The challenges of estimating potential output in real time

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review

Volumn 91, Issue 4, 2009, Pages 271-290

  Arnold, Robert W ^a  

^a Ford House Office Building   (United States)

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EID: 68649116741     PISSN: 00149187     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.20955/r.91.271-290     Document Type: Article

References (8)

1. Arnold, Robert. "Reestimating the Phillips Curve and the NAIRU." Working Paper 2008-06, Congressional Budget Office, August 2008; www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/95xx/doc9515/2008-6.pdf.
2. Brauer, David. "The Natural Rate of Unemployment." Working Paper 2007-06, Congressional Budget Office, April 2007; www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/80xx/doc8008/2007-06.pdf.
3. Congressional Budget Office. CBO's Method for Estimating Potential Output: An Update. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, August 2001; www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/30xx/doc3020/PotentialOutput.pdf.
4. Congressional Budget Office. "CBO's Projections of the Labor Force." CBO Background Paper, September 2004; www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/58xx/doc5803/09-15-LaborForce.pdf.
5. Congressional Budget Office. The Budget and Economic Outlook: An Update. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, September 2008; www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/97xx/doc9706/09-08-Update.pdf.
6. Okun, Arthur M. "Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance," in The Political Economy of Prosperity. Appendix. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 1970; pp. 132-45.
7. Oliner, Steven and Sichel, Daniel. "The Resurgence of Growth in the Late 1990s: Is Information Technology the Story?" Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2000, 14(4), pp. 3-22.
8. Stock, James and Watson, Mark. "Variable Trends in Economic Time Series." Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1988, 2(3), pp. 147-4.