A model-based assessment of the impacts of climate variability on fusarium head blight seasonal risk in Southern Brazil

Journal of Phytopathology

Volumn 157, Issue 11-12, 2009, Pages 675-681

  Del Ponte, Emerson M ^a   Fernandes, José M C ^b   Pavan, Willingthon ^c   Baethgen, Walter E ^d  

^a FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF RIO GRANDE DO SUL   (Brazil)

^b EMBRAPA CERRADOS   (Brazil)

^c UNIVERSITY OF PASSO FUNDO   (Brazil)

^d Earth Institute   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; El Nino Southern Oscillation; Gibberella zeae; Risk assessment; Wheat scab

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE VARIATION; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; EPIDEMIC; FUNGAL DISEASE; FUNGUS; PEST OUTBREAK; RISK ASSESSMENT; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; TEMPORAL PERIOD; WHEAT;

BRAZIL; PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (TROPICAL); PASSO FUNDO; RIO GRANDE DO SUL; SOUTH AMERICA;

FUSARIUM; GIBBERELLA; GIBBERELLA ZEAE; TRITICUM AESTIVUM;

EID: 71049165453     PISSN: 09311785     EISSN: 14390434     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1439-0434.2009.01559.x     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. Angelotti F, Tessmann DJ, Alves TCA, Vida JB, Jaccoud Filho DS, Harakava R 2006) Morphological characterization and molecular identification of Fusarium graminearum isolates associated with Fusarium head blight in wheat and triticale in Southern Brazil. Summa Phytopathol 32 : 177 179.
2. Baethgen WE, Magrin GO. Applications of climate forecasts in the agricultural sector of south east South America. In : Sivakumar MVK ed Climate Prediction and Agriculture. Washington, DC, International START Secretariat, 2000, pp. 248 266.
3. Barros V, Gonzalez M, Liebmann B, Camilloni I 2000) Influence of the South Atlantic convergence zone and South Atlantic Sea surface temperature on interannual summer rainfall variability in Southeastern South America. Theor Appl Clim 67 : 123 133.
4. Cleveland WS 1979) Robust locally weighted regression and smoothing scatterplots. J Am Stat Assoc 74 : 829 836.
5. Dalcero A, Torres A, Etcheverry M, Chulze S, Varsaysky E 1997) Occurrence of deoxynivalenol and Fusarium graminearum in Argentina wheat. Food Addit Contam 14 : 11 14.
6. De Wolf ED, Madden LV, Lipps PE 2003) Risk assessment models for Fusarium head blight epidemics based on within-season weather data. Phytopathology 93 : 429 435.
7. Del Ponte EM, Fernandes JMC, Pierobom CR 2005a) Factors affecting density of airborne Gibberella zeae inoculum. Fitopatol Bras 30 : 55 60.
8. Del Ponte EM, Fernandes JMC, Pavan W 2005b) A risk infection simulation model for Fusarium Head Blight of wheat. Fitopatol Bras 30 : 634 642.
9. Díaz A, Studzinski CD, Mechoso CR 1998) Relationships between precipitation anomalies in Uruguay and southern Brazil and sea surface temperature in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. J Clim, 11 : 251 271.
10. Fernandes JMC 1997) As doenças das plantas e o sistema de plantio direto. Rev Annual Patol Plantas 5 : 317 352.
11. Gilbert RO. Statistical Methods for Environmental Pollution Monitoring. New York, NY, Van Nostrand Reinhold Company, 1987, 319 p.
12. Goswami RS, Kistler HC 2004) Heading for disaster: Fusarium graminearum on cereal crops. Mol Plant Pathol 5 : 515 525.
13. Grimm AM, Barros VR, Doyle ME 2000) Climate variability in Southern South America associated with. El Nino and La Nina events. J Clim 1 : 35 58.
14. Hooker DC, Schaafsma AW, Tamburinc-Illincic L 2002) Using weather variables pre- and post-heading to predicting deoxynivalenol content in winter wheat. Plant Dis 86 : 611 619.
15. Jennings P, Coates ME, Walsh K, Turner JA, Nicholson P 2004) Determination of deoxynivalenol-and nivalenol-producing chemotypes of Fusarium graminearum isolated from wheat crops in England and Wales. Plant Pathol 53 : 643 652.
16. Jones JW, Hoogenboom G, Porter CH, Boote KJ, Batchelor WD, Hunt LA, Wilkens PW, Singh U, Gijsman AJ, Ritchie JT 2003) The DSSAT cropping system model. Eur J Agron 18 : 235 265.
17. Lima MIPM, Fernandes JMC, Picinini EC 2000) Avaliação da resistência à giberela em trigo. Fitopatol Bras 25 : 30 35.
18. Lima MIPM, Só e Silva M, Schereen PL, Del Duca IJA, Pires JL, Nascimento A Jr. (2005) Avaliação de giberela em genótipos de trigo do ensaio estadual de cultivares, na região de Passo Fundo, em 2004. Documento online 52. Passo Fundo, Embrapa Trigo, 11 p. Available at: http://www.cnpt.embrapa.br/biblio/do/p-do52.htm.
19. Lima MIPM, Só e Silva M, Caierão E, Schereen PL, Del Duca LJA, Nascimento A Jr. (2006) Avaliação de giberela em genótipos de trigo do Ensaio Estadual de Cultivares, na região de Passo Fundo, em 2005. Documentos Online 66. Passo Fundo, Embrapa Trigo, 7 p. Available at: http://www.cnpt.embrapa.br/biblio/do/p-do66.htm.
20. Lima MIPM, Só e Silva M, Caierão E, Scheeren PL, Nascimento A Jr. (2007) Avaliação de giberela em genótipos de trigo do Ensaio Estadual de Cultivares, na região do Planalto Médio do Rio Grande do Sul, em 2006. Comunicado Técnico Online 213. Passo Fundo, Embrapa Trigo, 6 p. Available at: http://www.cnpt.embrapa.br/biblio/co/p-co213. htm.
21. Luzzardi GC, Wetzel MMVS, Pierobom CR 1972) Meio de cultura para multiplicação de Gibberella zeae (Schw.), Petch. Fusarium graminearum Schw., agente da giberela do trigo. Rev Soc Bras Fitopatol 5 : 182 183.
22. Magrin G, Travasso M, Baethgen WE. Improving applications in agriculture of ENSO-based seasonal rainfall forecasts considering Atlantic Ocean surface temperatures. In : Sivakumar M, Hansen J (eds Climate Prediction and Agriculture Advances and Challenges. Berlin, Germany, Springer, 2007, pp. 249 257.
23. Maldonado-Ramirez SL, Schmale DG, Shields EJ, Bergstrom GC 2005) The relative abundance of viable spores of Gibberella zeae in the planetary boundary layer suggests the role of long-distance transport in regional epidemics of Fusarium head blight. Agric Meteorol 130 : 20 27.
24. McMullen M, Jones R, Gallemberg D 1997) Scab of wheat and barley: a re-emerging disease of devastating impact. Plant Dis 81 : 1340 1348.
25. Moschini RC, Fortugno C 1996) Predicting wheat head blight incidence using models based on meteorological factors in Pergamino, Argentina. Eur J Plant Pathol 102 : 211 218.
26. Osório EA, Luzzardi GC, Moreira JCS 1973) Breeding for resistance to Septoria nodorum Berk. and Gibberella zeae (Schw.) Petch. in Brazil. Annu Wheat Newsl 19 : 28 29.
27. Panisson E, Reis EM, Boller W 2003) Quantificação de danos causados pela giberela em cereais de inverno, na safra 2000, em Passo Fundo, RS. Fitopatol Bras 28 : 189 192.
28. Parry ML, Carter TR 1989) An assessment of the effects of climatic change on agriculture. Climatic Change 15 : 95 116.
29. Picinini EC, Fernandes JMC, Ignazak JC, Ambrosi I 1996) Impacto econômico do uso do fungicida propiconazole na cultura de trigo (Triticum aestivum). Fitopatol Bras 21 : 326 368.
30. Reis EM 1988) Quantificação de propágulos de Gibberella zeae no ar através de armadilhas de esporos. Fitopatol Bras 13 : 324 327.
31. Reis EM, Blum MMC, Casa RT, Medeiros CA 1996a) Grain losses caused by the infection of wheat heads by Gibberella zeae in southern Brazil, from 1984 to 1994. Summa Phytopathol 22 : 134 137.
32. Reis EM, Blum MMC, Casa RT 1996b) Controle químico de Gibberella zeae em trigo, um problema de deposição de fungicidas em anteras. Summa Phytopathol 22 : 39 42.
33. Ropelewski CH, Halpert S 1987) Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with El Nino/Southern Oscillation. Mon Weather Rev 115 : 1600 1626.
34. Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, Yang XB, Epstein PR, Chivian E 2001) Climate changes and U.S. agriculture: the impacts of warming and extreme weather events on productivity, plant diseases, and pests. Glob Chang Hum Health 2 : 90 103.
35. Rossi V, Giousue S, Pattori E, Spanna F, Del Vecchio A 2003) A model estimating the risk of Fusarium head blight on wheat. EPPO Bull 33 : 421 425. (Pubitemid 38427201)
36. Yang XB 2006) Framework development in plant disease risk assessment and its application. Eur J Plant Pathol 115 : 25 34.
37. Zhao S, Yao C 1989) On the sea temperature prediction models of the prevailing level of wheat scab. Acta Phytopathol Sinica 19 : 229 234.