Modeling of the load duration curve using the asymmetric generalized gaussian distribution: Case of the tunisian power system

Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS 2008

Volumn , Issue , 2008, Pages 162-167

  Mohamed, Ould Mohamed M ^a   Jaidane Saidane M ^a   Souissi, J ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TUNIS EL MANAR   (Tunisia)

^b Societe Tunisienne d'Electricite et du Gaz ^*  (Tunisia)

Author keywords

Air conditioning; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Long term power generation scheduling; Power system planning

Indexed keywords

AIR CONDITIONING LOAD; ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES; GENERALIZED GAUSSIAN DISTRIBUTIONS; LOAD DEMAND; LOAD DURATION CURVES; LOAD FORECASTING; LOAD MODELING; LONG-TERM POWER GENERATION SCHEDULING; NUMERICAL RESULTS; PEAK LOAD; POWER SYSTEM PLANNING; POWER SYSTEMS;

AIR CONDITIONING; ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION NETWORKS; GAUSSIAN DISTRIBUTION; POWER TRANSMISSION; SCHEDULING;

ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING;

EID: 70349117788     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (19)

1. S.Parkpoom, G.P. Harrison, J.W.Bialek, "Climate change impact on electricity demand," Proc 39 th. Universities Power Engineering Conference, Bristol Sept. 2004.
2. S. Rahman, Rinaldy, "An efficient load model for analysing demand side management impacts ", IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 8 (3) (1993).
3. A.B.R. Sulaiman, M.S.M. Al-Hafid, A.S.A. Al-Fahadi, "Developing annual load duration curve using an intelligent technique" , in: PSCE 2004 Power Systems Conference Expo, New York, October 1013, 2004.
4. A.R. Osareh, J. Pan, S. Rahman "An efficient approach to identify and integrate demand-side management on electric utility generation planning", Electric Power Systems Research 36 (1996) 3-I1.
5. B.H. Baily, J.R. Doty, R. Perez, R. Stewart, "Evaluation of a demand side management photovoltaic system" , IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion 8 (4) (1993).
6. E.G. Contaxi, S.Kavatza "Application of weather-sensitive peak load forecasting model to the Hellenic system," IEEE Melecon 2004, May 12-15, 2004 Dubrovnik, Croatia.
7. A. Poulin et al., "Load duration curve: A tool for technico-economic analysis of energy solutions", Energy & Buildings (2007),doi:10.1016/ j.enbuild.2007.01.020
8. P.Zhang and Stephen T.Lee "probabilistic Load flow Computation Using the method of Cumulants and Gram-Charlier Expension" IEEE transaction power systems, Vol.19 No 1, February 2004
9. J.-L. Lacoume, P.-O. Amblard, P. Comon, "Statistiques dOdre Suprieur pour le Traitement du Signal," , 1997 Edition Masson
10. A. Tesei, and C.S. Regazzoni, "The asymmetric generalized Gaussian function: a new HOS-based model for generic noise pdfs,". Proc. IEEE Statistical Signal and Array Processing, pp. 210-213, 1996.
11. R.T.Jinkins and D.S.Joy, "Wien Automatic System Planning Package (WASP)-an Electric Utility Optimal Generation Planning Computer" , oak Ridge National Labortory, July 1977.
12. June-Yule Lee; Nandi, A.K, "Parameter Estimation ofthe Asymmetric Generalised Gaussian Family of Distributions," Statistical Signal Processing (Ref. No. 1999/002), IEE Colloquium on 6 Jan 1999 Page(s):9/1-9/5.
13. Moser, G.; Zerubia, J.; Serpico, S.B.; "SAR amplitude probability density function estimation based on a generalized Gaussian model Image Processing, IEEE Transactions on Volume15, Issue 6, June 2006 Page(s):1429-1442
14. C. Tzagkarakis, A. Mouchtaris, P. Tsakalides; "Musical Genre Classification VIA Generalized Gaussian and Alpha-Stable Modeling," Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, 2006. ICASSP 2006 Proceedings. 2006 IEEE International Conference on Volume5, 14-19 May 2006 Page(s):V-217-V-220
15. Kai-Sheng Song, "A globally convergent and consistent method for estimating the shape parameter ofa generalized Gaussian distribution" ,; Information Theory, IEEE Transactions on Volume52, Issue 2, Feb. 2006 Page(s):510-527
16. Abramowitz, M. and Stegun, I.A., 1964, "Handbook of Mathematical Functions, Applied Mathematics Series" , Vol 55, chapter 5, Dover Publications, New York, 1968.
17. J.Wang, G. Ren, "Load forecasting based on chaotic support vector machine with incorporated intelligence algorithm," Proceeding of the first International Conference on Innovative Computing, Informaion and Control (ICICIC'O6) IEEE 2006.
18. Ould Mohamed M.Mohamed, M.Jaidane, J.Souissi, "Varaiability of predictabilty ofthe daily peak load using Lyapunov exponent approach: case of Tunisian Power System" IEEE Power Engineering Society, PowerTech07, Suizerlan 2-5 july 2007.
19. David W. Scott, "Mulivariate Density Estimation", Wiley-Interscience. 1992.