메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 15, Issue 3, 2009, Pages 337-363

Stochastic volatility and time-varying country risk in emerging markets

Author keywords

Conditional beta; Emerging markets; Markov chain Monte Carlo; Multivariate stochastic volatility

Indexed keywords


EID: 67650942033     PISSN: 1351847X     EISSN: 14664364     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/13518470802466006     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (8)

References (75)
  • 1
    • 0009232225 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Return volatility and trading volume:Aninformationflow interpretationofstochastic volatility
    • Andersen,T.1996. Return volatility and trading volume:Aninformationflow interpretationofstochastic volatility. Journal of Finance 51: 169-204.
    • (1996) Journal of Finance , vol.51 , pp. 169-204
    • Andersen, T.1
  • 2
    • 0002775221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient method of moments estimation of a stochastic volatility model: A Monte Carlo study
    • Andersen, T.G., H.J. Chung, and B.E. Sorensen. 1999. Efficient method of moments estimation of a stochastic volatility model: A Monte Carlo study. Journal of Econometrics 91: 61-87.
    • (1999) Journal of Econometrics , vol.91 , pp. 61-87
    • Andersen, T.G.1    Chung, H.J.2    Sorensen, B.E.3
  • 3
    • 67650872706 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The structureof dynamic correlations in multivariate stochastic volatility models
    • Tokyo Metropolitan University, Unpublished Paper
    • Asai, M., andM. McAleer. 2004. The structureof dynamic correlations in multivariate stochastic volatility models. Faculty of Economics, Tokyo Metropolitan University, Unpublished Paper.
    • (2004) Faculty of Economics
    • Asai, M.1    andM2    McAleer3
  • 4
    • 33747809012 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate stochastic volatility: A review
    • Asai, M., M. McAleer, and J.Yu. 2006. Multivariate stochastic volatility: A review. Econometric Reviews 25: 145-75.
    • (2006) Econometric Reviews , vol.25 , pp. 145-175
    • Asai, M.1    McAleer, M.2    Yu, J.3
  • 5
    • 0000428582 scopus 로고
    • Advertising and aggregate consumption: An analysis of causality
    • Ashley, R., C.W.J. Granger, and R. Schmalensee. 1980. Advertising and aggregate consumption: An analysis of causality. Econometrica 48: 1149-68.
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , pp. 1149-1168
    • Ashley, R.1    Granger, C.W.J.2    Schmalensee, R.3
  • 8
    • 0742271637 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deviance information criterion for comparing stochastic volatility models
    • Berg, A., R. Meyer, and J. Yu. 2004. Deviance information criterion for comparing stochastic volatility models. Journal of Business & Economic Studies 22: 107-20.
    • (2004) Journal of Business & Economic Studies , vol.22 , pp. 107-120
    • Berg, A.1    Meyer, R.2    Yu, J.3
  • 9
    • 0001366584 scopus 로고
    • Capital market equilibrium with investment barriers
    • Black, F. 1972. Capital market equilibrium with investment barriers. Journal of Business 45: 444-54.
    • (1972) Journal of Business , vol.45 , pp. 444-454
    • Black, F.1
  • 11
    • 38249009666 scopus 로고
    • UK unit trust performance 1980-1989:A passive time-varying approach
    • Black,A., P. Fraser, and D. Power. 1992. UK unit trust performance 1980-1989:A passive time-varying approach. Journal of Banking and Finance 16: 1015-33.
    • (1992) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.16 , pp. 1015-1033
    • Black, A.1    Fraser, P.2    Power, D.3
  • 12
    • 84977731521 scopus 로고
    • Testing the CAPM with time-varying risk and returns
    • Bodurtha, J., and N. Mark. 1991. Testing the CAPM with time-varying risk and returns. Journal of Finance 46: 1485-505.
    • (1991) Journal of Finance , vol.46 , pp. 1485-1505
    • Bodurtha, J.1    Mark, N.2
  • 13
    • 0003090807 scopus 로고
    • An empirical investigation of the possibility of systematic and stochastic risk in the market model
    • Bos, T., and P. Newbold. 1984. An empirical investigation of the possibility of systematic and stochastic risk in the market model. Journal of Business 57: 35-41.
    • (1984) Journal of Business , vol.57 , pp. 35-41
    • Bos, T.1    Newbold, P.2
  • 15
    • 84993882002 scopus 로고
    • Good news, Bad news, volatility, and betas
    • Braun, P., D. Nelson, and D. Sunier. 1995. Good news, Bad news, volatility, and betas. Journal of Finance 50: 1575-603.
    • (1995) Journal of Finance , vol.50 , pp. 1575-1603
    • Braun, P.1    Nelson, D.2    Sunier, D.3
  • 16
    • 12144263819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time-varying country risk: An assessment of alternative modelling techniques
    • Brooks, R.D., R.W. Faff, and M.D. McKenzie. 2002. Time-varying country risk: An assessment of alternative modelling techniques. European Journal of Finance 8: 249-74.
    • (2002) European Journal of Finance , vol.8 , pp. 249-274
    • Brooks, R.D.1    Faff, R.W.2    McKenzie, M.D.3
  • 17
    • 67650876019 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US banking sector risk in an era of regulatory change: A bivariate GARCH approach
    • Brooks, R.D., R.W. Faff, Y.K. Ho, and M.D. McKenzie. 1997. US banking sector risk in an era of regulatory change: A bivariate GARCH approach. Applied Financial Economics 2: 191-98.
    • (1997) Applied Financial Economics , vol.2 , pp. 191-198
    • Brooks, R.D.1    Faff, R.W.2    Ho, Y.K.3    McKenzie, M.D.4
  • 19
    • 0036604822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Correlated ARCH (CorrARCH): Modelling the time-varying conditional correlation between financial asset returns
    • Christodoulakis, G., and S.E. Satchell. 2002. Correlated ARCH (CorrARCH): Modelling the time-varying conditional correlation between financial asset returns. European Journal of Operational Research 139: 351-70.
    • (2002) European Journal of Operational Research , vol.139 , pp. 351-370
    • Christodoulakis, G.1    Satchell, S.E.2
  • 20
    • 0000346734 scopus 로고
    • A subordinated stochastic process model with fixed variance for speculative prices
    • Clark, P.K. 1973. A subordinated stochastic process model with fixed variance for speculative prices. Econometrica 41: 135-56.
    • (1973) Econometrica , vol.41 , pp. 135-156
    • Clark, P.K.1
  • 21
    • 43949160158 scopus 로고
    • Stochastic volatility in asset prices: Estimation with simulated maximum likelihood
    • Danielsson, J. 1994. Stochastic volatility in asset prices: Estimation with simulated maximum likelihood. Journal of Econometrics 64: 375-400.
    • (1994) Journal of Econometrics , vol.64 , pp. 375-400
    • Danielsson, J.1
  • 22
    • 0005868459 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate stochastic volatility models: Estimation and comparison withVGARCH models
    • Danielsson,J.1998. Multivariate stochastic volatility models: Estimation and comparison withVGARCH models. Journal of Empirical Finance 5: 155-73.
    • (1998) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.5 , pp. 155-173
    • Danielsson, J.1
  • 23
    • 67650879083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dempster, A.P. 1974. The direct use of likelihood for significance testing. In Proceedings of conference on foundational questions in statistical inference, ed. Barndorff Nielsen, P. Blaesild, and G. Schou 335-352. Aarhus: University of Aarhus, Department of Theoretical Statistics.
    • Dempster, A.P. 1974. The direct use of likelihood for significance testing. In Proceedings of conference on foundational questions in statistical inference, ed. Barndorff Nielsen, P. Blaesild, and G. Schou 335-352. Aarhus: University of Aarhus, Department of Theoretical Statistics.
  • 24
    • 33747809361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Factor stochastic volatility in mean models: A GMM approach
    • Doz, C., and E. Renault. 2006. Factor stochastic volatility in mean models: A GMM approach. Econometric Reviews 25: 275-309.
    • (2006) Econometric Reviews , vol.25 , pp. 275-309
    • Doz, C.1    Renault, E.2
  • 25
    • 0001668150 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transform analysis and asset pricing for affine jump diffusion
    • Duffie, D., J. Pan, and K. Singleton. 2000. Transform analysis and asset pricing for affine jump diffusion. Econometrica 68: 1343-76.
    • (2000) Econometrica , vol.68 , pp. 1343-1376
    • Duffie, D.1    Pan, J.2    Singleton, K.3
  • 26
    • 0142108720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate GARCH models
    • Engle, R.F., 2002. Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate GARCH models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 17; 239-50.
    • (2002) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.17 , pp. 239-250
    • Engle, R.F.1
  • 27
    • 84974122247 scopus 로고
    • Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH
    • Engle, R.F., and F.K. Kroner. 1995. Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory 11: 122-50.
    • (1995) Econometric Theory , vol.11 , pp. 122-150
    • Engle, R.F.1    Kroner, F.K.2
  • 28
    • 0142188082 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of jumps in volatility and returns
    • Eraker, B., M. Johannes, and N. Polson. 2003. The impact of jumps in volatility and returns. Journal of Finance 53: 1269-300.
    • (2003) Journal of Finance , vol.53 , pp. 1269-1300
    • Eraker, B.1    Johannes, M.2    Polson, N.3
  • 31
    • 84977737676 scopus 로고
    • The cross-section of expected stock returns
    • Fama, E.F., and K.R. French. 1992. The cross-section of expected stock returns. Journal of Finance 47: 427-66.
    • (1992) Journal of Finance , vol.47 , pp. 427-466
    • Fama, E.F.1    French, K.R.2
  • 32
    • 84977709203 scopus 로고
    • Changes in expected security returns, risk and the level of interest rates
    • Ferson, W.E. 1989. Changes in expected security returns, risk and the level of interest rates. Journal of Finance 44: 1191-214.
    • (1989) Journal of Finance , vol.44 , pp. 1191-1214
    • Ferson, W.E.1
  • 34
    • 21344486016 scopus 로고
    • The risk and predictability of international equity returns
    • Ferson, W.E., and C.R. Harvey. 1993. The risk and predictability of international equity returns. Journal of Financial Studies 6: 527-66.
    • (1993) Journal of Financial Studies , vol.6 , pp. 527-566
    • Ferson, W.E.1    Harvey, C.R.2
  • 35
    • 0031521248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fundamental determinants of national equity market returns: A perspective on conditional asset pricing
    • Ferson, W.E., and C.R. Harvey. 1998. Fundamental determinants of national equity market returns: A perspective on conditional asset pricing. Journal of Banking and Finance 21: 1625-65.
    • (1998) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.21 , pp. 1625-1665
    • Ferson, W.E.1    Harvey, C.R.2
  • 36
    • 0009888594 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditional variables and the cross section of stock return
    • Ferson, W.E., and C.R. Harvey. 1999. Conditional variables and the cross section of stock return. Journal Finance 54: 1325-60.
    • (1999) Journal Finance , vol.54 , pp. 1325-1360
    • Ferson, W.E.1    Harvey, C.R.2
  • 38
    • 67649497847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic volatility
    • ed. G. Maddala and C.R. Rao, Amsterdam: Elsevier Sciences
    • Ghysels, E., A.C. Harvey, and E. Renault. 1996. Stochastic volatility, In Handbook of statistics ed. G. Maddala and C.R. Rao, vol. 14. Amsterdam: Elsevier Sciences.
    • (1996) Handbook of statistics , vol.14
    • Ghysels, E.1    Harvey, A.C.2    Renault, E.3
  • 39
    • 84963163252 scopus 로고
    • Estimating the time varying components of international stock markets' risk
    • Giannopoulos, K. 1995. Estimating the time varying components of international stock markets' risk. The European Journal of Finance 1: 129-64.
    • (1995) The European Journal of Finance , vol.1 , pp. 129-164
    • Giannopoulos, K.1
  • 40
    • 0030077450 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time varying risk: The case of the American computer industry
    • Gonzalez-Rivera, G. 1996. Time varying risk: The case of the American computer industry. Journal of Empirical Finance 2: 333-42.
    • (1996) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.2 , pp. 333-342
    • Gonzalez-Rivera, G.1
  • 42
    • 29344443074 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asset allocation with a high dimensional latent factor stochastic volatility model
    • Han, Y. 2006. Asset allocation with a high dimensional latent factor stochastic volatility model. Review of Financial Studies 19: 237-71.
    • (2006) Review of Financial Studies , vol.19 , pp. 237-271
    • Han, Y.1
  • 43
    • 0346498167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing the conditional CAPM using multivariate GARCH-M
    • Hansson, B., and P. Hördahl. 1998. Testing the conditional CAPM using multivariate GARCH-M. Applied Financial Economics 8: 377-88.
    • (1998) Applied Financial Economics , vol.8 , pp. 377-388
    • Hansson, B.1    Hördahl, P.2
  • 44
    • 0000425816 scopus 로고
    • Time-varying conditional covariances in tests of asset pricing models
    • Harvey, C.R. 1989. Time-varying conditional covariances in tests of asset pricing models. Journal of Financial Economics 24: 289-317.
    • (1989) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.24 , pp. 289-317
    • Harvey, C.R.1
  • 46
    • 0030490795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The estimation of an asymmetric stochastic volatility model for asset returns
    • Harvey, A.C., and N. Shephard. 1996. The estimation of an asymmetric stochastic volatility model for asset returns. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 14: 429-34.
    • (1996) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.14 , pp. 429-434
    • Harvey, A.C.1    Shephard, N.2
  • 47
    • 0037836721 scopus 로고
    • A closed-form solution for options with stochastic volatility
    • Heston, S.L. 1993. A closed-form solution for options with stochastic volatility. Review of Financial Studies 6: 327-43.
    • (1993) Review of Financial Studies , vol.6 , pp. 327-343
    • Heston, S.L.1
  • 48
    • 84977709229 scopus 로고
    • The pricing of options on assets with stochastic volatilities
    • Hull, J., andA. White. 1987. The pricing of options on assets with stochastic volatilities. Journal of Finance 42: 281-300.
    • (1987) Journal of Finance , vol.42 , pp. 281-300
    • Hull, J.1    andA2    White3
  • 50
    • 3042777110 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models with fat-tails and correlated errors
    • Jacquier, E., N.G. Polson, and P.E. Rossi. 2004. Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models with fat-tails and correlated errors. Journal of Econometrics 122: 185-212.
    • (2004) Journal of Econometrics , vol.122 , pp. 185-212
    • Jacquier, E.1    Polson, N.G.2    Rossi, P.E.3
  • 51
    • 0010962742 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The conditional CAPM and the cross-section of expected returns
    • Jagannathan, R., and Z. Wang. 1996. The conditional CAPM and the cross-section of expected returns. Journal of Finance 51: 3-53.
    • (1996) Journal of Finance , vol.51 , pp. 3-53
    • Jagannathan, R.1    Wang, Z.2
  • 52
    • 67650930224 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Johannes, M., and N. Polson. 2006. MCMC methods for financial econometrics. In Handbook of financial econometrics, ed.Y. Ait-Sahalia and L. Hansen. New York: Elsevier.
    • Johannes, M., and N. Polson. 2006. MCMC methods for financial econometrics. In Handbook of financial econometrics, ed.Y. Ait-Sahalia and L. Hansen. New York: Elsevier.
  • 53
    • 0001251517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic volatility: Likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH models
    • Kim, S., N. Shephard, and S. Chib. 1998. Stochastic volatility: Likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH models. Review of Economic Studies 65: 361-93.
    • (1998) Review of Economic Studies , vol.65 , pp. 361-393
    • Kim, S.1    Shephard, N.2    Chib, S.3
  • 54
    • 38149147486 scopus 로고
    • Time varying betas and volatility persistence in international stock markets
    • Koutmos, G., U. Lee, and P. Theodossiou. 1994. Time varying betas and volatility persistence in international stock markets. Journal of Economics and Business 46: 101-12.
    • (1994) Journal of Economics and Business , vol.46 , pp. 101-112
    • Koutmos, G.1    Lee, U.2    Theodossiou, P.3
  • 55
    • 0003114587 scopus 로고
    • The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets
    • Lintner, J. 1965. The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets. The Review of Economics and Statistics 47: 13-39.
    • (1965) The Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.47 , pp. 13-39
    • Lintner, J.1
  • 57
    • 0030525248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring risk in the mining sector with ARCH models with important observations on sample size
    • McClain, K.T., H.B. Humphreys, and A. Boscan. 1996. Measuring risk in the mining sector with ARCH models with important observations on sample size. Journal of Empirical Finance 3: 369-91.
    • (1996) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.3 , pp. 369-391
    • McClain, K.T.1    Humphreys, H.B.2    Boscan, A.3
  • 58
    • 0005618944 scopus 로고
    • Pricing foreign currency options with stochastic volatility
    • Melino, A., and S.M. Turnbull. 1990. Pricing foreign currency options with stochastic volatility. Journal of Econometrics 45: 239-65.
    • (1990) Journal of Econometrics , vol.45 , pp. 239-265
    • Melino, A.1    Turnbull, S.M.2
  • 59
    • 67650924365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pitt, M., and N. Shephard. 1999. Time varying covariances: A factor stochastic volatility approach. In Bayesian Statistics 6, ed. J.M. Bernardo, J.O. Berger, A.P. David, and A.F.M. Smith. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
    • Pitt, M., and N. Shephard. 1999. Time varying covariances: A factor stochastic volatility approach. In Bayesian Statistics 6, ed. J.M. Bernardo, J.O. Berger, A.P. David, and A.F.M. Smith. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • 60
    • 0001020269 scopus 로고
    • The current status of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
    • Ross, S.A. 1978. The current status of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). Journal of Finance 33: 885-901.
    • (1978) Journal of Finance , vol.33 , pp. 885-901
    • Ross, S.A.1
  • 61
    • 84977727648 scopus 로고
    • Heteroscedasticity in stock returns
    • Schwert, G.W., and P.J. Seguin. 1990. Heteroscedasticity in stock returns. Journal of Finance 4: 1129-55.
    • (1990) Journal of Finance , vol.4 , pp. 1129-1155
    • Schwert, G.W.1    Seguin, P.J.2
  • 62
    • 24944554085 scopus 로고
    • Options pricing when the variance changes randomly: Theory, estimation, and an application
    • Scott, L. 1987. Options pricing when the variance changes randomly: Theory, estimation, and an application. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 22: 419-38.
    • (1987) Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis , vol.22 , pp. 419-438
    • Scott, L.1
  • 63
    • 84980092818 scopus 로고
    • Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk
    • Sharpe, W.F. 1964. Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. Journal of Finance 19: 425-42.
    • (1964) Journal of Finance , vol.19 , pp. 425-442
    • Sharpe, W.F.1
  • 64
    • 67650921254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • General introduction
    • ed. N. Shephard. Oxford: Oxford University Press
    • Shephard, N. 2005. General introduction. In Stochastic volatility: Selected readings, ed. N. Shephard. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
    • (2005) Stochastic volatility: Selected readings
    • Shephard, N.1
  • 66
    • 0001284767 scopus 로고
    • Stock price distributions with stochastic volatility: An analytic approach
    • Stein, E.M., and J. Stein. 1991. Stock price distributions with stochastic volatility: An analytic approach. Review of Financial Studies 4: 727-52.
    • (1991) Review of Financial Studies , vol.4 , pp. 727-752
    • Stein, E.M.1    Stein, J.2
  • 67
    • 84977334948 scopus 로고
    • Stationarity of market risk: Random coefficients tests for individual stocks
    • Sunder, S. 1980. Stationarity of market risk: Random coefficients tests for individual stocks. Journal of Finance 35: 883-96.
    • (1980) Journal of Finance , vol.35 , pp. 883-896
    • Sunder, S.1
  • 68
    • 0000658999 scopus 로고
    • The price variability volume relationship on speculative markets
    • Tauchen, G., and M. Pitts. 1983. The price variability volume relationship on speculative markets. Econometrica 51: 485-505.
    • (1983) Econometrica , vol.51 , pp. 485-505
    • Tauchen, G.1    Pitts, M.2
  • 70
    • 33747807393 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A range-based multivariate stochastic volatility model for exchange rates
    • Tims, B., and R. Mahieu. 2003. A range-based multivariate stochastic volatility model for exchange rates. Econometric Reviews 25: 409-24.
    • (2003) Econometric Reviews , vol.25 , pp. 409-424
    • Tims, B.1    Mahieu, R.2
  • 72
    • 84953493687 scopus 로고
    • Variable betas on the stockholm exchange 1971-1989
    • Wells, C. 1994. Variable betas on the stockholm exchange 1971-1989. Applied Economics 4: 75-92.
    • (1994) Applied Economics , vol.4 , pp. 75-92
    • Wells, C.1
  • 73
    • 0036171050 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting volatility in the New Zealand stock market
    • Yu, J. 2002. Forecasting volatility in the New Zealand stock market. Applied Financial Economics 12: 193-202.
    • (2002) Applied Financial Economics , vol.12 , pp. 193-202
    • Yu, J.1
  • 74
    • 19744365632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On leverage in a stochastic volatility model
    • Yu, J. 2005. On leverage in a stochastic volatility model. Journal of Econometrics 127: 165-178.
    • (2005) Journal of Econometrics , vol.127 , pp. 165-178
    • Yu, J.1
  • 75
    • 33747763372 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate stochastic volatility models: Bayesian estimation and model comparison
    • Yu, J., and R. Meyer. 2006. Multivariate stochastic volatility models: Bayesian estimation and model comparison. Econometric Reviews 25: 361-84.
    • (2006) Econometric Reviews , vol.25 , pp. 361-384
    • Yu, J.1    Meyer, R.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.