Changes in habitat specificity of species at their climatic range boundaries

Ecology Letters

Volumn 12, Issue 10, 2009, Pages 1091-1102

  Oliver, Tom ^a   Hill, Jane K ^b   Thomas, Chris D ^b   Brereton, Tom ^c   Roy, David B ^a  

^a CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY AND HYDROLOGY   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF YORK   (United Kingdom)

^c BUTTERFLY CONSERVATION   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Bioclimatic envelope model; Butterfly habitat management; Habitat associations; Niche breadth; Range margin

Indexed keywords

BIOCLIMATOLOGY; BUTTERFLY; GEOGRAPHICAL VARIATION; HABITAT MANAGEMENT; HABITAT SELECTION; HABITAT USE; NICHE BREADTH; RANGE SIZE; SPECIES CONSERVATION;

ANIMAL; ANIMAL BEHAVIOR; ARTICLE; BUTTERFLY; CLIMATE; ECOSYSTEM; GEOGRAPHY; PHYSIOLOGY; SPECIES DIFFERENCE; UNITED KINGDOM;

ANIMALS; BUTTERFLIES; CLIMATE; ECOSYSTEM; GEOGRAPHY; GREAT BRITAIN; HOMING BEHAVIOR; SPECIES SPECIFICITY;

EURASIA; EUROPE; UNITED KINGDOM; WESTERN EUROPE;

EID: 70349092586     PISSN: 1461023X     EISSN: 14610248     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2009.01367.x     Document Type: Article

References (56)

1. Anderson, B.J., Akçakaya, H.R., Araújo, M.B., Fordham, D.A., Martinez-Meyer, E., Thuiller, W. et al. (2009). Dynamics of range margins for metapopulations under climate change. Proc. Roy. Soc. B, 276, 1415 1420.
2. Asher, J., Warren, M., Fox, R., Harding, P., Jeffcoate, G. Jeffcoate, S. (2001). The Millenium Atlas of Butterflies in Britain and Ireland. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
3. Benton, T., Vickery, J.A. Wilson, J.D. (2003). Farmland biodiversity: is habitat heterogeneity the key? Trends Ecol. Evol., 18, 182 188.
4. Berry, P.M., Dawson, T.P., Harrison, P.A. Pearson, R.G. (2002). Modelling the potential impacts of climate change on the bioclimatic envelope of species in Britain and Ireland. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr., 11, 453 462.
5. Broennimann, O., Treier, U.A., Müller-Schärer, H., Thuiller, W., Peterson, A.T. Guisan, A. (2007). Evidence of climatic shift during biological invasion. Ecol. Lett., 10, 701 709.
6. Brown, J.H. (1984). On the relationship between abundance and distribution of species. Am. Nat., 124, 255 279.
7. Countryside Survey (2008). Chapter 2: The national picture. In : UK Results from 2007. Available at: http://www.countrysidesurvey.org.uk/ reports2007.html.
8. Cowley, M.J.R., Thomas, C.D., Roy, D.B., Wilson, R.J., Lén-Cortés, J.L., Gutiérrez, D. et al. (2001). Density-distribution relationships in British butterflies. I. The effect of mobility and spatial scale. J. Anim. Ecol., 70, 410 425.
9. Crawley, M.J. (2007). The r Book. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester.
10. Crozier, L. (2004). Warmer winters drive butterfly range expansion by increasing survivorship. Ecology, 85, 231 241.
11. Davies, Z.G., Wilson, R.J., Coles, S. Thomas, C.D. (2006). Changing habitat associations of a thermally constrained species, the silver-spotted skipper butterfly, in response to climate warming. J. Anim. Ecol., 75, 247 256.
12. Dray, S. Dufour, A.B. (2007). The ade4 package: implementing the duality diagram for ecologists. J. Stat. Softw., 22, 1 20.
13. Ehrlich, P.R., Murphy, D.D., Singer, M.C., Sherwood, C.B., White, R.R. Brown, I.L. (1980). Extinction, reduction, stability and increase: the responses of checkerspot butterfly (Euphydryas) populations to the California drought. Oecologia, 46, 101 105.
14. Elith, J., Graham, C.H., Anderson, R.P., Dudík, M., Ferrier, S., Guisan, A. et al. (2006). Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography, 29, 129 151.
15. Faraway, J.J. (2006). Extending the Linear model with r: Generalized Linear, Mixed Effects and Nonparametric Regression Models. Chapman and Hall, London.
16. Fox, R., Asher, J., Brereton, T., Roy, D.B. Warren, M. (2006). The State of Butterflies in Britain and Ireland. Pisces Publications, Oxford.
17. Garshelis, D.L. (2000). Delusions in habitat evaluation: measuring use, selection and importance. In : Research Techniques in Animal Ecology: Controversies and Consequences (eds Boitani, L. Fuller, T.K.). Columbia University Press, New York, pp. 111 164.
18. Gittleman, J.L. Kot, M. (1990). Adaptation: statistics and a null model for estimating phylogenetic effects. Syst. Zool., 39, 227 241.
19. Grafen, A. (1989). The phylogenetic regression. Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. Lon. B, 326, 119 157.
20. Guisan, A. Zimmermann, N.E. (2000). Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol. Mod., 135, 147 186.
21. Hickling, R., Roy, D.B., Hill, J.K., Fox, R. Thomas, C.D. (2006). The distributions of a wide range of taxonomic groups are expanding polewards. Glob. Chang. Biol., 12, 450 455.
22. Hill, J.K., Collingham, Y.C., Thomas, C.D., Blakeley, D.S., Fox, R., Moss, D. et al. (2001). Impacts of landscape structure on butterfly range expansion. Ecol. Lett., 4, 313 321.
23. Hill, J.K., Thomas, C.D., Fox, R., Telfer, M.G., Willis, S.G., Asher, J. et al. (2002). Responses of butterflies to twentieth century climate warming: implications for future ranges. Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B, 269, 2163 2171.
24. Hopkins, J.J., Allison, H.M., Walmsley, C.A., Gaywood, M. Thurgate, G. (2007). Conserving biodiversity in a changind climate: guidance on building capacity to adapt. Defra report on behalf of the UK Biodiversity Partnership.
25. Keith, D.A., Akçakaya, H.R., Thuiller, W., Midgley, G.F., Pearson, R.G., Phillips, S.J. et al. (2008). Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models. Biol. Lett., 4, 560 563.
26. Kindvall, O. (1995). The impact of extreme weather on habitat preference and survival in a metapopulation of the bush cricket Metrioptera bicolor in Sweden. Biol. Conserv., 73, 51 58.
27. Kindvall, O. (1996). Habitat heterogeneity and survival in a bush cricket metapopulation. Ecology, 77, 207 214.
28. Kunin, W.E. (2008). On comparative analyses involving non-heritable traits: why half a loaf is sometimes worse than none. Evol. Ecol. Res., 10, 787 796.
29. Lennon, J.J., Kunin, W.E., Corne, S., Carver, S. Van Hees, W.W.S. (2002). Are Alaskan trees found in locally more favourable sites in marginal areas? Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr., 11, 103 114.
30. Manly, B.F.J., McDonald, L.L., Thomas, D.L., McDonald, T.L. Erickson, W.P. (2003). Resource Selection by Animals - Statistical Design and Analysis for Field Studies, 2nd edn. Kluwer academic publishers, London.
31. Martinez-Meyer, E., Peterson, A.T. Hargrove, W.W. (2004). Ecological niches as stable distributional contraints on mammal species, with implications for Pleistocene extinctions and climate change projections for biodiversity. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr., 13, 305 315.
32. Mitchell, T.D. Jones, P.D. (2005). An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int. J. Clim., 25, 693 712.
33. New, M., Hulme, M. Jones, P.D. (1999). Representing twentieth century space-time climate variability. Part 1: development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology. J. Clim., 12, 829 856.
34. Paradis, E. (2006). Analysis of Phylogenetics and Evolution with r. Springer, Baltimore.
35. Parmesan, C. Yohe, G. (2003). A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 421, 37 42.
36. Peterson, A.T. Vieglais, D.A. (2001). Predicting species invasions using ecological niche modelling: new approaches from bioinformatics attack a pressing problem. Bioscience, 51, 363 371.
37. Peterson, A.T., Soberón, J. Sánchez-Cordero, V. (1999). Conservatism of ecological niches in evolutionary time. Science, 285, 1265 1267.
38. Pollard, E. Yates, T.J. (1993). Monitoring Butterflies for Ecology and Conservation. Chapman and Hall, London.
39. R Development Core Team (2007). r: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing (ed. Computing RFfS) Vienna, Austria. ISBN 3-900051-07-0, Available at: http://www.R-project.org.
40. Root, T., Price, T., Hall, K.R., Rosenzweigk, C. Pounds, A. (2003). Fingerprints of global warming wild animals and plants. Nature, 421, 57 60.
41. Roy, D.B. Sparks, T.H. (2000). Phenology of British butterflies and climate change. Glob. Chang. Biol., 6, 407 416.
42. Roy, D.B. Thomas, J.A. (2003). Seasonal variation in the niche, habitat availability and population fluctuations of a bivoltine thermophilous insect near its range margin. Oecologia, 134, 439 444.
43. Roy, D.B., Rothery, P., Moss, D., Pollard, E. Thomas, J.A. (2001). Butterfly numbers and weather: predicting historical trends in abundance and the future effects of climate change. J. Anim. Ecol., 70, 201 217.
44. Schofield, G., Bishop, C.M., Katselidis, K.K.A., Dimopoulos, P., Pantis, J.D. Hays, G.C. (2009). Microhabitat selection by sea turtles in a dynamic thermal marine environment. J. Anim. Ecol., 78, 14 21.
45. Singer, M.C. Thomas, C.D. (1996). Evolutionary responses of a butterfly metapopulation to human and climate-caused environmental variation. Am. Nat., 148, 59 539.
46. Sutcliffe, O., Thomas, C.D., Yates, T.J. Greatorex-Davies, J.N. (1997). Correlated extinctions, colonisations and population fluctuations in a highly connected ringlet butterfly metapopulation. Oecologia, 109, 235 241.
47. Thomas, J.A. (1983). The ecology and conservation of Lysandra bellargus (Lepidoptera, Lycaenidae) in Britain. J. Appl. Ecol., 20, 59 83.
48. Thomas, J.A. (1993). Holocene climate changes and warm man-made refugia may explain why a sixth of British butterflies possess unnatural early-successional habitats. Ecography, 16, 278 284.
49. Thomas, C.D., Singer, M.C. Boughton, D.A. (1996). Catastrophic extinction of population sources in a butterfly metapopulation. Am. Nat., 148, 957 975.
50. Thomas, J.A., Rose, R.J., Clarke, R.T., Thomas, C.D. Webb, N.R. (1999). Intraspecific variation in habitat availability among ectothermic animals near their climatic limits and their centres of range. Func. Ecol., 13, 55 64.
51. Thomas, C.D., Bodsworth, E.J., Wilson, R.J., Simmons, A.D., Davies, Z.G., Musche, M. et al. (2001). Ecological and evolutionary processes at expanding range margins. Nature, 411, 577 581.
52. Thomas, C.D., Franco, A.M.A. Hill, J.K. (2006). Range retractions and extinction in the face of climate warming. Trends Ecol. Evol., 21, 415 416.
53. Thuiller, W., Richardson, D.M., Pysek, P., Midgley, G.F., Hughes, G.O. Rouget, M. (2005). Niche based modelling as a tool for predicting the risk of alien plant invasions at a global scale. Glob. Chang. Biol., 11, 2234 2250.
54. Walther, G.-R., Post, E., Menzel, A., Parmesank, C., Beebee, T., Fromentin, J.-M. et al. (2002). Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature, 416, 389 395.
55. Warren, M.S., Hill, J.K., Thomas, J.A., Asher, J., Fox, R., Huntley, B. et al. (2001). Rapid responses of British butterflies to opposing forces of climate and habitat change. Nature, 414, 65 69.
56. Wilson, R.J., Davies, Z.G. Thomas, C.D. (2009). Modelling the effect of habitat fragmentation on range expansion in a butterfly. Proc. Roy. Soc. B, 276, 1421 1427.