Probability forecasts for water levels at the coast of the Netherlands

Marine Geodesy

Volumn 32, Issue 2, 2009, Pages 100-107

  de Vries, Hans ^a  

^a ROYAL NETHERLANDS METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE KNMI   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Brier score; Calibration; Dutch continental shelf model; ECMWF EPS; Ensemble; Probability forecast; Rank histogram

Indexed keywords

CALIBRATION; COASTAL ZONE; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; EXPERIMENTAL STUDY; FORECASTING METHOD; HISTOGRAM; INTERNET; OPTIMIZATION; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; PROBABILITY; REAL TIME; STORM SURGE; WATER LEVEL; WEATHER FORECASTING; WIND VELOCITY;

NETHERLANDS;

EID: 74849140353     PISSN: 01490419     EISSN: 1521060X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/01490410902869185     Document Type: Article

References (6)

1. Gerritsen, Herman, Hans de Vries, and Marc Philippart. 1995. The Dutch Continental Shelf Model. In Quantitative skill assessment for coastal ocean models, Coastal Estuarine Studies, Vol. 47, eds. D.R. Lynch and C.N.K. Mooers, 425-468. Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union.
2. KNMI Internet. Sea level probability forecasts. http://www.knmi.nl/jwdv/WAQUA/EPS.
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4. Saetra, Øyvind, and Jean-Raymond Bidlot. 2004. Potential benefits of using probabilistic forecasts for waves and marine winds based on the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Weather and Forecasting 19: 673-689.
5. Wilks, Daniel S. 2006. Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences second ed., International Geophysics Series, vol. 91. London: Academic Press.
6. Woth, Katja, Ralf Weisse, and Hans von Storch. 2006. Climate change and North Sea storm surge extremes: an ensemble study of storm surge extremes expected in a changed climate projected by four different regional climate models. Ocean Dynamics 56: 3-15.