메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 25, Issue 3, 2009, Pages 467-483

How does improved forecasting benefit detection? An application to biosurveillance

Author keywords

Anomaly detection; Biosurveillance; Control charts; Sensitivity; Specificity; Timeliness

Indexed keywords


EID: 67649729664     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.11.012     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (5)

References (31)
  • 2
    • 0032040747 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical quality control methods in infection control and hospital epidemiology, part II: Chart use, statistical properties and research issues
    • Benneyan J.C. Statistical quality control methods in infection control and hospital epidemiology, part II: Chart use, statistical properties and research issues. Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology 19 4 (1998) 265-283
    • (1998) Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology , vol.19 , Issue.4 , pp. 265-283
    • Benneyan, J.C.1
  • 4
    • 34548637081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Automated time series forecasting for biosurveillance
    • Burkom H.S., Murphy S.P., and Shmueli G. Automated time series forecasting for biosurveillance. Statistics in Medicine 26 (2007) 4202-4218
    • (2007) Statistics in Medicine , vol.26 , pp. 4202-4218
    • Burkom, H.S.1    Murphy, S.P.2    Shmueli, G.3
  • 6
    • 0023453803 scopus 로고
    • A simple method for studying run-length distributions of exponentially weighted moving average charts
    • Crowder S.V. A simple method for studying run-length distributions of exponentially weighted moving average charts. Technometrics 29 (1987) 401-407
    • (1987) Technometrics , vol.29 , pp. 401-407
    • Crowder, S.V.1
  • 7
    • 13844277022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical issues and challenges associated with rapid detection of bio-terrorist attacks
    • Fienberg S.E., and Shmueli G. Statistical issues and challenges associated with rapid detection of bio-terrorist attacks. Statistics in Medicine 24 4 (2005) 513-529
    • (2005) Statistics in Medicine , vol.24 , Issue.4 , pp. 513-529
    • Fienberg, S.E.1    Shmueli, G.2
  • 8
    • 47349124285 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing syndromic surveillance detection methods: EARS versus a cusum-based methodology
    • Fricker Jr. R.D., Hegler B.L., and Dunfee D.A. Comparing syndromic surveillance detection methods: EARS versus a cusum-based methodology. Statistics in Medicine 27 17 (2008) 3407-3429
    • (2008) Statistics in Medicine , vol.27 , Issue.17 , pp. 3407-3429
    • Fricker Jr., R.D.1    Hegler, B.L.2    Dunfee, D.A.3
  • 10
    • 67649808481 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A study of the performance of multivariate forecast-based surveillance schemes for infectious diseases on multiple locations
    • Hong, B., & Hardin, J. M. (2005). A study of the performance of multivariate forecast-based surveillance schemes for infectious diseases on multiple locations. In Proceedings of the joint statistical meeting
    • (2005) Proceedings of the joint statistical meeting
    • Hong, B.1    Hardin, J.M.2
  • 11
    • 0141722717 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The bioterrorism preparedness and response early aberration reporting system (EARS)
    • Hutwagner L., Thompson W., Seeman G.M., and Treadwell T. The bioterrorism preparedness and response early aberration reporting system (EARS). Journal of Urban Health 80 Suppl. 2 (2003) 89-96
    • (2003) Journal of Urban Health , vol.80 , Issue.SUPPL. 2 , pp. 89-96
    • Hutwagner, L.1    Thompson, W.2    Seeman, G.M.3    Treadwell, T.4
  • 12
    • 13844297000 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ESSENCE II and the framework for evaluating syndromic surveillance systems
    • Lombardo J.S., Burkom H., and Pavlin J. ESSENCE II and the framework for evaluating syndromic surveillance systems. MMWR 53 Suppl. (2004) 159-165
    • (2004) MMWR , vol.53 , Issue.SUPPL , pp. 159-165
    • Lombardo, J.S.1    Burkom, H.2    Pavlin, J.3
  • 13
    • 57749093625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preparing biosurveillance data for classic monitoring. Advances in Disease Surveillance
    • in press
    • Lotze, T., Murphy, S.P., & Shmueli, G. (2008). Preparing biosurveillance data for classic monitoring. Advances in Disease Surveillance, in press
    • (2008)
    • Lotze, T.1    Murphy, S.P.2    Shmueli, G.3
  • 14
    • 57749114469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting for disease outbreak detection
    • Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence pp
    • Lotze, T. H., & Shmueli, G. (2008). Ensemble forecasting for disease outbreak detection. In Proceedings of the 23rd AAAI conference on artficial intelligence, Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (pp. 1470-1471)
    • (2008) Proceedings of the 23rd AAAI conference on artficial intelligence , pp. 1470-1471
    • Lotze, T.H.1    Shmueli, G.2
  • 17
    • 0000002118 scopus 로고
    • Some statistical process control methods for autocorrelated data
    • Montgomery D.C., and Mastrangelo C.M. Some statistical process control methods for autocorrelated data. Journal of Quality Technology 23 (1991) 179-204
    • (1991) Journal of Quality Technology , vol.23 , pp. 179-204
    • Montgomery, D.C.1    Mastrangelo, C.M.2
  • 18
    • 37249059779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An adjusted cumulative sum for count data with day-of-week effects: Application to influenza-like illness
    • Muscatello, D. (2004). An adjusted cumulative sum for count data with day-of-week effects: Application to influenza-like illness. Presentation at Syndromic surveillance conference
    • (2004) Presentation at Syndromic surveillance conference
    • Muscatello, D.1
  • 22
    • 67649787693 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shmueli, G., & Burkom, H. S. Statistical challenges in modern biosurveillance. Technometrics, in press (special issue on Anomaly Detection), expected 2008
    • Shmueli, G., & Burkom, H. S. Statistical challenges in modern biosurveillance. Technometrics, in press (special issue on Anomaly Detection), expected 2008
  • 25
  • 27
    • 67649730987 scopus 로고
    • The interplay of tracking signals and adaptive predictors
    • Van Dobben De Bruyn C.S. The interplay of tracking signals and adaptive predictors. The Statistician 17 3 (1967) 237-246
    • (1967) The Statistician , vol.17 , Issue.3 , pp. 237-246
    • Van Dobben De Bruyn, C.S.1
  • 30
    • 33645762514 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of control charts in health-care and public-health surveillance
    • Woodall W.H. The use of control charts in health-care and public-health surveillance. Journal of Quality Technology 38 2 (2006) 89-104
    • (2006) Journal of Quality Technology , vol.38 , Issue.2 , pp. 89-104
    • Woodall, W.H.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.