Individual prediction and crime trends

European Journal of Criminology

Volumn 6, Issue 4, 2009, Pages 313-335

  Tham, Henrik ^a   von Hofer, Hanns ^a  

^a STOCKHOLM UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Crime trends; Early intervention; Prediction; Social change; Sweden

Indexed keywords

EID: 66649083180     PISSN: 14773708     EISSN: 17412609     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/1477370809104686     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Amato, P. (2001). Children of divorce in the 1990s: An update of the Amato and Keith (1991) meta-analysis. Journal of Family Psychology 15, 355-70.
2. Bottoms, A. (2006). Desistance, social bonds, and human agency: A theoretical explanation. In P.-O. Wikström and R. Sampson (eds) The explanation of crime, 243-90. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
3. Brå [Brottsförebyggande rådet] (2000). Strategiska brott. Vilka brott förutsäger en fortsatt brottskarriär? Stockholm: Brottsförebyggande rådet / Fritzes (author: R. Svensson).
4. Estrada, F. (1999). Ungdomsbrottslighet som samhällsproblem. Utveckling, uppmärksamhet och reaction. Dissertations in Criminology no. 3. Stockholm: Stockholm University, Department of Criminology.
5. Farrington, D. (1997). Early prediction of violent and non-violent youthful offending. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research 5, 51-66.
6. Farrington, D. and Welsh, B. (2007). Saving children from a life in crime. Early risk factors and effective interventions. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
7. Felson, M. (1983). Ecology of crime. In S. H. Kadish (ed.) Encyclopedia of crime and justice, vol. 2, 665-70. New York: Free Press.
8. Kriminalstatistik 2005 (2006). Official Statistics of Sweden, Report 2006:4. Stockholm: Brottsförebyggande rådet.
9. Laub, J. and Sampson, R. (2003). Shared beginnings, divergent lives: Delinquent boys to age 70. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
10. Lenke, L. (1990). Alcohol and criminal violence - Time series analyses in a comparative perspective. Stockholm: Almqvist & Wiksell International.
11. Liberman, A. (2008). The long view of crime. A synthesis of longitudinal research. New York: Springer.
12. Lipsey, M. and Wilson, D. (1998). Effective intervention for serious juvenile offenders. A synthesis of research. In R. Loeber and D. Farrington (eds) Serious and violent juvenile offenders. Risk factors and successful interventions, 313-45. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE.
13. Loeber, R. and Farrington, D., eds, (1998). Serious and violent juvenile offenders. Risk factors and successful interventions. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE.
14. Loeber, R., Farrington, D. and Waschbusch, D. (1998). Serious and violent juvenile offenders. In R. Loeber and D. Farrington (eds) Serious and violent juvenile offenders. Risk factors and successful interventions, 13-29. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE.
15. McAra, L. and McVie, S. (2007). Youth justice? The impact of system contact on patterns of desistance from offending. European Journal of Criminology 4, 315-45.
16. Moffitt, T. (1993). Adolescence-limited and life-course-persistent antisocial behavior: A developmental taxonomy. Psychological Review 100, 674-701.
17. Nilsson, A. (2002). Fånge i marginalen. Uppväxtvillkor, levnadsförhållanden och återfall i brott bland fångar. Dissertations in Criminology no. 8. Stockholm: Stockholm University, Department of Criminology.
18. Norström, T. (1988). Theft criminality and economic growth. Social Science Research 17, 48-65.
19. Piquero, A., Farrington, D. and Blumstein, A. (2007). Key issues in criminal career research. New analyses of the Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
20. Pratt, T. and Cullen, F. (2005). Assessing macro-level predictors and theories of crime: A meta-analysis. In M. Tonry (ed.) Crime and justice. A review of research, vol. 32, 373-450. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.
21. Ring, J. (2001). Sambanden mellan riskfaktorer och brott. In F. Estrada and J. Flyghed (eds) Den svenska ungdomsbrottsligheten, 89-124. Lund: Studentlitteratur.
22. Sampson, R. (2006). How does community context matter? Social mechanisms and the explanation of crime rates. In P.-O. Wikström and R. Sampson (eds) The explanation of crime, 31-60. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
23. Sampson, R. and Laub, J. (1993). Crime in the making. Pathways and turning points through life. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
24. SCB (2006). Barn och deras familjer 2005. Demografiska rapporter 2006:3. Stockholm: Statistics Sweden.
25. Skog, O.-J. (2005). Alkoholproblem. In T. Goldberg (ed.) Samhällsproblem, 6th edn, 391-424. Lund: Studentlitteratur.
26. Smith, D. (1995). Youth crime and conduct disorders: Trends, patterns and causal explanations. In M. Rutter and D. Smith (eds) Psychosocial disorders in young people. Chichester: John Wiley.
27. Stattin, H. and Magnusson, D. (1991). Stability and change in criminal behavior up to the age of 30. British Journal of Criminology 31, 327-46.
28. Stattin, H., Romelsjö, A. and Stenbacka, M. (1997). Personal resources as modifiers of the risk for future criminality. British Journal of Criminology 37, 198-223.
29. Tolan, P. and Gorman-Smith, D. (1998). Development of serious and violent offending careers. In R. Loeber and D. Farrington (eds) Serious and violent juvenile offenders. Risk factors and successful interventions, 68-85. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE.
30. Tremblay, R. and Craig, W. (1995). Developmental crime prevention. In M. Tonry and D. Farrington (eds) Building a safer society. Strategic approaches to crime prevention. Crime and Justice, vol. 19, 151-236. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.
31. Von Hofer, H. (1985). Brott och straff i Sverige. Urval No. 18. Stockholm: Statistiska Centralbyrån.
32. Von Hofer, H. (2003). Crime and punishment in Sweden 1750-2000. Journal of Scandinavian Studies in Criminology and Crime Prevention 4, 162-79.
33. Von Hofer, H. and Tham, H. (1989). General deterrence in a longitudinal perspective. A Swedish case: Theft, 1841-1985. European Sociological Review 5, 25-45.
34. Weitekamp, E., Kerner, H.-J., Stelly, W. and Thomas, J. (2000). Desistance from crime: Life history, turning points and implications for theory construction in criminology. In S. Karsted and K.-D. Bussman (eds) Social dynamics of crime and control. New theories for a world in transition, 207-27. Oxford: Hart.
35. Wikström, P.-O. (1992). Context-specific trends in homicide in Stockholm, 1951-1987. Studies on Crime and Crime Prevention 1, 88-105.
36. Wikström, P.-O. and Sampson, R. (2003). Social mechanism of community influence on crime and pathways in criminality. In B. Lahey, T. Moffitt and A. Caspi (eds) Causes of conduct disorder and juvenile delinquency, 118-49. New York: Guilford Press.
37. Wikström, P.-O. and Sampson, R. (2006). Introduction: Toward a unified approach to crime and its explanation. In P.-O. Wikström and R. Sampson (eds) The explanation of crime, 1-7. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
38. Wilkins, L. (1964). Social deviance. Social policy, action, and research. London: Tavistock.
39. Wolfgang, M., Figlio, R. and Sellin, T. (1972). Delinquency in a birth cohort. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.