Thermodynamic control on the climate of intense tropical cyclones

Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences

Volumn 465, Issue 2110, 2009, Pages 3011-3021

  Chan, Johnny C L ^a  

^a CITY UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG   (Hong Kong)

Author keywords

Climate change; Global warming; Tropical cyclones

Indexed keywords

GLOBAL WARMING; HURRICANES; OCEANOGRAPHY; STORMS; THERMODYNAMICS; TROPICS;

CLIMATE VARIATION; DYNAMIC FACTORS; FUTURE CLIMATE; OCEAN BASINS; REPRESENTATIVE INDICES; THERMODYNAMIC CONTROL; THERMODYNAMIC ENERGY; THERMODYNAMIC FACTORS; TROPICAL CYCLONE; TROPICAL CYCLONES;

CLIMATE CONTROL;

EID: 70349681970     PISSN: 13645021     EISSN: 14712946     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2009.0114     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. Bell, D. B. & Chelliah, M. 2006 Leading tropical modes associated with interannual and multidecadal fluctuations in North Atlantic hurricane activity. J. Clim. 19, 590-612. (doi:10.1175/JCLI3659.1)
2. Bell, G. D. et al. 2000 Climate assessment for 1999. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 81, S50-S51. (doi:10.1175/1520-0477 (2000) 81[s1:CAF]2.0. CO;2)
3. Bengtsson, L., Hodges, K. I., Esch, M., Keenlyside, N., Kornblueh, L., Luo, J.-J. & Yamagata, T. 2007 How may tropical cyclones change in a warmer climate? Tellus A 59, 539-561. (doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00251.x) (Pubitemid 47161930)
4. Camargo, S. J. & Sobel, A. H. 2005 Western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity and ENSO. J. Clim. 18, 2996-3006. (doi:10.1175/JCLI3457.1) (Pubitemid 41373035)
5. Chan, J. C. L. 2006 Comment on 'Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment'. Science 311, 1713. (doi:10.1126/science.1121522)
6. Chan, J. C. L. 2007 Interannual variations of intense typhoon activity. Tellus A 59, 455-460. (doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00241.x) (Pubitemid 47161922)
7. Chan, J. C. L. 2008 Decadal variations of intense typhoon occurrence in the western North Pacific. Proc. R. Soc. A 464, 249-272. (doi:10.1098/rspa.2007. 0183)
8. Chan, J. C. L. & Liu, K. S. 2004 Global warming and western North Pacific typhoon activity from an observational perspective. J. Clim. 17, 4590-4602. (doi:10.1175/3240.1) (Pubitemid 40098866)
9. Chang, E. K. & Guo, M. Y. 2007 Is the number of North Atlantic tropical cyclones significantly underestimated prior to the availability of satellite observations? Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L14801. (doi:10.1029/ 2007GL030169) (Pubitemid 47394005)
10. Chauvin, F., Royer, J.-F. & Déqué, M. 2006 Response of hurricane-type vortices to global warming as simulated by ARPEGE-Climat at high resolution. Clim. Dyn. 27, 377-399. (doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0135-7) (Pubitemid 43997757)
11. Emanuel, K. A. 1988 The maximum intensity of hurricanes. J. Atmos. Sci. 45, 1143-1155. (doi:10.1175/1520-0469 (1988) 045<1143:TMIOH>2.0. CO;2)
12. Emanuel, K. A. 2005 Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature 436, 686-688. (doi:10.1038/nature03906) (Pubitemid 41117268)
13. Emanuel, K. A. 2007 Environmental factors affecting tropical cyclone power dissipation. J. Clim. 20, 5497-5509. (doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1571.1) (Pubitemid 350285912)
14. Emanuel, K. A., Sundarajan, R. & Williams, J. 2008 Hurricanes and global warming: results from downscaling IPCC AR4 simulations. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 89, 347. (doi:10.1175/BAMS-89-3-347) (Pubitemid 351756668)
15. Goldenberg, S. B., Landsea, C. W., Mestas-Nunez, A. M. & Gray, W. M. 2001 The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: causes and implications. Science 293, 474-479. (doi:10.1126/science.1060040) (Pubitemid 32679071)
16. Gray, W. M. 1979 Hurricanes: their formation, structure, and likely role in the tropical circulation. In Meteorology over the tropical oceans (ed. D. B. Shaw), pp. 155-218. Bracknell, UK: Royal Meteorological Society.
17. Gualdi, S., Scoccimarro, E. & Navarra, A. 2008 Changes in tropical cyclone activity due to global warming: results from a high-resolution coupled general circulation model. J. Clim. 21, 5204-5228. (doi:10.1175/2008JCLI1921.1)
18. Harper, B. A., Stroud, S. A., McCormack, M. & West, S. 2008 A review of historical tropical cyclone intensity in northwestern Australia and implications for climate change trend analysis. Aust. Meteorol. Mag. 57, 121-141.
19. Kalnay, E. et al. 1996 The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77, 437-470. (doi:10.1175/1520-0477 (1996) 077<0437:TNYRP>2.0. CO;2)
20. Kamahori, H., Yamazaki, N., Mannoji, N. & Takahashi, K. 2006 Variability in intense tropical cyclone days in the western North Pacific. SOLA, 2, 104-107. (doi:10.2151/sola.2006-027)
21. Knaff, J. A. & Zehr, R. M. 2007 Reexamination of tropical cyclone wind-pressure relationships. Weather Forecast. 22, 71-88. (doi:10.1175/WAF965.1) (Pubitemid 46416752)
22. Knutson, T. R., Sirutis, J. J., Garner, S. T., Vecchi, G. A. & Held, I. M. 2008 Simulated reduction in Atlantic hurricane frequency under twenty-first-century warming conditions. Nat. Geosci. 1, 359-364. (doi:10.1038/ngeo202)
23. Kossin, J. P., Knapp, K. R., Vimont, D. J., Murnane, R. J. & Harper, B. A. 2007 A globally consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends. Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L04815. (doi:10.1029/2006GL028836) (Pubitemid 47272096)
24. Landsea, C. W., Harper, B. A., Hoarau, K. & Knaff, J. A. 2006 Can we detect trends in extreme tropical cyclones? Science 313, 452-454. (doi:10.1126/science.1128448) (Pubitemid 44148441)
25. McDonald, R. E., Bleaken, D. G., Cresswell, D. R., Pope, V. D. & Senior, C. A. 2005 Tropical storms: representation and diagnosis in climate models and the impacts of climate change. Clim. Dyn. 25, 19-36. (doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0491-0) (Pubitemid 41403381)
26. Nakazawa, T. & Hoshino, S. 2009 Intercomparison of Dvorak parameters in the tropical cyclone datasets over the western North Pacific. SOLA 5, 33-36. (doi:10.2151/sola.2009-009)
27. Oouchi, K., Yoshimura, J., Yoshimura, H., Mizuta, R., Kusunoki, S. & Noda, A. 2006 Tropical cyclone climatology in a global-warming climate as simulated in a 20-km-mesh global atmospheric model: frequency and wind intensity analyses. J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn. 84, 259-276. (doi:10.2151/jmsj.84.259)
28. Saffir, H. S. 2003 Communicating damage potentials and minimizing hurricane damage. In Hurricane! Coping with disaster (ed. R. Simpson), pp. 155-164. Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union.
29. Trewin, B. 2008 An enhanced tropical cyclone data set for the Australian region. In 20th Conf. on Climate Variability and Change, New Orleans, 21-24 January 2008. Preprint, Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society.
30. Vecchi, G. A. & Knutson, T. R. 2008 On estimates of historical North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. J. Clim. 21, 3580-3600. (doi:10.1175/ 2008JCLI2178.1)
31. Vecchi, G. A. & Soden, B. J. 2007 Increased tropical Atlantic wind shear in model projections of global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L08702. (doi:10.1029/2006GL028905) (Pubitemid 46958278)
32. Webster, P. J., Holland, G. J., Curry, J. A. & Chang, H.-R. 2005 Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science 309, 1844-1846. (doi:10.1126/science.1116448) (Pubitemid 41325092)
33. Wu, M.-C., Yeung, K.-H. & Chang, W.-L. 2006 Trends in western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity. Eos. Trans. Am. Geophys. Union 87, 537. (doi:10.1029/2006EO480001)