Re-inventing model-based decision support with Australian dryland farmers. 4. Yield Prophet® helps farmers monitor and manage crops in a variable climate

Crop and Pasture Science

Volumn 60, Issue 11, 2009, Pages 1057-1070

  Hochman, Z ^a   Van Rees, H ^b,c   Carberry, P S ^a   Hunt, J R ^b   McCown, R L ^a   Gartmann, A ^b   Holzworth, D ^a   Van Rees, S ^b   Dalgliesh, N P ^a   Long, W ^d   Peake, A S ^a   Poulton, P L ^a   McClelland, T ^b  

^a CSIRO   (Australia)

^b BCG   (Australia)

^c Cropfacts P/L   (Australia)

^d Ag Consulting Co   (Australia)

Author keywords

APSIM; Barley.; Climate risk; DSS; Risk management; Wheat

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL MANAGEMENT; AGRICULTURAL MODELING; AGRICULTURAL WORKER; ANNUAL VARIATION; BARLEY; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; CLIMATE VARIATION; CROP PRODUCTION; CROP YIELD; DECISION MAKING; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM; DRYLAND FARMING; INTERNET; MANAGEMENT PRACTICE; MONITORING; RISK ASSESSMENT; WHEAT;

AUSTRALASIA; AUSTRALIA;

HORDEUM; TRITICUM AESTIVUM;

EID: 68949097875     PISSN: 18360947     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1071/CP09020     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. Brehmer B (1990) Strategies in real-time, dynamic decision making. In 'Insights in decision making'. (Ed. R Hogarth) pp. 262-(University of Chicago Press: Chicago, IL)
2. Carberry PS, Hochman Z, Hunt JR, Dalgliesh NP, McCown RL, Whish JPM, Robertson MJ, Foale MA, Poulton PL, van Rees H (2009) Re-inventing model-based decision support with Australian dryland farmers. Relevance of APSIM to commercial crops. Crop & Pasture Science 60, 1044-1056.
3. Carberry PS, Hochman Z, McCown RL, Dalgliesh NP, Foale MA, Poulton PL, Hargreaves JNG, Hargreaves DMG, Cawthray S, Hillcoat N, Robertson MJ (2002) The FARMSCAPE approach to decision support: farmers', advisers', researchers' monitoring, simulation, communication and performance evaluation. Agricultural Systems 74, 141-177. doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(02)00025-2
4. Christian KR, Freer M, Donnelly JR, Davidson JL, Armstrong JS (1978) 'Simulation of grazing systems.' (Centre for Agricultural Publishing and Documentation: Wageningen, The Netherlands)
5. Dalgliesh NP, Foale MA (1998) 'Soil matters-monitoring soil water and nitrogen in dryland farming.' (Agricultural Production Systems Research Unit: Toowoomba, Qld)
6. Dalgliesh NP, Wockner G, Peake A (2006) Delivering soil water information to growers and consultants. In 'Proceedings of the 13th Australian Agronomy Conference'. 10-14 Sept. 2006, Perth, W. Aust. (Australian Society of Agronomy) Available at: www.regional.org.au/au/asa/2006/poster/water/4552-dalglieshn.htm
7. Dalgliesh NP, Foale MJ, McCown RL (2009) Re-inventing modelbased decision support with Australian dryland farmers. 2. Pragmatic provision of soil information for paddock-specific simulation and farmer decision making. Crop & Pasture Science 60, 1031-1043.
8. Dimes JP, Freebairn DM, Glanville SF (1996) HOWWET? A tool for predicting fallow water storage. In 'Proceedings 8th Australian Agronomy Conference'. pp. 201-210. Available at: www.regional.org.au/au/asa/1996/contributed/207Dimes.htm
9. Donnelly JR, Moore AD, Freer M (1997) GRAZPLAN: Decision support systems for Australian grazing enterprises. I.Overviewof theGRAZPLAN project and a description of the MetAccess and LambAlive DSS. Agricultural Systems 54, 57-76. doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(96)00046-7 (Pubitemid 27134078)
10. HargreavesD,Hochman Z (2004) FARMSCAPEOnline-Interactive internet support for farmers' situated learning and planning. Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation Publication No. 04/048.
11. Hayman P (2004) Decision support systems in Australian dryland farming: a promising past, a disappointing present and an uncertain future. In 'Proceedings for the 4th International Crop Science Congress'. Brisbane, Qld, 26 Sept.-1 Oct. 2004. (The Regional Institute Ltd: Gosford, NSW) Available at: www.cropscience.org.au/icsc2004/symposia/4/1/1778-haymanp.htm
12. Hearn AB (1994) OZCOT: a simulation model for cotton crop management. Agricultural Systems 44, 257-299. doi: 10.1016/0308-521X(94)90223-3 (Pubitemid 2039407)
13. Hearn AB, Brook KD, da Roza GD, Ashburner NA (1985) SIRATAC: a computer based crop management system. In 'Proceedings of the 44th Plenary Meeting. International cotton Advisory Committee on Cotton Production: Seminar on Crop Protection (emphasis on insect control)'. Oct. 1985, Sydney, NSW. (International Cotton Advisory Committee: Washington, DC)
14. Hochman Z, Holzworth DP, Hunt JR (2009) Potential to improve on-farm wheat yield and water-use efficiency in Australia. Crop & Pasture Research 60, 708-716.
15. Jeffrey SJ, Carter JO, Moodie KB, Beswick AR (2001) Using spatial interpolation to construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data. Environmental Modelling & Software 16, 309-330. doi: 10.1016/S1364-8152(01) 00008-1 (Pubitemid 32956227)
16. Johnston RM, Barry SJ, Bleys E, Bui EN, Moran CJ, Simon DAP, Carlile P, McKenzie NJ, Henderson BL, Chapman G, Imhoff M, Maschmedt D, Howe D, Grose C, Schoknecht N, Powell B, Grundy M (2003) ASRIS: the database. Australian Journal of Soil Research 41, 1021-1036. doi: 10.1071/SR02033 (Pubitemid 37457860)
17. Keating BA, Carberry PS, Hammer GL, Probert ME, Robertson MJ, Holzworth D, Huth NI, Hargreaves JNG, Meinke H, Hochman Z, McLean G, Verburg K, Snow V, Dimes JP, Silburn M, Wang E, Brown S, Bristow KL, Asseng S, Chapman S, McCown RL, Freebairn DM, Smith CJ (2003) The Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM): its history and current capability. European Journal of Agronomy 18, 267-288. doi: 10.1016/S1161-0301(02)00108-9 (Pubitemid 36101017)
18. Littleboy M, Silburn DM, Freebairn DM, Woodruff DR, Hammer GL, Leslie JK (1992) Impact of soil erosion on production in cropping systems. I. Development and validation of a simulation model. Australian Journal of Soil Research 30, 757-774. doi: 10.1071/SR9920757 (Pubitemid 23368804)
19. Manschadi AM, Hochman Z, Mclean G, deVoil P, Holzworth D, Meinke H (2006) APSIM-Barley model-adaptation of a wheat model to simulate barley growth and development. In 'Ground-breaking stuff. Proceedings of the 13th Australian Agronomy Conference'. 10-14 Sept. 2006, Perth, W. Aust. (Eds NC Turner, T Acuna, RC Johnson) Availableat:www.regional.org.au/au/asa/2006/poster/technology/4609- manschadia.htm
20. McCown RL (2002a) Locating agricultural Decision Support Systems in the troubled past and socio-technical complexity of 'models for management'. Agricultural Systems 74, 11-25. doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(02)00020-3
21. McCown RL (2002b) Changing systems for supporting farmers' decisions: problems, paradigms, and prospects. Agricultural Systems 74, 179-220. doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(02)00026-4
22. McCown RL, Brennan LE, Parton KE (2006) Learning from the historical failure of farm management models to aid farm management practice: 1. The rise and demise of theoretical models of farm economics. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 57, 143-156. doi: 10.1071/AR05051 (Pubitemid 43318569)
23. McCown RL, Carberry PS, Hochman Z, Dalgliesh NP, Foale MA (2009) Re-inventing model-based decision support with Australian dryland farmers. 1. Changing intervention concepts during 17 years of action research. Crop & Pasture Science 60, 1017-1030.
24. McCown RL, Hammer GL, Hargreaves JHG, Holzworth DP, Freebairn DM (1996) APSIM: a novel software system for model development, model testing and simulation in agricultural systems research. Agricultural Systems 50, 255-271. doi: 10.1016/0308-521X(94)00055-V (Pubitemid 26466558)
25. McCown RL, Hochman Z, Carberry PS (2002) Probing the enigma of the decision support system for farmers: learning from experience and from theory. Agricultural Systems 74, 1-10. doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(02)00021-5
26. National Land&Water Resources Audit (2001) Landuse change, productivity & development-productivity changes Final Report of Theme 5.1, August 2001. Available at: www.anra.gov.au/topics/land/pubs/landuse/landuse- productivity.html
27. Nicholls N, Drosdowsky W, Lavery B (1997) Australian rainfall variability and change. Weather 52, 66-72.
28. Orasanu J, Connolly T (1993) The reinvention of decision making. In 'Decision making in action: models and methods'. (Eds GA Klein, J Orasanu, R Calderwood, CE Zsambok) pp. 1-23. (Aablex Publishing Corp.: Norwood, NJ)
29. Senge P (1990) 'The fifth discipline: the art & practice of the learning organization.' (Doubleday Currency: New York)
30. Shapira Z (1997) 'Risk taking: a managerial perspective.' (Russell Sage Foundation: New York)
31. Simon HA (1955) A behavioral model of rational choice. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 69, 99-118. doi: 10.2307/1884852
32. Stone PJ, Hochman Z (2004) If interactive decision support systems are the answer, have we been asking the right questions? In 'Proceedings for the 4th International Crop Science Congress'. Brisbane, Qld, 26 Sept.-1 Oct. 2004. (The Regional Institute Ltd: Gosford, NSW) Available at: www.cropscience.org.au/ icsc2004/symposia/4/3/1680-stonepj.htm
33. Stone RC, Auliciems A (1992) SOI phase relationships with rainfall in eastern Australia. International Journal of Climatology 12, 625-636. doi: 10.1002/joc.3370120608
34. Stone RC, Hammer GL, Marcussen T (1996) Prediction of global rainfall probabilities using phases of the Southern Oscillation Index. Nature 384, 252-255. doi: 10.1038/384252a0 (Pubitemid 26396971)
35. Wang E, van Oosterom EJ, Meinke H, Asseng S, Robertson MJ, Huth NI, Keating BA, Probert ME (2003) The new APSIM-Wheat model- performance and future improvements. In 'Solutions for a better environment. Proceedings of the 11th Australian Agronomy Conference'. Geelong, Victoria. Available at: www.regional.org.au/au/asa/2003/p/2/wang.htm
36. Woodruff DR (1992) 'WHEATMAN' a decision support system for wheat management in sub-tropical Australia. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 43, 1483-1499. doi: 10.1071/AR9921483
37. Zuber-Skerritt O (1993) Improving learning and teaching through action learning and action research. Higher Education Research&Development 12, 45-58. doi: 10.1080/0729436930120105