메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 55, Issue 4, 2009, Pages 650-663

Priority shifting and the dynamics of managing eradicable infectious diseases

Author keywords

Benefit cost analysis; Disease eradication; Health economics; Infectious diseases; Perception delay; Stochastic model; System dynamics

Indexed keywords

BENEFIT-COST ANALYSIS; HEALTH ECONOMICS; INFECTIOUS DISEASES; PERCEPTION DELAY; SYSTEM DYNAMICS;

EID: 67650308759     PISSN: 00251909     EISSN: 15265501     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.1080.0965     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (53)

References (67)
  • 5
    • 33646540455 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Public health. Is polio eradication realistic?
    • Arita, I., M. Nakane, F. Fenner. 2006. Public health. Is polio eradication realistic? Science 312 (5775) 852-854.
    • (2006) Science , vol.312 , Issue.5775 , pp. 852-854
    • Arita, I.1    Nakane, M.2    Fenner, F.3
  • 6
    • 4644255748 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global disease eradication
    • Barrett, S. 2003. Global disease eradication. J. Eur. Econom. Assoc. 1 (2-3) 591-600.
    • (2003) J. Eur. Econom. Assoc , vol.1 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 591-600
    • Barrett, S.1
  • 7
    • 4644285184 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eradication versus control: The economics of global infectious disease policies
    • Barrett, S. 2004. Eradication versus control: The economics of global infectious disease policies. Bull. World Health Organ. 82 (9) 683-688.
    • (2004) Bull. World Health Organ , vol.82 , Issue.9 , pp. 683-688
    • Barrett, S.1
  • 8
    • 33846440565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The smallpox eradication game
    • Barrett, S. 2006. The smallpox eradication game. Public Choice 130 179-207.
    • (2006) Public Choice , vol.130 , pp. 179-207
    • Barrett, S.1
  • 10
    • 0000362106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bathtub dynamics: Initial results of a systems thinking inventory
    • Booth Sweeney, L., J. D. Sterman. 2000. Bathtub dynamics: Initial results of a systems thinking inventory. System Dynam. Rev. 16 (4) 249-286.
    • (2000) System Dynam. Rev , vol.16 , Issue.4 , pp. 249-286
    • Booth Sweeney, L.1    Sterman, J.D.2
  • 11
    • 0037245609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic evaluation of vaccination programs: The impact of herd-immunity
    • Brisson, M., W. J. Edmunds. 2003. Economic evaluation of vaccination programs: The impact of herd-immunity Medical Decision Making 23 (1) 76-82.
    • (2003) Medical Decision Making , vol.23 , Issue.1 , pp. 76-82
    • Brisson, M.1    Edmunds, W.J.2
  • 12
    • 0036780907 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolutionary and historical aspects of the burden of malaria
    • Carter, R., K. N. Mendis. 2002. Evolutionary and historical aspects of the burden of malaria. Clinical Microbiology Rev. 15 (4) 564-594.
    • (2002) Clinical Microbiology Rev , vol.15 , Issue.4 , pp. 564-594
    • Carter, R.1    Mendis, K.N.2
  • 13
    • 0027927057 scopus 로고
    • Recommendations of the international task force for disease eradication
    • RR-16 1-38. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
    • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 1993. Recommendations of the international task force for disease eradication. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Rep. 42 (RR-16) 1-38.
    • (1993) Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Rep , vol.42
  • 14
    • 57249116243 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why don't welleducated adults understand accumulation? A challenge to researchers, educators, and citizens
    • Cronin, M. A., C. Gonzalez, J. D. Sterman. 2009. Why don't welleducated adults understand accumulation? A challenge to researchers, educators, and citizens. Organ. Behav. Human Decision Processes 108 116-130.
    • (2009) Organ. Behav. Human Decision Processes , vol.108 , pp. 116-130
    • Cronin, M.A.1    Gonzalez, C.2    Sterman, J.D.3
  • 15
    • 33845674253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The costs of polio risk management policies after eradication
    • Duintjer Tebbens, R. J., N. Sangrujee, K. M. Thompson. 2006a. The costs of polio risk management policies after eradication. Risk Anal. 26 (6) 1507-1531.
    • (2006) Risk Anal , vol.26 , Issue.6 , pp. 1507-1531
    • Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.1    Sangrujee, N.2    Thompson, K.M.3
  • 17
    • 46749103521 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of a decision analytic model for posteradication polio risk management
    • Duintjer Tebbens, R. J., M. A. Pallansch, O. M. Kew, R. W. Sutter, R. B. Aylward, M. Watkins, H. Gary, et al. 2008. Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of a decision analytic model for posteradication polio risk management. Risk Anal. 28 (4) 855-876.
    • (2008) Risk Anal , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 855-876
    • Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.1    Pallansch, M.A.2    Kew, O.M.3    Sutter, R.W.4    Aylward, R.B.5    Watkins, M.6    Gary, H.7
  • 18
    • 0033573302 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of vaccination programmes: A dynamic perspective
    • Edmunds, W. J., G. F. Medley, D. J. Nokes. 1999. Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of vaccination programmes: A dynamic perspective. Statist. Medicine 18 (23) 3263-3282.
    • (1999) Statist. Medicine , vol.18 , Issue.23 , pp. 3263-3282
    • Edmunds, W.J.1    Medley, G.F.2    Nokes, D.J.3
  • 19
    • 0029988559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eradication of poliomyelitis: When can one be sure that polio virus transmission has been terminated?
    • Eichner, M., K. Dietz. 1996. Eradication of poliomyelitis: When can one be sure that polio virus transmission has been terminated? Amer. J. Epidemiology 143 (8) 816-822.
    • (1996) Amer. J. Epidemiology , vol.143 , Issue.8 , pp. 816-822
    • Eichner, M.1    Dietz, K.2
  • 20
    • 22844437507 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maximum principle for age and duration structured systems: A tool for optimal prevention and treatment of HIV
    • Feichtinger, G., T. Tsachev, V. M. Veliov. 2004. Maximum principle for age and duration structured systems: A tool for optimal prevention and treatment of HIV. Math. Population Stud. 11 3-28.
    • (2004) Math. Population Stud , vol.11 , pp. 3-28
    • Feichtinger, G.1    Tsachev, T.2    Veliov, V.M.3
  • 22
    • 0000759048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disease eradication private versus public vaccination
    • Geoffard, P.-Y, T. Philipson. 1997. Disease eradication private versus public vaccination. Amer. Econom. Rev. 87 (1) 222-230.
    • (1997) Amer. Econom. Rev , vol.87 , Issue.1 , pp. 222-230
    • Geoffard, P.-Y.1    Philipson, T.2
  • 23
    • 67650289140 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ghana Health Service, Final report, Ghana Health Service, Accra, Ghana
    • Ghana Health Service. 2004. Review of the Year 2003 Programme of Work. Final report, Ghana Health Service, Accra, Ghana.
    • (2004) Review of the Year 2003 Programme of Work
  • 24
    • 0017030517 scopus 로고
    • A general method for numerically simulating the stochastic time evolution of coupled chemical reactions
    • Gillespie, D. T. 1976. A general method for numerically simulating the stochastic time evolution of coupled chemical reactions. J. Computational Phys. 22 403-434.
    • (1976) J. Computational Phys , vol.22 , pp. 403-434
    • Gillespie, D.T.1
  • 26
    • 4344699359 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving emergency responsiveness with management science
    • Green, L. V., P. J. Kolesar. 2004. Improving emergency responsiveness with management science. Management Sci. 50 (8) 1001-1014.
    • (2004) Management Sci , vol.50 , Issue.8 , pp. 1001-1014
    • Green, L.V.1    Kolesar, P.J.2
  • 27
    • 0023937995 scopus 로고
    • Some results on optimal control applied to epidemics
    • Greenhalgh, D. 1988. Some results on optimal control applied to epidemics. Math. Biosciences 88 125-158.
    • (1988) Math. Biosciences , vol.88 , pp. 125-158
    • Greenhalgh, D.1
  • 29
    • 0001620170 scopus 로고
    • Vaccination in age-structured populations ii: Optimal vaccination strategies
    • V Isham, G. F. Medley, eds, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
    • Hadeler, K. P., J. Müller. 1993. Vaccination in age-structured populations ii: Optimal vaccination strategies. V Isham, G. F. Medley, eds. Models for Infectious Human Diseases: Their Structure and Relation to Data. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 102-114.
    • (1993) Models for Infectious Human Diseases: Their Structure and Relation to Data , pp. 102-114
    • Hadeler, K.P.1    Müller, J.2
  • 30
    • 0014413249 scopus 로고
    • The tragedy of the commons
    • Hardin, G. 1968. The tragedy of the commons. Science 162 (3859) 1243-1248.
    • (1968) Science , vol.162 , Issue.3859 , pp. 1243-1248
    • Hardin, G.1
  • 31
    • 0022070167 scopus 로고
    • Control of yaws and other endemic treponematoses: Implementation of vertical and/or integrated programs
    • Hopkins, D. R. 1985. Control of yaws and other endemic treponematoses: Implementation of vertical and/or integrated programs. Rev. Infectious Diseases 7 (Suppl. 2) S338-S342.
    • (1985) Rev. Infectious Diseases , vol.7 , Issue.SUPPL. 2
    • Hopkins, D.R.1
  • 33
    • 84884298700 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Retrieved April 2, 2007
    • Kakkilaya, B. S. 2006. Malaria in India. Retrieved April 2, 2007, http://www.malariasite.com/malaria/MalariaInIndia.htm.
    • (2006) Malaria in India
    • Kakkilaya, B.S.1
  • 34
    • 0022076725 scopus 로고
    • Cognitive heuristics and feedback in a dynamic decision environment
    • Kleinmuntz, D. N. 1985. Cognitive heuristics and feedback in a dynamic decision environment. Management Sci. 31 (6) 680-702.
    • (1985) Management Sci , vol.31 , Issue.6 , pp. 680-702
    • Kleinmuntz, D.N.1
  • 35
    • 2142651557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling infection transmission
    • Koopman, J. 2004. Modeling infection transmission. Ann. Rev. Public Health 25 303-326.
    • (2004) Ann. Rev. Public Health , vol.25 , pp. 303-326
    • Koopman, J.1
  • 36
    • 0036814697 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic portfolio selection of NPD programs using marginal returns
    • Loch, C. H., S. Kavadias. 2002. Dynamic portfolio selection of NPD programs using marginal returns. Management Sci. 48 (10) 1227-1241.
    • (2002) Management Sci , vol.48 , Issue.10 , pp. 1227-1241
    • Loch, C.H.1    Kavadias, S.2
  • 37
    • 33846442305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Control and eradication
    • D. T. Jamison, J. G. Breman, A. R. Measham, G. Alleyne, M. Claeson, D. B. Evans, P. Jha, A. Mills, P. Musgrove, eds, World Bank and Oxford University Press, New York
    • Miller, M. A., S. Barrett, D. A. Henderson. 2006. Control and eradication. D. T. Jamison, J. G. Breman, A. R. Measham, G. Alleyne, M. Claeson, D. B. Evans, P. Jha, A. Mills, P. Musgrove, eds. Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries. World Bank and Oxford University Press, New York, 1163-1176.
    • (2006) Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries , pp. 1163-1176
    • Miller, M.A.1    Barrett, S.2    Henderson, D.A.3
  • 38
    • 0032153822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal vaccination patterns in age-structured populations
    • Müller, J. 1998. Optimal vaccination patterns in age-structured populations. SIAM J. Appl. Math. 59 (1) 222-241.
    • (1998) SIAM J. Appl. Math , vol.59 , Issue.1 , pp. 222-241
    • Müller, J.1
  • 39
    • 0034143292 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oprimal vaccination patterns in age-structured populations: Endemic case
    • Müller, J. 2000. Oprimal vaccination patterns in age-structured populations: Endemic case. Math. Comput. Model. 31 149-160.
    • (2000) Math. Comput. Model , vol.31 , pp. 149-160
    • Müller, J.1
  • 40
    • 61849164071 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of delays on complexity of organizational learning
    • Rahmandad, H. 2008. Effect of delays on complexity of organizational learning. Management Sci. 54 (7) 1297-1312.
    • (2008) Management Sci , vol.54 , Issue.7 , pp. 1297-1312
    • Rahmandad, H.1
  • 41
    • 61849110802 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heterogeneity and network structure in the dynamics of diffusion: Comparing agentbased and differential equation models
    • Rahmandad, H., J. Sterman. 2008. Heterogeneity and network structure in the dynamics of diffusion: Comparing agentbased and differential equation models. Management Sci. 54 (5) 998-1014.
    • (2008) Management Sci , vol.54 , Issue.5 , pp. 998-1014
    • Rahmandad, H.1    Sterman, J.2
  • 42
    • 0041010783 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A dynamic model of resource allocation in multi-project research and development systems
    • Repenning, N. P. 2000. A dynamic model of resource allocation in multi-project research and development systems. System Dynam. Rev. 16 173-212.
    • (2000) System Dynam. Rev , vol.16 , pp. 173-212
    • Repenning, N.P.1
  • 43
    • 0035445043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding fire fighting in new product development
    • Repenning, N. P. 2001. Understanding fire fighting in new product development. J. Product Innovation Management 18 (5) 285-300.
    • (2001) J. Product Innovation Management , vol.18 , Issue.5 , pp. 285-300
    • Repenning, N.P.1
  • 44
    • 33846885913 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vaccination and the dynamics of immune evasion
    • Restif, O., B. T. Grenfell. 2007. Vaccination and the dynamics of immune evasion. J. Royal Soc. Interface 4 143-153.
    • (2007) J. Royal Soc. Interface , vol.4 , pp. 143-153
    • Restif, O.1    Grenfell, B.T.2
  • 45
    • 25144511088 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Policy decision options during the first five years following certification of polio eradication
    • Retrieved March 30
    • Sangrujee, N., R. J. Duintjer Tebbens, V. M. Cáceres, K. M. Thompson. 2003. Policy decision options during the first five years following certification of polio eradication. Medscape General Medicine 5 (4) 35. Retrieved March 30, http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/464841.
    • (2003) Medscape General Medicine , vol.5 , Issue.4 , pp. 35
    • Sangrujee, N.1    Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.2    Cáceres, V.M.3    Thompson, K.M.4
  • 46
    • 0015312782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scholtens, R. G., R. L. Kaiser, A. D. Langmuir. 1972. An epidemiologic examination of the strategy of malaria eradication. Internat. J. Epidemiology 1 (1) 15-24.
    • Scholtens, R. G., R. L. Kaiser, A. D. Langmuir. 1972. An epidemiologic examination of the strategy of malaria eradication. Internat. J. Epidemiology 1 (1) 15-24.
  • 47
    • 0035351883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managerial allocation of time and effort: The effects of interruptions
    • Seshadri, S., Z. Shapira. 2001. Managerial allocation of time and effort: The effects of interruptions. Management Sci. 47 (5) 647-662.
    • (2001) Management Sci , vol.47 , Issue.5 , pp. 647-662
    • Seshadri, S.1    Shapira, Z.2
  • 48
    • 38649096027 scopus 로고
    • Misperceptions of feedback in dynamic decision making
    • Sterman, J. D. 1989a. Misperceptions of feedback in dynamic decision making. Organ. Behav. Human Decision Processes 43 (3) 301-335.
    • (1989) Organ. Behav. Human Decision Processes , vol.43 , Issue.3 , pp. 301-335
    • Sterman, J.D.1
  • 49
    • 0000361362 scopus 로고
    • Modeling managerial behavior: Misperceptions of feedback in a dynamic decision making experiment
    • Sterman, J. D. 1989b. Modeling managerial behavior: Misperceptions of feedback in a dynamic decision making experiment. Management Sci. 35 (3) 321-339.
    • (1989) Management Sci , vol.35 , Issue.3 , pp. 321-339
    • Sterman, J.D.1
  • 50
    • 84982732856 scopus 로고
    • Learning in and about complex systems
    • Sterman, J. D. 1994. Learning in and about complex systems. System Dynam. Rev. 10 291-330.
    • (1994) System Dynam. Rev , vol.10 , pp. 291-330
    • Sterman, J.D.1
  • 52
    • 54949094355 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk communication on climate: Mental models and mass balance
    • Sterman, J. D. 2008. Risk communication on climate: Mental models and mass balance. Science 322 (5901) 532-533.
    • (2008) Science , vol.322 , Issue.5901 , pp. 532-533
    • Sterman, J.D.1
  • 53
    • 2142808706 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cloudy skies: Assessing public understanding of global warming
    • Sterman, J. D., L. Booth Sweeney. 2002. Cloudy skies: Assessing public understanding of global warming. System Dynam. Rev. 18 (1) 207-240.
    • (2002) System Dynam. Rev , vol.18 , Issue.1 , pp. 207-240
    • Sterman, J.D.1    Booth Sweeney, L.2
  • 54
    • 33845630853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Retrospective cost-effectiveness analyses for polio vaccination in the United States
    • Thompson, K. M., R. J. Duintjer Tebbens. 2006. Retrospective cost-effectiveness analyses for polio vaccination in the United States. Risk Anal. 26 (6) 1423-1440.
    • (2006) Risk Anal , vol.26 , Issue.6 , pp. 1423-1440
    • Thompson, K.M.1    Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.2
  • 55
    • 34247167109 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eradication versus control for poliomyelitis: An economic analysis
    • Thompson, K. M., R. J. Duintjer Tebbens. 2007. Eradication versus control for poliomyelitis: An economic analysis. Lancet 369 (9570) 1363-1371.
    • (2007) Lancet , vol.369 , Issue.9570 , pp. 1363-1371
    • Thompson, K.M.1    Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.2
  • 56
    • 50949133715 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Thompson, K. M., R. J. Duintjer Tebbens. 2008. The case for cooperation in managing and maintaining the end of poliomyelitis: Stockpile needs and coordinated OPV cessation. Medscape J. Medicine 10 (8) 190. Retrieved September 21, http://journal. medscape.com/viewarticle/578396.
    • Thompson, K. M., R. J. Duintjer Tebbens. 2008. The case for cooperation in managing and maintaining the end of poliomyelitis: Stockpile needs and coordinated OPV cessation. Medscape J. Medicine 10 (8) 190. Retrieved September 21, http://journal. medscape.com/viewarticle/578396.
  • 58
    • 0035328578 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal dynamic allocation of treatment and enforcement in illicit drug control
    • Tragler, G., J. P. Caulkins, G. Feichtinger. 2001. Optimal dynamic allocation of treatment and enforcement in illicit drug control. Oper. Res. 49 (3) 352-362.
    • (2001) Oper. Res , vol.49 , Issue.3 , pp. 352-362
    • Tragler, G.1    Caulkins, J.P.2    Feichtinger, G.3
  • 59
    • 0004119890 scopus 로고
    • Stanford University Press, Palo Alto, CA
    • Tucker, A. W. 1950. A Two-Person Dilemma. Stanford University Press, Palo Alto, CA.
    • (1950) A Two-Person Dilemma
    • Tucker, A.W.1
  • 61
  • 62
    • 0031890346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perceptions and priorities in disease eradication: Dracunculiasis eradication in Africa
    • Watts, S. 1998. Perceptions and priorities in disease eradication: Dracunculiasis eradication in Africa. Soc. Sci. Medicine 46 (7) 799-810.
    • (1998) Soc. Sci. Medicine , vol.46 , Issue.7 , pp. 799-810
    • Watts, S.1
  • 63
    • 67650292404 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World Health Organization, World Health Report 1999: Making a Difference. Report, World Health Organization, Geneva
    • World Health Organization. 1999. World Health Report 1999: Making a Difference. Report, World Health Organization, Geneva.
    • (1999)
  • 64
    • 33646233190 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dracunculiasis eradication-Global surveillance summary, 2005
    • World Health Organization
    • World Health Organization. 2006. Dracunculiasis eradication-Global surveillance summary, 2005. Weekly Epidemiological Record 81 (18) 173-182.
    • (2006) Weekly Epidemiological Record , vol.81 , Issue.18 , pp. 173-182
  • 65
    • 67650304676 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World Health Organization. 2007a. Data tables from World Health Reports 1999-2004. Retrieved March 30, http://www.who.int/whr/en/.
    • World Health Organization. 2007a. Data tables from World Health Reports 1999-2004. Retrieved March 30, http://www.who.int/whr/en/.
  • 66
    • 0004326227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Retrieved January 4
    • World Health Organization. 2007b. Global polio eradication initiative. Retrieved January 4, http://www.polioeradication.org.
    • (2007) Global polio eradication initiative
  • 67
    • 84869370933 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Retrieved January 14
    • World Health Organization. 2009. Yaws: A forgotten disease. Retrieved January 14, http://www.who.int/neglected-diseases/diseases/yaws/en/index.html.
    • (2009) Yaws: A forgotten disease


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.