How valid are long-term government plans? Technological forecasting of the Korean biotechnology industry

Journal of Policy Modeling

Volumn 31, Issue 6, 2009, Pages 891-902

  Moon, Sunung ^a   Jeon, Yongil ^b  

^a Myong Ji University   (South Korea)

^b Sungkyunkwan University   (South Korea)

Author keywords

Bio Vision 2016; Biotechnology; Korea; Long term forecast; Professional judgment; S curve; Technology forecasting

Indexed keywords

EID: 70549106042     PISSN: 01618938     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2009.08.007     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Annichiarico B. Wealth effects and the price level in an optimizing euro-model. Journal of Policy Modeling 29 1 (2007) 15-28
2. Artuso A. Bioprospecting, benefit sharing, and biotechnological capacity building. World Development 30 8 (2002) 1355-1368
3. Granger C.W.J. Forecasting in business and economics. 2nd ed. (1989), Academic Press, Inc.
4. Institute of Medicine National Research Council (of the National Academies). Globalization, Biosecurity and the Future of the Life Sciences (2006), National Academies Press, Washington, DC
5. Kim Y., Kim L., and Lee J. Innovation strategy of local pharmaceutical firms in Korea: A multivariate analysis. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management 1 1 (1989) 93-108
6. Kim H., and Oh J.H. The role of IT on the Korean economy under IMF control. Journal of Policy Modeling 26 2 (2004) 181-190
7. Klein L.R. Issues posed by chronic US deficits. Journal of Policy Modeling 28 6 (2006) 673-677
8. Onish A. Policy simulations on sustainable development. Journal of Policy Modeling 23 2 (1999) 217-234
9. Sasson A. Medical biotechnology: Achievements, prospects and perceptions (2005), United Nations University Press, New York
10. SERI (Samsung Economic Research Institute) (2003). Business Strategies of Biotechnological Firms, Issue Paper, 2003.6.10 (in Korean).
11. Department of Commerce U.S. Korea's Strategy for Leadership in Research and Development (1997), Office of Technology Policy, Washington, DC
12. Vanston L.K., and Hodges R.L. Technology forecasting for telecommunications. Telektronikk - Telenor's Journal of Technology 4 (2004) 32-42
13. Wilson J.H., and Keating B. Business forecasting. 5th ed. (2007), McGraw-Hill Companies
14. Yang J. Impact measurement for public investment evaluation: An application to Korea. Journal of Policy Modeling 27 5 (2005) p. 535-511
15. Yun M. Regulatory regime governing management of intellectual property of Korean public research organisations: Focus on the biotechnology sector. In: OECD (Ed). Turning science into business (2003), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris 237-251