Risk prediction scores for postoperative mortality after esophagectomy: Validation of different models

Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery

Volumn 13, Issue 4, 2009, Pages 611-618

  Zingg, U ^a   Langton, C ^a   Addison, B ^a   Wijnhoven, B P L ^a,c   Forberger, J ^b   Thompson, S K ^d   Esterman, A J ^e   Watson, D I ^a  

^a FLINDERS UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^b TRIEMLI HOSPITAL   (Switzerland)

^c ERASMUS MEDICAL CENTER   (Netherlands)

^d UNIVERSITY OF ADELAIDE   (Australia)

^e UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH AUSTRALIA   (Australia)

Author keywords

30 day mortality; Esophagectomy; In hospital death; Risk prediction models

Indexed keywords

ALANINE AMINOTRANSFERASE; ASPARTATE AMINOTRANSFERASE;

AGED; ARTICLE; ARTIFICIAL VENTILATION; AUSTRALIA; BLOOD; ESOPHAGUS DISEASE; ESOPHAGUS RESECTION; FEMALE; HEALTH SURVEY; HUMAN; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MORTALITY; NONPARAMETRIC TEST; PROGNOSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; STATISTICAL MODEL; SWITZERLAND; VALIDATION STUDY;

AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; ALANINE TRANSAMINASE; ASPARTATE AMINOTRANSFERASES; AUSTRALIA; ESOPHAGEAL DISEASES; ESOPHAGECTOMY; FEMALE; HEALTH STATUS INDICATORS; HOSPITAL MORTALITY; HUMANS; LOGISTIC MODELS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; PROGNOSIS; RESPIRATION, ARTIFICIAL; RISK ASSESSMENT; STATISTICS, NONPARAMETRIC; SWITZERLAND;

EID: 67349086589     PISSN: 1091255X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11605-008-0761-y     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. P [tmp] McCulloch J Ward Tekkis PP for the ASCOT group of surgeons 2003 Mortality and morbidity in gastro-oesophageal cancer surgery: initial results of ASCOT multicentre prospective cohort study BJM 327 1192 7 (Pubitemid 37465202)
2. DE Low S Kunz D Schembre H Otero T Malpass A His 2007 Esophagectomy-it's not just about mortality anymore: standardized perioperative clinical pathways improve outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer J Gastrointest Surg 11 1395 402
3. JD Luketich M Alvelo-Rivera PO Buenaventura NA Christie JS [tmp] McCaughan VR Litle 2003 Minimally invasive esophagectomy. Outcomes in 222 patients Ann Surg 238 486 95 (Pubitemid 38176386)
4. JF Liu DI Watson PG Devitt G Mathew J Myburgh GG Jamieson 2000 Risk factor analysis of postoperative mortality in oesophagectomy Dis Esophagus 13 130 135
5. W Schroeder E Bollschweiler C Kossow AH Hoelscher 2006 Preoperative risk analysis-a reliable predictor of postoperative outcome after transthoracic esophagectomy Langenbecks Arch Surg 391 455 460 (Pubitemid 44337605)
6. JB Dimick RM Wainess GR Upchurch Jr MD Iannettoni MB Orringer 2005 National trends in outcomes for esophageal resection Ann Thorac Surg 79 212 216 (Pubitemid 40037473)
7. PP Tekkis P [tmp] McCulloch JD Poloniecki DR Prytherch N Kessaris AC Steger 2004 Risk-adjusted prediction of operative mortality in oesophagogastric surgery with O-POSSUM Br J Surg 91 288 95 (Pubitemid 38375767)
8. F Lai TL Kwan WC Yuen A Wai YC Siu E Shung 2007 Evaluation of various POSSUM models for predicting mortality in patients undergoing elective oesophagectomy for carcinoma Br J Surg 94 1171 1178 (Pubitemid 350082866)
9. SM Lagarde AK Maris SM de Castro OR Busch H Obertop JJ van Lanschot 2007 Evaluation of O-POSSUM in predicting in-hospital mortality after resection for oesophageal cancer Br J Surg 94 1521 1526 (Pubitemid 350275632)
10. JS Nagabhushan S Srinath F Weir WJ Angerson BA Sugden CG Morran 2007 Comparison of P-POSSUM and O-POSSUM in predicting mortality after oesophagogastric resections Postgrad Med J 83 355 358 (Pubitemid 46797836)
11. EW Steyerberg BA Neville LB Koppert VE Lemmens HW Tilanus JW Coeberg 2006 Surgical mortality in patients with esophageal cancer: development and validation of a simple risk score J Clin Oncol 24 4277 4284 (Pubitemid 46630785)
12. J Ra EC Paulson J Kucharczuk K Armstrong C Wirtalla R Rapaport-Kelz 2008 Postoperative mortality after esophagectomy for cancer: development of a preoperative risk prediction model Ann Surg Oncol 15 1577 1584
13. H Bartels HJ Stein JR Siewert 1998 Preoperative risk analysis and postoperative mortality of oesophagectomy for resectable oesophageal cancer Br J Surg 85 840 844 (Pubitemid 28300521)
14. A Sauvanet C Mariette P Thomas P Lozac'h P Segol E Tiret 2005 Mortality and morbidity after resection for adenocarcinoma of the gastrointestinal junction: predictive factors J Am Coll Surg 201 253 262 (Pubitemid 40994960)
15. M Rodgers BA Jobe RW O'Rourke B Sheppard B Diggs JG Hunter 2007 Case volume as a predictor of inpatient mortality after esophagectomy Arch Surg 142 829 837 (Pubitemid 47437297)
16. RC Karl R Schreiber D Boulware S Baker D Coppola 2000 Factors affecting morbidity, mortality and survival in patients undergoing Ivor Lewis esophagogastrectomy Ann Surg 231 635 643 (Pubitemid 30249824)
17. S Law KH Wong KF Kwok KM Chu J Wong 2004 Predictive factors for postoperative pulmonary complications and mortality after esophagectomy for cancer Ann Surg 240 791 800 (Pubitemid 39425771)
18. H Abunasra S Lewis L Beggs J Duffy D Beggs E Morgan 2005 Predictors of operative death after oesophagectomy for carcinoma Br J Surg 92 1029 1033 (Pubitemid 41160796)
19. C Alexiou OA Khan E Black ML Field P Onyeaka L Beggs 2006 Survival after esophageal resection for carcinoma: the importance of the histologic cell type Ann Thorac Surg 82 1073 1077 (Pubitemid 44246678)
20. RJ Siewert HJ Stein M Feith BLDM Bruecher H Bartels U Fink 2001 Histologic tumor type is an independent prognostic parameter in esophageal cancer: lessons from more than 1000 consecutive resections at a single center in the western world Ann Surg 234 360 369 (Pubitemid 32847073)
21. MB Orringer B Marshall MD Iannettoni 1999 Transhiatal esophagectomy: clinical experience and refinements Ann Surg 230 392 403 (Pubitemid 30191869)
22. OA Khan C Alexiou I Soomro JP Duffy WE Morgan FD Beggs 2004 Pathological determinants of survival in node-negative oesophageal cancer Br J Surg 91 1586 1591 (Pubitemid 39619922)
23. JB Hulscher JW van Sandick AG de Boer BP Wijnhoven JG Tijssen P Fockens 2002 Extended transthoracic resection compared with limited transhiatal resection for adenocarcinoma of the esophagus N Engl J Med 347 1662 1669 (Pubitemid 35340784)
24. BP Wijnhoven KT Tran A Esterman DI Watson HW Tilanus 2007 An evaluation of prognostic factors and tumor staging of resected carcinoma of the esophagus Ann Surg 245 717 725 (Pubitemid 46684101)
25. SG Urba MB Orringer A Turrisi M Iannettoni A Forastiere M Strawderman 2001 Randomized trial of preoperative chemoradiation versus surgery alone in patients with locoregional esophageal carcinoma J Clin Oncol 19 305 13 (Pubitemid 32112841)
26. C Mariette G Piessen A Lamblin X Mirabel A Adenis JP Triboulet 2006 Impact of preoperative radiochemotherapy on postoperative course and survival in patients with locally advanced squamous cell oesophageal carcinoma Br J Surg 93 1077 1083 (Pubitemid 44343504)
27. DC Rice AM Correa AA Vaporciyan N Sodhi WR Smythe SG Swisher 2005 Preoperative chemoradiotherapy prior to esophagectomy in elderly patients is not associated with increased morbidity Ann Thorac Surg 79 391 397 (Pubitemid 40186524)
28. JD Urschel H Vasan 2003 A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials that compared neoadjuvant chemoradiation and surgery to surgery alone for resectable esophageal cancer Am J Surg 185 538 543 (Pubitemid 36627845)
29. EY Kuo Y Chang CD Wright 2001 Impact of hospital volume on clinical and economic outcomes for esophagectomy Ann Thorac Surg 72 1118 1124 (Pubitemid 32937988)
30. SG Swisher L Deford KW Merriman GL Walsh R Smythe A Vaporicyan 2000 Effect of operative volume on morbidity, mortality and hospital use after esophagectomy for cancer J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 119 1126 1132 (Pubitemid 30412608)
31. B Santin A Kulwicki P Price 2008 Mortality rate associated with 56 consecutive esophagectomies performed at a low-volume hospital: is procedure volume as important as we are trying to make it J Gastrointest Surg 12 1346 1350