메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 106, Issue 37, 2009, Pages 15555-15559

Higher trends but larger uncertainty and geographic variability in 21st century temperature and heat waves

Author keywords

Climate change; Extremes; Regional analysis

Indexed keywords

ADAPTATION; ARTICLE; ASTRONOMY; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPARATIVE STUDY; GEOGRAPHY; GLOBAL CHANGE; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; HEAT; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SIMULATION; TEMPERATURE; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 70349462456     PISSN: 00278424     EISSN: 10916490     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0904495106     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (104)

References (25)
  • 2
    • 45849116539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2 from fossil fuels
    • 2 from fossil fuels. J Ind Ecol 12:136-139.
    • (2008) J Ind Ecol , vol.12 , pp. 136-139
    • Marland, G.1
  • 5
    • 0003564167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nakicenovic N, Swart R, Eds Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
    • Nakicenovic N, Swart R, Eds (2000) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK).
    • (2000) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios
  • 6
    • 4043154304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century
    • DOI 10.1126/science.1098704
    • Meehl G, Tebaldi C (2004) More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science 305:994-997. (Pubitemid 39071772)
    • (2004) Science , vol.305 , Issue.5686 , pp. 994-997
    • Meehl, G.A.1    Tebaldi, C.2
  • 12
    • 14544287376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: A Bayesian approach to the analysis of multimodel ensebles
    • Tebaldi C, Smith RL, Nychka D, MearnsLO(2005) Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: A Bayesian approach to the analysis of multimodel ensebles. J Clim 18:1524-1540.
    • (2005) J Clim , vol.18 , pp. 1524-1540
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Smith, R.L.2    Nychka, D.3    Mearns, L.O.4
  • 13
    • 34547198775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble climate predictions using climate models and observational constraints
    • Stott PA, Forest CE (2007) Ensemble climate predictions using climate models and observational constraints. Philos Trans R Soc London Ser A 365:2029-2052.
    • (2007) Philos Trans R Soc London Ser A , vol.365 , pp. 2029-2052
    • Stott, P.A.1    Forest, C.E.2
  • 14
    • 0000593274 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method
    • Toth Z, Kalnay E (1997) Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method. Mon Weather Rev 125:3297-3319. (Pubitemid 127667540)
    • (1997) Monthly Weather Review , vol.125 , Issue.12 , pp. 3297-3319
    • Toth, Z.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 16
    • 0037129227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Origins and estimates of uncertainty in predictions of twenty-first century temperature rise
    • Stott PA, Kettleborough JA (2002) Origins and estimates of uncertainty in predictions of twenty-first century temperature rise. Nature 416:723-726.
    • (2002) Nature , vol.416 , pp. 723-726
    • Stott, P.A.1    Kettleborough, J.A.2
  • 19
    • 34248185007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent climate observations compared to projections
    • Rahmstorf S (2007) Recent climate observations compared to projections. Science 316:709.
    • (2007) Science , vol.316 , pp. 709
    • Rahmstorf, S.1
  • 20
    • 45249118445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian design and analysis for superensemble-based climate forecasting
    • DOI 10.1175/2007JCLI1619.1
    • Berliner ML, Kim Y (2008) Bayesian design and analysis for superensemble-based climate forecasting. J Clim 21:1891-1910. (Pubitemid 351837254)
    • (2008) Journal of Climate , vol.21 , Issue.9 , pp. 1891-1910
    • Berliner, V.M.1    Kim, Y.2
  • 21
    • 38349052941 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Certainty and uncertainty in climate change predictions: What use are climate models?
    • Watson J (2008) Certainty and uncertainty in climate change predictions: What use are climate models? Environ Resour Econ 39:37-44.
    • (2008) Environ Resour Econ , vol.39 , pp. 37-44
    • Watson, J.1
  • 22
    • 23844488736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overview of the software design of the community climate system model
    • Drake JB, Jones PW, Carr GR (2005) Overview of the software design of the community climate system model. Int J High Perform C 19:177-186.
    • (2005) Int J High Perform C , vol.19 , pp. 177-186
    • Drake, J.B.1    Jones, P.W.2    Carr, G.R.3
  • 23
    • 0042092646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • TheNCEP-NCAR50year reanalysis
    • Kistler R, et al. (2001)TheNCEP-NCAR50year reanalysis. BullAmMeteorol Soc 82:247-268.
    • (2001) BullAmMeteorol Soc , vol.82 , pp. 247-268
    • Kistler, R.1
  • 24
    • 49649086426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate war games
    • Tollefson J (2008) Climate war games. Nature 454:673.
    • (2008) Nature , vol.454 , pp. 673
    • Tollefson, J.1
  • 25
    • 84976750819 scopus 로고
    • A method of bivariate interpolation and smooth surface fitting for irregularly distributed data points
    • Hiroshi A(1978) A method of bivariate interpolation and smooth surface fitting for irregularly distributed data points. ACM Trans Math Software 4:148-159.
    • (1978) ACM Trans Math Software , vol.4 , pp. 148-159
    • Hiroshi, A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.