Dynamical coupling of multiscale land change models

Landscape Ecology

Volumn 24, Issue 9, 2009, Pages 1183-1194

  Moreira, Evaldinolia ^a,b   Costa, Sérgio ^a   Aguiar, Ana Paula ^a   Câmara, Gilberto ^a   Carneiro, Tiago ^c  

^a INSTITUTO NACIONAL DE PESQUISAS ESPACIAIS   (Brazil)

^b FEDERAL INSTITUTE OF EDUCATION   (Brazil)

^c FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF OURO PRETO   (Brazil)

Author keywords

Agent based modelling; Amazonia; Deforestation models; Dynamical model integration; Land change modelling; Multiscale modelling; Scale feedbacks

Indexed keywords

ACCESSIBILITY; BIOPHYSICS; DEFORESTATION; LAND USE CHANGE; MODELING; POLICY MAKING; SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS; SOFTWARE;

AMAZONIA; SOUTH AMERICA;

EID: 70350375295     PISSN: 09212973     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10980-009-9397-x     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Aguiar APD (2006) Modeling land use change in the Brazilian Amazon: exploring intra-regional heterogeneity. PhD thesis in remote sensing, INPE: Sao Jose dos Campos.
2. Aguiar A, Câmara G, Cartaxo R (2003) Modeling spatial relations by generalized proximity matrices. In: Casanova M (ed) Brazilian symposium in geoinformatics-GeoInfo 2003, Campos do Jordão, SP, Brazil.
3. Aguiar AP, Câmara G, Escada MI (2007) Spatial statistical analysis of land-use determinants in the Brazilian Amazon: exploring intra-regional heterogeneity. Ecol Modell 209:169-188.
4. Becker BK (2005) Geopolítica da Amazônia (Amazonian Geopolitics). Estu Avançados (J Inst Advanced Stu University Sao Paulo) 19:71-86.
5. Briassoulis H (2000) Analysis of land use change: theoretical and modeling approaches. Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University, Morgantown.
6. Brooks F (1982) No silver bullet: essence and accidents of software engineering. IEEE Computer 20:10-19.
7. Brown DG, Robinson DT, An L et al (2008) Exurbia from the bottom-up: confronting empirical challenges to characterizing a complex system. Geoforum 39:805-818.
8. Carneiro T (2006) Nested-CA: a foundation for multiscale modeling of land use and land change. PhD thesis in computer science, INPE, Sao Jose dos Campos.
9. Castella J-C, Verburg PH (2007) Combination of process-oriented and pattern-oriented models of land-use change in a mountain area of Vietnam. Ecol Modell 202:410-420.
10. Escada MI, Vieira IC, Kampel S et al (2005) Processos de ocupação nas novas fronteiras da Amazônia: o interflúvio do Xingu/Iriri. (Occupation process in the new frontiers of the Amazon (the Xingu/Iriri region). Estu Avançados (J Inst Advanced Stu University Sao Paulo) 19:9-24.
11. Gibson CC, Ostrom E, Ahn TK (2000) The concept of scale and the human dimensions of global change: a survey. Ecol Econ 32:217-239.
12. INPE (2008) Monitoramento da Floresta Amazônica Brasileira por Satélite (Monitoring the Brazilian Amazon Forest by Satellite). Available at www.obt.inpe.br/prodes. Accessed in 29 July 2008, INPE, São José dos Campos, Brazil.
13. Lambin E (1997) Modeling and monitoring land-cover change processes in tropical regions. Prog Phys Geogr 21:375-393.
14. Lambin EF, Geist HJ (2001) Global land-use and cover change: what have we learned so far? Glob Chang Newsl 46:27-31.
15. Lambin EF, Turner BLI, Geist HJ et al (2001) The causes of land-use and land-cover change: moving beyond the myths. Glob Environ Change 4:261-269.
16. Laurance W, Cochrane M, Bergen S et al (2001) The future of the Brazilian Amazon. Science 291:438-439.
17. Li S, Liu Q, Afshari S (2006) An object-oriented hierarchical patch dynamics paradigm (HPDP) for modeling complex groundwater systems across multiple-scales. Environ Model Softw 21:744-749.
18. Moran E, Ojima D, Buchmann N et al (2005) Global land project: science plan and implementation strategy. IGBP report no 53/IHDP report no 19. IGBP Secretariat, Stockholm.
19. Moreira EG, Aguiar AP, Costa SS, Câmara G (2008) Spatial relations across scales in land change models. In X Brazilian symposium on geoinformations, GEOINFO 2008, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
20. Parker D, Berger T, Manson S, McConnel S (2002) Agent-based models of land-use/land-cover change. Report and review of an international workshop. lucc report series no 6. lucc project, Irvine, California, USA.
21. Parnas DL (1972) On the criteria to be used in decomposing systems into modules. Commun ACM 15:1053-1058.
22. Pijanowskia BC, Brownb DG, Shellitoc BA, Manik GA (2002) Using neural networks and GIS to forecast land use changes: a land transformation model. Comput Environ Urban Syst 26:553-575.
23. Pontius RG, Cornell J, Hall C (2001) Modeling the spatial pattern of land-use change with GEOMOD2: application and validation for Costa Rica. Agric Ecosyst Environ 85:191-203.
24. Soares-Filho B, Cerqueira G, Pennachin C (2002) DINAMICA-a stochastic cellular automata model designed to simulate the landscape dynamics in an Amazonian colonization frontier. Ecol Modell 154:217-235.
25. Soares-Filho B, Nepstad D, Curran L et al (2006) Modeling conservation in the Amazon basin. Nature 440:520-523.
26. Turner B, Skole D, Sanderson S et al (1995) Land-use and land-cover change (LUCC): science/research plan, HDP report no. 7. IGBP Secretariat, Stockholm.
27. Veldkamp A, Fresco L (1996) CLUE: a conceptual model to study the conversion of land use and its effects. Ecol Modell 85:253-270.
28. Veldkamp A, Lambin E (2001) Predicting land-use change. Agric Ecosyst Environ 85:1-6.
29. Veldkamp A, Verburg P, Kok K et al (2001) The need for scale sensitive approached in spatially explicit land use change modeling. Environ Model Assess 6:111-121.
30. Verburg PH (2006) Simulating feedbacks in land use and land cover change models. Landscape Ecol 21:1171-1183.
31. Verburg P, Veldkamp A, Fresco LO (1999) Simulation of changes in the spatial pattern of land use in China. Appl Geogr 19:211-233.
32. Verburg PH, Soepboer W, Veldkamp A et al (2002) Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use: the CLUE-S model. Environ Manage 30:391-405.
33. Verburg PH, Schot PP, Dijst MJ, Veldkamp A (2004) Land use change modelling: current practice and research priorities. GeoJournal 61:309-324.
34. Verburg PH, Kok K, Pontius RG Jr, Veldkamp A (2006) Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Change. In: Lambin E, Geist H (eds) Land-use and land-cover change: local processes and global impacts. Springer, Berlin.
35. Verburg PH, Eickhout B, Meij Hv (2008) A multi-scale, multi-model approach for analyzing the future dynamics of European land use. Ann Reg Sci 42:57-77.
36. White R, Engelen G (2000) High-resolution integrated modelling of the spatial dynamics of urban and regional systems. Comput Environ Urban Syst 24:383-400.
37. White R, Engelen G, Uljee I (1997) The use of constrained cellular automata for high-resolution modelling of urban land use dynamics. Environ Plann B Plann Des 24:323-343.
38. Wu J (1999) Hierarchy and scaling: extrapolating information along a scaling ladder. Can J Remote Sens 25:367-380.
39. Wu J, David J (2002) A spatially explicit hierarchical approach to modeling complex ecological systems: theory and applications. Ecol Modell 153:7-26.