An evaluation of graduated driver licensing programs in North America using a meta-analytic approach

Accident Analysis and Prevention

Volumn 41, Issue 5, 2009, Pages 1104-1111

  Vanlaar, Ward ^a   Mayhew, Dan ^a   Marcoux, Kyla ^a   Wets, Geert ^b   Brijs, Tom ^b   Shope, Jean ^c  

^a Traffic Injury Research Foundation   (Canada)

^b HASSELT UNIVERSITY   (Belgium)

^c UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN   (United States)

Author keywords

Bayesian meta regression; Graduated driver licensing; Heterogeneity; Markov Chain Monte Carlo Gibbs sampling; Meta analysis; Meta regression; Multilevel modeling

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN META-REGRESSION; GRADUATED DRIVER LICENSING; HETEROGENEITY; MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO GIBBS SAMPLING; META-ANALYSIS; META-REGRESSION; MULTILEVEL MODELING;

BAYESIAN NETWORKS; DIFFUSION IN GASES; DRIVER TRAINING; HIGHWAY ACCIDENTS; MARKOV PROCESSES; MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION; MONTE CARLO METHODS; POPULATION STATISTICS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;

DRIVER LICENSING;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; ARTICLE; CANADA; CAR DRIVING; COMPARATIVE STUDY; CONFIDENCE INTERVAL; DRIVER LICENCE; EDUCATION; EDUCATIONAL STATUS; FACTUAL DATABASE; FEMALE; HEALTH CARE QUALITY; HUMAN; LEGAL ASPECT; MALE; META ANALYSIS; MIDDLE AGED; MONTE CARLO METHOD; NORTH AMERICA; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK; RISK FACTOR; STATISTICS; UNITED STATES;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AUTOMOBILE DRIVER EXAMINATION; AUTOMOBILE DRIVING; CANADA; CONFIDENCE INTERVALS; DATABASES, FACTUAL; EDUCATIONAL MEASUREMENT; EDUCATIONAL STATUS; FEMALE; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MONTE CARLO METHOD; NORTH AMERICA; PROGRAM EVALUATION; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK; RISK FACTORS; STATISTICS AS TOPIC; UNITED STATES; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 68049105095     PISSN: 00014575     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2009.06.024     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Altman D.G., and Bland J.M. Interaction revisited: the difference between two estimates. British Medical Journal 326 (2003) 219
2. Baker S.P., Chen L.H., and Li G. National Evaluation of Graduated Driver Licensing Programs (2006), NHTSA, Washington, DC
3. Browne W.J. MCMC estimation in MLwiN. Version 2.0. Updated version for 2.0 by William J. Browne and Edmond S.W. Ng. Centre for Multilevel Modeling. Institute of Education (2004), University of London, London
4. Carlin B.P., and Louis T.A. Bayes and Empirical Bayes Methods for Data Analysis (2000), Chapman & Hall/CRC, Washington, DC
5. Clarke M.J., and Stewart L.A. Obtaining individual patient data from randomised controlled trials. In: Egger M., Smith G.D., and Altman D.G. (Eds). Systematic Reviews in Health Care: Meta-Analysis in Context. second edition (2007), BMJ Publishing Group, London 109-121
6. Dee T.S., Grabowski D.C., and Morrisey M.A. Graduated driver licensing and teen traffic fatalities. Journal of Health Economics 24 (2005) 571-589
7. Deeks J.J., Altman D.G., and Bradburn M.J. Statistical methods for examining heterogeneity and combining results from several studies in meta-analysis. In: Egger M., Smith G.D., and Altman D.G. (Eds). Systematic Reviews in Health Care: Meta-Analysis in Context. second edition (2007), BMJ Publishing Group, London 285-312
8. Egger M., and Smith G.D. Principles of and procedures for systematic reviews. In: Egger M., Smith G.D., and Altman D.G. (Eds). Systematic Reviews in Health Care: Meta-Analysis in Context. second edition (2007), BMJ Publishing Group, London 23-42
9. Elvik R. Can we trust the results of meta-analyses? A systematic approach to sensitivity analysis in meta-analysis. Journal of the Transportation Research Board 1908 (2005) 221-229
10. Elvik R. Introductory guide to systematic reviews and meta-analysis. Journal of the Transportation Research Board 1908 (2005) 230-235
11. Foss R.D., and Evenson K.R. Effectiveness of graduated driver licensing in reducing motor vehicle crashes. American Journal of Preventive Medicine 16 1S (1999) 47-55
12. Foss R., Feaganes J.R., and Rodgman E.A. Initial effects of graduated driver licensing on 16-year-old driver crashes in North Carolina. Journal of the American Medical Association 286 13 (2001) 1588-1592
13. Goldstein H. Multilevel Statistical Models (2003), Arnold, London
14. Harbord R.M., and Higgins J.P.T. Meta-regression in Stata. The Stata Journal 8 4 (2008) 493-519
15. Hartling L., Wiebe N., Russell K., Petruk J., Spinola C., and Klassen T.P. Graduated driver licensing for reducing motor vehicle crashes among young drivers. The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2 (2005) Art. No.: CD003300.pub2
16. Hedlund J., Shults R.A., and Compton R. What we know, what we don't know, and what we need to know about graduated driver licensing. Journal of Safety Research 34 (2003) 107-115
17. Hedlund J., Shults R.A., and Compton R. Graduated driver licensing and teenage driver research in 2006. Journal of Safety Research 37 (2006) 107-121
18. Higgins J.P.T., Thompson S.G., Deeks J.J., and Altman D.G. Measuring inconsistency in meta-analysis. British Medical Journal 327 (2003) 557-560
19. Hox J.J., and de Leeuw E.D. Multilevel models for meta-analysis. In: Reise S.P., and Duan N. (Eds). Multilevel Modeling. Methodological Advances, Issues, and Applications (2003), Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, N.J.
20. Lambert P.C., and Abrams K.R. Meta-analysis using multilevel models. Multilevel Modelling Newsletter 7 2 (1995) 16-18
21. Mayhew D.R. Driver education and graduated licensing in North America: past, present and future. Journal of Safety Research 38 (2007) 229-235
22. Mayhew D.R., Simpson H.M., and Groseillers M. Impact of the Graduated Driver Licensing Program in Nova Scotia (1999), Traffic Injury Research Foundation, Ottawa
23. Mayhew D.R., Simpson H.M., Groseillers M., and Williams A.F. Impact of the graduated driver licensing program in Nova Scotia. Journal of Crash Prevention and Injury Control 2 3 (2001) 179-192
24. Mayhew D.R., Simpson H.M., Williams A.F., and Desmond K. Specific and Long-Term Effects of Nova Scotia's Graduated Licensing Program (2002), Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, Arlington, VA
25. Mayhew D.R., Simpson H.M., and Singhal D. Best Practices for Graduated Driver Licensing in Canada (2005), Traffic Injury Research Foundation, Ottawa, Ontario
26. Morrisey M.A., Grabowski D.C., Dee T.S., and Campbell C. The strength of graduated drivers license programs and fatalities among teen drivers and passengers. Accident Analysis and Prevention 38 1 (2006) 135-141
27. Shope J.T., Molnar L.J., Elliott M.R., and Waller P.F. Graduated driver licensing in Michigan: early impact on motor vehicle crashes among 16-year-old drivers. Journal of the American Medical Association 286 13 (2001) 1593-1598
28. Shope J.T. Graduated driver licensing: review of Evaluation results since 2002. Journal of Safety Research 38 2 (2007) 165-175
29. Simpson H.M. The evolution and effectiveness of graduated licensing. Journal of Safety Research 34 (2003) 25-34
30. Smith T.C., Spiegelhalter D.J., and Thomas A. Bayesian approaches to random-effects meta-analysis: a comparative study. Statistics in Medicine 14 (1995) 2685-2699
31. StataCorp. Stata Statistical Software. Release 10 (2007), StataCorp LP, College Station, Texas
32. Statistics Canada, 2007. Demographics Estimates Compendium 2007 (CD-ROM). 91-213-SCB.
33. Spiegelhalter D.J., Best N.G., Carlin B.P., and van der Linde A. Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 64 (2002) 583-640
34. Sterne J.A.C., Bradburn M.J., and Egger M. Meta-analysis in Stata. In: Egger M., Smith G.D., and Altman D.G. (Eds). Systematic Reviews in Health Care: Meta-Analysis in Context. second edition (2007), BMJ Publishing Group, London 347-372
35. Thompson S.G. Why and how sources of heterogeneity should be investigated. In: Egger M., Smith G.D., and Altman D.G. (Eds). Systematic Reviews in Health Care: Meta-Analysis in Context. second edition (2007), BMJ Publishing Group, London 157-175
36. Turner R.M., Omar R.Z., Yang M., Goldstein H., and Thompson S.G. Random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary outcomes using multilevel models in MLwiN. Multilevel Modelling Newsletter 11 1 (1999) 6-9
37. Ulmer R.G., Preusser D.F., Williams A.F., Ferguson S.A., and Farmer C.M. Effect of Florida's graduated licensing program on the crash rate of teenage drivers. Accident Analysis and Prevention 32 4 (2000) 527-532
38. Vanlaar, W., Mayhew, D., Marcoux, K., Wets, G., Brijs, T., Shope, J., 2009. An Evaluation of Graduated Driver Licensing Programs in North America. An Analysis of the Relative Fatality Risk of 16, 17, 18 and 19 Year Old Drivers Using a Meta-Analytic Approach. Traffic Injury Research Foundation, Ottawa.
39. Williams A.F. Contribution of the components of graduated licensing to crash reductions. Journal of Safety Research 38 (2007) 177-184