Time-dependent reliability analysis of flood defences

Reliability Engineering and System Safety

Volumn 94, Issue 12, 2009, Pages 1942-1953

  Buijs, F A ^a,b   Hall, J W ^a   Sayers, P B ^b   Van Gelder, P H A J M ^c  

^a NEWCASTLE UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

^b HR WALLINGFORD   (United Kingdom)

^c DELFT UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Deterioration; Flood defence reliability; Maintenance; Seepage length reduction; Settlement due to compaction; Time dependent processes; Trafficking

Indexed keywords

CHARACTERISATION; CRITICAL ATTRIBUTES; DATA COLLECTION; DETERIORATION MECHANISM; DETERIORATION PROCESS; FLOOD DEFENCE; FLOOD DEFENCE RELIABILITY; MODELLING METHODOLOGY; NUMERICAL IMPLEMENTATION; PARAMETRIC PROCESS; PRACTICAL PROCESS; SAFETY-CRITICAL; SETTLEMENT DUE TO COMPACTION; STATISTICAL MODELS; STRUCTURAL SAFETY; TIME DEPENDENCE; TIME DEPENDENT RELIABILITY; TIME VARIABILITY; TIME-DEPENDENT PROCESSES; TRAFFICKING;

COMPACTION; DETERIORATION; MAINTENANCE; NUCLEAR INDUSTRY; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; QUALITY ASSURANCE; RELIABILITY THEORY; SAFETY ENGINEERING; SEEPAGE;

RELIABILITY ANALYSIS;

EID: 69249226346     PISSN: 09518320     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2009.06.012     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. Vrijling J.K. Probabilistic design of water defense systems in The Netherlands. Reliab Eng Syst Safe 74 (2001) 337-344
2. Sayers P.B., Hall J.W., and Meadowcroft I.C. Towards risk-based flood hazard management in the UK. Proc ICE Civil Eng 150 (2002) 36-42
3. Hall J.W., Meadowcroft I.C., Sayers P.B., and Bramley M.E. Integrated flood risk management in England and Wales. Nat Hazard Rev 4 (2003) 126-135
4. Vrouwenvelder ACWM, Steenbergen HMGM, Slijkhuis KAH. Theoretical manual of PC-ring, Part A: descriptions of failure modes. Nr. 98-CON-R1430, Delft 2001 [in Dutch].
5. Vrouwenvelder ACWM, Steenbergen HMGM, Slijkhuis KAH. Theoretical manual of PC-Ring, Part B: Statistical models. Nr. 98-CON-R1431, Delft 2001 [in Dutch].
6. Vrouwenvelder ACWM. Theoretical manual of PC-ring, Part C: Calculation methods 98-CON-R1204, Delft, 1999 [in Dutch].
7. Buijs F.A., van Gelder P.H.A.J.M., Vrijling J.K., Vrouwenvelder A.C.W.M., Hall J.W., Sayers P.B., and Wehrung M.J. Application of Dutch reliability-based flood defence design in the UK (2003), ESREL, Maastricht, the Netherlands
8. CUR 141. Probabilistic design of flood defences. Gouda, The Netherlands, 1990.
9. Dawson R.J., Hall J.W., Sayers P.B., Bates P., and Rosu C. Sampling-based flood risk analysis for fluvial dike systems. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 19 (2005) 388-402
10. Dawson R.J., and Hall J.W. Adaptive importance sampling for risk analysis of complex infrastructure systems. Proc R Soc A: Math Phys Eng Sci 462 2075 (2006) 3343-3362
11. Abdel-Hameed M. A gamma wear process. IEEE Trans Reliab 24 (1975) 152-153
12. Van Noortwijk J.M., Cooke R.M., and Kok M. A Bayesian failure model based on isotropic deterioration. Eur J Oper Res 82 (1995) 270-282
13. Van Noortwijk J.M. Optimal maintenance decisions for hydraulic structures under isotropic deterioration (1996), Delft University of Technology
14. Van Noortwijk J.M., Kok M., and Cooke R. Optimal maintenance decisions for the sea-bed protection of the Eastern-Scheldt Barrier. In: Cooke R., et al. (Ed). Engineering probabilistic design and maintenance for flood protection (1997), Kluwer Academic Publishers
15. Faber M.H. Risk-based structural maintenance planning. In: Soares C.G. (Ed). Probabilistic methods for structural design (1997), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
16. Faber MH. Risk based inspection - the framework. In: Proceedings of the ESRA workshop on risk based inspection planning, Zürich, December 2000.
17. Vrijling JK. Probabilistic design and maintenance of water defence systems. In: Van Gelder, Vrouwenvelder, editors. Proceedings of the risk-based maintenance of civil structures, Serie Workshop Proceedings no. 8, TUDelft, January 21, 2003.
18. Floodsite. In: Wallingford H.R. (Ed). Failure mechanisms for flood defence structures, Floodsite Task 4 (2007), Wallingford, UK
19. Environment Agency. Performance and reliability of flood and coastal defences - Phase I: A review of flood and coastal defence failures and failure processes. Defra/EA joint research programme project report, 2004.
20. Wallingford H.R. Performance and reliability of flood and coastal defences - phase I, literature review, R&D interim technical report (2004), HR Wallingford
21. Popper K. The logic of scientific discovery (1959), Harper and Row, New York
22. Dawson RJ, Hall JW. Improved condition characterisation of coastal defence infrastructure. In: Allsop NWH, editor. Coastlines, structures and breakwaters, 2001: Proceedings of the international conference, London, September 26-28, 2001. Thomas Telford, London, 2002, p. 123-34.
23. Melchers R. Structural reliability analysis and prediction (1999), University of Newcastle, Australia
24. Vrouwenvelder ACWM. Reliability; theory and applications time variant problems. PhD course, TUDelft, 2005.
25. Ross S.M. Introduction to probability models (2003), Academic Press, an imprint of Elsevier Science
26. Engelund S., Rackwitz R., and Lange C. Approximations of first-passage times for differentiable processes based on higher-order threshold crossings. Probab Eng Mech 10 (1995) 53-60
27. Wallingford H.R. Performance and reliability of flood and coastal defences - phase I, a review of flood and coastal defence failures and failure processes. R&D interim technical report (2004), HR Wallingford
28. Buijs F.A., Hall J.W., and Sayers P.B. Exploring sensitivity of flood defence reliability to time-dependent processes (2005), ISSH, Nijmegen, The Netherlands
29. Kotz S., Balakrishnan N., and Johnson N.L. Continuous multivariate distributions. Vol 1: Models and applications (2000), John Wiley & Sons Ltd
30. Cherubini U., Luciano E., and Vecchiato W. Copula methods in finance (2004), John Wiley & Sons
31. Buijs FA. Time-dependent reliability analysis of flood defences. PhD thesis, Newcastle University, UK, 2007.
32. Marsland A., and Randolph F. Variation and effects of water pressures in pervious strata underlying Crayford Marshes. Geotechnique 28 (1978) 435-464
33. CUR 162. Constructing with ground. Structures made of ground on and in soil with little bearing capacity and strong compressible subsoil. Delft, the Netherlands, 1999 [in Dutch].
34. Van Noortwijk J.M., and Van Gelder P.H.A.J.M. Optimal maintenance decisions for berm breakwaters. Struct Saf 18 (1996) 293-309
35. Halcrow. Environment agency dartford to gravesend 30 year asset study technical note - greenhithe sheet piling (2006), Environment Agency, Snodland, Kent, UK
36. Casella G., and Berger R.L. Statistical inference (2002), Duxbury, US
37. Young MJ. Wave overtopping and grass cover layer failure on the inner slope of dikes, Msc thesis, UNESCO-IHE, 2005.
38. Buijs F.A., Hall J.W., Sayers P.B., and Van Noortwijk J.M. Time-dependent reliability analysis of flood defences using gamma processes (2005), ICOSSAR, Rome, Italy
39. Devroye L. Non-uniform random variate generation (1986), Springer-Verlag [chapter 11]
40. Sellmeijer JB. On the mechanism of piping under impervious structures. PhD thesis, Delft University of Technology, 1988.