메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 25, Issue 5, 2009, Pages 1143-1179

Bias reduction and likelihood-based almost exactly sized hypothesis testing in predictive regressions using the restricted likelihood

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 70350163511     PISSN: 02664666     EISSN: 14694360     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0266466608090464     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (32)

References (45)
  • 2
    • 33746832946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting returns with managerial decision variables: Is there a small sample bias?
    • Baker, M., R. Taliaferro, & J. Wurgler (2006) Predicting returns with managerial decision variables: Is there a small sample bias? Journal of Finance 61, 1711-1730.
    • (2006) Journal of Finance , vol.61 , pp. 1711-1730
    • Baker, M.1    Taliaferro, R.2    Wurgler, J.3
  • 3
    • 0001615702 scopus 로고
    • On the level-error after Bartlett adjustment of the likelihood ratio statistic
    • Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E. & P. Hall (1988) On the level-error after Bartlett adjustment of the likelihood ratio statistic. Biometrika 75, 374-378.
    • (1988) Biometrika , vol.75 , pp. 374-378
    • Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E.1    Hall, P.2
  • 4
    • 0001058474 scopus 로고
    • Approximate confidence intervals III. More than one unknown parameter
    • Bartlett, M. (1953) Approximate confidence intervals III. More than one unknown parameter. Biometrika 40, 306-317.
    • (1953) Biometrika , vol.40 , pp. 306-317
    • Bartlett, M.1
  • 6
    • 33745138559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient tests of stock return predictability
    • Campbell, J. & M. Yogo (2006) Efficient tests of stock return predictability. Journal of Financial Economics 81, 27-60.
    • (2006) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.81 , pp. 27-60
    • Campbell, J.1    Yogo, M.2
  • 7
    • 0002242942 scopus 로고
    • Valid asymptotic expansions for the likelihood ratio statistic and other perturbed chi-square variables
    • Chandra, T.K. & J.K. Ghosh (1979) Valid asymptotic expansions for the likelihood ratio statistic and other perturbed chi-square variables. Sankhya, Series A. 41, 22-47.
    • (1979) Sankhya, Series A , vol.41 , pp. 22-47
    • Chandra, T.K.1    Ghosh, J.K.2
  • 8
    • 0442293853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias reduction of autoregressive estimates in time series regression model through restricted maximum likelihood
    • Cheang, W.K. & G. Reinsel (2000) Bias reduction of autoregressive estimates in time series regression model through restricted maximum likelihood. Journal of the American Statistical Association 95, 1173-1184.
    • (2000) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.95 , pp. 1173-1184
    • Cheang, W.K.1    Reinsel, G.2
  • 9
    • 74049120940 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A smooth transition to the unit root distribution via the chi-square distribution with interval estimation for nearly integrated autoregressive processes
    • Texas A & M and New York University
    • Chen, W. & R. Deo (2006) A Smooth Transition to the Unit Root Distribution via the Chi-Square Distribution with Interval Estimation for Nearly Integrated Autoregressive Processes. Working paper, Texas A & M and New York University.
    • (2006) Working Paper
    • Chen, W.1    Deo, R.2
  • 10
    • 74049124609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The chi-square approximation of the restricted likelihood ratio test for the sum of autoregressive coefficients with interval estimation
    • Texas A & M and New York University
    • Chen, W. & R. Deo (2007) The Chi-Square Approximation of the Restricted Likelihood Ratio Test for the Sum of Autoregressive Coefficients with Interval Estimation. Working paper, Texas A & M and New York University.
    • (2007) Working Paper
    • Chen, W.1    Deo, R.2
  • 11
    • 0347895994 scopus 로고
    • Bartlett corrections to likelihood ratio tests
    • Chesher, A. & R. Smith (1995) Bartlett corrections to likelihood ratio tests. Biometrika 82, 433-436.
    • (1995) Biometrika , vol.82 , pp. 433-436
    • Chesher, A.1    Smith, R.2
  • 12
    • 0001459490 scopus 로고
    • On the corrections to the likelihood ratio statistics
    • Cordeiro, G. (1987) On the corrections to the likelihood ratio statistics. Biometrika 74, 265-274.
    • (1987) Biometrika , vol.74 , pp. 265-274
    • Cordeiro, G.1
  • 13
    • 0041805951 scopus 로고
    • Nonnull asymptotic distributions of three classic criteria in generalised linear models
    • Cordeiro, G., D. Botter, & S. L. Ferrari (1994) Nonnull asymptotic distributions of three classic criteria in generalised linear models. Biometrika 81, 709-720.
    • (1994) Biometrika , vol.81 , pp. 709-720
    • Cordeiro, G.1    Botter, D.2    Ferrari, S.L.3
  • 14
    • 0001114603 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections
    • Cribari-Neto, F. & G. Cordeiro (1996) On Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections. Econometric Reviews 15, 339-367.
    • (1996) Econometric Reviews , vol.15 , pp. 339-367
    • Cribari-Neto, F.1    Cordeiro, G.2
  • 15
    • 0001356435 scopus 로고
    • Optimal invariant tests for the autocorrelation coefficient in linear regressions with stationary or non-stationary AR(1) errors
    • Dufour, J.-M. & M.L. King (1991) Optimal invariant tests for the autocorrelation coefficient in linear regressions with stationary or non-stationary AR(1) errors. Journal of Econometrics 47, 115-143.
    • (1991) Journal of Econometrics , vol.47 , pp. 115-143
    • Dufour, J.-M.1    King, M.L.2
  • 16
    • 0000551847 scopus 로고
    • Defining the curvature of a statistical problem (with applications to second order efficiency)
    • Efron, B. (1975) Defining the curvature of a statistical problem (with applications to second order efficiency). Annals of Statistics 3, 1189-1242.
    • (1975) Annals of Statistics , vol.3 , pp. 1189-1242
    • Efron, B.1
  • 18
    • 33847196036 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Marginal likelihood and unit roots
    • Francke, M. & A. de Vos (2006) Marginal likelihood and unit roots. Journal of Econometrics 137, 708-728.
    • (2006) Journal of Econometrics , vol.137 , pp. 708-728
    • Francke, M.1    De Vos, A.2
  • 20
    • 0040889331 scopus 로고
    • The local power of the efficient scores test statistic
    • Harris, P. & H.W. Peers (1980) The local power of the efficient scores test statistic. Biometrika 67, 525-529.
    • (1980) Biometrika , vol.67 , pp. 525-529
    • Harris, P.1    Peers, H.W.2
  • 21
    • 85041975654 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference of variance components using only error contrasts
    • Harville, D. (1974) Bayesian inference of variance components using only error contrasts. Biometrika 61, 383-385.
    • (1974) Biometrika , vol.61 , pp. 383-385
    • Harville, D.1
  • 22
    • 84890913931 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood approaches to variance component estimation and to related problems
    • Harville, D. (1977) Maximum likelihood approaches to variance component estimation and to related problems. Journal of the American Statistical Association 72, 320-338.
    • (1977) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.72 , pp. 320-338
    • Harville, D.1
  • 23
    • 0016705681 scopus 로고
    • The likelihood ratio criterion for a composite hypothesis under a local alternative
    • Hayakawa, T. (1975) The likelihood ratio criterion for a composite hypothesis under a local alternative. Biometrika 62, 451-460.
    • (1975) Biometrika , vol.62 , pp. 451-460
    • Hayakawa, T.1
  • 24
    • 51249184521 scopus 로고
    • The likelihood ratio criterion and the asymptotic expansion of its distribution
    • Hayakawa, T. (1977) The likelihood ratio criterion and the asymptotic expansion of its distribution. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 29, 359-378.
    • (1977) Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics , vol.29 , pp. 359-378
    • Hayakawa, T.1
  • 26
    • 33646376963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal inference in regression models with nearly integrated regressors
    • Jansson, M. & M. Moreira (2006) Optimal inference in regression models with nearly integrated regressors. Econometrica 74, 681-714.
    • (2006) Econometrica , vol.74 , pp. 681-714
    • Jansson, M.1    Moreira, M.2
  • 27
    • 0001416775 scopus 로고
    • Application of likelihood methods to models involving large numbers of parameters
    • Kalbfleisch, J. & D. Sprott (1970) Application of likelihood methods to models involving large numbers of parameters. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 32, 175-194.
    • (1970) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B , vol.32 , pp. 175-194
    • Kalbfleisch, J.1    Sprott, D.2
  • 28
    • 0037632788 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biases of the restricted maximum likelihood estimators for ARMA processes with polynomial time trend
    • Kang, W., D. Shin, &Y. Lee (2003) Biases of the restricted maximum likelihood estimators for ARMA processes with polynomial time trend. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 116, 163-176.
    • (2003) Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference , vol.116 , pp. 163-176
    • Kang, W.1    Shin, D.2    Lee, Y.3
  • 29
    • 21844490287 scopus 로고
    • Some diagnostics of maximum likelihood and posterior nonnormality
    • Kass, R.E. & E.H. Slate (1994) Some diagnostics of maximum likelihood and posterior nonnormality. Annals of Statistics 22, 668-695.
    • (1994) Annals of Statistics , vol.22 , pp. 668-695
    • Kass, R.E.1    Slate, E.H.2
  • 30
    • 7444239079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting returns with financial ratios
    • Lewellen, J. (2004) Predicting returns with financial ratios. Journal of Financial Economics 74, 209-235.
    • (2004) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.74 , pp. 209-235
    • Lewellen, J.1
  • 32
    • 0000967256 scopus 로고
    • Bias in the estimation of autocorrelations
    • Marriott, F. & J. Pope (1954) Bias in the estimation of autocorrelations. Biometrika 41, 390-402.
    • (1954) Biometrika , vol.41 , pp. 390-402
    • Marriott, F.1    Pope, J.2
  • 33
    • 0000662659 scopus 로고
    • Invariants and likelihood ratio statistics
    • McCullagh, P. & D.R. Cox (1986) Invariants and likelihood ratio statistics. Annals of Statistics 14, 1419-1430.
    • (1986) Annals of Statistics , vol.14 , pp. 1419-1430
    • McCullagh, P.1    Cox, D.R.2
  • 34
    • 33748621203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Limit theory for moderate deviations from a unit root
    • Phillips, P.C.B. & T. Magdalinos (2007) Limit theory for moderate deviations from a unit root. Journal of Econometrics 136, 115-130.
    • (2007) Journal of Econometrics , vol.136 , pp. 115-130
    • Phillips, P.C.B.1    Magdalinos, T.2
  • 35
    • 0009883432 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Marginal-likelihood score-based tests of regression disturbances in the presence of nuisance parameters
    • Rahman, S. & M. King (1997) Marginal-likelihood score-based tests of regression disturbances in the presence of nuisance parameters. Journal of Econometrics 82, 81-106.
    • (1997) Journal of Econometrics , vol.82 , pp. 81-106
    • Rahman, S.1    King, M.2
  • 36
    • 85199981632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A conditional likelihood approach to residual maximum likelihood estimation in generalized linear models
    • Smyth, G. & Verbyla, A. (1996) A conditional likelihood approach to residual maximum likelihood estimation in generalized linear models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 58, 565-572.
    • (1996) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B , vol.58 , pp. 565-572
    • Smyth, G.1    Verbyla, A.2
  • 37
    • 0015723043 scopus 로고
    • Normal likelihoods and their relation to large sample theory of estimation
    • Sprott, D. (1973) Normal likelihoods and their relation to large sample theory of estimation. Biometrika 60, 457-465.
    • (1973) Biometrika , vol.60 , pp. 457-465
    • Sprott, D.1
  • 38
    • 0039572437 scopus 로고
    • Application of maximum likelihood methods to finite samples
    • Series B
    • Sprott, D. (1975) Application of maximum likelihood methods to finite samples. Sankhya, Series B 37, 259-270.
    • (1975) Sankhya , vol.37 , pp. 259-270
    • Sprott, D.1
  • 39
    • 0010946811 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood in small samples: Estimation in the presence of nuisance parameters
    • Sprott, D. (1980) Maximum likelihood in small samples: Estimation in the presence of nuisance parameters. Biometrika 67, 515-523.
    • (1980) Biometrika , vol.67 , pp. 515-523
    • Sprott, D.1
  • 40
    • 84988101432 scopus 로고
    • Inferential estimation, likelihood, and linear pivotals
    • Sprott, D. (1990) Inferential estimation, likelihood, and linear pivotals. Canadian Journal of Statistics 18, 1-10.
    • (1990) Canadian Journal of Statistics , vol.18 , pp. 1-10
    • Sprott, D.1
  • 45
    • 74049162111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bartlett correction in the stable AR(1) model with intercept and trend
    • Universiteit van Amsterdam
    • van Giersbergen, N. (2006) Bartlett Correction in the Stable AR(1) Model with Intercept and Trend. Working paper, Universiteit van Amsterdam.
    • (2006) Working Paper
    • Van Giersbergen, N.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.