메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 26, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 413-434

Bayesian and non-Bayesian analysis of the seemingly unrelated regression model with Student-t errors, and its application for forecasting

Author keywords

Direct Monte Carlo; Heavy tail behavior; Importance sampling; Markov chain Monte Carlo

Indexed keywords


EID: 77649270010     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.12.012     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (18)

References (51)
  • 1
    • 34548388929 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian predictive information criterion for the evaluation of hierarchical Bayesian and empirical Bayes models
    • Ando T. Bayesian predictive information criterion for the evaluation of hierarchical Bayesian and empirical Bayes models. Biometrika 94 (2007) 443-458
    • (2007) Biometrika , vol.94 , pp. 443-458
    • Ando, T.1
  • 4
    • 0000484254 scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical analysis of SUR models with extensions to correlated serial errors and time-varying parameter models
    • Chib S., and Greenberg E. Hierarchical analysis of SUR models with extensions to correlated serial errors and time-varying parameter models. Journal of Econometrics 68 (1995) 339-360
    • (1995) Journal of Econometrics , vol.68 , pp. 339-360
    • Chib, S.1    Greenberg, E.2
  • 5
    • 0011716069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for stochastic volatility models
    • Chib S., Nardari F., and Shephard N. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for stochastic volatility models. Journal of Econometrics 108 (2002) 281-316
    • (2002) Journal of Econometrics , vol.108 , pp. 281-316
    • Chib, S.1    Nardari, F.2    Shephard, N.3
  • 7
    • 33746447668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate Student-t regression models: Pitfalls and inference
    • Ferńandez C., and Steel M.F.J. Multivariate Student-t regression models: Pitfalls and inference. Biometrika 86 (1999) 153-167
    • (1999) Biometrika , vol.86 , pp. 153-167
    • Ferńandez, C.1    Steel, M.F.J.2
  • 9
    • 44849125130 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Objective Bayesian analysis for the Student-t regression model
    • Fonseca T.C.O., Ferreira M.A.R., and Migon H.S. Objective Bayesian analysis for the Student-t regression model. Biometrika 95 (2008) 325-333
    • (2008) Biometrika , vol.95 , pp. 325-333
    • Fonseca, T.C.O.1    Ferreira, M.A.R.2    Migon, H.S.3
  • 10
    • 15944424367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Highly accurate likelihood analysis for the seemingly unrelated regression problem
    • Fraser D.A.S., Rekkas M., and Wong A. Highly accurate likelihood analysis for the seemingly unrelated regression problem. Journal of Econometrics 127 (2005) 17-33
    • (2005) Journal of Econometrics , vol.127 , pp. 17-33
    • Fraser, D.A.S.1    Rekkas, M.2    Wong, A.3
  • 11
    • 84972492387 scopus 로고
    • Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences
    • Gelman A., and Rubin D.B. Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences. Statistical Science 7 (1992) 457-511
    • (1992) Statistical Science , vol.7 , pp. 457-511
    • Gelman, A.1    Rubin, D.B.2
  • 12
    • 0001032163 scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the accuracy of sampling-based approaches to calculating posterior moments
    • Bernardo J.M., Berger J.O., Dawid A.P., and Smith A.F.M. (Eds), Oxford University Press, Oxford
    • Geweke J. Evaluating the accuracy of sampling-based approaches to calculating posterior moments. In: Bernardo J.M., Berger J.O., Dawid A.P., and Smith A.F.M. (Eds). Bayesian statistics 4 (1992), Oxford University Press, Oxford 169-193
    • (1992) Bayesian statistics 4 , pp. 169-193
    • Geweke, J.1
  • 13
    • 84986088295 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian treatment of the independent Student-t linear model
    • Geweke J. Bayesian treatment of the independent Student-t linear model. Journal of Applied Econometrics 8 (1993) 19-40
    • (1993) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.8 , pp. 19-40
    • Geweke, J.1
  • 15
    • 0030424873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Bayesian growth and yield model for slash pine plantations
    • Green E.J., and Strawderman W.E. A Bayesian growth and yield model for slash pine plantations. Journal of Applied Statistics 23 (1996) 285-299
    • (1996) Journal of Applied Statistics , vol.23 , pp. 285-299
    • Green, E.J.1    Strawderman, W.E.2
  • 16
    • 0020850136 scopus 로고
    • Simulation run length control in the presence of an initial transient
    • Heidelberger P., and Welch P.D. Simulation run length control in the presence of an initial transient. Operations Research 31 (1983) 1109-1144
    • (1983) Operations Research , vol.31 , pp. 1109-1144
    • Heidelberger, P.1    Welch, P.D.2
  • 17
    • 3042777110 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models with fat-tails and correlated errors
    • Jacquier E., Polson N.G., and Rossi P.E. Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models with fat-tails and correlated errors. Journal of Applied Econometrics 122 (2004) 185-212
    • (2004) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.122 , pp. 185-212
    • Jacquier, E.1    Polson, N.G.2    Rossi, P.E.3
  • 18
    • 84873751778 scopus 로고
    • An invariant form for the prior probability in estimation problems
    • Jeffreys H. An invariant form for the prior probability in estimation problems. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series A 196 (1946) 453-461
    • (1946) Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series A , vol.196 , pp. 453-461
    • Jeffreys, H.1
  • 19
    • 0003414592 scopus 로고
    • Oxford University Press, Oxford Published in Oxford classic texts in the physical sciences, 1998
    • Jeffreys H. Theory of probability. 3rd ed. (1961), Oxford University Press, Oxford Published in Oxford classic texts in the physical sciences, 1998
    • (1961) Theory of probability. 3rd ed.
    • Jeffreys, H.1
  • 21
    • 2442699862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why don't prices rise during periods of peak demand? Evidence from scanner data
    • Judith C.A., Kashyap A.K., and Rossi P.E. Why don't prices rise during periods of peak demand? Evidence from scanner data. The American Economic Review 93 (2003) 15-37
    • (2003) The American Economic Review , vol.93 , pp. 15-37
    • Judith, C.A.1    Kashyap, A.K.2    Rossi, P.E.3
  • 22
    • 0011873003 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the difference in inference and prediction between the joint and independent t-error models for seemingly unrelated regressions
    • Kowalski J., Mendoza-Blanco J.R., Tu X.M., and Gleser L.J. On the difference in inference and prediction between the joint and independent t-error models for seemingly unrelated regressions. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 28 (1999) 2119-2140
    • (1999) Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods , vol.28 , pp. 2119-2140
    • Kowalski, J.1    Mendoza-Blanco, J.R.2    Tu, X.M.3    Gleser, L.J.4
  • 24
    • 84950945692 scopus 로고
    • Model selection and accounting for model uncertainty in graphical models using Occam's window
    • Madigan D., and Raftery A.E. Model selection and accounting for model uncertainty in graphical models using Occam's window. Journal of the American Statistical Association 89 (1994) 1535-1546
    • (1994) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.89 , pp. 1535-1546
    • Madigan, D.1    Raftery, A.E.2
  • 25
    • 0001858216 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods for combining models and forecasts with applications to forecasting international growth rates
    • Min C.K., and Zellner A. Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods for combining models and forecasts with applications to forecasting international growth rates. Journal of Econometrics 56 (1993) 89-118
    • (1993) Journal of Econometrics , vol.56 , pp. 89-118
    • Min, C.K.1    Zellner, A.2
  • 26
    • 0036859477 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust Bayesian inference for seemingly unrelated regressions with elliptical errors
    • Ng V.M. Robust Bayesian inference for seemingly unrelated regressions with elliptical errors. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 83 (2002) 409-414
    • (2002) Journal of Multivariate Analysis , vol.83 , pp. 409-414
    • Ng, V.M.1
  • 28
    • 0011053441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zellner's influence on multivariate linear models
    • Berry D.A., Chaloner K.M., and Geweke J.K. (Eds), John Wiley and Sons, New York
    • Percy D.F. Zellner's influence on multivariate linear models. In: Berry D.A., Chaloner K.M., and Geweke J.K. (Eds). Bayesian analysis in statistics and econometrics: Essays in honor of Arnold Zellner (1996), John Wiley and Sons, New York 203-214
    • (1996) Bayesian analysis in statistics and econometrics: Essays in honor of Arnold Zellner , pp. 203-214
    • Percy, D.F.1
  • 30
    • 84972518066 scopus 로고
    • One long run with diagnostics: Implementation strategies for Markov chain Monte Carlo
    • Raftery A.E., and Lewis S.M. One long run with diagnostics: Implementation strategies for Markov chain Monte Carlo. Statistical Science 7 (1992) 493-497
    • (1992) Statistical Science , vol.7 , pp. 493-497
    • Raftery, A.E.1    Lewis, S.M.2
  • 32
    • 0020130305 scopus 로고
    • Detecting initialization bias in simulation experiments
    • Schruben L.W. Detecting initialization bias in simulation experiments. Operations Research 30 (1982) 569-590
    • (1982) Operations Research , vol.30 , pp. 569-590
    • Schruben, L.W.1
  • 33
    • 0001424224 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonparametric seemingly unrelated regression
    • Smith M., and Kohn R. Nonparametric seemingly unrelated regression. Journal of Econometrics 98 (2000) 257-282
    • (2000) Journal of Econometrics , vol.98 , pp. 257-282
    • Smith, M.1    Kohn, R.2
  • 34
  • 37
    • 4744365124 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven country dataset
    • Stock J.H., and Watson M.W. Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven country dataset. Journal of Forecasting 23 (2004) 405-430
    • (2004) Journal of Forecasting , vol.23 , pp. 405-430
    • Stock, J.H.1    Watson, M.W.2
  • 39
    • 84946357749 scopus 로고
    • An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regression equations and tests for aggregation bias
    • Zellner A. An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regression equations and tests for aggregation bias. Journal of the American Statistical Association 57 (1962) 348-368
    • (1962) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.57 , pp. 348-368
    • Zellner, A.1
  • 40
    • 34248973195 scopus 로고
    • Estimators for seemingly unrelated regression equations: some exact finite sample results
    • Zellner A. Estimators for seemingly unrelated regression equations: some exact finite sample results. Journal of the American Statistical Association 58 (1963) 977-992
    • (1963) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.58 , pp. 977-992
    • Zellner, A.1
  • 42
    • 0000723104 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian and non-Bayesian analysis of the regression model with multivariate Student-t error terms
    • Zellner A. Bayesian and non-Bayesian analysis of the regression model with multivariate Student-t error terms. Journal of the American Statistical Association 71 (1976) 400-405
    • (1976) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.71 , pp. 400-405
    • Zellner, A.1
  • 43
    • 0008254510 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian method of moments/instrumental variable (BMOM/IV) analysis of mean and regression models
    • Lee J.C., Johnson W.O., and Zellner A. (Eds), Springer, New York
    • Zellner A. Bayesian method of moments/instrumental variable (BMOM/IV) analysis of mean and regression models. In: Lee J.C., Johnson W.O., and Zellner A. (Eds). Modelling and prediction: Honoring Seymour Geisser (1994), Springer, New York 61-74
    • (1994) Modelling and prediction: Honoring Seymour Geisser , pp. 61-74
    • Zellner, A.1
  • 44
    • 0041124723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The finite sample properties of simultaneous equations estimates and estimators: Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches
    • Zellner A. The finite sample properties of simultaneous equations estimates and estimators: Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches. Journal of Econometrics 8 (1998) 185-212
    • (1998) Journal of Econometrics , vol.8 , pp. 185-212
    • Zellner, A.1
  • 47
    • 38249031890 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian specification analysis and estimation of simultaneous equation models using Monte Carlo methods
    • Zellner A., Bauwens L., and van Dijk H.K. Bayesian specification analysis and estimation of simultaneous equation models using Monte Carlo methods. Journal of Econometrics 38 (1988) 39-72
    • (1988) Journal of Econometrics , vol.38 , pp. 39-72
    • Zellner, A.1    Bauwens, L.2    van Dijk, H.K.3
  • 48
    • 0035565804 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian modeling of economies and data requirements
    • Zellner A., and Chen B. Bayesian modeling of economies and data requirements. Macroeconomic Dynamics 5 (2001) 673-700
    • (2001) Macroeconomic Dynamics , vol.5 , pp. 673-700
    • Zellner, A.1    Chen, B.2
  • 50
    • 77649272042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zellner, A., & Sacks, B. (1996). Bayesian method of moment (BMOM) analysis of the multiple regression model with autocorrelated errors. Working paper, H.G.B. Alexander Research Foundation, University of Chicago
    • Zellner, A., & Sacks, B. (1996). Bayesian method of moment (BMOM) analysis of the multiple regression model with autocorrelated errors. Working paper, H.G.B. Alexander Research Foundation, University of Chicago
  • 51
    • 0346279341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Further results on Bayesian method of moments analysis of the multiple regression model
    • Zellner A., and Tobias J. Further results on Bayesian method of moments analysis of the multiple regression model. International Economic Review 42 (2001) 121-139
    • (2001) International Economic Review , vol.42 , pp. 121-139
    • Zellner, A.1    Tobias, J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.