Assessing the impact of climate change on water resources in Iran

Water Resources Research

Volumn 45, Issue 10, 2009, Pages

  Abbaspour, Karim C ^a   Faramarzi, Monireh ^a   Ghasemi, Samaneh Seyed ^a   Yang, Hong ^a  

^a SWISS FEDERAL INSTITUTE OF AQUATIC SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BLUE WATER; CLIMATE SCENARIOS; CLIMATE STATIONS; DAILY RAINFALL; DRY REGION; FUTURE CLIMATE; GLOBAL COUPLED MODEL; GREEN WATER; HYDROLOGIC MODELS; RIVER DISCHARGE; SOIL AND WATER ASSESSMENT TOOL; SUBBASINS; WATER CYCLE; WET REGION; WHEAT YIELD;

DROUGHT; GEOLOGIC MODELS; HYDRAULIC MODELS; RAIN; WATER ANALYSIS; WATER RESOURCES;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CALIBRATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CROP YIELD; FLOODING; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; RIVER DISCHARGE; STRATEGIC APPROACH; WATER DEMAND; WATER LEVEL; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER RESOURCE; WHEAT;

IRAN;

TRITICUM AESTIVUM;

EID: 72149099060     PISSN: 00431397     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2008WR007615     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Abbaspour, K. C. (2007), User manual for SWAT-CUP, SWAT calibration and uncertainty analysis programs, 93 pp., Eawag: Swiss Fed. Inst. Of Aquat. Sci. and Technol., Dübendorf, Switzerland. (Available at http://www.eawag.ch/ organisation/abteilungen/siam/software/swat/index-EN)
2. Abbaspour, K. C., J. Yang, I. Maximov, R. Siber, K. Bogner, J. Mieleitner, J. Zobrist, and R. Srinivasan (2007), Modelling hydrology and water quality in the pre-alpine/alpine Thur watershed using SWAT, J. Hydrol., 333, 413-430, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.09.014. (Pubitemid 46053969)
3. Ardakanian, R. (2005), Overview of water management in Iran, in Water Conservation, Reuse, and Recycling: Proceedings of an Iranian-American Workshop, pp. 18-33, Natl. Acad. Press, Washington, D. C.
4. Arnell, N. W., M. J. L. Livermore, S. Kovats, P. E. Levy, R. Nicholls, M. L. Parry, and S. R. Gaffin (2004), Climate and socio-economic scenarios for global-scale climate change impacts assessments: Characterising the SRES storylines, Global Environ. Change, 14, 3-20, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10. 004. (Pubitemid 38215124)
5. Arnold, J. G., R. Srinivasan, R. S. Muttiah, and J. R. Williams (1998), Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment: Part 1. Model development, J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 34(1), 73-89, doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.1998.tb05961.x. (Pubitemid 28190080)
6. Caballero, Y., S. Voirin-Morel, F. Habets, J. Noilhan, P. LeMoigne, A. Lehenaff, and A. Boone (2007), Hydrological sensitivity of the Adour-Garonne river basin to climate change, Water Resour. Res., 43, W07448, doi:10.1029/2005WR004192. (Pubitemid 350194497)
7. Calanca, P., A. Roesch, K. Jasper, and M.Wild (2006), Global warming and the summertime evapotranspiration regime of the Alpine region, Clim. Change, 79(1-2), 65-78, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9103-9. (Pubitemid 44836042)
8. Cuo, L., D. P. Lettenmaier, M. Alberti, and J. E. Richey (2009), Effects of a century of land cover and climate change on the hydrology of the Puget Sound basin, Hydrol. Processes, 23(6), 907-933, doi:10.1002/hyp.7228.
9. Diaz-Nieto, J., and R. L. Wilby (2005), A comparison of statistical downscaling and climate change factor methods: Impacts on low flows in the river Thames, United Kingdom, Clim. Change, 69, 245-268, doi:10.1007/s10584-005-1157- 6. (Pubitemid 40670035)
10. Eckhardt, K., and U. Ulbrich (2003), Potential impacts of climate change on groundwater recharge and streamflow in a central European low mountain range, J. Hydrol., 284, 244-252.
11. Falkenmark, M., and J. Rockstrom (2006), The new blue and green water paradigm: Breaking new ground for water resources planning and management, J. Water Res. Plann. Manage., 132(3), 129-132.
12. Falkenmark, M., J. Lundquist, and C. Widstrand (1989), Macro-scale water scarcity requires micro-scale approaches: Aspects of vulnerability in semi-arid development, Nat. Resour. Forum, 13(4), 258-267.
13. Faramarzi, M., K. C. Abbaspour, R. Schulin, and H. Yang (2009), Modelling blue and green water resources availability in Iran, Hydrol. Processes, 23(3), 486-501, doi:10.1002/hyp.7160.
14. Foltz, R. C. (2002), Iran's water crisis: Cultural, political, and ethical dimensions, J. Agric. Environ. Ethics, 15, 357-380, doi:10.1023/A: 1021268621490. (Pubitemid 36036672)
15. Fontaine, T. A., J. F. Klassen, T. S. Cruickshank, and R. H. Hotchkiss (2001), Hydrological response to climate change in the Black Hills of South Dakota, USA, Hydrol. Sci. J., 46, 27-40.
16. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (1995), The digital soil map of the world and derived soil properties, version 3.5 [CD-ROM], Rome.
17. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (2005), Statistical database, Rome. (Available at http://faostat.fao.org/)
18. Fu, G., S. P. Charles, N. R. Viney, S. L. Chen, and J. Q. Wu (2007), Impacts of climate variability on stream-flow in Yellow River, Hydrol. Processes, 21(25), 3431-3439, doi:10.1002/hyp.6574. (Pubitemid 350268792)
19. Gosain, A. K., S. Rao, and D. Basuray (2006), Climate change impact assessment on hydrology of Indian river basins, Curr. Sci., 90, 346-353.
20. Hargreaves, G., and Z. A. Samani (1985), Reference crop evapotranspiration from temperature, Appl. Eng. Agric., 1, 96-99.
21. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2007), Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability-Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by M. L. Parry et al., Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
22. Jyrkama, M. I., and J. F. Sykes (2007), The impact of climate change on spatially varying groundwater recharge in the Grand River watershed (Ontario), J. Hydrol., 338(3 - 4), 237-250, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol. 2007.02.036. (Pubitemid 46693811)
23. Keshavarz, A., S. Ashrafi, N. Hydari, M. Pouran, and E. Farzaneh (2005), Water allocation and pricing in agriculture of Iran, in Water Conservation, Reuse, and Recycling: Proceedings of an Iranian-American Workshop, pp. 153 - 172, Natl. Acad. Press, Washington, D. C.
24. Krause, P., D. P. Boyle, and F. B̈se (2005), Comparison of different efficiency criteria for hydrological model assessment, Adv. Geosci., 5, 89-97.
25. Leff, B., N. Ramankutty, and J. A. Foley (2004), Geographic distribution of major crops across the word, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 18, GB1009, doi:10.1029/2003GB002108.
26. Motagh, M., T. R. Walter, M. A. Sharifi, E. Fielding, and A. J. Schenk (2008), Land subsidence in Iran caused by widespread water reservoir overexploitation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L16403, doi:10.1029/2008GL033814.
27. Neitsch, S. L., J. G. Arnold, J. R. Kiniry, J. R. Williams, and K. W. King (2002), Soil and Water Assessment Tool theoretical documentation version 2000, Rep. TR-191, 458 pp., Tex. Water Resour. Inst., College Station.
28. Nunes, J. P., J. Seixas, J. J. Keizer, and A. J. D. Ferreira (2009), Sensitivity of runoff and soil erosion to climate change in two Mediterranean watersheds: Part I. Model parameterization and evaluation, Hydrol. Processes, 23(8), 1202-1211, doi:10.1002/hyp.7247.
29. Olivera, F., M. Valenzuela, R. Srinivasan, J. Choi, H. D. Cho, S. Koka, and A. Agrawal (2006), ArcGIS-SWAT: A geodata model and GIS interface for SWAT, J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 42(2), 295-309, doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2006. tb03839.x. (Pubitemid 44858780)
30. Rijsberman, F. R. (2006), Water scarcity: Fact or fiction?, Agric. Water Manage., 80, 5-22, doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2005.07.001. (Pubitemid 43163182)
31. Ritchie, J. T. (1972), A model for predicting evaporation from a row crop with incomplete cover, Water Resour. Res., 8, 1204-1213, doi:10.1029/ WR008i005p01204.
32. Rostamian, R., A. Jaleh, M. Afyuni, S. F. Mousavi, M. Heidarpour, A. Jalalian, and K. C. Abbaspour (2008), Application of SWAT model for estimating runoff and sediment in a mountainous watershed in central Iran, Hydrol. Sci. J., 53, 977-988, doi:10.1623/hysj.53.5.977.
33. Schuol, J., K. C. Abbaspour, R. Sarinivasan, and H. Yang (2008a), Estimation of freshwater availability in the West African sub-continent using the SWAT hydrologic model, J. Hydrol., 352, 30-49, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol. 2007.12.025.
34. Schuol, J., K. C. Abbaspour, R. Srinivasan, and H. Yang (2008b), Modelling blue and green water availability in Africa at monthly intervals and subbasin level, Water Resour. Res., 44, W07406, doi:10.1029/2007WR006609.
35. Scibek, J., and D. M. Allen (2006), Modeled impacts of predicted climate change on recharge and groundwater levels, Water Resour. Res., 42, W11405, doi:10.1029/2005WR004742. (Pubitemid 46137810)
36. Serrat-Capdevila, A., J. B. Valdes, J. G. Perez, K. Baird, L. J. Mata, and T. Madock III (2007),Modeling climate change impacts-and uncertainty-on the hydrology of a riparian system: The San Pedro Basin (Arizona/Sonora), J. Hydrol., 347(1 - 2), 48-66, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.08.028. (Pubitemid 350054883)
37. Stonefelt, M. D., T. A. Fontaine, and R. H. Hotchkiss (2000), Impacts of climate change on water yield in the Upper Wind River Basin, J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 36, 321-336, doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2000.tb04271.x.
38. Thomas, D. S. G., C. Twyman, and H. Osbahr (2007), Adaptation to climate change and variability: Farmer responses to intra-seasonal precipitation trends in South Africa, Clim. Change, 83(3), 301-322, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9205-4. (Pubitemid 47029944)
39. Tizro, A. T., and K. S. Voudouris (2008), Groundwater quality in semi-arid region of the Chahardouly Basin, West Iran, Hydrol. Processes, 22(16), 3066-3078, doi:10.1002/hyp.6893.
40. Wilby, R. L., and I. Harris (2006), A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: Low-flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK, Water Resour. Res., 42, W02419, doi:10.1029/2005WR004065.
41. Wilby, R. L., H. Hassan, and K. Hanaki (1998), Statistical downscaling of hydro-meteorological variables using general circulation model output, J. Hydrol., 205(1-2), 1-19, doi:10.1016/S0022-1694(97)00130-3. (Pubitemid 28190164)
42. Williams, J. R., C. A. Jones, and P. T. Dyke (1984), A modeling approach to determining the relationship between erosion and soil productivity, Trans. ASAE, 27(1), 129-144.
43. Xiong, K. G., J. Yang, S. Q. Wan, G. L. Feng, and J. G. Hu (2009), Monte Carlo simulation of the record-breaking high temperature events of climate change, Acta Phys. Sinica, 58(4), 2843-2852.
44. Yang, H., P. Reichert, K. C. Abbaspour, and A. J. B. Zehnder (2003), A water resources threshold and its implications for food security, Environ. Sci. Technol., 37(14), 3048-3054, doi:10.1021/es0263689. (Pubitemid 36875263)
45. Yang, J., P. Reichert, K. C. Abbaspour, and H. Yang (2008), Comparing uncertainty analysis techniques for a SWAT application to Chaohe Basin in China, J. Hydrol., 358, 1-23, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.05.012.