메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 27, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 1-19

Chronic disease projections in heterogeneous ageing populations: Approximating multi-state models of joint distributions by modelling marginal distributions

Author keywords

Chronic disease; Competing risks; Heterogeneity; Life table; Markov model; Multi state model; Risk factors

Indexed keywords

DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS; DISEASES; POPULATION STATISTICS; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK PERCEPTION;

EID: 72049133564     PISSN: 14778599     EISSN: 14778602     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/imammb/dqp014     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (47)

References (33)
  • 1
    • 3042833608 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time trends of lung cancer incidence by histologic types and smoking prevalence in Hong Kong 1983-2000
    • AU, J. S., MANG, O. W., FOO, W. & LAW, S. C. (2004) Time trends of lung cancer incidence by histologic types and smoking prevalence in Hong Kong 1983-2000. Lung Cancer, 45, 143-152.
    • (2004) Lung Cancer , vol.45 , pp. 143-152
    • Au, J.S.1    Mang, O.W.2    Foo, W.3    Law, S.C.4
  • 4
    • 2342655334 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A generic model for the assessment of disease epidemiology: the computational basis of DisMod II
    • BARENDREGT, J. J., VAN OORTMARSSEN, G. J., VOS, T. & MURRAY, C. J. (2003) A generic model for the assessment of disease epidemiology: the computational basis of DisMod II. Popul. Health Metr., 1, 4.
    • (2003) Popul. Health Metr. , vol.1 , pp. 4
    • Barendregt, J.J.1    Van Oortmarssen, G.J.2    Vos, T.3    Murray, C.J.4
  • 7
    • 0033949927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental risk factors (outdoor air pollution and climatic changes) and increased trend of respiratory allergy
    • D'AMATO, G., LICCARDI, G. & D'AMATO, M. (2000) Environmental risk factors (outdoor air pollution and climatic changes) and increased trend of respiratory allergy. J. Investig. Allergol. Clin. Immunol., 10, 123-128.
    • (2000) J. Investig. Allergol. Clin. Immunol. , vol.10 , pp. 123-128
    • D'amato G1    Liccardi, G.2    D'amato, M.3
  • 9
    • 0035881181 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of aging and smoking on the future burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a model analysis in the Netherlands
    • FEENSTRA, T. L., VAN GENUGTEN, M. L., HOOGENVEEN, R. T., WOUTERS, E. F. & RUTTEN-VAN MOLKEN, M. P. (2001) The impact of aging and smoking on the future burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a model analysis in the Netherlands. Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., 164, 590-596.
    • (2001) Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med. , vol.164 , pp. 590-596
    • Feenstra, T.L.1    Van Genugten, M.L.2    Hoogenveen, R.T.3    Wouters, E.F.4    Rutten-Van Molken, M.P.5
  • 10
    • 33746460698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic analysis and computationally expensive models: necessary and required?
    • GRIFFIN, S., CLAXTON, K., HAWKINS, N. & SCULPHER, M. (2006) Probabilistic analysis and computationally expensive models: necessary and required? Value Health, 9, 244-252.
    • (2006) Value Health , vol.9 , pp. 244-252
    • Griffin, S.1    Claxton, K.2    Hawkins, N.3    Sculpher, M.4
  • 11
    • 0024706614 scopus 로고
    • The health benefits of prevention: a simulation approach
    • GUNNING-SCHEPERS, L. (1989) The health benefits of prevention: a simulation approach. Health Policy, 12, 1-255.
    • (1989) Health Policy , vol.12 , pp. 1-255
    • Gunning-Schepers, L.1
  • 12
    • 41049097488 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic effects of smoking cessation on disease incidence, mortality and quality of life: the role of time since cessation
    • HOOGENVEEN, R. T., VAN BAAL, P. H., BOSHUIZEN, H. C. & FEENSTRA, T. L. (2008) Dynamic effects of smoking cessation on disease incidence, mortality and quality of life: the role of time since cessation. Cost Eff. Resour. Alloc., 6, 1.
    • (2008) Cost Eff. Resour. Alloc. , vol.6 , pp. 1
    • Hoogenveen, R.T.1    Van Baal, P.H.2    Boshuizen, H.C.3    Feenstra, T.L.4
  • 13
    • 0033193308 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-state models: a review
    • HOUGAARD, P. (1999) Multi-state models: a review. Lifetime Data Anal., 5, 239-264.
    • (1999) Lifetime Data Anal. , vol.5 , pp. 239-264
    • Hougaard, P.1
  • 14
    • 33845971268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lifestyle interventions are cost-effective in people with different levels of diabetes risk: results from a modeling study
    • JACOBS-VAN DER BRUGGEN, M. A., BOS, G., BEMELMANS, W. J., HOOGENVEEN, R. T., VIJGEN, S. M. & BAAN, C. A. (2007) Lifestyle interventions are cost-effective in people with different levels of diabetes risk: results from a modeling study. Diabetes Care, 30, 128-134.
    • (2007) Diabetes Care , vol.30 , pp. 128-134
    • Jacobs-Van Der Bruggen, M.A.1    Bos, G.2    Bemelmans, W.J.3    Hoogenveen, R.T.4    Vijgen, S.M.5    Baan, C.A.6
  • 15
    • 34447325370 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing primary prevention with secondary prevention to explain decreasing coronary heart disease death rates in Ireland, 1985-2000
    • KABIR, Z., BENNETT, K., SHELLEY, E., UNAL, B., CRITCHLEY, J. A. & CAPEWELL, S. (2007) Comparing primary prevention with secondary prevention to explain decreasing coronary heart disease death rates in Ireland, 1985-2000. BMC Public Health, 7, 117.
    • (2007) BMC Public Health , vol.7 , pp. 117
    • Kabir, Z.1    Bennett, K.2    Shelley, E.3    Unal, B.4    Critchley, J.A.5    Capewell, S.6
  • 16
    • 0032920629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Markov chain model to assess the efficacy of screening for non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM)
    • KUO, H. S., CHANG, H. J., CHOU, P., TENG, L. & CHEN, T. H. (1999) A Markov chain model to assess the efficacy of screening for non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM). Int. J. Epidemiol., 28, 233-240.
    • (1999) Int. J. Epidemiol. , vol.28 , pp. 233-240
    • Kuo, H.S.1    Chang, H.J.2    Chou, P.3    Teng, L.4    Chen, T.H.5
  • 19
    • 1942476930 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling future mortality reduction through smoking cessation in the European Union
    • MULDER, I., HOOGENVEEN, R. T., SMIT, H. A. & BUENO DE MESQUITA, H. B. (2004) Modelling future mortality reduction through smoking cessation in the European Union. Eur. J. Public Health, 14, 79-85.
    • (2004) Eur. J. Public Health , vol.14 , pp. 79-85
    • Mulder, I.1    Hoogenveen, R.T.2    Smit, H.A.3    Bueno De Mesquita, H.B.4
  • 20
    • 0038108186 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparative quantification of health risks conceptual framework and methodological issues
    • MURRAY, C. J., EZZATI, M., LOPEZ, A. D., RODGERS, A. & VANDER HOORN, S. (2003) Comparative quantification of health risks conceptual framework and methodological issues. Popul. Health Metr., 1, 1.
    • (2003) Popul. Health Metr. , vol.1 , pp. 1
    • Murray, C.J.1    Ezzati, M.2    Lopez, A.D.3    Rodgers, A.4    Vander Hoorn, S.5
  • 21
    • 0033837240 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A critical examination of summary measures of population health
    • MURRAY, C. J., SALOMON, J. A. & MATHERS, C. (2000) A critical examination of summary measures of population health. Bull. World Health Organ., 78, 981-994.
    • (2000) Bull. World Health Organ. , vol.78 , pp. 981-994
    • Murray, C.J.1    Salomon, J.A.2    Mathers, C.3
  • 22
    • 14344257828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic Markov model to assess the cost-effectiveness of bronchodilator therapy in COPD patients in different countries
    • OOSTENBRINK, J. B., RUTTEN-VAN MOLKEN, M. P., MONZ, B. U. & FITZGERALD, J. M. (2005) Probabilistic Markov model to assess the cost-effectiveness of bronchodilator therapy in COPD patients in different countries. Value Health, 8, 32-46.
    • (2005) Value Health , vol.8 , pp. 32-46
    • Oostenbrink, J.B.1    Rutten-Van Molken, M.P.2    Monz, B.U.3    Fitzgerald, J.M.4
  • 24
    • 0034954052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of multistate life-table models for improving population health
    • ROBERTS, M. G. & TOBIAS, M. I. (2001) The use of multistate life-table models for improving population health. IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol., 18, 119-130.
    • (2001) IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol. , vol.18 , pp. 119-130
    • Roberts, M.G.1    Tobias, M.I.2
  • 25
    • 33846867729 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic evaluation of weight loss interventions in overweight and obese women
    • ROUX, L., KUNTZ, K. M., DONALDSON, C. & GOLDIE, S. J. (2006) Economic evaluation of weight loss interventions in overweight and obese women. Obesity (Silver Spring), 14, 1093-1106.
    • (2006) Obesity (Silver Spring) , vol.14 , pp. 1093-1106
    • Roux, L.1    Kuntz, K.M.2    Donaldson, C.3    Goldie, S.J.4
  • 26
    • 50649106857 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Health impact assessments in the European Union
    • SALAY, R. & LINCOLN, P. (2008) Health impact assessments in the European Union. Lancet, 372, 860-861.
    • (2008) Lancet , vol.372 , pp. 860-861
    • Salay, R.1    Lincoln, P.2
  • 27
    • 33747121608 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An overview of methods for calculating the burden of disease due to specific risk factors
    • STEENLAND, K. & ARMSTRONG, B. (2006) An overview of methods for calculating the burden of disease due to specific risk factors. Epidemiology, 17, 512-519.
    • (2006) Epidemiology , vol.17 , pp. 512-519
    • Steenland, K.1    Armstrong, B.2
  • 28
    • 23244460431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the future burden of stroke in The Netherlands: impact of aging, smoking, and hypertension
    • STRUIJS, J. N., VAN GENUGTEN, M. L., EVERS, S. M., AMENT, A. J., BAAN, C. A. & VAN DEN BOS, G. A. (2005) Modeling the future burden of stroke in The Netherlands: impact of aging, smoking, and hypertension. Stroke, 36, 1648-1655.
    • (2005) Stroke , vol.36 , pp. 1648-1655
    • Struijs, J.N.1    Van Genugten, M.L.2    Evers, S.M.3    Ament, A.J.4    Baan, C.A.5    Van Den Bos, G.A.6
  • 29
    • 0035010791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling physical activity: a multi-state life-table approach
    • TOBIAS, M. I. & ROBERTS, M. G. (2001) Modelling physical activity: a multi-state life-table approach. Aust. N. Z. J. Public Health, 25, 141-148.
    • (2001) Aust. N. Z. J. Public Health , vol.25 , pp. 141-148
    • Tobias, M.I.1    Roberts, M.G.2
  • 30
    • 33751214214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating health-adjusted life expectancy conditional on risk factors: results for smoking and obesity
    • VAN BAAL, P. H., HOOGENVEEN, R. T., DE WIT, G. A. & BOSHUIZEN, H. C. (2006) Estimating health-adjusted life expectancy conditional on risk factors: results for smoking and obesity. Popul. Health Metr., 4, 14.
    • (2006) Popul. Health Metr. , vol.4 , pp. 14
    • Van Baal, P.H.1    Hoogenveen, R.T.2    De Wit, G.A.3    Boshuizen, H.C.4
  • 32
    • 0028579718 scopus 로고
    • POHEM-a framework for understanding and modelling the health of human populations
    • WOLFSON, M. C. (1994) POHEM-a framework for understanding and modelling the health of human populations. World Health Stat. Q., 47, 157-176.
    • (1994) World Health Stat. Q. , vol.47 , pp. 157-176
    • Wolfson, M.C.1
  • 33
    • 0027053029 scopus 로고
    • An overview of methods for the analysis of longitudinal data
    • ZEGER, S. L. & LIANG, K. Y. (1992) An overview of methods for the analysis of longitudinal data. Stat. Med., 11, 1825-1839.
    • (1992) Stat. Med. , vol.11 , pp. 1825-1839
    • Zeger, S.L.1    Liang, K.Y.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.