메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 7, Issue , 2009, Pages

Physician supply forecast: Better than peering in a crystal ball?

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 65449190149     PISSN: None     EISSN: 14784491     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/1478-4491-7-10     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (84)

References (55)
  • 2
    • 0034568838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Medical workforce planning in Australia
    • AMWAC 11256274
    • AMWAC Medical workforce planning in Australia Aust Health Rev 2000, 23:8-26. 11256274
    • (2000) Aust Health Rev , vol.23 , pp. 8-26
  • 3
    • 18144404147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Imbalance in the health workforce
    • 526216 15377382 10.1186/1478-4491-2-13
    • Zurn P Dal Poz M Stilwell B Adams O Imbalance in the health workforce Hum Resour Health 2004, 2:13. 526216 15377382 10.1186/1478-4491-2-13
    • (2004) Hum Resour Health , vol.2 , pp. 13
    • Zurn, P.1    Dal Poz, M.2    Stilwell, B.3    Adams, O.4
  • 5
    • 0035295853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Health human resource planning for the new millennium: Inputs in the production of health, illness, and recovery in populations
    • 11998188
    • Birch S Health human resource planning for the new millennium: Inputs in the production of health, illness, and recovery in populations Can J Nurs Res 2002, 33:109-114. 11998188
    • (2002) Can J Nurs Res , vol.33 , pp. 109-114
    • Birch, S.1
  • 6
    • 65449180899 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Association between physician density and health care consumption: A systematic review of the evidence
    • 19150579
    • Léonard C Stordeur S Roberfroid D Association between physician density and health care consumption: A systematic review of the evidence Health Policy 2009. 19150579
    • (2009) Health Policy
    • Léonard, C.1    Stordeur, S.2    Roberfroid, D.3
  • 7
    • 0034577557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Australian health workforce: Facts and futures
    • 11256272
    • Duckett S The Australian health workforce: Facts and futures Aust Health Rev 2000, 23:60-77. 11256272
    • (2000) Aust Health Rev , vol.23 , pp. 60-77
    • Duckett, S.1
  • 8
    • 0026884339 scopus 로고
    • Management of human resources in health care: The Canadian experience
    • 10.1002/hec.4730010206 1341930
    • Adams O Management of human resources in health care: The Canadian experience Health Econ 1992, 1:131-143. 10.1002/hec.4730010206 1341930
    • (1992) Health Econ , vol.1 , pp. 131-143
    • Adams, O.1
  • 10
    • 0032740456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determining Ontario's supply and requirements for ophthalmologists in 2000 and 2005: 2. A comparison of projected supply and requirements
    • 10321318
    • Persaud D Cockerill R Pink G Trope G Determining Ontario's supply and requirements for ophthalmologists in 2000 and 2005: 2. A comparison of projected supply and requirements Can J Ophthalmol 1999, 34:82-87. 10321318
    • (1999) Can J Ophthalmol , vol.34 , pp. 82-87
    • Persaud, D.1    Cockerill, R.2    Pink, G.3    Trope, G.4
  • 11
    • 0032718418 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determining Ontario's supply and requirements for ophthalmologists in 2000 and 2005: 1. Methods
    • 10321317
    • Persaud D Cockerill R Pink G Trope G Determining Ontario's supply and requirements for ophthalmologists in 2000 and 2005: 1. Methods Can J Ophthalmol 1999, 34:74-81. 10321317
    • (1999) Can J Ophthalmol , vol.34 , pp. 74-81
    • Persaud, D.1    Cockerill, R.2    Pink, G.3    Trope, G.4
  • 13
    • 0036512130 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benchmarking the future generalist workforce
    • 11990213
    • Lurie J Goodman D Wennberg J Benchmarking the future generalist workforce Eff Clin Pract 2002, 5:58-66. 11990213
    • (2002) Eff Clin Pract , vol.5 , pp. 58-66
    • Lurie, J.1    Goodman, D.2    Wennberg, J.3
  • 14
    • 0034614162 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Caring for the critically ill patient. Current and projected workforce requirements for care of the critically ill and patients with pulmonary disease: Can we meet the requirements of an aging population?
    • 10.1001/jama.284.21.2762 11105183
    • Angus D Kelley M Schmitz R White A Popovich J Caring for the critically ill patient. Current and projected workforce requirements for care of the critically ill and patients with pulmonary disease: Can we meet the requirements of an aging population? JAMA 2000, 284:2762-2770. 10.1001/ jama.284.21.2762 11105183
    • (2000) JAMA , vol.284 , pp. 2762-2770
    • Angus, D.1    Kelley, M.2    Schmitz, R.3    White, A.4    Popovich, J.5
  • 15
    • 1442299322 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The general pediatrician: Projecting future workforce supply and requirements
    • 10.1542/peds.113.3.435 14993531
    • Shipman S Lurie J Goodman D The general pediatrician: Projecting future workforce supply and requirements Pediatrics 2004, 113:435-442. 10.1542/ peds.113.3.435 14993531
    • (2004) Pediatrics , vol.113 , pp. 435-442
    • Shipman, S.1    Lurie, J.2    Goodman, D.3
  • 16
    • 0030756942 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Workforce projections for emergency medicine: How many emergency physicians does the United States need?
    • 10.1111/j.1553-2712.1997.tb03768.x 9223699
    • Holliman C Wuerz R Chapman D Hirshberg A Workforce projections for emergency medicine: How many emergency physicians does the United States need? Acad Emerg Med 1997, 4:725-730. 10.1111/j.1553-2712.1997.tb03768.x 9223699
    • (1997) Acad Emerg Med , vol.4 , pp. 725-730
    • Holliman, C.1    Wuerz, R.2    Chapman, D.3    Hirshberg, A.4
  • 17
    • 0030820707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of factors affecting U.S. emergency physician workforce projections. SAEM Workforce Task Force
    • 10.1111/j.1553-2712.1997.tb03769.x 9223700
    • Holliman C Wuerz R Hirshberg A Analysis of factors affecting U.S. emergency physician workforce projections. SAEM Workforce Task Force Acad Emerg Med 1997, 4:731-735. 10.1111/j.1553-2712.1997.tb03769.x 9223700
    • (1997) Acad Emerg Med , vol.4 , pp. 731-735
    • Holliman, C.1    Wuerz, R.2    Hirshberg, A.3
  • 18
    • 33646430043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • More doctors, but not enough: Australian medical workforce supply 2001-2012
    • 16646743
    • Joyce C McNeil J Stoelwinder J More doctors, but not enough: Australian medical workforce supply 2001-2012 Med J Aust 2006, 184:441-446. 16646743
    • (2006) Med J Aust , vol.184 , pp. 441-446
    • Joyce, C.1    McNeil, J.2    Stoelwinder, J.3
  • 19
    • 0030781061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 1996 Australian radiology workforce report
    • 9409039
    • O'Donnell C Jones DN Stuckey J 1996 Australian radiology workforce report Australas Radiol 1997, 41:398-406. 9409039
    • (1997) Australas Radiol , vol.41 , pp. 398-406
    • O'Donnell, C.1    Jones, D.N.2    Stuckey, J.3
  • 20
    • 0034025807 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 1998 Australian radiology workforce report
    • 10.1046/j.1440-1673.2000.00780.x 10761259
    • Jones DN O'Donnell C Stuckey J 1998 Australian radiology workforce report Australas Radiol 2000, 44:41-52. 10.1046/j.1440-1673.2000.00780.x 10761259
    • (2000) Australas Radiol , vol.44 , pp. 41-52
    • Jones, D.N.1    O'Donnell, C.2    Stuckey, J.3
  • 21
    • 32944469836 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A physician demand and supply forecast model for Nova Scotia
    • 16285405
    • Basu K Gupta A A physician demand and supply forecast model for Nova Scotia Cah Sociol Demogr Med 2005, 45:255-285. 16285405
    • (2005) Cah Sociol Demogr Med , vol.45 , pp. 255-285
    • Basu, K.1    Gupta, A.2
  • 22
    • 65449115884 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Office for Health Professions (BPS): An interview
    • Bessière S The Office for Health Professions (BPS): An interview Courrier des statistiques 2007, 13:27-28.
    • (2007) Courrier Des Statistiques , vol.13 , pp. 27-28
    • Bessière, S.1
  • 23
    • 2542497081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Demographic forecasts of medical workforce supply in France (2000-2050). What numerus clausus for what future?
    • 15146660
    • Doan BDH Levy D Pavot J Demographic forecasts of medical workforce supply in France (2000-2050). What numerus clausus for what future? Cah Sociol Demogr Med 2004, 44:101-148. 15146660
    • (2004) Cah Sociol Demogr Med , vol.44 , pp. 101-148
    • Doan, B.D.H.1    Levy, D.2    Pavot, J.3
  • 24
    • 2542435218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Health workforce forecasting carried out by the C.S.D.M. (1964-2004)
    • 15146659
    • Levy D Doan BDH Health workforce forecasting carried out by the C.S.D.M. (1964-2004) Cah Sociol Demogr Med 2004, 44:71-100. 15146659
    • (2004) Cah Sociol Demogr Med , vol.44 , pp. 71-100
    • Levy, D.1    Doan, B.D.H.2
  • 25
    • 0037517093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecast of physician workforce in the 22 French regions (1998-2013)
    • 12693355
    • Coste E Doan BDH Forecast of physician workforce in the 22 French regions (1998-2013) Cah Sociol Demogr Med 2003, 43:5-70. 12693355
    • (2003) Cah Sociol Demogr Med , vol.43 , pp. 5-70
    • Coste, E.1    Doan, B.D.H.2
  • 26
    • 0036700989 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A physician workforce planning model applied to Canadian anesthesiology: Assessment of needs
    • 12193482
    • Byrick RJ Craig D Carli F A physician workforce planning model applied to Canadian anesthesiology: Assessment of needs Can J Anaesth 2002, 49:663-670. 12193482
    • (2002) Can J Anaesth , vol.49 , pp. 663-670
    • Byrick, R.J.1    Craig, D.2    Carli, F.3
  • 27
    • 0028833483 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting requirements for physical therapists
    • 7809197
    • Jacoby I Forecasting requirements for physical therapists Phys Ther 1995, 75:38-44. 7809197
    • (1995) Phys Ther , vol.75 , pp. 38-44
    • Jacoby, I.1
  • 28
    • 0028032913 scopus 로고
    • Managing the U.S. health care workforce: Creating policy amidst uncertainty
    • 7960084
    • Schroeder S Managing the U.S. health care workforce: Creating policy amidst uncertainty Inquiry 1994, 31:266-275. 7960084
    • (1994) Inquiry , vol.31 , pp. 266-275
    • Schroeder, S.1
  • 30
    • 0034037382 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected requirements for radiation oncologists and trainees in Australia and New Zealand to 2007
    • 10.1046/j.1440-1673.2000.00777.x 10761265
    • Morgan G Wigg D Childs J Projected requirements for radiation oncologists and trainees in Australia and New Zealand to 2007 Australas Radiol 2000, 44:88-97. 10.1046/j.1440-1673.2000.00777.x 10761265
    • (2000) Australas Radiol , vol.44 , pp. 88-97
    • Morgan, G.1    Wigg, D.2    Childs, J.3
  • 31
    • 0038220045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic expansion is a major determinant of physician supply and utilization
    • 1360909 12785567 10.1111/1475-6773.00139
    • Cooper R Getzen T Laud P Economic expansion is a major determinant of physician supply and utilization Health Serv Res 2003, 38:675-696. 1360909 12785567 10.1111/1475-6773.00139
    • (2003) Health Serv Res , vol.38 , pp. 675-696
    • Cooper, R.1    Getzen, T.2    Laud, P.3
  • 32
    • 0031036664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the need for physicians in the United States: The Health Resources and Services Administration's physician requirements model
    • 1070155 9018213
    • Greenberg L Cultice JM Forecasting the need for physicians in the United States: The Health Resources and Services Administration's physician requirements model Health Serv Res 1997, 31:723-737. 1070155 9018213
    • (1997) Health Serv Res , vol.31 , pp. 723-737
    • Greenberg, L.1    Cultice, J.M.2
  • 33
    • 0031000403 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of three methods for estimating the requirements for medical specialists: The case of otolaryngologists
    • 1070178 9180613
    • Anderson G Han K Miller R Johns M A comparison of three methods for estimating the requirements for medical specialists: The case of otolaryngologists Health Serv Res 1997, 32:139-153. 1070178 9180613
    • (1997) Health Serv Res , vol.32 , pp. 139-153
    • Anderson, G.1    Han, K.2    Miller, R.3    Johns, M.4
  • 34
    • 65449132613 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • General Practice in the Netherlands: Major findings from the second Dutch National Survey of General Practice
    • Abingdon: Radcliffe Medical Press Westert G, Jabaaij L, Schellevis F
    • Westert G Schellevis F Zee van der J General Practice in the Netherlands: Major findings from the second Dutch National Survey of General Practice Morbidity, performance and quality in primary care Abingdon: Radcliffe Medical Press Westert G, Jabaaij L, Schellevis F 2006, 01:3-9.
    • (2006) Morbidity, Performance and Quality in Primary Care , vol.1 , pp. 3-9
    • Westert, G.1    Schellevis, F.2    Zee, J.3
  • 36
    • 84901957999 scopus 로고
    • GMENAC Report to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services. Washington: Health Resources Administration (DHHS/PHS)
    • GMENAC Report to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services. Modeling, Research, and Data Technical Panel Washington: Health Resources Administration (DHHS/PHS) 1980, II.
    • (1980) Modeling, Research, and Data Technical Panel , vol.2
  • 37
    • 0029949709 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benchmarking the US physician workforce. An alternative to needs-based or demand-based planning
    • 10.1001/jama.276.22.1811 8946901
    • Goodman D Fisher E Bubolz T Mohr J Poage J Wennberg J Benchmarking the US physician workforce. An alternative to needs-based or demand-based planning JAMA 1996, 276:1811-1817. 10.1001/jama.276.22.1811 8946901
    • (1996) JAMA , vol.276 , pp. 1811-1817
    • Goodman, D.1    Fisher, E.2    Bubolz, T.3    Mohr, J.4    Poage, J.5    Wennberg, J.6
  • 38
    • 0028206221 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the effects of health reform on US physician workforce requirement. Evidence from HMO staffing patterns
    • 10.1001/jama.272.3.222 7912746
    • Weiner J Forecasting the effects of health reform on US physician workforce requirement. Evidence from HMO staffing patterns JAMA 1994, 272:222-230. 10.1001/jama.272.3.222 7912746
    • (1994) JAMA , vol.272 , pp. 222-230
    • Weiner, J.1
  • 39
    • 0037693135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model to determine workforce needs for endocrinologists in the United States until 2020
    • 10.1210/jc.2002-021288 12727941
    • Rizza R Vigersky R Rodbard H Ladenson P Young W Surks M Kahn R Hogan P A model to determine workforce needs for endocrinologists in the United States until 2020 J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2003, 88:1979-1987. 10.1210/ jc.2002-021288 12727941
    • (2003) J Clin Endocrinol Metab , vol.88 , pp. 1979-1987
    • Rizza, R.1    Vigersky, R.2    Rodbard, H.3    Ladenson, P.4    Young, W.5    Surks, M.6    Kahn, R.7    Hogan, P.8
  • 40
    • 33748444031 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U.S. physician workforce forecasting: A tale of two states
    • 16886713
    • Forte G U.S. physician workforce forecasting: A tale of two states Cah Sociol Demogr Med 2006, 46:123-148. 16886713
    • (2006) Cah Sociol Demogr Med , vol.46 , pp. 123-148
    • Forte, G.1
  • 41
    • 0021812804 scopus 로고
    • Estimates of the potential impact of nurse practitioners on future requirements for physicians in office-based general practice
    • 4005771
    • Lomas J Stoddart G Estimates of the potential impact of nurse practitioners on future requirements for physicians in office-based general practice Can J Public Health 1985, 76:119-123. 4005771
    • (1985) Can J Public Health , vol.76 , pp. 119-123
    • Lomas, J.1    Stoddart, G.2
  • 43
    • 2542453983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Medical workforce planning in Australia: Process, methodology and technical issues
    • 15146657
    • Gavel P Medical workforce planning in Australia: Process, methodology and technical issues Cah Sociol Demogr Med 2004, 44:7-42. 15146657
    • (2004) Cah Sociol Demogr Med , vol.44 , pp. 7-42
    • Gavel, P.1
  • 44
    • 0028901308 scopus 로고
    • Determining VA physician requirements through empirically based models
    • 1070039 7860320
    • Lipscomb J Kilpatrick K Lee K Pieper K Determining VA physician requirements through empirically based models Health Serv Res 1995, 29:697-717. 1070039 7860320
    • (1995) Health Serv Res , vol.29 , pp. 697-717
    • Lipscomb, J.1    Kilpatrick, K.2    Lee, K.3    Pieper, K.4
  • 46
    • 0028559175 scopus 로고
    • Stochastic simulation and sensitivity analysis: Estimating future demand for health resources in China
    • 7740829
    • Song F Rathwell T Stochastic simulation and sensitivity analysis: estimating future demand for health resources in China World Health Stat Q 1994, 47:149-156. 7740829
    • (1994) World Health Stat Q , vol.47 , pp. 149-156
    • Song, F.1    Rathwell, T.2
  • 47
    • 0030010686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Matching physician supply and requirements: Testing policy recommendations
    • 8675281
    • Politzer R Gamliel S Cultice J Bazell C Rivo M Mullan F Matching physician supply and requirements: Testing policy recommendations Inquiry 1996, 33:181-194. 8675281
    • (1996) Inquiry , vol.33 , pp. 181-194
    • Politzer, R.1    Gamliel, S.2    Cultice, J.3    Bazell, C.4    Rivo, M.5    Mullan, F.6
  • 48
    • 0034568839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward gender balance in the Australian medical workforce: Some planning implications
    • 11256269
    • AMWAC Toward gender balance in the Australian medical workforce: Some planning implications Aust Health Rev 2000, 23:27-42. 11256269
    • (2000) Aust Health Rev , vol.23 , pp. 27-42
  • 49
    • 0032474296 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected physician supply
    • 1229392 9629122
    • Buske L Projected physician supply CMAJ 1998, 158:1584. 1229392 9629122
    • (1998) CMAJ , vol.158 , pp. 1584
    • Buske, L.1
  • 51
    • 0015473117 scopus 로고
    • Health manpower planning: An econometric approach
    • 1067403 5044700
    • Yett D Drabek L Intriligator M Kimbell L Health manpower planning: An econometric approach Health Serv Res 1972, 7:134-147. 1067403 5044700
    • (1972) Health Serv Res , vol.7 , pp. 134-147
    • Yett, D.1    Drabek, L.2    Intriligator, M.3    Kimbell, L.4
  • 52
    • 0027263387 scopus 로고
    • Why estimates of physician supply and requirements disagree
    • 10.1001/jama.269.20.2659 8487450
    • Feil E Welch H Fisher E Why estimates of physician supply and requirements disagree JAMA 1993, 269:2659-2663. 10.1001/jama.269.20.2659 8487450
    • (1993) JAMA , vol.269 , pp. 2659-2663
    • Feil, E.1    Welch, H.2    Fisher, E.3
  • 53
    • 1842679074 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time for a new approach to medical workforce planning
    • 15059057
    • Joyce C McNeil J Stoelwinder J Time for a new approach to medical workforce planning Med J Aust 2004, 180:343-346. 15059057
    • (2004) Med J Aust , vol.180 , pp. 343-346
    • Joyce, C.1    McNeil, J.2    Stoelwinder, J.3
  • 54
    • 0030632061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The answer is..., now what was the question? Applying alternative approaches to estimating nurse requirements
    • 9086965
    • Lavis J Birch S The answer is..., now what was the question? Applying alternative approaches to estimating nurse requirements Can J Nurs Adm 1997, 10:24-44. 9086965
    • (1997) Can J Nurs Adm , vol.10 , pp. 24-44
    • Lavis, J.1    Birch, S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.