Age-specific survival, breeding success, and recruitment in common murres (Uria aalge) of the California current system

Auk

Volumn 125, Issue 2, 2008, Pages 316-325

  Lee, Derek E ^a   Abraham, Christine L ^a   Warzybok, Peter M ^a   Bradley, Russell W ^a   Sydeman, William J ^a  

^a PRBO CONSERVATION SCIENCE   (United States)

Author keywords

Age at first breeding; Alcidae; Common Murre; Demography; Elasticity; Mark recapture; Multistate; Uria aalge

Indexed keywords

ESTIMATION METHOD; MARK-RECAPTURE METHOD; MODELING; POPULATION GROWTH; RECRUITMENT (POPULATION DYNAMICS); REPRODUCTIVE SUCCESS; SEABIRD; SURVIVAL;

CALIFORNIA; FARALLON ISLANDS; NORTH AMERICA; UNITED STATES;

ALCIDAE; URIA AALGE;

EID: 67649804369     PISSN: 00048038     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1525/auk.2008.07007     Document Type: Article

References (81)

1. AEBISCHER, N. J., AND J. C. COULSON. 1990. Survival of the kittiwake in relation to sex, year, breeding experience and position in the colony. Journal of Animal Ecology 59:1063-1071.
2. AINLEY, D. G., L. B. SPEAR, S. G. ALLEN, AND C. A. RIBIC. 1996. Temporal and spatial patterns in the diet of the Common Murre in California waters. Condor 98:691-705.
3. AINLEY, D. G., W. J. SYDFMAN, S. A. HATCH, AND U. W. WILSON. 1994. Seabird population trends along the west coast of North America: Causes and the extent of regional concordance. Pages 119-133 in A Century of Avifaunal Change in Western North America (J. R. Jehl, Jr. and N. K. Johnson, Eds.). Studies in Avian Biology, no. 15.
4. BIRKHEAD, T. R., AND P. J. HUDSON. 1977. Population parameters for the Common Guillemot Uria aalge. Ornis Scandinavica 8:145-154.
5. BOEKELHEIDE, R. J., D. G. AINLEY, S. H. MORRELL, H. R. HUBER, AND T. J. LEWIS. 1990. Common Murre. Pages 245-275 in Seabirds of the Farallon Islands: Ecology, Structure and Dynamics of an Upwelling-system Community (D. G. Ainley and R. J. Boekelheide, Eds.). Stanford University Press, Stanford, California.
6. BOERSMA, P. D., J. A. CLARK, AND N. HILLGARTH. 2002. Seabird conservation, Pages 559-579 in Biology of Marine Birds (E. A. Schreiber and J. Burger, Eds.). CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida.
7. BRADLEY, J. S., R. D. WOOLLER, I. J. SKIRA, AND D. L. SERVENTY. 1989. Age-dependent survival of breeding Short-tailed Shearwaters Puffinus tenuirostris. Journal of Animal Ecology 58:175-188.
8. BRIGGS, K. T., AND E. W. CHU. 1987. Trophic relationships and food requirements of California seabirds: Updating models of trophic impact. Pages 279-304 in Seabirds: Feeding Ecology and Role in Marine Systems (J. P. Croxall, Ed.). Cambridge University Press, London.
9. BROWNIE, C., J. E. HINES, J. D. NICHOLS, K. H. POLLOCK, AND J. B. HESTBECK. 1993. Capture-recapture studies for multiple strata including non-Markovian transitions. Biometrics 49:1173-1187
10. BUCKLAND S. T., I. ROWLEY, AND D. A. WILLIAMS. 1983. Estimation of survival from repeated sightings of tagged Galahs. Journal of Animal Ecology 52:563-573.
11. BURGER, J. 1980. The transition to independence and postfledging parental care in seabirds. Pages 367-447 in Behavior of Marine Animals: Current Perspectives in Research, vol 4: Marine Birds (J. Burger, B. L. Olla, and H. E. Winn, Eds.). Plenum Press, New York.
12. BURNHAM, K. P., AND D. R. ANDERSON. 2002. Model Selection and Multimodel Inference: A Practical Information-theoretic Approach, 2nd ed. Springer, New York.
13. CAM, E., E. G. COOCH, AND J.-Y. MONNAT. 2005. Earlier recruitment or earlier death? On the assumption of equal survival in recruitment studies. Ecological Monographs 75:419-434.
14. CAM, E., W. A. LINK, E. G. COOCH, J.-Y. MONNAT, AND E. DANCHIN. 2002. Individual covariation in life-history traits: Seeing the trees despite the forest. American Naturalist 159:96-105.
15. CAM, E., L, LOUGHEED, R. BRADLEY, AND F. COOKE. 2003. Demographic assessment of a Marbled Murrelet population from capture-recapture data. Conservation Biology 17:1118-1126.
16. CAM, E., AND J.-Y. MONNAT. 2000. Apparent inferiority of first-time breeders in the kittiwake: The role of heterogeneity among age classes. Journal of Animal Ecology 69:380-394.
17. CASWELL, H. 2001. Matrix Population Models: Construction, Analysis, and Interpretation, 2nd ed. Sinauer Associates, Sunderland, Massachusetts.
18. CHARNOV, E. L. 1997. Trade-off-invariant rules for evolutionarily stable life histories. Nature 387:393-394.
19. CHOQUET, R., A. M. REBOULET, J.-D. LEBRETON, O. GIMINEZ, AND R. PRADEL. 2005. U-CARE 2.2 User's Manual. CEFE, Montpelier, France.
20. CLOBERT, J., R. JULLIARD, AND R. H. MCCLEERY. 1993. The components of local recruitment. Pages 281-293 in The Study of Bird Population Dynamics Using Marked Individuals (J.-D. Lebreton and P. North, Eds.). Birkhauser Verlag, Basel, Switzerland.
21. COLE, L. C. 1954. The populational consequences of life history phenomena. Quarterly Review of Biology 29:103-137.
22. COOCH, E., AND G. WHITE. 2007 Program MARK: "A gentle introduction," 6th ed. [Online.] Available at www.phidot.org/software/mark/docs/book/.
23. CRESPIN, L., M. P. HARRIS, J.-D. LEBRETON, M. FREDERIKSEN, AND S. WANLESS. 2006a. Recruitment to a seabird population depends on environmental factors and on population size. Journal of Animal Ecology 75:228-238.
24. CRESPIN, L., M. P. HARRIS, J.-D. LEBRETON, AND S. WANLESS. 2006b. Increased adult mortality and reduced breeding success with age in a population of Common Guillemot Uria aalge using marked birds of unknown age. Journal of Avian Biology 37:273-282.
25. CRONE, E. E. 2001. Is survivorship a better fitness surrogate than fecundity? Evolution 55:2611-2614.
26. CROXALL, J. P., AND P. ROTHERY. 1991. Population regulation of seabirds: Implications of their demography for conservation. In Bird Population Studies: Relevance to Conservation and Management (C. M. Perrins, J.-D. Lebreton, and G. J. M. Hirons, Eds.). Oxford University Press, New York.
27. CROXALL, J. P., P. ROTHERY, S. P. C. PICKERING, AND P. A. PRINCE. 1990. Reproductive performance, recruitment and survival of Wandering Albatrosses Diomedea exulans at Bird Island, South Georgia. Journal of Animal Ecology 59:775-796.
28. DAYTON, P. K., S. THRUSH, AND F. C. COLEMAN. 2002. Ecological effects of fishing in marine ecosystems of the United States. Pew Oceans Commission, Arlington, Virginia.
29. DITTMANN, T., D. ZINSMEISTFR, AND P. H. BECKER. 2005. Dispersal decisions: Common Terns, Sterna hirundo, choose between colonies during prospecting. Animal Behaviour 70:13-20.
30. DUNNETT, G. M., AND J. C. OLLASON. 1978. Survival and longevity in the Fulmar Fulmarus glacialis. Ibis 120:124-125.
31. FORSLUND, P., AND T. PÄRT. 1995. Age and reproduction in birds - Hypotheses and tests. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 10:374-378.
32. FREDERIKSEN, M., AND T. BREGNBALLE. 2000. Evidence for density-dependent survival in adult Cormorants from a combined analysis of recoveries and resightings. Journal of Animal Ecology 69:737-752.
33. GOERICKE, R., S. J. BOGRAD, G. GAXIOLA-CASTRO, J. GÓMEZ-VALDES, R. HOOFF, A. HUYER, K. D. HYRENBACH, B. E. LAVANIEGOS, A. MANTYLA, W. T. PETERSON, AND OTHERS. 2004. The state of the California Current, 2003-2004: A rare "normal" year. California Cooperative Oceanic Fisheries Investigations Reports 45:27-60.
34. GOERICKE, R., E. VENRICK, A. MANTYLA, S. J. BOGRAD, F. B. SCHWING, A. HUYER, R. L. SMITH, P. A. WHEELER, R. HOOFF, W. T. PETERSON, AND OTHERS. 2005. The state of the California Current, 2004-2005: Still cool? California Cooperative Oceanic Fisheries Investigations Reports 46:32-71.
35. HALLEY, D. J., M. P. HARRIS, AND S. WANLESS. 1995. Colony attendance patterns and recruitment in immature Common Murres (Uria aalge). Auk 112:947-957.
36. HARRIS, M. P., M. FREDERIKSEN, AND S. WANLESS. 2007. Within- and between-year variation in the juvenile survival of Common Guillemots Uria aalge. Ibis 149:472-481.
37. HARRIS, M. P., D. J. HALLEY, AND R. L. SWANN. 1994. Age of first breeding in Common Murres. Auk 111:207-209.
38. HARRIS, M. P., D. J. HALLEY, AND S. WANLESS. 1996a. Philopatry in the Common Guillemot Uria aalge. Bird Study 43:134-137.
39. HARRIS, M. P., AND S. WANLESS. 1995. Survival and non-breeding of adult Common Guillemots Uria aalge. Ibis 137:192-197.
40. HARRIS, M. P., S. WANLESS, AND T. R. BARTON. 1996b. Site use and fidelity in the Common Guillemot Uria aalge. Ibis 138:399-404.
41. HATCHWELL, B. J., AND T. R. BIRKHEAD. 1991. Population dynamics of Common Guillemots Uria aalge on Skomer Island, Wales. Ornis Scandinavica 22:55-59.
42. HINES, J. E. 1994. MSSURVIV User's Manual. National Biological Survey, Patuxent Environmental Science Center, Laurel, Maryland.
43. LEBRETON, J.-D., K. P. BURNHAM, J. CLOBERT, AND D. R. ANDERSON. 1992. Modeling survival and testing biological hypotheses using marked animals: A unified approach with case studies. Ecological Monographs 62:67-118.
44. LEE, D. E., N. NUR, AND W. J. SYDEMAN. 2007 Climate and demography of the planktivorous Cassin's Auklet Ptychoramphus aleuticus off northern California: Implications for population change. Journal of Animal Ecology 76:337-347.
45. LEGENDRE, S., AND J. CLOBERT. 1995. ULM, a software for conservation and evolutionary biologists. Journal of Applied Statistics 22:817-834.
46. MANUWAL, D. A., H. R. CARTER, T. S. ZIMMERMAN, AND D. L. ORTHMEYER, EDS. 2001. Biology and conservation of the Common Murre in California, Oregon, Washington, and British Columbia, vol. 1: Natural history and population trends. U.S. Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division, Information and Technology Report USGS/BRD/ ITR-2000-0012.
47. MAUCK, R. A., C. E. HUNTINGTON, AND T. C. GRUBB, JR. 2004. Age-specific reproductive success: Evidence for the selection hypothesis. Evolution 58:880-885.
48. MILLER, A. K., AND W. J. SYDEMAN. 2004. Rockfish response to low-frequency ocean climate change as revealed by the diet of a marine bird over multiple time scales. Marine Ecology Progress Series 281:207-216.
49. MILLS, J. A. 1989. Red-billed Gull. Pages 387-404 in Lifetime Reproduction in Birds (I. Newton, Ed.). Academic Press, London.
50. MORRIS, W. F., AND D. F. DOAK. 2002. Quantitative Conservation Biology: Theory and Practice of Population Viability Analysis. Sinauer Associates, Sunderland, Massachusetts.
51. NICHOLS, J. D., J. E. HINES, K. H. POLLOCK, R. L. HINZ, AND W A. LINK. 1994. Estimating breeding proportions and testing hypotheses about costs of reproduction with capture-recapture data. Ecology 75:2052-2065.
52. NICHOLS, J. D., AND W. L. KENDALL. 1995. The use of multi-state capture-recapture models to address questions in evolutionary ecology. Journal of Applied Statistics 22:835-846.
53. NIELSEN, J. T., AND I. DRACHMANN. 2003. Age-dependent reproductive performance in Northern Goshawks Accipiter gentilis. Ibis 145:1-8.
54. NUR, N., AND W, J. SYDEMAN. 1999. Survival, breeding probability, and reproductive success in relation to population dynamics of Brandt's Cormorants Phalacrocorax penicillatus. Bird Study 46 (Supplement):S92-S103.
55. OLLASON, J. C., AND G. M. DUNNETT. 1988. Variation in breeding success in Fulmars. Pages 263-278 in Reproductive Success: Studies of Individual Variation in Contrasting Breeding Systems (T. H. Clutton-Brock, Ed.). Chicago University Press, Chicago, Illinois.
56. PAGE G. W., H. R. CARTER, AND R. G. FORD. 1990. Numbers of seabirds killed or debilitated in the 1986 Apex Houston oil spill in central California. Pages 164-174 in Auks at Sea (S. G. Sealy, Ed.). Studies in Avian Biology, no. 14.
57. PETERSON, W. T., AND F. B. SCHWING. 2003. A new climate regime in northeast Pacific ecosystems. Geophysical Research Letters 30:1896.
58. PETERSON, W T., R. EMMETT, R. GOERICKE, E. VENRICK, A. MANTYLA, S. J. BOGRAD, F. B. SCHWING, R. HEWITT, N. LO, W. WATSON, AND OTHERS. 2006. The state of the California Current, 2005-2006: Warm in the north, cool in the south. California Cooperative Oceanic Fisheries Investigations Reports 47:30-74.
59. PIANKA, E. R., AND W. S. PARKER. 1975. Age-specific reproductive tactics. American Naturalist 109:453-464.
60. PIATT, J. F., C. J. LENSINK, W. BUTLER, M. KENDZIOREK, AND D. R. NYSEWANDER. 1990. Immediate impact of the 'Exxon Valdez' oil spill on marine birds. Auk 107:387-397.
61. POTTS, G. R., J. C. COULSON, AND I. R. DEANS. 1980. Population dynamics and breeding success of the Shag, Phalacrocorax aristotelis on the Farne Islands, Northumberland. Journal of Animal Ecology 49:465-484.
62. PRADEL, R., AND J.-D. LEBRETON. 1999. Comparison of different approaches to the study of local recruitment of breeders. Bird Study 46 (Supplement):S74-S81.
63. PUGESEK, B. H. 1981. Increased reproductive effort with age in the California Gull (Larus californicus). Science 212:822-823.
64. PUGESEK, B. H. 1983. The relationship between parental age and reproductive effort in the California Gull (Larus californicus). Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology 13:161-171.
65. RATTISTF, K., AND V. LILLELEHT. 1987 Population ecology of the Common Gull Larus canus in Estonia. Ornis Fennica 64:25-26.
66. REID, J. M., E. M. BIGNAL, S. BIGNAL, D. I. MCCRACKEN, AND P. MONAGHAN. 2003. Age-specific reproductive performance in Red-billed Choughs Pyrrhocorax pyrrhocorax: Patterns and processes in a natural population. Journal of Animal Ecology 72:765-776.
67. RUSSELL, R. W. 1999. Comparative demography and life history tactics of seabirds: Implications for conservation and marine monitoring. American Fisheries Society Symposium 23:51-76.
68. SÆTHER, B.-E. 1990. Age-specific variation in reproductive performance of birds. Pages 251-283 in Current Ornithology, vol. 7 (D. M. Power, Ed.). Plenum Press, New York.
69. SPEAR, L. B., T. M. PENNIMAN, J. F. PENNIMAN, H. R. CARTER, AND D. G. AINLEY. 1987 Survivorship and mortality factors in a population of Western Gulls. Pages 44-56 in Ecology and Behavior of Gulls (J. L. Hand, W. E. Southern, and K. Vermeer, Eds.). Studies in Avian Biology, no. 10.
70. STEARNS, S. C. 1992. The Evolution of Life Histories. Oxford University Press, Oxford, United Kingdom.
71. SWANN, R. L., AND A. D. K. RAMSAY. 1983. Movements from and age of return to an expanding Scottish guillemot colony. Bird Study 30:207-214.
72. SYDEMAN, W. J. 1993. Survivorship of Common Murres on Southeast Farallon Island, California. Ornis Scandinavica 24:135-141.
73. SYDEMAN, W. J., R. W. BRADLEY, P. WARZYBOK, C. L. ABRAHAM, J. JAHNCKE, K. D. HYRENBACH, V. KOUSKY, J. M. HIPFNER, AND M. D. OHMAN. 2006. Planktivorous auklet Ptychoramphus aleuticus responses to ocean climate, 2005: Unusual atmospheric blocking? Geophysical Research Letters 33:L22S09.
74. SYDEMAN, W. J., M. M. HESTER, F. GRESS, P. MARTIN, AND J. BUFFA. 2001. Climate change, reproductive performance and diet composition of marine birds in the southern California Current System, 1969-1997. Progress in Oceanography 49:309-329.
75. THOMAS, C. S., AND J. C. COULSON. 1988. Reproductive success of kittiwake gulls, Rissa tridactyla. Pages 251-262 in Reproductive Success: Studies of Individual Variation in Contrasting Breeding Systems (T. H. Clutton-Brock, Ed.). University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois.
76. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. 2005. Regional Seabird Conservation Plan, Pacific Region. U.S. Department of Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service, Migratory Birds and Habitat Programs, Pacific Region, Portland, Oregon.
77. WEIMERSKIRCH, H. 2002. Seabird demography and its relationship with the marine environment Pages 115-135 in Biology of Marine Birds (E. A. Schreiber and J. Burger, Eds.). CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida.
78. WHITE, G. C., AND K. P. BURNHAM. 1999. Program MARK: Survival estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study 46 (Supplement):S120-S139.
79. WIENS, J. A., AND J. M. SCOTT. 1975. Model estimation of energy flow in Oregon coastal seabird populations. Condor 77:439-452.
80. WOOLLER, R. D., J. S. BRADLEY, AND J. P. CROXALL. 1992. Long-term population studies of seabirds. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 7:111-114.
81. WOOLLER, R. D., J. S. BRADLEY, I. J. SKIRA, AND D. L. SERVENTY. 1989. Short-tailed Shearwater. Pages 405-417 in Lifetime Reproduction in Birds (I. Newton, Ed.). Academic Press, London.