메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 68, Issue 3, 2009, Pages 256-271

How should governments make risky policy decisions ?

Author keywords

Decision analysis; Perceptions; Policy making; Risk; Subjectivity; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords


EID: 69449085205     PISSN: 03136647     EISSN: 14678500     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8500.2009.00638.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (23)

References (61)
  • 1
    • 0034597785 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inquiry blames missed warnings for scale of britain's bse crisis
    • Aldhous, P. 2000 Inquiry Blames Missed Warnings for Scale of Britain's BSE Crisis Nature 408 : 3 5.
    • (2000) Nature , vol.408 , pp. 3-5
    • Aldhous, P.1
  • 5
    • 84990147654 scopus 로고
    • Reconsiderations on risk deductions in public project appraisal
    • Anderson, J.R. 1989 Reconsiderations on Risk Deductions in Public Project Appraisal Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics 33 (2 136 140.
    • (1989) Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics , vol.33 , Issue.2 , pp. 136-140
    • Anderson, J.R.1
  • 7
    • 0000940164 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and evaluation of public investment decisions
    • and. Comments by E.J. Mishan, R.N. McKean, J.H. Moore and D. Wellington, reply by K.J. Arrow and R.C. Lind, American Economic Review 62:161-172.
    • Arrow, K.J. and R.C. Lind. 1970 Uncertainty and Evaluation of Public Investment Decisions American Economic Review 60 (3 364 378. Comments by E.J. Mishan, R.N. McKean, J.H. Moore and D. Wellington, reply by K.J. Arrow and R.C. Lind, American Economic Review 62:161-172.
    • (1970) American Economic Review , vol.60 , Issue.3 , pp. 364-378
    • Arrow, K.J.1    Lind, R.C.2
  • 8
    • 0037364790 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the use of risk and decision analysis to support decision-making
    • and
    • Aven, T. and J. Kørte. 2003 On the Use of Risk and Decision Analysis to Support Decision-Making Reliability Engineering and System Safety 79 (3 289 299.
    • (2003) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.79 , Issue.3 , pp. 289-299
    • Aven, T.1    Kørte, J.2
  • 9
    • 33845627639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A decision framework for risk management, with application to oil and gas industry
    • and
    • Aven, T., J.E. Vinnem and H.S. Wiencke. 2007 A Decision Framework for Risk Management, With Application to Oil and Gas Industry Reliability Engineering and System Safety 92 (4 433 448.
    • (2007) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.92 , Issue.4 , pp. 433-448
    • Aven, T.1    Vinnem, J.E.2    Wiencke, H.S.3
  • 10
    • 84869709455 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic Techniques Series: Fact Sheet 1. Queensland Government. URL. Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • Bennett, J. 2005. Choice Modelling: A Step-by-Step Guide. Economic Techniques Series: Fact Sheet 1. Queensland Government. URL http://www.epa.qld. gov.au/publications?id=1585 Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • (2005) Choice Modelling: A Step-by-Step Guide.
    • Bennett, J.1
  • 11
    • 33749042819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making enduring choices: Uncertainty and public Policy
    • and
    • Bjornstad, D.J. and M. McKee. 2006 Making Enduring Choices: Uncertainty and Public Policy Energy Economics 28 (5-6 667 676.
    • (2006) Energy Economics , vol.28 , Issue.56 , pp. 667-676
    • Bjornstad, D.J.1    McKee, M.2
  • 12
    • 28844484450 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Providing economic information in an increasingly difficult policy environment
    • Bonnen, J.T. 2000 Providing Economic Information in an Increasingly Difficult Policy Environment Review of Agricultural Economics 22 (4 500 518.
    • (2000) Review of Agricultural Economics , vol.22 , Issue.4 , pp. 500-518
    • Bonnen, J.T.1
  • 13
    • 22844454773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Beliefs, rational choice and bayesian learning
    • Breen, R. 1999 Beliefs, Rational Choice and Bayesian Learning Rationality and Society 11 (4 463 479.
    • (1999) Rationality and Society , vol.11 , Issue.4 , pp. 463-479
    • Breen, R.1
  • 14
    • 57849141138 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review of roger s. pielke, jr., the honest broker: Making sense of science in policy and politics
    • Brown, M.B. 2008 Review of Roger S. Pielke, Jr., The Honest Broker: Making Sense of Science in Policy and Politics Minerva 46 (4 485 489.
    • (2008) Minerva , vol.46 , Issue.4 , pp. 485-489
    • Brown, M.B.1
  • 16
    • 29144501979 scopus 로고
    • We must adopt a risk-averse approach and always err on the side of caution when dealing with environmental issues
    • In. ed. J. Bennett. Perth: Institute of Public Affairs.
    • Brunton, R. 1995 We Must Adopt a Risk-Averse Approach and Always Err on the Side of Caution when Dealing with Environmental Issues In Tall Green Tales, ed. J. Bennett. Perth : Institute of Public Affairs.
    • (1995) Tall Green Tales
    • Brunton, R.1
  • 17
    • 0031825311 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Safe minimum standards: Cost and opportunities
    • Crowards, T.M. 1998 Safe Minimum Standards: Cost and Opportunities Ecological Economics 25 (3 303 314.
    • (1998) Ecological Economics , vol.25 , Issue.3 , pp. 303-314
    • Crowards, T.M.1
  • 18
    • 34548446273 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Project options valuation with net present value and decision tree analysis
    • and
    • De Reyck, B., Z. Degrave and R. Vanderborre. 2008 Project Options Valuation with Net Present Value and Decision Tree Analysis European Journal of Operational Research 184 (1 341 355.
    • (2008) European Journal of Operational Research , vol.184 , Issue.1 , pp. 341-355
    • De Reyck, B.1    Degrave, Z.2    Vanderborre, R.3
  • 20
    • 0043187507 scopus 로고
    • How safe is safe enough ? a psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits
    • and
    • Fischhoff, B., P. Slovic, S. Lichtenstein, S. Read and B. Combs. 1978 How Safe is Safe Enough ? A Psychometric Study of Attitudes towards Technological Risks and Benefits Policy Studies 9 (2 127 152.
    • (1978) Policy Studies , vol.9 , Issue.2 , pp. 127-152
    • Fischhoff, B.1    Slovic, P.2    Lichtenstein, S.3    Read Combs S, B.4
  • 24
    • 84869722369 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • and. Working Paper 2005-1. Norwegian Agricultural Economics Research Institute. URL. Consulted 13 May 2006.
    • Hardaker, J.B. and G. Lien. 2005. Towards Some Principles of Good Practice for Decision Analysis in Agriculture. Working Paper 2005-1. Norwegian Agricultural Economics Research Institute. URL http://www.nilf.no/Publikasjoner/ Notater/En/2005/N200501Hele.pdf Consulted 13 May 2006.
    • (2005) Towards Some Principles of Good Practice for Decision Analysis in Agriculture.
    • Hardaker, J.B.1    Lien, G.2
  • 27
    • 69449091225 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK. URL. Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • Jones, K.E. 2005. Understanding Risk in Everyday Policy-Making. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK. URL http://www.defra. gov.uk/environment/risk/policymaking0509.pdf Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • (2005) Understanding Risk in Everyday Policy-Making.
    • Jones, K.E.1
  • 28
    • 0037311816 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk research in agricultural economics: Opportunities and challenges for the next twenty-five years
    • Just, R.E. 2003 Risk Research in Agricultural Economics: Opportunities and Challenges for the Next Twenty-Five Years Agricultural Systems 75 (2-3 123 159.
    • (2003) Agricultural Systems , vol.75 , Issue.23 , pp. 123-159
    • Just, R.E.1
  • 33
    • 84869721056 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • F&M: The rural nemesis
    • BBC News. URL. Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • Kirby, A. 2001 F&M: The Rural Nemesis 2001 Review of the Year, BBC News. URL http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/in-depth/world/2001/review-of-2001/1697976. stm Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • (2001) 2001 Review of the Year
    • Kirby, A.1
  • 35
    • 0004127589 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lord Phillips of Worth Matravers, J. Bridgeman and M. Ferguson-Smith. London: Stationery Office.
    • Lord Phillips of Worth Matravers, J. Bridgeman and M. Ferguson-Smith. 2000. The BSE Inquiry. London : Stationery Office.
    • (2000) The BSE Inquiry.
  • 38
    • 0003651381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ministry of Agriculture, Nature Management and Fisheries. Note of meeting. URL. Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • Ministry of Agriculture, Nature Management and Fisheries. 2002. Foot and Mouth Disease: Lessons Learned Inquiry. Note of meeting. URL http://archive.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/fmd/fmd-report/documents/B-MeetingNotes/ Inquiry%20Visit%20to%20The%20Netherlands.pdf Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • (2002) Foot and Mouth Disease: Lessons Learned Inquiry.
  • 40
    • 18144453239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between risk analysis and the precautionary principle
    • 127-130
    • Morris, J. 2002 The Relationship between Risk Analysis and the Precautionary Principle Toxicology 181 182 : 127 130.
    • (2002) Toxicology , pp. 181-182
    • Morris, J.1
  • 41
    • 0004239573 scopus 로고
    • National Research Council. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
    • National Research Council. 1989. Improving Risk Communication. Washington, DC : National Academy Press.
    • (1989) Improving Risk Communication.
  • 42
    • 84869724414 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pannell Discussions No. 134. URL. Consulted 8 October 2008.
    • Pannell, D. 2008a. Why is it Hard for Research to Influence Policy Pannell Discussions No. 134. URL http://cyllene.uwa.edu.au/∼dpannell/pd/ pd0134.htm Consulted 8 October 2008.
    • (2008) Why Is It Hard for Research to Influence Policy
    • Pannell, D.1
  • 43
    • 84869710047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pannell Discussions No. 136. URL. Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • Pannell, D. 2008b. Engaging with Policy: Tips for Researchers. Pannell Discussions No. 136. URL http://cyllene.uwa.edu.au/∼dpannell/pd/pd0136.htm Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • (2008) Engaging with Policy: Tips for Researchers.
    • Pannell, D.1
  • 44
    • 84869699383 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pannell Discussions No. 137. URL. Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • Pannell, D. 2008c. Engaging with Researchers: Tips for Policy-Makers. Pannell Discussions No. 137. URL http://cyllene.uwa.edu.au/∼dpannell/pd/ pd0137.htm Consulted 13 May 2009.
    • (2008) Engaging with Researchers: Tips for Policy-Makers.
    • Pannell, D.1
  • 45
    • 29744441068 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Judgement, decision-making and public policy
    • and. In. eds D.J. Koehler. and. N. Harvey. Oxford: Blackwell Publishing.
    • Pidgeon, N. and R. Gregory. 2004 Judgement, Decision-Making and Public Policy In Blackwell Handbook of Judgement and Decision-Making, eds D.J. Koehler and N. Harvey. Oxford : Blackwell Publishing.
    • (2004) Blackwell Handbook of Judgement and Decision-Making
    • Pidgeon, N.1    Gregory, R.2
  • 47
    • 0003159917 scopus 로고
    • Normal science and its dangers
    • In. eds I. Lakatos. and. A. Musgrave. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Popper, K. 1970 Normal Science and its Dangers In Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge, eds I. Lakatos and A. Musgrave. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 51 58.
    • (1970) Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge , pp. 51-58
    • Popper, K.1
  • 50
    • 0037376110 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precaution, uncertainty and causation in environmental decisions
    • and
    • Ricci, P.F., D. Rice, J. Ziagos and L.A. Cox Jr. 2003 Precaution, Uncertainty and Causation in Environmental Decisions Environmental International 29 (1 1 19.
    • (2003) Environmental International , vol.29 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-19
    • Ricci, P.F.1    Rice, D.2    Ziagos, J.3    Cox, Jr.L.A.4
  • 53
    • 31744435700 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Complexity, "practical rationality" and evidence-based policy-making
    • Sanderson, I. 2006 Complexity, "Practical Rationality" and Evidence-Based Policy-Making Policy and Politics 34 (1 115 132.
    • (2006) Policy and Politics , vol.34 , Issue.1 , pp. 115-132
    • Sanderson, I.1
  • 54
    • 0043105798 scopus 로고
    • Discount rates in public investment under uncertainty
    • Sandmo, A. 1972 Discount Rates in Public Investment under Uncertainty International Economic Review 13 (2 287 302.
    • (1972) International Economic Review , vol.13 , Issue.2 , pp. 287-302
    • Sandmo, A.1
  • 55
    • 0033178111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trust, emotion, sex, politics, and science: Surveying the risk-assessment battlefield
    • Slovic, P. 1999 Trust, Emotion, Sex, Politics, and Science: Surveying the Risk-Assessment Battlefield Risk Analysis 19 (4 689 701.
    • (1999) Risk Analysis , vol.19 , Issue.4 , pp. 689-701
    • Slovic, P.1
  • 59
    • 0041412752 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The value of a statistical life: A critical review of market estimates throughout the world
    • and
    • Viscusi, W.K. and J.E. Aldy. 2003 The Value of a Statistical Life: A Critical Review of Market Estimates Throughout the World Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 27 (1 5 76.
    • (2003) Journal of Risk and Uncertainty , vol.27 , Issue.1 , pp. 5-76
    • Viscusi, W.K.1    Aldy, J.E.2
  • 61
    • 0042253323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Social science and the evidence-based policy movements
    • and
    • Young, K., D. Ashby, A. Boaz and L. Grayson. 2002 Social Science and the Evidence-Based Policy Movements Social Policy and Society 1 (3 215 224.
    • (2002) Social Policy and Society , vol.1 , Issue.3 , pp. 215-224
    • Young, K.1    Ashby, D.2    Boaz, A.3    Grayson, L.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.