What controls the spatial distribution of the North Sea plaice spawning population? Confronting ecological hypotheses through a model selection framework

ICES Journal of Marine Science

Volumn 67, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 244-257

  Loots, Christophe ^a   Vaz, Sandrine ^a   Planque, Benjamin ^b   Koubbi, Philippe ^c,d  

^a IFREMER   (France)

^b INSTITUTE OF MARINE RESEARCH   (Norway)

^c SORBONNE UNIVERSITÉ   (France)

^d LABORATOIRE D OCÉANOGRAPHIE DE VILLEFRANCHE   (France)

Author keywords

AIC; Multi model inference; North Sea plaice; Spatial distribution; Spawning population

Indexed keywords

ECOLOGICAL MODELING; FLATFISH; HYDROGRAPHY; POPULATION SIZE; REPRODUCTIVE SUCCESS; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; SPAWNING; SURVIVORSHIP;

PLEURONECTES; PLEURONECTES PLATESSA;

EID: 76649131978     PISSN: 10543139     EISSN: 10959289     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsp238     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Akaike, H. 1974. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 19: 716-723.
2. Aldridge, J. N., and Davies, A. M. 1993. A high resolution threedimensional hydrodynamic tidal model of the eastern Irish Sea. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 23: 207-224.
3. Bellier, E., Monestiez, P., Durbec, J., and Candau, J. 2007. Identifying spatial relationships at multiple scales: principal coordinates of neighbour matrices (PCNM) and geostatistical approaches. Ecography, 30: 385-399.
4. Beyer, H. L. 2004. Hawth's Analysis Tools for ArcGIS. http://www .spatialecology.com/htools.
5. Blanchard, J. L., Mills, C., Jennings, S., Fox, C. J., Rackham, B. D., Eastwood, P. D., and O'Brien, C. M. 2005. Distribution- abundance relationships for North Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua): observation versus theory. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 62: 2001-2009.
6. Blanchet, F. G., Legendre, P., and Borcard, D. 2008. Forward selection of explanatory variables. Ecology, 89: 2623-2632.
7. Borcard, D., and Legendre, P. 2002. All-scale spatial analysis of ecological data by means of principal coordinates of neighbour matrices. Ecological Modelling, 153: 51-68.
8. Burnham, K. P., and Anderson, D. R. 2002. Model Selection and Multimodel Inference. A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach, 2nd edn. Springer, New York. 488 pp.
9. Corten, A. 2002. The role of "conservatism" in herring migrations. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries, 11: 339-361.
10. Cushing, D. H. 1990. Hydrographic containment of a spawning group of plaice in the Southern Bight of the North Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 58: 287-297.
11. Diniz-Filho, J. A. F., Rangel, T. F. L. V. B., and Bini, L. M. 2008. Model selection and information theory in geographical ecology. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17: 479-488.
12. Dray, S., Legendre, P., and Blanchet, G. 2009. packfor: Forward Selection with Permutation (Canoco p.46). R package version 0.0-7/r58. http://R-Forge.R-project.org/projects/sedar/.
13. Dray, S., Legendre, P., and Peres-Neto, P. R. 2006. Spatial modelling: a comprehensive framework for principal coordinate analysis of neighbour matrices (PCNM). Ecological Modelling, 196: 483-493.
14. ESRI. 2005. Environmental Systems Research Institute. ArcGis., version 9.1. Environmental Research Institute Inc., Redlands, CA.
15. Fisher, J. A. D., and Frank, K. T. 2004. Abundance-distribution relationships and conservation of exploited marine fishes. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 279: 201-213.
16. Fortin, M. J., and Dale, M. 2005. Spatial Analysis. A Guide for Ecologists. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. 365 pp.
17. Fretwell, S. D., and Lucas, H. L. 1970. On territorial behavior and other factors influencing habitat distribution in birds. Acta Biotheoritica, 19: 16-36.
18. Froese, R., and Pauly, D. 2009. FishBase. World Wide Web electronic publication. www.fishbase.org, version (01/2009).
19. Guisan, A., Edwards, T. C., and Hastie, T. 2002. Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene. Ecological Modelling, 157: 89-100.
20. Harding, D., Nichols, J. H., and Tungate, D. S. 1978. The spawning of plaice (Pleuronectes platessa) in the southern North Sea and English Channel. Rapports et Procès-Verbaux des Réunions du Conseil International pour l'Exploration de la Mer, 172: 102-113.
21. Hastie, T. 2006. gam: generalized additive models. R package version 0.98.
22. Hastie, T. J., and Tibshirani, R. J. 1990. Generalized Additive Models. Chapman and Hall, London. 335 pp.
23. Hilborn, R., and Mangel, M. 1997. The Ecological Detective. Confronting Models with Data. Monographs in Population Biology, 28. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ. 315 pp.
24. Hunter, E., Metcalfe, J. D., Arnold, G. P., and Reynolds, J. D. 2004. Impacts of migratory behaviour on population structure in North Sea plaice. Journal of Animal Ecology, 73: 377-385.
25. Hunter, E., Metcalfe, J. D., and Reynolds, J. D. 2003. Migration route and spawning area fidelity by North Sea plaice. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B: Biological Sciences, 270: 2097-2103.
26. Hutchinson, G. E. 1957. Concluding remarks. Cold Spring Harbor Symposium on Quantitative Biology, 22: 415-427.
27. ICES. 2003. Report of the Planning Group on North Sea Cod and Plaice Egg Surveys in the North Sea (PGEGGS), 24-26 June 2003, IJmuiden, the Netherlands. ICES Document CM 2003/G: 06 Ref. D. 45 pp.
28. ICES. 2004. Manual for the international bottom trawl surveys, rev. VII. International Bottom Trawl Survey Working Group, ICES, Copenhagen. 51 pp. http://www.ices.dk/datacentre/datras/ NSIBTSmanualRevVIIdraft.pdf.
29. ICES. 2005. Report of the Planning Group on North Sea Cod and Plaice Egg Surveys in the North Sea (PGEGGS), 10-12 May 2005, Lowestoft, UK. ICES Document CM 2005/G: 11. 85 pp.
30. ICES. 2007. Report of the International Bottom Trawl SurveyWorking Group (IBTSWG), 27-30 March 2007, Sète, France. ICES Document CM 2007/RMC: 05. 200 pp.
31. ICES. 2008. Report of the working group on the assessment of demersal stocks in the North Sea and Skagerrak-Combined Spring and Autumn (WGNSSK), 7-13 May 2008,Copenhagen, Denmark. ICES Document CM 2008/ACOM: 09. 921 pp.
32. Johnson, J. B., and Omland, K. S. 2004.Model selection in ecology and evolution. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 19: 101-108.
33. Koubbi, P., Duhamel, G., Harlay, X., Durand, I., and Park, Y. H. 2003. Distribution of larval Krefftichtys anderssoni (Myctophidae, Pisces) at the Kerguelen Archipelago (southern Indian Ocean) modelled using GIS and habitat suitability. In Antarctic Biology in a Global Context, pp. 215-223. Ed. by A. H. L. Huiskes, W. W. C. Giskes, J. Rozema, R. M. L. Schomo, S. M. van der Vies, and W. J. Wolf. Backhuys, Leiden.
34. Koubbi, P., Loots, C., Cotonnec, G., Harlay, W., Grioche, A., Vaz, S., Martin, C., et al. 2006. Spatial patterns and GIS habitat modelling of Solea solea, Pleuronectes flesus and Limanda limanda fish larvae in the eastern English Channel during the spring. Scientia Marina, 70(Suppl. 2): 147-157.
35. Legendre, P. 1993. Spatial autocorrelation: trouble or new paradigm? Ecology, 74: 1659-1673.
36. Lemon, J., Bolker, B., Oom, S., Klein, E., Rowlingson, B., Wickham, H., Tyagi, A., et al. 2008. plotrix: various plotting functions. R package version 2.5.
37. Loots, C., Koubbi, P., and Duhamel, G. 2007. Habitat modelling of Electrona antarctica (Myctophidae, Pisces) in Kerguelen by generalized additive models and geographic information systems. Polar Biology, 30: 951-959.
38. MacCall, A. D. 1990. Dynamic Geography of Marine Fish Populations. University of Washington Press, Seattle. 153 pp.
39. Marshall, C. T., and Frank, K. T. 1995. Density-dependent habitat selection by juvenile haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus) on the southwestern Scotian Shelf. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 52: 1007-1017.
40. McCullagh, P., and Nelder, J. A. 1989. Generalized Linear Models, Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability, 37, 2nd edn. Chapman and Hall, London. 511 pp.
41. McQuinn, I. H. 1997. Metapopulations and the Atlantic herring. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries, 7: 297-329.
42. Metcalfe, J. D. 2006. Fish population structuring in the North Sea: understanding processes and mechanisms from studies of the movements of adults. Journal of Fish Biology, 69: 48-65.
43. Petitgas, P., Reid, D., Planque, B., Nogueira, E., O'Hea, B., and Cotano, U. 2006. The entrainment hypothesis: an explanation for the persistence and innovation in spawning migration and life cycle patterns. ICES Document CM 2006/B: 07. 9 pp.
44. Planque, B., Bellier, E., and Lazure, P. 2007. Modelling potential spawning habitat of sardine (Sardina pilchardus) and anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) in the Bay of Biscay. Fisheries Oceanography, 16: 16-30.
45. R Development Core Team. 2008. R: a Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
46. Ribeiro, P. J., and Diggle, P. J. 2001. geoR: a package for geostatistical analysis. R-NEWS, 1: 15-18.
47. Rijnsdorp, A. D. 1989. Maturation of male and female North Sea plaice (Pleuronectes platessa L.). Journal du Conseil International pour l'Exploration de la Mer, 46: 35-51.
48. Rijnsdorp, A. D., and Millner, R. S. 1996. Trends in population dynamics and exploitation of North Sea plaice (Pleuronectes platessa L.) since the late 1800s. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 53: 1170-1184.
49. Rindorf, A., and Lewy, P. 2006. Warm, windy winters drive cod north and homing of spawners keeps them there. Journal of Applied Ecology, 43: 445-453.
50. Rosenzweig, M. L. 1991. Habitat selection and population interactions: the search for mechanism. American Naturalist, 137: S5-S28.
51. Schluẗer, M., and Jerosch, K. 2008. Digital atlas of the North Sea (DANS). Geo-information regarding geology, geochemistry, oceanography and biology. http://www.awi.de/en/research/ research-divisions/geosciences/marine- geochemistry/ marine-gis/digital-atlas-of-the-north-sea/.
52. Shepherd, T. D., and Litvak, M. 2004. Density-dependent habitat selection and the ideal free distribution in marine fish spatial dynamics: considerations and cautions. Fish and Fisheries, 5: 141-152.
53. Solmundsson, J., Palsson, J., and Karlsson, H. 2005. Fidelity of mature Icelandic plaice (Pleuronectes platessa) to spawning and feeding grounds. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 62: 189-200.
54. Stefánsson, G. 1996. Analysis of groundfish survey abundance data: combining the GLM and delta approaches. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 53: 577-588.
55. Stephens, P. A., Buskirk, S. W., and del Rio, C. M. 2007. Inference in ecology and evolution. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 22: 192-197.
56. Sutherland, W. J. 1983. Aggregation and the ideal free distribution. Journal of Animal Ecology, 52: 821-828.
57. Swain, D. P., and Morin, R. 1996. Relationships between geographic distribution and abundance of American plaice (Hippoglossoides platessoides) in the southern Gulf of St Lawrence. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 53: 106-119.
58. Taylor, K. E. 2001. Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram. Journal of Geophysical Research, 106: 7183-7192.
59. ter Braak, C. J. F., and Smilauer, P. 2002. CANOCO reference manual and CanoDraw for windows User's guide: software for canonical community ordination (version 4.5). Microcomputer Power, Ithaca, New York. 500 pp.
60. Vaz, S., Martin, C. S., Eastwood, P. D., Ernande, B., Carpentier, A., Meaden, G. J., and Coppin, F. 2008. Modelling species distributions using regression quantiles. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45: 204-217.
61. Venables, W. N., and Ripley, D. B. 2002. Modern Applied Statistics with S, 4th edn. Springer, New York. 495 pp.
62. Webster, R., and Oliver, M. A. 2001. Geostatistics for Environmental Scientists. Statistics in Practice.Wiley, Chichester, England. 271 pp.