Occupational employment projections to 2018

Monthly Labor Review

Volumn 132, Issue 11, 2009, Pages 82-123

  Alan Lacey, T ^a   Wright, Benjamin ^a  

^a BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS   (United States)

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[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 77749341531     PISSN: 00981818     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (11)

1. BLS makes assumptions about the factors that affect occupational growth. Detailed information on these projections can be found at the Employment Projections Program section of the BLS Web site at www.bls.gov/emp/ (visited Oct. 29, 2009), and in the BLS Handbook of Methods, on the Internet at www.bls.gov/opub/hom/homch13_a.htm (visited Oct. 29, 2009).
2. The projections will also be presented in the forthcoming 2010-11 Occupational Outlook Handbook. The Internet version of this edition of the Handbook, which will be accessible at www.bls.gov/oco (visited Oct. 29, 2009), is expected to be available in late December 2009; the print version of the 2010-11 Handbook, BLS Bulletin 2800, is expected to be available by the spring of 2010.
3. See Mitra Toossi, "Labor force projections to 2018: older workers staying more active," this issue, pp. 30-51.
4. See Ian D. Wyatt and Kathryn J. Byun, "The U.S. economy to 2018: from recession to recovery," this issue, pp. 11-29.
5. See Wyatt and Byun, "The U.S. economy to 2018."
6. The Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) system broadly classifies occupations into 23 major occupational groups. This article uses an aggregation of the 23 major groups, referred to as the SOC intermediate aggregation, which comprises 11 groups. The groupings of management, business, and financial occupations; professional and related occupations; and service occupations are part of the intermediate aggregation, and they are made up of some of the 23 major occupational groups. Military specific occupations are excluded; they stand alone as 1 of the the 23 major groups and are also their own group in the the intermediate aggregation. For more information on the SOC, see Standard Occupation Classification Manual 2000 (Lanham, MD, Bernan Associates, 2000).
7. See Rose A. Woods, "Industry output and employment projections to 2018," this issue, pp. 52-81.
8. The employment figures for the 2007-08 period that are referenced here describe industry sector 23-construction-in the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). A substantial portion of the jobs in the construction and extraction occupational group are within the construction industry sector.
9. These data come from the BLS Current Employment Statistics program. The data referenced describe the NAICS manufacturing industry sector, which is composed of NAICS industries 31-33.
10. Because of the variability of job functions within a given occupation, and because different employers may have different requirements for education or training, workers in the same occupation can have substantially different education and training backgrounds. For more information on education and training categories and the educational attainment of workers in various occupations, see Occupational Projections and Training Data, 2008-09 edition, Bulletin 2702 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), on the Internet at www.bls.gov/emp/optd (visited Dec. 8, 2009); and the technical documentation accompanying the 2008-18 employment projections, available on the Internet at www.bls.gov/emp/ep_education_tech.htm (visited Dec. 8, 2009).
11. For a detailed discussion of the methods used to determine replacement needs, as well as data on replacement needs for all occupations, see Occupational Projections and Training Data, 2008-09 edition; and the technical documentation accompanying the 2008-18 employment projections, available on the Internet at www.bls.gov/emp/ep_replacements.htm (visited Dec. 8, 2009).