Application of the PnET-BGC - An integrated biogeochemical model - To assess the surface water ANC recovery in the Adirondack region of New York under three multi-pollutant proposals

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 378, Issue 3-4, 2009, Pages 299-312

  Wu, Wei ^a   Driscoll, Charles T ^a  

^a Syracuse University   (United States)

Author keywords

Acid neutralizing capacity (ANC); Carper Bill; Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR); Geographic Weighted Regression (GWR); Inhofe Bill; PnET BGC

Indexed keywords

ACID NEUTRALIZING CAPACITY (ANC); CARPER BILL; CLEAN AIR INTERSTATE RULE (CAIR); GEOGRAPHIC WEIGHTED REGRESSION (GWR); INHOFE BILL; PNET-BGC;

ACIDS; AIR POLLUTION; ANALYTICAL GEOCHEMISTRY; BIOGEOCHEMISTRY; CORRELATION DETECTORS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; VEGETATION; WATER ANALYSIS;

LAKES;

ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION; AUTOCORRELATION; BIOGEOCHEMISTRY; CONIFEROUS FOREST; DECIDUOUS FOREST; ECOSYSTEM MANAGEMENT; EMISSION CONTROL; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; LAKE LEVEL; LAKE POLLUTION; LAND COVER; LAND USE; POLICY MAKING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SURFACE WATER; WATERSHED;

ADIRONDACK LAKE; NEW YORK [UNITED STATES]; NORTH AMERICA; UNITED STATES;

EID: 70350513267     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.09.035     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. Aber J.D. Nitrogen cycling and nitrogen saturation in temperate forest ecosystems. TREE 7 7 (1992) 220-224
2. Aber J.D., Nadelhoffer K.J., Steudler P., and Melillo J.M. Nitrogen saturation in northern forest ecosystems. BioScience 39 6 (1989) 378-386
3. Aber J.D., and Federer C.A. A generalized, lumped-parameter model of photosynthesis, evapotranspiration and net primary production in temperate and boreal forest ecosystems. Oecologia 92 (1992) 463-474
4. Aber J.D., Ollinger S.V., Federer C.A., Reich P.B., Goulden M.L., Kicklighter D.W., Melillo J.M., and Lathrop Jr. R.G. Predicting the effects of climate change on water yield and forest production in the Northeastern US. Clim. Res. 5 (1995) 207-222
5. Aber J.D., and Driscoll C.T. Effects of land use, climate variation and N deposition on N cycling and C storage in northern hardwood forests. Global Biogeochem. Cycles 11 (1997) 639-648
6. Aber J.D., Ollinger S.V., and Driscoll C.T. Modeling nitrogen saturation in forest ecosystems in response to land use and atmospheric deposition. Ecol. Model. 101 (1997) 61-78
7. Aber J.D., McDowell W.H., Nadelhoffer K.J., Magill A., Berntson G., Kamakea M., McNulty S.G., Currie W., Rustad L., and Fernandez I. Nitrogen saturation in temperate forest ecosystems: hypotheses revisited. BioScience 48 (1998) 921-934
8. Aber J.D., Ollinger S.V., Driscoll C.T., Likens G.E., Holmes R.T., Freuder R.J., and Goodale C.L. Inorganic nitrogen losses from a forested ecosystem in response to physical, chemical in response to physical, chemical, biotic, and climatic perturbations. Ecosystems 5 (2002) 648-658
9. An J., Zhou L., Huang M., Li H., Otoshi T., and Matsuda K. A literature review of uncertainties in studies of critical loads for acidic deposition. Water Air Soil Pollut. 130 (2001) 1205-1210
10. Anselin L., and Griffith D.A. Do spatial effects really matter in regression analysis?. Papers Region. Sci. 65 (1988) 11-34
11. Boots B. Local measures of spatial association. EcoScience 9 (2002) 168-176
12. Brunsdon C.F., Fotheringham A.S., and Charlton M.E. Spatial nonstationarity and autoregressive models. Environ. Plan. A 30 (1998) 957-973
13. Chen L., and Driscoll C.T. Modeling the response of soil and surface waters in the Adirondack and Catskill regions of New York to changes in atmospheric deposition and historical land disturbances. Atmos. Environ. 38 (2004) 4099-4109
14. Chen L., Driscoll C.T., Gbondo-Tugbawa S., Mitchell M.J., and Murdoch P.S. The application of an integrated biogeochemical model (PnET-BGC) to five forested watersheds in the Adirondack and Catskill regions of New York. Hydrol. Process. 18 (2004) 2631-2650
15. Chen L., and Driscoll C.T. Regional Assessment of the Response of the acid-base status of lake watersheds in the Adirondack region of New York to changes in atmospheric deposition using PnET-BGC. Environ. Sci. Technol. 39 (2005) 787-794
16. Chen L., and Driscoll C.T. Regional application of an integrated biogeochemical model to northern New England and Maine. Ecol. Appl. 15 5 (2005) 1783-1797
17. Clark J., Carpenter S.R., Barber M., Collins S., Dobson A., Foley J.A., Lodge D.M., Pascual M., Pielke Jr. R., Pizer W., Pringle C., Reid W.V., Rose K.A., Sala O., Schlesinger W.H., Wall D.H., and Wear D. Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative. Science 293 (2001) 657-660
18. Cosby B.J., Hornberger G.M., Galloway J.N., and Wright R.F. Modelling the effects of acid deposition: assessment of a lumped-parameter model of soil water and streamwater chemistry. Water Resour. Res. 21 (1985) 51-63
19. Cosby B.J., Ferrier R.C., Jenkins A., and Wright R.F. Modelling the effects of acid deposition: Refinements, adjustments and inclusion of nitrogen dynamics in the MAGIC model. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 5 3 (2001) 499-518
20. de Vries, W., 1991. Methodologies for the Assessment and Mapping of Critical Loads and of the Impact of Abatement Strategies on Forest Soils. SC-DLO Winand Satring Centre, Report 46.
21. Driscoll C.T., Newton R.M., Gubala C.P., Baker J.P., and Christensen S.W. Adirondack Mountains. In: Charles D.F. (Ed). Acidic Deposition and Aquatic Ecosystems: Regional Case Studies (1991), Springer-Verlag, New York 133-202
22. Driscoll C.T., Lehtinen M.D., and Sullivan T.J. Modeling the acid-base chemistry of organic solutes in Adirondack, NY lakes. Water Resour. Res. 30 (1994) 297-306
23. Driscoll C.T., Lawrence G.B., Bulger A.J., Butler T.J., Cronan C.S., Eagar C., Lambert K.F., Likens G.E., Stoddard J.L., and Weathers K.C. Acidic deposition in the northeastern United States: sources and inputs, ecosystem effects, and management strategies. BioScience 51 3 (2001) 180-198
24. Driscoll C.T., Driscoll K.M., Roy K.M., and Mitchell M.J. Chemical response of lakes in the Adirondack region of New York to declines in acidic deposition. Environ. Sci. Technol. 37 (2003) 2036-2042
25. Fotheringham A.S., Brunsdon C., and Charlton M. Quantitative Geography: Perspectives on Spatial Analysis (2000), Sage, London
26. Fotheringham A.S., Brunsdon C., and Charlton M. Geographical Weighted Regression (2002), John Wiley & Sons Ltd., West Sussex, England
27. Goodale C.L., Aber J.D., and Vitousek P.M. An unexpected nitrate decline in New Hampshire streams. Ecosystems 6 (2003) 75-86
28. Goodale C.L., Aber J.D., Vitousek P.M., and McDowell W.H. Long-term decreases in stream nitrate: successional causes unlikely, possible links to DOC?. Ecosystems 8 (2005) 334-337
29. Guisan A., Edwards Jr. T.C., and Hastie T. Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene. Ecol. Model. 157 (2002) 89-100
30. Gbondo-Tugbawa S.S., Driscoll C.T., Aber J.D., and Likens G.E. Evaluation of an integrated biogeochemical model (PnET-BGC) at a northern hardwood forest ecosystem. Water Resour. Res. 37 (2001) 1057-1070
31. Gbondo-Tugbawa S.S., and Driscoll C.T. Factors controlling long-term changes in soil pools of exchangeable basic cations and stream acid neutralizing capacity in a northern hardwood forest ecosystem. Biogeochemistry 63 2 (2003) 161-185
32. Hedin L.O., Granat H., Likens G.E., Buishand T.A., Galloway J.N., Butler T.J., and Rodhe H. Steep declines in atmospheric base cations in regions of Europe and North America. Nature 367 (1994) 351-354 10.1038/367351a0
33. Henriksen A., and Posch M. Steady-state models for calculating critical loads of acidity for surface waters. Water Air Soil Pollut. Focus 1 (2001) 375-398
34. Henriksen A., Kamari J., Posch M., and Wilander A. Critical loads of acidity: nordic surface waters. Ambio 21 (1992) 356-363
35. Holdren Jr. G.R., Strickland T.C., Shaffer P.W., Ryan P.F., Ringold P.L., and Turner R.S. Sensitivity of critical load estimates for surface waters to model selection and regionalization schemes. J. Environ. Qual. 22 (1993) 279-289
36. Hong B., Swaney D.P., and Weinstein D.A. Simulating spatial nitrogen dynamics in a forested reference watershed, Hubbard Brook Watershed 6, New Hampshire, USA. Landscape Ecol. 21 (2006) 195-211
37. Huntington T.G. Can nitrogen sequestration explain the unexpected nitrate decline in new Hampshire streams?. Ecosystems 8 (2005) 331-333
38. Kulkarni M.V., Groffman P.M., and Yavitt J.B. Solving the global nitrogen problem: it's a gas! Front. Ecol. Environ. 4 6 (2008) 199-206
39. Kelly C.A., Hesslein J.W.M., Schindler D.W., Dillon P.J., Driscoll C.T., Gherini S., and Hecky R.E. Prediction of biological acid neutralization in lakes. Biogeochemistry 3 (1987) 129-140
40. Larssen T., and Carmichael G.R. Acid rain and acidification in China: the importance of base cation deposition. Environ. Pollut. 110 1 (2000) 89-102
41. Li H., and McNulty S.G. Uncertainty analysis on simple mass balance model to calculate critical loads for soil acidity. Environ. Pollut. 149 (2007) 315-326
42. McMartin B. The Great Forest of the Adirondacks (1994), North Country Books, Utica, NY
43. Moisen G.G., and Frescino T.S. Comparing five modeling techniques for predicting forest characteristics. Ecol. Model. 157 (2002) 209-225
44. Posch M. Critical loads for aquatic ecosystems. In: Hornung M., Sutton M.A., and Wilson R.B. (Eds). Mapping and Modeling of Critical Loads for Nitrogen: A Workshop Report (1995), Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Penicuik, Madlothian, UK 63-68
45. Stoddard, J.L., Kahl, J.S., Deviney, F.A., DeWalle, D.R., Driscoll, C.T., Herlihy, A.T., Kellogg, J.H., Murdoch, P.S., Webb, J.R., Webster, K.E., 2003. Response of Surface Water Chemistry to the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990. US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington DC, EPA-620-R-03-001.
46. Warby R.A.F., Johnson C.E., and Driscoll C.T. Chemical recovery of surface waters across the northeastern United States from reduced inputs of acidic deposition: 1984-2001. Environ. Sci. Technol. 39 17 (2005) 6548-6554
47. Watson, M.R., Burns, D.A., McHale, M.R., Driscoll, C.T., Lovett, G.M., Weathers, K.L., Mitchell, M.J., Roy, K.M., 2005. An Assessment of Recovery and Key Processes Affecting the Response of Surface Waters to Reduced Levels of Acid Precipitation in the Adirondack and Catskill Mountains. Final Resport 05-03. New York State Energy Research and Development Authority. (accessed 03.08.09).
48. Wright R.F., Aherne J., Bishop K., Camarero L., Cosby B.J., Erlandsson M., Evans C.D., Forsius M., Hardekopf D.W., Helliwell R., Hruška J., Jenkins A., Kopáček J., Moldan F., Posch M., and Rogora M. Modelling the effect of climate change on recovery of acidified freshwaters: Relative sensitivity of individual processes in the MAGIC model. Sci. Total Environ. 365 (2006) 154-166
49. Zhai J., Driscoll C.T., Sullivan T.J., and Cosby B.J. Regional application of the PnET-BGC model to assess historical acidification of Adirondack lakes. Water Resour. Res. 44 (2008) W01421 10.1029/2006WR005532
50. Zhang L., Gove J.H., and Heath L.S. Spatial residual analysis of six modeling techniques. Ecol. Model. 186 (2005) 154-177
51. Zhao Y., Duan L., Larssen T., Hu L., and Hao J. Simultaneous assessment of deposition effects of base cations, sulfur, and nitrogen using an extended critical load function for acidification. Environ. Sci. Technol. 41 6 (2007) 1815-1820