Smaller projected increases in 20-year temperature returns over Australia in skill-selected climate models

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 36, Issue 6, 2009, Pages

  Perkins, S E ^a   Pitman, A J ^a   Sisson, S A ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AUSTRALIA; CLIMATE MODEL; EXTREME VALUE THEORY; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGES; MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE; RETURN LEVEL;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; TEMPERATURE PROFILE;

AUSTRALASIA; AUSTRALIA;

EID: 66949116694     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2009GL037293     Document Type: Article

References (10)

1. Alexander, L. V, and J. M. Arblaster (2009), Assessing trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over Australia in relation to future projections, Int. J. Climatol, 10.1002/joc.l730, in press.
2. Kharin, V. V, F. W. Zwiers, and X. Zhang (2005), Intercomparison of nearsurface temperature and precipitation extremes in AMIP-2 simulations, reanalyses, and observations, J. Clim., 18, 5201-5223, 10.1175/ JCLI3597.1.
3. Kharin, V. V, F. W. Zwiers, Z. Zhang, and G. C. Hegerl (2007), Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations, J. Clim., 20, 1419-1444, 10.1175/ JCLI4066.1.
4. Knutti, R. (2008), Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?, Philos. Trans. R. Soc, Ser. A, 366, 4647-4664, 10.1098/ rsta.2008.0169.
5. Perkins, S. E., A. J. Pitman, N. J. Holbrook, and J. McAneney (2007), Evaluation of the AR4 climate models' simulated daily maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation over Australia using probability density functions, J. Clim., 20, 4356-4376.
6. Pitman, A. J., and S. E. Perkins (2008), Regional projections of future seasonal and annual changes in rainfall and temperature over Australia based on skill-selected AR4 models, Earth Interact., 12, 1-50, 10.1175/2008EI260.1.
7. Randall, D. A., et al. (2007), Climate models and their evaluation, in Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovern-mental Panel on Climate Change, edited by S. Solomon et al, pp. 589-662, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
8. Stephens, M. A. ( 1970), Use of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer von-Mises and related statistics without extensive tables, J. R. Stat. Soc, Ser. B, 32, 115-122.
9. Von Storch, H., and F. W. Zwiers (1999), Statistical Analysis in Climate Research, 484 pp., Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
10. 2 doubling, J. Clim., 11, 2200-2222.