Correlations between forest fires in British Columbia, Canada, and sea surface temperature of the Pacific Ocean

Ecological Modelling

Volumn 221, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 122-129

  Wang, Yonghe ^a   Flannigan, Mike ^a   Anderson, Kerry ^a  

^a LAURENTIAN FORESTRY CENTRE   (Canada)

Author keywords

Cross correlation; Human caused forest fires; Lightning caused forest fires; Sea surface temperature anomaly; Spectral analysis

Indexed keywords

ARCTIC OSCILLATION; BRITISH COLUMBIA; BRITISH COLUMBIA , CANADA; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; CROSS CORRELATIONS; FIRE ACTIVITY; FIRE SEVERITY; FOREST FIRES; GRID CELLS; LINEAR REGRESSION MODELS; PACIFIC DECADAL OSCILLATION; PACIFIC OCEAN; PREVIOUS YEAR; REGRESSION TECHNIQUES; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES; SPECTRAL ANALYSIS; TELECONNECTIONS; TIME LAG;

ARCTIC ENGINEERING; ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATOLOGY; DEFORESTATION; DISASTERS; LIGHTNING; NICKEL COMPOUNDS; OCEANOGRAPHY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SPECTRUM ANALYSIS; SPECTRUM ANALYZERS; SURFACE PROPERTIES;

FIRES;

ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; ARCTIC OSCILLATION; CLIMATE VARIATION; CORRELATION; FOREST FIRE; LIGHTNING; PACIFIC DECADAL OSCILLATION; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TELECONNECTION; TEMPERATURE ANOMALY; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS;

CORRELATION; DEFORESTATION; DISASTERS; FOREST FIRES; LIGHTNING; METEOROLOGY; OCEANOGRAPHY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SURFACE PROPERTIES; TEMPERATURE;

BRITISH COLUMBIA; CANADA; NORTH AMERICA; PACIFIC OCEAN;

EID: 70449713486     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.12.007     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Balzter H., Gerard F.F., George C.T., Rowland C.S., Jupp T.E., McCallum I., Shvidenko A., Nilsson S., Sukhinin A., Onuchin A., and Schmullius C. Impact of the Arctic Oscillation pattern on interannual forest fire variability in Central Siberia. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32 (2005) L14709 10.1029/2005GL022526
2. BC Ministry of Forests and Range, 2007. http://www.gov.bc.ca/for/.
3. Bottomley, M., Folland, C.K., Hsiung, J., Newell, R.E., Parker, D.E., 1990. Global Ocean Surface Temperature Atlas (GOSTA). Meterological Office (UK), London, 20 + iv pp., 313 plates.
4. Brenner J. Southern Oscillation anomalies and their relationship to wildfire activity in Florida. Int. J. Wildland Fire 1 (1991) 73-78
5. Bunkers M.J., Millar Jr. J.R., and deGaetano A.T. An examination of El Niño-La Niña-related precipitation and temperature anomalies across the northern plains. J. Clim. 9 (1996) 147-160
6. Deser C., and Blackmon M.L. On the relationship between tropical and north pacific sea surface temperature variations. J. Clim. 8 (1995) 1677-1680
7. Flannigan M.D., and Harrington J.B. A study of the relation of meteorological variables to monthly provincial area burned by wildfire in Canada 1953-80. J. Appl. Meteorol. 27 (1988) 441-452
8. Gan J. Causality among wildfire, ENSO, timber harvest, and urban sprawl: the vector autoregression approach. Ecol. Model. 191 (2006) 304-314
9. In: Greer I.W. (Ed). Glossary of Weather and Climate with Related Oceanic and Hydrologic Terms (1996), American Meteorological Society, Boston
10. Horel J.D., and Wallace J.M. Planetary-scale atmospheric phenomena associated with the Southern Oscillation. Mon. Weather Rev. 109 (1981) 813-829
11. Johnson E.A. Fire and Vegetation Dynamics: Studies from the North American Boreal Forest (1992), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
12. Loehle C., and LeBlanc D. Model-based assessments of climate change effects on forests: a critical review. Ecol. Model. 90 (1996) 1-31
13. Martell D.L., and Sun H. The impact of fire suppression, vegetation, and weather on the area burned by lightning-caused forest fires in Ontario. Can. J. For. Res. 38 (2008) 1547-1563
14. Ni J., Harrison S.P., Prentice I.C., Kutzbach J.E., and Sitch S. Impact of climate variability on present and Holocene vegetation: a model-based study. Ecol. Model. 191 (2006) 469-486
15. Reynolds R.W., and Rasmusson E.M. The North Pacific sea surface temperature associated with El Nino events. Proceedings of the 7th Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop (1982), U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and National Center for Atmostheric Research, Boulder
16. Reynolds R.W., Rayner N.A., Smith T.M., Stokes D.C., and Wang W. An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate. J. Clim. 15 (2002) 1609-1625
17. Reynolds R.W., and Smith T.M. A high resolution global sea surface temperature climatology. J. Clim. 8 (1995) 1571-1583
18. ® User's Guide (2004), SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC
19. Shabbar A., Bonsal B., and Khandekar M. Canadian precipitation patterns associated with the Southern Oscillation. J. Clim. 10 (1997) 3016-3027
20. Simard A.J., Haines D.A., and Main W.H. Relations between El Nino/southern Oscillation anomalies and wildland fire activity in the United States. Agric. For. Meteorol. 36 (1985) 93-104
21. Skinner W.R., Shabbar A., Flannigan M.D., and Logan K. Large forest fires in Canada and the relationship to global sea surface temperature. J. Geophys. Res. 111 (2006) D14106 10.1029/2005JD006738
22. Skinner W.R., Stocks B.J., Martell D.L., Bonsal B., and Shabbar A. The association between circulation anomalies in the mid-troposphere and area burned by wildland fire in Canada. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 63 (1999) 89-105
23. Smith T.M., and Reynolds R.W. Improved reconstruction of SST (1854-1997). J. Clim. 17 (2004) 2466-2477
24. Swetnam T.W. Fire history and climate change in giant sequoia groves. Science 262 (1993) 885-889
25. Swetnam T.W., and Betancourt J.L. Fire-Southern Oscillation relations in the southwestern United States. Science 249 (1990) 1017-1020
26. Thompson D.W.J., and Wallace J.M. The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophys. Res. Lett. 25 (1998) 1297-1300
27. Trenberth K.E. Recent observed interdecadal climate changes in the northern hemisphere. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 71 (1990) 988-993
28. Trenberth K.E. The definition of El Niño. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 78 (1997) 2771-2777
29. Trenberth K.E., and Stepaniak D.P. Indexes of El Niño evolution. J. Clim. 14 (2001) 1697-1701
30. van der Schrier G., Osborn T.J., Briffa K.R., and Cook E.R. Exploring an ensemble approach to estimating skill in multiproxy palaeoclimate reconstruction. Holocene 17 (2007) 119-129
31. White T., Luckai N., Larocque G.R., Kurz W.A., and Smyth C. A practical approach for assessing the sensitivity of the Carbon Budget Model of the Canadian Forest Sector (CBM-CFS3). Ecol. Model. 219 (2008) 373-382
32. Williams A.A.J., and Karoly D.J. Extreme fire weather in Australia and the impact of the El Niño-southern Oscillation. Aust. Meteorol. Mag. 48 (1999) 15-22
33. Zhang J., Chu Z., Ge Y., Zhou X., Jiang H., Chang J., Peng C., Zheng J., Jiang B., Zhu J., and Yu S. TRIPLEX model testing and application for predicting forest growth and biomass production in the subtropical forest zone of China's Zhejiang province. Ecol. Model. 219 (2008) 264-275
34. Zhang Y., Wallace J.M., and Battisti D.S. ENSO-like interdecadal variability. J. Clim. 10 (1997) 1004-1020