Atmospheric moisture and cloud cover characteristics forecast by AMPS

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 23, Issue 5, 2008, Pages 914-930

  Fogt, Ryan L ^a,b   Bromwich, David H ^a  

^a OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANTARCTIC MESOSCALE PREDICTION SYSTEMS; ANTARCTICA; ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURES; CLIMATE STUDIES; CLOUD COVERS; CLOUD FRACTIONS; CLOUD LIQUID WATERS; CLOUD VARIABILITIES; DEFENSE METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITE PROGRAMS; ICE SURFACES; MICROPHYSICS; MOISTURE VARIABILITIES; NEGATIVE BIAS; PSEUDOSATELLITE; SOUTH POLES; SUPERCOOLED LIQUID WATERS; UPPER TROPOSPHERES;

ICE; LIQUIDS; POLES; SATELLITE IMAGERY; SUPERCOOLING; WEATHER FORECASTING;

MOISTURE;

ALGORITHM; ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE; CLIMATE PREDICTION; CLOUD COVER; CLOUD MICROPHYSICS; CLOUD WATER; CORRELATION; SATELLITE IMAGERY; TROPOSPHERE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 65549110157     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2008WAF2006100.1     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Beesley, J. A., C. S. Bretherton, C. Jakob, E. L. Andreas, J. M. Intrieri, and T. A. Uttal, 2000: A comparison of cloud and boundary layer variables in the ECMWF forecast model with observations at Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) ice camp. J. Geophys. Res., 105, 12 337-12 349.
2. Bernhard, G., C. R. Booth, and J. C. Ehramjian, 2004: Version 2 data of the National Science Foundation's Ultraviolet Radiation Monitoring Network: South Pole. J. Geophys. Res., 109, D21207, doi:10.1029/2004JD004937.
3. Bromwich, D. H., R. I. Cullather, and R. W. Grumbine, 1999: An assessment of the NCEP operational Global Spectral Model forecasts and analyses for Antarctica during FROST. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 835-850.
4. Bromwich, D. H., J. J. Cassano, T. Klein, G. Heinemann, K. M. Hines, K. Steffen, and J. E. Box, 2001: Mesoscale modeling of katabatic winds over Greenland with the Polar MM5. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2290-2309.
5. Bromwich, D. H., A. J. Monaghan, J. G. Powers, and K. W. Manning, 2005: Real-time forecasting for the Antarctic: An evaluation of the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS). Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 579-603.
6. Cassano, J. J., J. E. Box, D. H. Bromwich, L. Li, and K. Steffen, 2001: Verification of Polar MM5 simulation of Greenland's atmospheric circulation. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 13 867-13 890.
7. Guo, Z., D. H. Bromwich, and J. J. Cassano, 2003: Evaluation of Polar MM5 simulations of Antarctic atmospheric circulation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 384-411.
8. Hack, J. J., B. A. Boville, B. P. Briegleb, J. T. Kiehl, P. J. Racsh, and D. L. Williamson, 1993: Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM2). NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-382+STR, 108 pp.
9. Hines, K. M., D. H. Bromwich, P. J. Rasch, and M. J. Iacono, 2004: Antarctic clouds and radiation within the NCAR climate models. J. Climate, 17, 1198-1212.
10. Hinkelman, L. M., T. P. Ackerman, and R. T. Marchland, 1999: An evaluation of NCEP Eta Model predictions of surface energy budget and cloud properties by comparison with measured ARM data. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 19 535-19 549.
11. Hirvensalo, J., J. Wahrn, and H. Jauhiainen, 2003: New Vaisala RS92 GPS radiosonde offers high level of performance and GPS wind data availability. Preprints, 12th Symp. on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4.3. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/annual2003/techprogram/ paper_55648.htm.]
12. Lachlan-Cope, T., R. Ladkin, J. Turner, and P. Davison, 2001: Observations of cloud and precipitation particles on the Avery Plateau, Antarctic Peninsula. Antarct. Sci., 13, 339-348.
13. Lubin, D., 1994: Infrared radiative properties of the maritime Antarctic atmosphere. J. Climate,7, 121-140.
14. Mahesh, A., V. P. Walden, and S. G. Warren, 2001: Ground-based infrared remote sensing of cloud properties over the Antarctic Plateau. Part II: Cloud optical depths and particle sizes. J. Appl. Meteor., 40, 1279-1294.
15. Miloshevich, L. M., H. Vömel, A. Paukkunen, A. J. Heymsfield, and S. J. Oltmans, 2001: Characterization and correction of relative humidity measurements from Vaisala RS80-A radiosondes at cold temperatures. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 18, 135-156.
16. Miloshevich, L. M., A. Paukkunen, H. Vömel, and S. J. Oltmans, 2004: Development and validation of a time-lag correction for Vaisala radiosonde humidity measurements. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 21, 1305-1327.
17. Miloshevich, L. M., H. Vömel, D. N. Whiteman, B. M. Lesht, F. J. Schmidlin, and F. Russo, 2006: Absolute accuracy of water vapor measurements from six operational radiosonde types launched during AWEX-G and implications for AIRS validation. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D09S10, doi:10.1029/2005JD006083.
18. Monaghan, A. J., D. H. Bromwich, H. Wei, A. M. Cayette, J. G. Powers, Y. H. Kuo, and M. Lazzara, 2003: Performance of weather forecast models in the rescue of Dr. Ronald Shemenski from South Pole in April 2001. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 142-160.
19. Monaghan, A. J., D. H. Bromwich, J. G. Powers, and K. W. Manning, 2005: The climate of the McMurdo, Antarctica, region as represented by one year of forecasts from the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System. J. Climate, 18, 1174-1189.
20. Morrison, H., and J. O. Pinto, 2005: Mesoscale modeling of springtime Arctic mixed-phase stratiform clouds using a new two-moment bulk microphysics scheme. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 3683-3704.
21. Morrison, H., and J. O. Pinto, 2006: Intercomparison of bulk cloud microphysics schemes in mesoscale simulations of springtime Arctic mixed-phase stratiform clouds. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 1880-1900.
22. Morrison, H., M. D. Shupe, and J. A. Curry, 2003: Modeling clouds observed at SHEBA using a bulk microphysics parameterization implemented into a single-column model. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4255, doi:10.1029/2002JD002229.
23. Morrison, H., M. D. Shupe, M. D. Shupe, and P. Zuidema, 2005: A new double-moment microphysics scheme for application in cloud and climate models. Part II: Single-column modeling of Arctic clouds. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 1678-1693.
24. Murphy, A. H., 1996: The Finley affair: A signal event in the history of forecast verification. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 3-20.
25. Paukkunen, A., V. Antikainen, and H. Jauhiainen, 2001: Accuracy and performance of the new Vaisala RS90 radiosonde in operational use. Preprints, 11th Symp. on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation, Albuquerque, NM, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98-103.
26. Powers, J. G., A. J. Monaghan, A. M. Cayette, D. H. Bromwich, Y.-H. Kuo, and K. W. Manning, 2003: Real-time mesoscale modeling over Antarctica: The Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 1533-1545.
27. Reisner, J., R. M. Rasmussen, and R. T. Bruintjes, 1998: Explicit forecasting of supercooled liquid water in winter storms using the MM5 forecast model. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 124, 1071-1107.
28. Rinke, A., and Coauthors, 2006: Evaluation of an ensemble of Arctic regional climate models: Spatiotemporal fields during the SHEBA year. Climate Dyn., 26, 459-472.
29. Stone, R. S., 1993: Properties of austral winter clouds derived from radiometric profiles at the South-Pole. J. Geophys. Res., 98, 12 961-12 971.
30. Town, M. S., V. P. Walden, and S. G. Warren, 2005: Spectral and broadband longwave downwelling radiative fluxes, cloud radiative forcing, and fractional cloud cover over the South Pole. J. Climate, 18, 4235-4252.
31. Town, M. S., V. P. Walden, and S. G. Warren, 2007: Cloud cover over the South Pole from visual observations, satellite retrievals, and surface-based infrared radiation measurements. J. Climate, 20, 544-559.
32. Turner, J., and S. Pendlebury, Eds., cited 2007: The international Antarctic forecasting handbook. Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. [Available online at http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/ant/ handbook/handbook_16june04.pdf.]
33. Vukicevic, T., T. Greenwald, M. Zupanski, D. Zupanski, T. Vonder Haar, and A. S. Jones, 2004: Mesoscale cloud state estimation from visible and infrared satellite radiances. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 3066-3077.
34. Wilks, D. S., 2006: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press, 630 pp.