Climate change implications for flexible pavement design and performance in Southern Canada

Journal of Transportation Engineering

Volumn 135, Issue 10, 2009, Pages 773-782

  Mills, Brian N ^a   Tighe, Susan L ^b   Andrey, Jean ^b   Smith, James T ^b   Huen, Ken ^b  

^a ENVIRONMENT CANADA   (Canada)

^b UNIVERSITY OF WATERLOO   (Canada)

Author keywords

Asphalt pavements; Canada; Climatic changes; Flexible pavements; Pavement design; Pavement management

Indexed keywords

CANADA; CLIMATIC CHANGES; FLEXIBLE PAVEMENTS; PAVEMENT DESIGN; PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT;

ASPHALT; ASPHALT PAVEMENTS; DESIGN; PAVEMENT OVERLAYS; ROADS AND STREETS; TIME SERIES;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DESIGN METHOD; PAVEMENT; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

CANADA; NORTH AMERICA; UNITED STATES;

EID: 70349535866     PISSN: 0733947X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(2009)135:10(773)     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Andrey, J., Mills, B., and Warren, F. J. (2004). "Transportation." Climate change impacts and adaptation: A Canadian perspective, D. S. Lemmen and F. J. Warren, eds., Government of Canada, Ottawa, 131-149, 〈http://adaptation.nrcan.gc.ca/perspective/ index_e.php〉 (Oct. 2007).
2. Applied Research Associates, Inc. (2004). Guide for mechanistic-empirical design of new and rehabilitated pavement structures, NCRHP Project 1-37A, National Cooperative Highway Research Program, Washington, D.C.
3. Barrow, E., Maxwell, B., and Gachon, P. (2004). Climate variability and change in Canada: Past, present and future, ACSD Science Assessment Series No. 2, Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment Canada, Toronto, Ontario.
4. Carter, T. R., Hulme, M., and Lal, M. (1999). Guidelines on the use of scenario data for climate impact and adaptation assessment, version 1, Task Group on Scenarios for Climate Impact Assessment, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
5. Christensen, J. H., (2007). "Regional Climate Projections." Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H. L. Miller, eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.
6. Environment Canada. (2007a). Canada's 2005 Greenhouse Gas Inventory: A Summary of Trends, 〈http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_report/ 2005/2005summary_e.cfm〉.
7. Environment Canada. (2007b). Canadian Climate Change Scenarios Network (CCCSN), 〈http://www.cccsn.ca〉 (Oct. 2007).
8. Federal Highway Administration. (2002). Superpave asphalt mixture design, version 8.0, U.S. Federal Highway Administration, 〈http://www.tfhrc.gov/pavement/asphalt/prodrsrch/mixturedesign/ mixdsgn.pdf〉, (Nov. 2007).
9. Flato, G. M., and Boer, G. J. (2001). "Warming asymmetry in climate change simulations." Geophys. Res. Lett. GPRLAJ0094-8276, 28(1), 195-198. 10.1029/2000GL012121
10. Flato, G. M., Boer, G. J., Lee, W. G., McFarlane, N. A., Ramsden, D., Reader, M. C., and Weaver, A. J. (2000). "The Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis Global Coupled Model and its climate." Clim. Dyn. CLDYEM0930-7575, 16(6), 451-467. 10.1007/ s003820050339
11. Gordon, C., Cooper, C., Senior, C. A., Banks, H., Gregory, J. M., Johns, T. C., Mitchell, J. F. B., and Wood, R. A. (2000). "The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments." Clim. Dyn. CLDYEM0930-7575, 16, 147-168. 10.1007/s003820050010
12. Goyette, S., McFarlane, N. A., and Flato, G. M. (2000). "Application of the Canadian Regional Climate model to the Laurentian Great Lakes region: Implementation of a lake model." Atmos.-Ocean. ATOCDA0705-5900, 38(3), 481-503.
13. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2007). "Emission Scenarios: Summary for Policymakers." Special Report of IPCC Working Group III, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva 〈http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/spm/sres-en.pdf〉 (Nov. 2007).
14. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2007). "Summary for Policymakers." Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, S. Soloman, eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., 〈http://www.ipcc.ch〉 (Nov. 2007).
15. Leong, P., Tighe, S., and Doré, G. (2005). "Using LTPP data to develop spring load restrictions: A pilot study." Proc., 84th Annual Meeting (CD-ROM), Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C.
16. LTPP. (2007). "LTPP: Long term pavement performance program." U.S. Federal Highway Administration, 〈http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ pavement/ltpp/〉 (Nov. 2007).
17. Mills, B., Tighe, S. L., Andrey, J., Smith, J. T., Parm, S., and Huen, K. (2007). "The road well-traveled: Implications of climate change for pavement infrastructure in southern Canada." Adaptation and Impacts Research Division, Environment Canada, and University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada, 〈http://adaptation.nrcan.gc.ca/projdb/ pdf/134b_e.pdf〉.
18. Ministry of Transportation of Ontario. (2007). Quick facts: Provincial highway management, Ministry of Transportation of Ontario, 〈http://www.mto.gov.on.ca/english/about/quickfacts.htm〉 (Sept. 2007).
19. Minnesota DOT. (2004). "Guidelines for seasonal load limit starting and ending dates." Technical Memorandum No. 04-20-MAT-03, Engineering Services Division, 〈http://www.dot.state.mn.us/tecsup/ tmemo/active/tm04/20mat03.pdf〉 (Oct. 2007).
20. National Cooperative Highway Research Program. (2004). Guide for Mechanistic-Empirical Design of New and Rehabilitated Pavement Structures. National Cooperative Highway Research Program, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 〈http://www.trb.org/mepdg/software.htm〉 (Nov. 2007).
21. National Cooperative Highway Research Program. (2006a). "Independent review of Mechanistic-Empirical Design guide and software." Research Results Digest 307, National Cooperative Highway Research Program, Transportation Research Board, Washington D.C., 〈http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/ nchrp_rrd_307.pdf〉 (Nov. 2007).
22. National Cooperative Highway Research Program (2006b). "Changes to the Mechanistic-Empirical Design Guide software through version 9.000, July 2006." Research Results Digest 308, National Cooperative Highway Research Program, Transportation Research Board, Washington D.C., 〈http://onlinepubs/trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/ nchrp_rrd_308.pdf〉 (Nov. 2007).
23. Ontario Hot Mix Producers Association. (1999). "The ABCs of PGAC." Ontario Hot Mix Producers Association fact sheet, 〈http://www.ohmpa.org/lib/db2file.asp?fileid=189〉 (Nov. 2007).
24. Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison. (2007). Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) 〈http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ projects/cmip/index.php〉 (Oct. 2007).
25. Richardson, S. (1996). "Valuation of the Canadian road and highway system." Rep. No. TP 1279E, Transport Canada, Ottawa, Ontario.
26. Semenov, M., Brooks, R., Barrow, E., and Richardson, C. (1998). "Comparison of the WGEN and LARS-WG stochastic weather generators in diverse climates." Clim. Res. ZZZZZZ0936-577X, 10, 95-107. 10.3354/cr010095
27. Transport Canada. (2003). "Transportation in Canada 2003 Annual Report." Rep. No. TP13198E, Transport Canada, Ottawa, Ontario.
28. Wilby, R. L., Dawson, C. W., and Barrow, E. M. (2002). "SDSM-a decision support tool for the assessment of regional climate change impacts." Environ. Modell. Software EMSOFT1364-8152, 17(2), 145-157. 10.1016/S1364-8152(01)00060-3
29. Wilks, D. S., and Wilby, R. L. (1999). "The weather generation game: A review of stochastic weather models." Prog. Phys. Geogr. PPGEEC0309-1333, 23(3), 329-357.