol., 228, 113-129, 2000.
11. Haylock, M. and Nicholls, N.: Trends in extreme rainfall indices for an updated high quality data set for Australia, 1910-1998, Int. J. Climatol., 20(13), 1533-1541, 2000.
12. Haylock, M. R. and Goodess, C. M.: Interannual variability of European extreme winter rainfall and links with mean large-scale circulation, Int. J. Climatol., 24(6), 759-776, 2004.
13. Hidalgo, J. C. G., De Lúis, M., Raventós, J., and Sánchez, J. R.: Daily rainfall trend in the Valencia Region of Spain, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 75, 117-130, 2003.
14. Hundecha, Y. and Bárdossy, A.: Trends in daily precipitation and temperature extremes across western Germany in the second half of the 20th century, Int. J. Climatol., 25(9), 1189-1202, 2005.
15. Jones, P. D., Horton, E. B., Folland, C. K., Hulme, M., Parker, D. E., and Basnett, T. A.: The use of indices to identify changes in climatic extremes, Climatic Change, 42, 131-149,1999.
16. Journel, A. G.: Modeling uncertainty: some conceptual thoughts, in: Geostatistics for the Next Century, edited by: Dimitrakopou-los, R., Kluwer Academic Pub., Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 30-43, 1994.
17. Karl, T. R., Nicholls, N., and Ghazi, A.: CLIVAR/GCOS/WMO Workshop on indices and indicators for climate extremes, Workshop summary, Climatic Change, 42, 3-7, 1999.
18. Klein Tank, A. M. G. and Können, G. P.: Trends in indices of daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe, 1946-1999, J. Climate, 16(22), 3665-3680, 2003.
19. Kostopoulou, E. and Jones, P. D.: Assessment of climate extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 89, 69-85, 2005.
20. Lázaro, R., Rodrigo, F. S., Gutiérrez, L., Domingo, F., and Puigdefábregas, J.: Analysis of a 30-year rainfall record (1967-1997) in semi-arid SE Spain for implications on vegetation, J. Arid Environ., 48(3), 373-395, 2001.
21. Moberg, A. and Jones, P. D.: Trends in indices for extremes in daily temperature and precipitation in central and western Europe, 1901-1999, Int. J. Climatol., 25, 1149-1171, 2005.
22. Nunes, C. and Soares, A.: Geostatistical space-time simulation model for air quality prediction, Environmetrics, 16(4), 393-404, 2005.
23. Pereira, L. S., Louro, V., Rosário, L., and Almeida, A.: Desertification, territory and people, a holistic approach in the Portuguese context, in: Desertification in the Mediterranean Region: a Security Issue, edited by: Kepner, W. G., Rubio, J. L., Mouat, D. A., and Pedrazzini, F., NATO Sc.Com., AK/Nato Publishing Unit, Springer-Verlag, Dordrecht, 269-289, 2006.
24. Peterson, T. C., Folland, C., Gruza, G., Hogg, W., Mokssit, A., and Plummer, N.: Report on the activities of the Working Group on Climate Change detection and Related Rapporteurs 1998-2001, World Meteorological Organisation Rep. WCDMP-47, WMO-TD 1071, Geneva, Switzerland, 2001.
25. Prudhomme, C. and Reed, D. W.: Mapping extreme rainfall in a mountainous region using geostatistical techniques: a case study in Scotland, Int. J. Climatol., 19(12), 1337-1356, 1999.
26. Ramos, C. and Reis, E.: Floods in southern Portugal: their physical and human causes, impacts and human response, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 7(3), 267-284, 2002.
27. Rodrigo, F. S. and Trigo, R. M.: Trends in daily rainfall in the Iberian Peninsula from 1951 to 2002, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 513-529, 2007.
28. Russo, A., Trigo, R., and Soares, A.: Stochastic modelling applied to air quality space-time characterization, in: geoENV VI-Geo-statistics for Environmental Applications, edited by: Soares, A., Pereira, M. J. and Dimitrakopoulos, R., Springer, 83-93, 2008.
29. Serrano, A., Mateos, V. L., and Garćia, J. A.: Trend analysis of monthly precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula for the period 1921-1995, Phys. Chem. Earth, 24, 85-90, 1999.
30. Soares, A.: Direct Sequential Simulation and Cosimulation, Math. Geology, 33(8), 911-926, 2001.
31. Santos, J. A., Corte-Real, J., and Leite, S. M.: Weather regimes and their connection to the winter rainfall in Portugal, Int. J. Clima-tol., 25(1), 33-50, 2005.
32. Trigo, R. M. and DaCamara, C.: Circulation Weather Types and their impact on the precipitation regime in Portugal, Int. J. Cli-matol., 20(13), 1559-1581, 2000.
33. Trigo, R. M., Osborn, T. J., and Corte-Real, J. M.: The North Atlantic Oscillation influence on Europe climate impacts and associated physical mechanisms, Climate Res., 20, 9-17, 2002.
34. Trigo, R. M., Pozo-Vázquez, D., Osborn, T. J., Castro-D́iez, Y., Gámiz-Fortis, S., and Esteban-Parra, M. J.: North Atlantic oscillation influence on precipitation, river flow and water resources in the Iberian Peninsula, Int. J. Climatol., 24(8), 925-944, 2004.
35. Wijngaard, J. B., Klein Tank, A. M. G., and Können, G. P.: Homogeneity of 20th century European daily temperature and precipitation series, Int. J. Climatol., 23(6), 679-692, 2003.