An interplay model for rumour spreading and emergency development

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

Volumn 388, Issue 19, 2009, Pages 4159-4166

  Zhang, Zi li ^a   Zhang, Zi qiong ^a,b  

^a HARBIN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (China)

^b HONG KONG POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY   (Hong Kong)

Author keywords

Emergency; Interplay; Mathematical model; Positive role; Rumour spreading

Indexed keywords

MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PHYSICS;

EMERGENCY; EMERGENCY EVENTS; INTERPLAY; POSITIVE ROLE; PUBLIC ACTIONS; RUMOUR SPREADING;

DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS;

EID: 67650098132     PISSN: 03784371     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2009.06.020     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. H. Hayakawa, Ryugen no shakaigaku-keishikisyakaigaku karano sekkin (sociology of rumor-approach from formal sociology), Seikyusya, Tokyo, Japan, 2002
2. Lind P.G., Andrade Jr. J.S., da Silva L.R., and Herrmann H.J. The spread of gossip in American schools. Europhysics Letters 78 (2007) 68005
3. Shibutani T. Improvised News: A Sociological Study of Rumor (1966), Bobbs-Merrill, Indianapolis, America
4. Thomas S.A. Lies, damn lies, and rumors: An analysis of collective efficacy, rumors, and fear in the wake of Katrina. Sociological Spectrum 27 (2007) 679-703
5. Allport F.H., and Lepkin M. Wartime rumours of waste and special privilege: Why some people believe them. Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology 40 (1945) 3-26
6. Danzig E.R., Thayer P.W., and Galanter L.R. The Effects of a Threatening Rumor on a Disaster-Stricken Community (1958), National Academy of Science-National Research Council, Washington, DC
7. Kimmel A.J. Rumors and rumor control. Journal of Behavioral Finance 5 (2004) 134-141
8. Kosfeld M. Rumours and markets. Journal of Mathematical Economics 41 (2005) 646-664
9. Kosmidis K., and Bunde A. On the spreading and localization of risky information in social networks. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 386 (2007) 439-445
10. Alexander D.E. Principles of Emergency Planning and Management (2002), Oxford University Press, New York
11. Buzna L., Peters K., and Helbing D. Modelling the dynamics of disaster spreading in networks. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 363 (2006) 132-140
12. Carr L.J. Disaster and the sequence-pattern concept of social change. American Journal of Sociology 38 (1932) 207-218
13. Faulkner B. Towards a framework for tourism disaster management. Tourism Management 22 (2001) 135-147
14. Wybo J.L., and Latiers M. Exploring complex emergency situations' dynamic: Theoretical, epistemological and methodological proposals. International Journal of Emergency Management 3 (2006) 40-51
15. Wybo J.L. Mastering risks of damage and risks of crisis: The role of organizational learning. International Journal of Emergency Management 2 (2004) 22-34
16. Quarantelli E.L. Organisational behaviour in disasters and implications for disaster planning. Monographs of the National Emergency Training Center 1 2 (1984) 1-31
17. Yang G.Q. Uncertainty, break and government crisis management. Economic Management 13 (2003) 14-20 (in Chinese)
18. Lv H., and Wang C. Proliferation mechanism of the significant emergent events. Journal of WUT (Information & Management Engineering) 28 9 (2006) 7-10 (in Chinese)
19. Du J.F. The spread of gossip: a mass media analysis of the spread of SARS-related news. Journal of Nanjing University (Philosophy, Humanities and Social Sciences) 40 5 (2003) 116-124 (in Chinese)
20. Yan S.J., and Xu H.M. An investigation on rumor spreads in Guangzhou SARS incident. Journal of East China Normal University (Philosophy and Social Sciences) 36 3 (2004) 82-88 (in chinese)
21. Molka-Danielsen J., and Beke T. Rumours interplay in disaster management. International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management 9 4 (2008) 334-350
22. Daley D.J., and Kendall D.G. Stochastic rumours. IMA Journal of Applied Mathematics 1 (1965) 42-55
23. Daley D.J., and Gani J. Epidemic Modelling (2000), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
24. Maki D.P., and Thompson M. Mathematical Models and Applications, with Emphasis on Social, Life, and Management Sciences (1973), Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ
25. Lefevre C., and Picard P. Distribution of the final extent of a rumour process. Journal of Applied Probability 31 (1994) 244-249
26. Sudbury A. The proportion of population never hearing a rumour. Journal of Applied Probability 22 (1985) 443-446
27. Zanette D.H. Critical behavior of propagation on small-world networks. Physical Review E 64 (2001) 050901R
28. Zanette D.H. Dynamics of rumor propagation on small world networks. Physical Review E 65 (2002) 041908
29. Moreno Y., Nekovee M., and Pacheco A. Dynamics of rumor spreading in complex networks. Physical Review E 69 (2004) 066130
30. Nekovee M., Moreno Y., Bianconi G., and Marsili M. Theory of rumour spreading in complex social networks. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 374 (2007) 457-470
31. Dombrowsky W.R. Again and again: Is a disaster what we call a "disaster"?. International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters 13 (1995) 241-254 What is a disaster? Six views of the problem (special issue)
32. Ma Z.E., and Zhou Y.C. Qualitative Study and Stability Methods of Ordinary Differential Equation (2001), Science press, Beijing, China (in Chinese)