How to assess risks of valve surgery: Quality, implementation and future of risk models

Heart

Volumn 95, Issue 23, 2009, Pages 1958-1963

  Van Gameren, Menno ^a   Piazza, Nicolo ^a   Bogers, Ad J J C ^a   Takkenberg, Johanna J M ^a   Kappetein, A Pieter ^a  

^a ERASMUS MEDICAL CENTER   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CORONARY ARTERY BYPASS SURGERY; HEART VALVE SURGERY; HUMAN; PRIORITY JOURNAL; REVIEW; STATISTICAL MODEL; SURGICAL MORTALITY; SURGICAL RISK;

CARDIAC SURGICAL PROCEDURES; ENDPOINT DETERMINATION; HEART VALVE DISEASES; HUMANS; REPRODUCIBILITY OF RESULTS; RESEARCH DESIGN; RISK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 72049104772     PISSN: 13556037     EISSN: 1468201X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1136/hrt.2007.136259     Document Type: Review

References (23)

1. Nilsson J, Algotsson L, Hoglund P, et al. Comparison of 19 preoperative risk stratification models in open-heart surgery. Eur Heart J 2006;27:867-874 ▶ An excellent review on the various risk models in cardiac surgery. Describes which variables are used in which models.
2. Parsonnet V, Dean D, Bernstein AD. A method of uniform stratification of risk for evaluating the results of surgery in acquired adult heart disease. Circulation 1989;79:I3-12. ▶ One of the first articles describing the use of a score to evaluate risk in cardiac surgery. (Pubitemid 19153988)
3. Nashef SA, Roques F, Michel P, et al. European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE). Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 1999;16:9-13. ▶ Original article describing the EuroSCORE. (Pubitemid 29336425)
4. Ambler G, Omar RZ, Royston P, et al. Generic, simple risk stratification model for heart valve surgery. Circulation 2005;112:224-231 (Pubitemid 40982305)
5. Edwards FH, Peterson ED, Coombs LP, et al. Prediction of operative mortality after valve replacement surgery. J Am Coll Cardiol 2001;37:885-892 (Pubitemid 32202459)
6. Gardner SC, Grunwald GK, Rumsfeld JS, et al. Comparison of short-term mortality risk factors for valve replacement versus coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Ann Thorac Surg 2004;77:549-556 (Pubitemid 38186509)
7. Hannan EL, Wu C, Bennett EV, et al. Risk index for predicting in-hospital mortality for cardiac valve surgery. Ann Thorac Surg 2007;83:921-929 (Pubitemid 46328805)
8. Jin R, Grunkemeier GL, Starr A. Validation and refinement of mortality risk models for heart valve surgery. Ann Thorac Surg 2005;80:471-479 (Pubitemid 41019464)
9. Nowicki ER, Birkmeyer NJ, Weintraub RW, et al. Multivariable prediction of in-hospital mortality associated with aortic and mitral valve surgery in Northern New England. Ann Thorac Surg 2004;77:1966-1977
10. Rankin JS, Hammill BG, Ferguson TB Jr, et al. Determinants of operative mortality in valvular heart surgery. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2006;131:547-557 (Pubitemid 43312879)
11. Florath I, Rosendahl UP, Mortasawi A, et al. Current determinants of operative mortality in 1400 patients requiring aortic valve replacement. Ann Thorac Surg 2003;76:75-83. (Pubitemid 36819720)
12. Kuduvalli M, Grayson AD, Au J, et al. A multi-centre additive and logistic risk model for in-hospital mortality following aortic valve replacement. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2007;31:607-613 (Pubitemid 46400490)
13. Altman DG, Royston P. What do we mean by validating a prognostic model? Stat Med 2000;19:453-473 ▶ Article describing what is meant by validation of a risk model.
14. Vittinghoff E, McCulloch CE. Relaxing the rule of ten events per variable in logistic and Cox regression. Am J Epidemiol 2007;165:710-718 (Pubitemid 46348374)
15. Akins CW, Miller DC, Turina MI, et al. Guidelines for reporting mortality and morbidity after cardiac valve interventions. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2008;135:732-738 ▶ Guidelines on how to report the outcome after surgical valve implantation.
16. Nashef SA, Roques F, Hammill BG, et al. Validation of European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) in North American cardiac surgery. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2002;22:101-105 (Pubitemid 34743720)
17. Tjang YS, van Hees Y, Korfer R, et al. Predictors of mortality after aortic valve replacement. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2007;32:469-474 (Pubitemid 47223739)
18. van Gameren M, Kappetein AP, Steyerberg EW, et al. Do we need separate risk stratification models for hospital mortality after heart valve surgery? Ann Thorac Surg 2008;85:921-930 ▶ Study indicating the need for risk models for heart valve surgery and heart valve surgery combined with coronary surgery.
19. Charlson ME, Pompei P, Ales KL, et al. A new method of classifying prognostic comorbidity in longitudinal studies: development and validation. J Chronic Dis 1987;40:373-383 (Pubitemid 17055592)
20. Lee SJ, Lindquist K, Segal MR, et al. Development and validation of a prognostic index for 4-year mortality in older adults. JAMA 2006;295:801-8. ▶ Description of a "frailty" score to predict mortality in elderly people.
21. de Craen AJ, Westendorp RG. Prognostic index for 4-year mortality in older adults. JAMA 2006;296:648; author reply 648-649
22. Toumpoulis IK, Anagnostopoulos CE, Toumpoulis SK, et al. EuroSCORE predicts long-term mortality after heart valve surgery. Ann Thorac Surg 2005;79:1902-1908 (Pubitemid 40804160)
23. Society of Thoracic Surgeons. STS Online Calculator. http://www.sts.org/ sections/stsnationaldatabase/riskcalculator/ (accessed 24 December 2008). ▶ Link to the web based STS risk calculator.