Forecasting recessions: The puzzle of the enduring power of the yield curve

Journal of Business and Economic Statistics

Volumn 27, Issue 4, 2009, Pages 492-503

  Rudebusch, Glenn D ^a   Williams, John C ^a  

^a FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO   (United States)

Author keywords

Probability forecasts; Real time; Yield spread

Indexed keywords

EID: 70349934738     PISSN: 07350015     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2009.07213     Document Type: Article

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