Inventory management and the bullwhip effect during the 2007-2009 recession: Evidence from the manufacturing sector

Journal of Supply Chain Management

Volumn 46, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 12-18

  Dooley, Kevin J ^a   Yan, Tingting ^a   Mohan, Srimathy ^a   Gopalakrishnan, Mohan ^a  

^a ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Bullwhip effect; Consumer behavior; Demand variation; Economic crisis; Inventory management; Manufacturer; Manufacturing sector; Recession; Retailer; Sales; Supply chain management; Wholesaler

Indexed keywords

EID: 72449196971     PISSN: 15232409     EISSN: 1745493X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1745-493X.2009.03183.x     Document Type: Note

References (29)

1. Company Bankruptcy Filings Surged in 2008 2009, Associated Press., New York, Associated Press
2. Burbidge JL. The New Approach to Production. Production Engineer 1961, 40:769-784. pp
3. Burbidge J L. " Automated Production Control with a Simulation Capability," , Copenhagen, 1984, pp. 1-14
4. 2007, http://www.bea.gov/national/pdf/nipa_primer.pdf, Bureau of Economic Affairs., Measuring the Economy: A Primer on GDP and the National Income and Product Accounts. Available at, (accessed August 23, 2009)
5. 2008, http://www.bea.gov/national/pdf/NIPAhandbookch1-4.pdf, Bureau of Economic Affairs., Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts. Available at, (accessed August 23, 2009)
6. 2009a, http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/gdpnewsrelease.htm, Bureau of Economic Affairs., National Income and Product Accounts: Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2009. Available at, (accessed August 23, 2009)
7. 2009b, http://www.bea.gov/national/nipaweb/nipa_underlying/SelectTable.asp, Bureau of Economic Affairs., National Economic Accounts: Table 1BU (Real Manufacturing and Trade Inventories, Seasonally Adjusted, End of Period). Available at, accessed August 1, 2009
8. 2009c, http://www.bea.gov/national/nipaweb/nipa_underlying/SelectTable.asp, Bureau of Economic Affairs., National Economic Accounts: Table 2BU (Real Manufacturing and Trade Sales, Seasonally Adjusted at Monthly Rate). Available at, accessed August 1, 2009
9. Cachon GP. Managing Supply Chain Demand Variability with Scheduled Ordering Policies. Management Science 1999, 45:843-856. pp
10. Chen F, Drezner Z, Ryan JK, Simchi-Levi D. Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times and Information. Management Science 2000, 46:436-443. pp
11. Croson R, Donohue K. Behavioral Causes of the Bullwhip Effect and the Observed Value of Inventory Information. Management Science 2006, 48(1):1-14. pp
12. Dejonckheere J, Disney SM, Lambrecht MR, Towill DR. Measuring and Avoiding the Bullwhip Effect: A Control Theoretic Approach. European Journal of Operations Research 2003, 147:567-590. pp
13. Disney SM, Towill DR. The Effect of Vendor Managed Inventory Dynamics on the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains. International Journal of Production Economics 2003, 85:199-215. pp
14. Dvorak P. " Clarity Is Missing Link in Supply Chain," , May 18, 2009
15. Forrester JW. Industrial Dynamics 1961, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
16. Hinkley D. Inference About the Change-Point from Cumulative Sum Tests. Biometrika 1971, 58(3):509-523. pp
17. Hinkley D, Schechtman E. Conditional Bootstrap Methods in the Mean-Shift Model. Biometrika 1987, 74(1):85-93. pp
18. Lee HL, Ku CS, Tang CS. The Value of Information Sharing in a Two-level Supply Chain. Management Science 2000, 46:626-643. pp
19. Lee HL, Padmanabhan V, Whang S. Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect. Management Science 1997, 43(4):546-558. pp
20. Metters R. Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains. Journal of Operations Management 1997, 15(2):89-100. pp
21. Miragliotta G. Layers and Mechanisms: A New Taxonomy for the Bullwhip Effect. International Journal of Production Economics 2006, 104(2):365-381. pp
22. 2008, http://www.nber.org/cycles/dec2008.html, National Bureau of Economic Research., Determination of the December 2007 Peak in Economic Activity. Available at, accessed August 23, 2009
23. Pereira J, Takahashi K, Ahumada L, Paredes F. Flexibility Dimensions to Control the Bullwhip-Effect in a Supply Chain. International Journal of Production Research 2009, 47(2):6357-6374. pp
24. Sterman JD. Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperception of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment. Management Science 1989, 35:321-339. pp
25. Taylor DH. Measurement and Analysis of Demand Amplification across the Supply Chain. International Journal of Logistics Management 1999, 10:55-70. pp
26. Taylor W. Change-Point Analyzer 2.0 Shareware Program 2000, http://www.variation.com/cpa, Taylor Enterprises, Libertyville, IL, Available at
27. Thompson J. Organizations in Action 1967, McGraw-Hill, New York
28. Warburton RD. An Analytical Investigation of the Bullwhip Effect. Production and Operations Management 2004, 13:150-160. pp
29. Wright D, Yuan X. Mitigating the Bullwhip Effect by Ordering Policies and Forecasting Methods. International Journal of Production Economics 2008, 113:587-597. pp