Improving estimates of heavy and extreme precipitation using daily records from European rain gauges

Journal of Hydrometeorology

Volumn 10, Issue 3, 2009, Pages 701-716

  Zolina, Olga ^a,b   Simmer, Clemens ^a   Belyaev, Konstantin ^b,c   Kapala, Alice ^c   Gulev, Sergey ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BONN   (Germany)

^b FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF BAHIA   (Brazil)

^c SHIRSHOV INSTITUTE OF OCEANOLOGY   (Russian Federation)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EXTREME EVENT; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; PROBABILITY; RAINGAUGE; TEMPORAL VARIATION; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

EURASIA; EUROPE;

EID: 68049108099     PISSN: 1525755X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2008JHM1055.1     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Alexander, L. V., and Coauthors, 2006: Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05109, doi:10.1029/2005JD006290.
2. Brunetti, M., M. Maugeri, F. Monti, and T. Nanni, 2004: Changes in daily precipitation frequency and distribution in Italy over the last 120 years. J. Geophys. Res., 109, D05102, doi:10.1029/ 2003JD004296.
3. Brunetti, M., M. Maugeri, T. Nanni, I. Auer, R. Böhm, and W. Schöner, 2006: Precipitation variability and changes in the greater Alpine region over the 1800-2003 period. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D11107, doi:10.1029/2005JD006674.
4. Easterling, D. R., J. L. Evans, P. Ya. Groisman, T. R. Karl, K. E. Kunkel, and P. Ambenje, 2000: Observed variability and trends in extreme climate events: A brief review. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 417-425.
5. Frei, C., and C. Schär, 2001: Detection probability of trends in rare events: Theory and application to heavy precipitation in the Alpine region. J. Climate, 14, 1568-1584.
6. Gradshteyn, I. S., and I. M. Ryzhik, 1971: Table of Integrals, Sums, Series, and Products (in Russian). 5th ed. Nauka, 1028 pp.
7. Greenwood, J. A., and D. Durand, 1960: Aids for fitting the gamma distribution by maximum likelihood. Technometrics, 2, 55-65.
8. Groisman, P. Ya., and Coauthors, 1999: Changes in the probability of heavy precipitation: Important indicators of climatic change. Climatic Change, 42, 243-285.
9. Groisman, P. Ya., R. W. Knight, D. R. Easterling, T. R. Karl, G. C. Hegerl, and V. N. Razuvaev, 2005: Trends in intense precipitation in the climate record. J. Climate, 18, 1326-1350.
10. Hayashi, Y., 1982: Confidence intervals of a climatic signal. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 1895-1905.
11. Hundecha, Y., and A. Bardossy, 2005: Trends in daily precipitation and temperature extremes across western Germany in the second half of the 20th century. Int. J. Climatol., 25, 1189-1202.
12. Hurrell, J. W., 1995: Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 269, 676-679.
13. Katz,R.W., 1999: Extreme value theory for precipitation: sensitivity analysis for climate change. Adv. Water Resour., 23, 133-139.
14. Kiktev, D., D. M. H. Sexton, L. Alexander, and C. K. Folland, 2003: Comparison of modeled and observed trends in indices of daily climate extremes. J. Climate, 16, 3560-3571.
15. Klein Tank, A. M. G., 2007: EUMETNET/ECSN optional programme: European Climate Assessment & Dataset (ECA&D) Algorithm Theoretical Basis Document (ATBD), version 4. Report EPJ029135, 38 pp. [Available online at http://eca.knmi.nl/documents/ecad_atbd.pdf.]
16. Klein Tank, A. M. G., and G. P. Können, 2003: Trends in indices of daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe, 1946-99. J. Climate, 16, 3665-3680.
17. Klein Tank, A. M. G., and Coauthors, 2002: Daily dataset of 20th century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European Climate Assessment. Int. J. Climatol., 22, 1441-1453.
18. Klein Tank, A. M. G., and Coauthors, 2006: Changes in daily temperature and precipitation extremes in central and south Asia. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D16105, doi:10.1029/2005JD006316.
19. Kunkel, K. E., K. Andsager, and D. R. Easterling, 1999: Long-term trends in extreme precipitation events over the conterminous United States and Canada. J. Climate, 12, 2515-2527.
20. Kunkel, K. E., D. R. Easterling, K. Redmond, and K. Hubbard, 2003: Temporal variations of extreme precipitation events in the United States: 1895-2000. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1900, doi:10.1029/2003GL018052.
21. Livezey, R. E., and W. Y. Chen, 1983: Statistical field significance and its determination by Monte Carlo techniques. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 46-59.
22. Moberg, A., and Coauthors, 2006: Indices for daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe analyzed for the period 1901-2000. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D22106, doi:10.1029/2006JD007103.
23. Prokhorov, Yu. V., and Yu. A. Rozanov, 1973: Probability Theory: Basic Concepts, Limit Theorems, Random Processes (in Russian). 2nd ed. Nauka, 684 pp.
24. Scaife, A. A., C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, A. Moberg, and J. R. Knight, 2008: European climate extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate, 21, 72-83.
25. Semenov, V. A., and L. Bengtsson, 2002: Secular trends in daily precipitation characteristics: Greenhouse gas simulation with a coupled AOGCM. Climate Dyn., 19, 123-140.
26. Trenberth, K. E., and Coauthors, 2007: Observations: Surface and atmospheric climate change. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, S. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 235-336.
27. Watterson, I. G., and M. R. Dix, 2003: Simulated changes due to global warming in daily precipitation means and extremes and their interpretation using the gamma distribution. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4379, doi:10.1029/2002JD002928.
28. Wilks, D. S., 1995: Statistical Methods in Atmospheric Sciences: An Introduction. Academic Press, 467 pp.
29. 2 is doubled. J. Climate, 14, 1765-1779.
30. Zolina, O., A. Kapala, C. Simmer, and S. K. Gulev, 2004: Analysis of extreme precipitations over Europe from different reanalyses: A comparative assessment. Global Planet. Change, 44, 129-161.
31. Zolina, O., C. Simmer, A. Kapala, and S. K. Gulev, 2005: On the robustness of the estimates of centennial-scale variability in heavy precipitation from station data over Europe. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L14707, doi:10.1029/2005GL023231.
32. Zolina, O., C. Simmer, A. Kapala, S. Bachner, S. K. Gulev, and H. Maechel, 2008: Seasonally dependent changes of precipitation extremes over Germany since 1950 from a very dense observational network. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D06110, doi:10.1029/2007JD008393.
33. Zveryaev, I. I., 2006: Seasonally varying modes in long-term variability of European precipitation during the 20th century. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D21116, doi:10.1029/2005JD006821.
34. 2 doubling. J. Climate, 11, 2200-2222.