메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 37, Issue 6, 2010, Pages 4318-4323

A genetic algorithm based nonlinear grey Bernoulli model for output forecasting in integrated circuit industry

Author keywords

Forecast; Genetic algorithm; GM(1,1); Grey Verhulst model; Integrated circuit; Nonlinear grey Bernoulli model

Indexed keywords

BERNOULLI MODEL; FORECAST MODEL; GREY MODEL; GREY VERHULST MODEL; INTEGRATED CIRCUIT INDUSTRIES; MEAN ABSOLUTE PERCENTAGE ERROR; OPTIMAL PARAMETER ESTIMATION; PERCENTAGE ERROR; PREDICTION ACCURACY; ROOT MEAN SQUARE; TEST DATA; TIME-SERIES DATA;

EID: 77249141453     PISSN: 09574174     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2009.11.068     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (103)

References (59)
  • 1
    • 34250208764 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Grey prediction with rolling mechanism for electricity demand forecasting of Turkey
    • Akay D., and Atak M. Grey prediction with rolling mechanism for electricity demand forecasting of Turkey. Energy 32 (2007) 1670-1675
    • (2007) Energy , vol.32 , pp. 1670-1675
    • Akay, D.1    Atak, M.2
  • 3
    • 37349068178 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adapting wright's modification of Holt's method to forecasting intermittent demand
    • Altay N., Rudisill F., and Litteral L.A. Adapting wright's modification of Holt's method to forecasting intermittent demand. International Journal of Production Economics 111 2 (2008) 389-408
    • (2008) International Journal of Production Economics , vol.111 , Issue.2 , pp. 389-408
    • Altay, N.1    Rudisill, F.2    Litteral, L.A.3
  • 4
    • 0002192732 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting demand: Quantitative and intuitive techniques
    • Archer B.H. Forecasting demand: Quantitative and intuitive techniques. International Journal of Tourism Management 1 1 (1980) 5-12
    • (1980) International Journal of Tourism Management , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 5-12
    • Archer, B.H.1
  • 5
    • 41149087206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Short-term and medium-term load forecasting for Jordan's power system
    • Badran I., El-Zayyat H., and Halasa G. Short-term and medium-term load forecasting for Jordan's power system. American Journal of Applied Sciences 5 7 (2008) 763-768
    • (2008) American Journal of Applied Sciences , vol.5 , Issue.7 , pp. 763-768
    • Badran, I.1    El-Zayyat, H.2    Halasa, G.3
  • 6
    • 34249668068 scopus 로고
    • The art of using forecasts effectively
    • Bernstein G.L. The art of using forecasts effectively. Directors and Boards 8 (1984) 23-26
    • (1984) Directors and Boards , vol.8 , pp. 23-26
    • Bernstein, G.L.1
  • 7
    • 61349110829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • NBC-universal uses a novel qualitative forecasting technique to predict advertising demand
    • Bollapragada S., Gupta S., Hurwitz B., Miles P., and Tyagi R. NBC-universal uses a novel qualitative forecasting technique to predict advertising demand. Interfaces 38 2 (2008) 103-111
    • (2008) Interfaces , vol.38 , Issue.2 , pp. 103-111
    • Bollapragada, S.1    Gupta, S.2    Hurwitz, B.3    Miles, P.4    Tyagi, R.5
  • 9
    • 84884526520 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting the appropriate forecasting method
    • Chase C. Selecting the appropriate forecasting method. The Journal of Business Forecasting 16 3 (1997) 23-29
    • (1997) The Journal of Business Forecasting , vol.16 , Issue.3 , pp. 23-29
    • Chase, C.1
  • 10
    • 39149119977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of the novel nonlinear grey Bernoulli model for forecasting unemployment rate
    • Chen C.I. Application of the novel nonlinear grey Bernoulli model for forecasting unemployment rate. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 37 1 (2008) 278-287
    • (2008) Chaos, Solitons and Fractals , vol.37 , Issue.1 , pp. 278-287
    • Chen, C.I.1
  • 11
    • 36448948624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting of foreign exchange rates of Taiwan's major trading partners by novel nonlinear grey Bernoulli model NGBM(1,1)
    • Chen C.I., Chen H.L., and Chen S.P. Forecasting of foreign exchange rates of Taiwan's major trading partners by novel nonlinear grey Bernoulli model NGBM(1,1). Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation 13 6 (2008) 1194-1204
    • (2008) Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation , vol.13 , Issue.6 , pp. 1194-1204
    • Chen, C.I.1    Chen, H.L.2    Chen, S.P.3
  • 13
    • 50849151631 scopus 로고
    • Control problems of grey system
    • Deng J.L. Control problems of grey system. Systems and Control Letters 1 (1982) 288-294
    • (1982) Systems and Control Letters , vol.1 , pp. 288-294
    • Deng, J.L.1
  • 14
    • 55649105857 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hybrid genetic algorithms and support vector regression in forecasting atmospheric corrosion of metallic materials
    • Fang S.F., Wang M.P., Qi W.H., and Zheng F. Hybrid genetic algorithms and support vector regression in forecasting atmospheric corrosion of metallic materials. Computational Materials Science 44 2 (2008) 647-655
    • (2008) Computational Materials Science , vol.44 , Issue.2 , pp. 647-655
    • Fang, S.F.1    Wang, M.P.2    Qi, W.H.3    Zheng, F.4
  • 18
    • 77249084783 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using GM(1,1) and Verhulst model to predict building's subsidence
    • Guo M. Using GM(1,1) and Verhulst model to predict building's subsidence. Geotechnical Engineering World 3 10 (2000) 33-37
    • (2000) Geotechnical Engineering World , vol.3 , Issue.10 , pp. 33-37
    • Guo, M.1
  • 21
    • 46149123004 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimization of reservoir operation by genetic algorithm considering inflow probabilities
    • Hashemi M.S., Barani G.A., and Ebrahimi H. Optimization of reservoir operation by genetic algorithm considering inflow probabilities. Journal of Applied Sciences 8 11 (2008) 2173-2177
    • (2008) Journal of Applied Sciences , vol.8 , Issue.11 , pp. 2173-2177
    • Hashemi, M.S.1    Barani, G.A.2    Ebrahimi, H.3
  • 23
    • 0038661673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Applying the grey prediction model to the global integrated circuit industry
    • Hsu L.C. Applying the grey prediction model to the global integrated circuit industry. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 70 (2003) 563-574
    • (2003) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.70 , pp. 563-574
    • Hsu, L.C.1
  • 24
    • 34249731039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecast the output of integrated circuit industry using a grey model improved by the Bayesian analysis
    • Hsu L.C., and Wang C.H. Forecast the output of integrated circuit industry using a grey model improved by the Bayesian analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 74 (2007) 843-853
    • (2007) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.74 , pp. 843-853
    • Hsu, L.C.1    Wang, C.H.2
  • 25
    • 56349105740 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting integrated circuit output using multivariate grey model and grey relational analysis
    • Hsu L.C., and Wang C.H. Forecasting integrated circuit output using multivariate grey model and grey relational analysis. Expert Systems with Applications 36 2 (2009) 1403-1409
    • (2009) Expert Systems with Applications , vol.36 , Issue.2 , pp. 1403-1409
    • Hsu, L.C.1    Wang, C.H.2
  • 26
    • 0031146983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real-valued genetic algorithms for fuzzy grey prediction system
    • Huang Y.P., and Huang C.H. Real-valued genetic algorithms for fuzzy grey prediction system. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 87 3 (1997) 265-276
    • (1997) Fuzzy Sets and Systems , vol.87 , Issue.3 , pp. 265-276
    • Huang, Y.P.1    Huang, C.H.2
  • 27
    • 38649115076 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting flood disasters using an accelerated genetic algorithm: Examples of two case studies for China
    • Jin J.L., Cheng J., and Wei Y.M. Forecasting flood disasters using an accelerated genetic algorithm: Examples of two case studies for China. Natural Hazards 44 1 (2008) 85-92
    • (2008) Natural Hazards , vol.44 , Issue.1 , pp. 85-92
    • Jin, J.L.1    Cheng, J.2    Wei, Y.M.3
  • 29
    • 0040404200 scopus 로고
    • A generalized crossover operation for genetic algorithms
    • Kolonko M. A generalized crossover operation for genetic algorithms. Complex Systems 9 3 (1995) 177-191
    • (1995) Complex Systems , vol.9 , Issue.3 , pp. 177-191
    • Kolonko, M.1
  • 31
    • 33646065944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Current validity of the Delphi method in social sciences
    • Landeta J. Current validity of the Delphi method in social sciences. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 73 (2006) 467-482
    • (2006) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.73 , pp. 467-482
    • Landeta, J.1
  • 32
    • 33845932500 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameter estimation using the genetic algorithm and its impact on quantitative precipitation forecast
    • Lee Y.H., Park S.K., and Chang D.E. Parameter estimation using the genetic algorithm and its impact on quantitative precipitation forecast. Annales Geophysicae 24 (2006) 3185-3189
    • (2006) Annales Geophysicae , vol.24 , pp. 3185-3189
    • Lee, Y.H.1    Park, S.K.2    Chang, D.E.3
  • 34
    • 77249137868 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verhulst model to predicate ground displacement and deformation
    • Li D.H. Verhulst model to predicate ground displacement and deformation. Coal Science and Technology 32 3 (2004) 58-59
    • (2004) Coal Science and Technology , vol.32 , Issue.3 , pp. 58-59
    • Li, D.H.1
  • 35
    • 0037290928 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecast of the output value of Taiwan's opto-electronics industry using the grey forecasting model
    • Lin C.T., and Yang S.Y. Forecast of the output value of Taiwan's opto-electronics industry using the grey forecasting model. Technological Forecasting and Social Changes 70 (2003) 177-186
    • (2003) Technological Forecasting and Social Changes , vol.70 , pp. 177-186
    • Lin, C.T.1    Yang, S.Y.2
  • 38
    • 77249102698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disease incidence forecast of Lecanosticta acicola with Verhulst model
    • Luo Z.R. Disease incidence forecast of Lecanosticta acicola with Verhulst model. Jiangxi Forestry Science and Technology 4 (2000) 15-16
    • (2000) Jiangxi Forestry Science and Technology , vol.4 , pp. 15-16
    • Luo, Z.R.1
  • 40
    • 44949191403 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimized scenario for rainfall forecasting using genetic algorithm coupled with artificial neural network
    • Nasseri M., Asghari K., and Abedini M. Optimized scenario for rainfall forecasting using genetic algorithm coupled with artificial neural network. Expert Systems with Applications 35 3 (2008) 1415-1421
    • (2008) Expert Systems with Applications , vol.35 , Issue.3 , pp. 1415-1421
    • Nasseri, M.1    Asghari, K.2    Abedini, M.3
  • 43
    • 77249103692 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A modified Delphi approach to a new card sorting methodology
    • Paul C.L. A modified Delphi approach to a new card sorting methodology. Journal of Usability Studies 4 1 (2008) 7-30
    • (2008) Journal of Usability Studies , vol.4 , Issue.1 , pp. 7-30
    • Paul, C.L.1
  • 46
    • 34250754707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of the COCOMO model parameters using genetic algorithms for NASA software projects
    • Sheta A.F. Estimation of the COCOMO model parameters using genetic algorithms for NASA software projects. Journal of Computer Science 2 2 (2006) 118-123
    • (2006) Journal of Computer Science , vol.2 , Issue.2 , pp. 118-123
    • Sheta, A.F.1
  • 47
    • 41549150214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of univariate time series methods for forecasting intraday arrivals at a call center
    • Taylor J.W. A comparison of univariate time series methods for forecasting intraday arrivals at a call center. Management Science 54 2 (2008) 253-265
    • (2008) Management Science , vol.54 , Issue.2 , pp. 253-265
    • Taylor, J.W.1
  • 48
    • 27744500221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of grey system theory in the development of a runoff prediction model
    • Trivedi H.V., and Singh J.K. Application of grey system theory in the development of a runoff prediction model. Biosystems Engineering 92 4 (2005) 521-526
    • (2005) Biosystems Engineering , vol.92 , Issue.4 , pp. 521-526
    • Trivedi, H.V.1    Singh, J.K.2
  • 49
    • 0012887667 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting: The key to managerial decision making
    • Waddell D., and Sohal A. Forecasting: The key to managerial decision making. Management Decision 32 1 (1994) 41-49
    • (1994) Management Decision , vol.32 , Issue.1 , pp. 41-49
    • Waddell, D.1    Sohal, A.2
  • 50
    • 2342587536 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting tourism demand using fuzzy time series and hybrid grey theory
    • Wang C.H. Predicting tourism demand using fuzzy time series and hybrid grey theory. Tourism Management 25 (2004) 367-374
    • (2004) Tourism Management , vol.25 , pp. 367-374
    • Wang, C.H.1
  • 51
    • 36749064932 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using genetic algorithms grey theory to forecast high technology industrial output
    • Wang C.H., and Hsu L.C. Using genetic algorithms grey theory to forecast high technology industrial output. Applied Mathematics and Computation 195 1 (2008) 256-263
    • (2008) Applied Mathematics and Computation , vol.195 , Issue.1 , pp. 256-263
    • Wang, C.H.1    Hsu, L.C.2
  • 52
    • 0042889592 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Novel grey model for the prediction of trend of dissolved gases in oil-filled power apparatus
    • Wang M.H., and Hung C.P. Novel grey model for the prediction of trend of dissolved gases in oil-filled power apparatus. Electric Power Systems Research 67 1 (2003) 53-58
    • (2003) Electric Power Systems Research , vol.67 , Issue.1 , pp. 53-58
    • Wang, M.H.1    Hung, C.P.2
  • 54
    • 0036131678 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting stock price using fuzzy grey prediction system
    • Wang Y.F. Predicting stock price using fuzzy grey prediction system. Expert Systems with Application 22 (2002) 33-39
    • (2002) Expert Systems with Application , vol.22 , pp. 33-39
    • Wang, Y.F.1
  • 55
    • 15744377683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The research and development of completed GM(1,1) model toolbox using Matlab
    • Wen K.L., and Chang T.C. The research and development of completed GM(1,1) model toolbox using Matlab. International Journal of Computational Cognition 3 3 (2005) 42-48
    • (2005) International Journal of Computational Cognition , vol.3 , Issue.3 , pp. 42-48
    • Wen, K.L.1    Chang, T.C.2
  • 56
    • 77249108968 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The analysis of population in Taiwan based on grey Verhulst method
    • Wen K.L., and Huang Y.F. The analysis of population in Taiwan based on grey Verhulst method. Journal of Grey System 8 (2005) 25-34
    • (2005) Journal of Grey System , vol.8 , pp. 25-34
    • Wen, K.L.1    Huang, Y.F.2
  • 57
    • 33749596972 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting short time-series tourism demand with artificial intelligence models
    • Yu G., and Schwartz Z. Forecasting short time-series tourism demand with artificial intelligence models. Journal of Travel Research 45 2 (2006) 194-203
    • (2006) Journal of Travel Research , vol.45 , Issue.2 , pp. 194-203
    • Yu, G.1    Schwartz, Z.2
  • 58
    • 11344271467 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of grey Verhulst model in middle and long term load forecasting
    • Zhang F.S., Liu F., Zhao W.B., Sun Z.A., and Jiang G.Y. Application of grey Verhulst model in middle and long term load forecasting. Power System Technology 27 5 (2003) 37-39
    • (2003) Power System Technology , vol.27 , Issue.5 , pp. 37-39
    • Zhang, F.S.1    Liu, F.2    Zhao, W.B.3    Sun, Z.A.4    Jiang, G.Y.5
  • 59
    • 33746791541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision analysis in energy and environmental modeling: An update
    • Zhou P., Ang B.W., and Poh K.L. Decision analysis in energy and environmental modeling: An update. Energy 31 14 (2006) 2268-2286
    • (2006) Energy , vol.31 , Issue.14 , pp. 2268-2286
    • Zhou, P.1    Ang, B.W.2    Poh, K.L.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.