메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 23, Issue 10, 2009, Pages 1444-1460

Approaches for defining thresholds and return periods for rainfall-triggered shallow landslides

Author keywords

Antecedent rainfall; Logistic regression; Monte Carlo simulation; Physically based model; Rainfall return period; Rainfall thresholds; Shallow landslides

Indexed keywords

ANTECEDENT RAINFALL; LOGISTIC REGRESSION; MONTE CARLO SIMULATION; PHYSICALLY BASED MODEL; RAINFALL RETURN PERIOD; RAINFALL THRESHOLDS; SHALLOW LANDSLIDES;

EID: 65449128049     PISSN: 08856087     EISSN: 10991085     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.7269     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (138)

References (69)
  • 1
    • 0025620943 scopus 로고
    • A constitutive model for partially saturated soils
    • Alonso EE, Gens A, Josa A. 1990. A constitutive model for partially saturated soils. Géotechnique 40(3): 405-430.
    • (1990) Géotechnique , vol.40 , Issue.3 , pp. 405-430
    • Alonso, E.E.1    Gens, A.2    Josa, A.3
  • 4
    • 65449132141 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Catchment-scale shallow landslide and sediment yield hazard as a function of rainfall return period
    • Crosta GB, Frattini P eds, IUSS Press: Pavia;
    • Bathurst JC, Bovolo CI. 2007. Catchment-scale shallow landslide and sediment yield hazard as a function of rainfall return period. In Landslides: from Mapping to Loss and Risk Estimation, Crosta GB, Frattini P (eds). IUSS Press: Pavia; 115-124.
    • (2007) Landslides: From Mapping to Loss and Risk Estimation , pp. 115-124
    • Bathurst, J.C.1    Bovolo, C.I.2
  • 6
    • 65449172514 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Baum RL, Savage WZ, Godt JW. 2008. TRIGRS A Fortran program for transient rainfall infiltration and grid-based regional slope-stability analysis, version 2.0. US Geological Survey Open-File Report, 2008-1159
    • Baum RL, Savage WZ, Godt JW. 2008. TRIGRS A Fortran program for transient rainfall infiltration and grid-based regional slope-stability analysis, version 2.0. US Geological Survey Open-File Report, 2008-1159.
  • 7
    • 0027334110 scopus 로고
    • Probability distributions for hydraulic conductivity of compacted soil liners
    • Benson CH. 1993. Probability distributions for hydraulic conductivity of compacted soil liners. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering 119(3): 471-186.
    • (1993) Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering , vol.119 , Issue.3 , pp. 471-186
    • Benson, C.H.1
  • 8
    • 0000212475 scopus 로고
    • The principle of effective stress
    • Bishop AW. 1959. The principle of effective stress. Teknisk ukeblad 106(39): 859-863.
    • (1959) Teknisk ukeblad , vol.106 , Issue.39 , pp. 859-863
    • Bishop, A.W.1
  • 9
    • 22844449242 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional rainfall depth-duration-frequency equations for an Alpine region
    • Borga M, Vezzani C, Dalla Fontana G. 2005. Regional rainfall depth-duration-frequency equations for an Alpine region. Natural Hazards 36: 221-235.
    • (2005) Natural Hazards , vol.36 , pp. 221-235
    • Borga, M.1    Vezzani, C.2    Dalla Fontana, G.3
  • 10
    • 0030300859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scaling and multiscaling models of depth-duration-frequency curves for storm precipitation
    • Burlando P, Rosso R. 1996. Scaling and multiscaling models of depth-duration-frequency curves for storm precipitation. Journal of Hydrology 187(1-2): 45-64.
    • (1996) Journal of Hydrology , vol.187 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 45-64
    • Burlando, P.1    Rosso, R.2
  • 11
    • 0032144061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Physically based modelling of shallow landslide sediment yield at a catchment scale
    • Burton A, Bathurst JC. 1998. Physically based modelling of shallow landslide sediment yield at a catchment scale. Environmental Geology 35(2-3): 89-99.
    • (1998) Environmental Geology , vol.35 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 89-99
    • Burton, A.1    Bathurst, J.C.2
  • 12
    • 0018918084 scopus 로고
    • The rainfall intensity-duration control of shallow landslides and debris flows
    • Caine N. 1980. The rainfall intensity-duration control of shallow landslides and debris flows. Geografiska Annaler 62A: 23-27.
    • (1980) Geografiska Annaler , vol.62 A , pp. 23-27
    • Caine, N.1
  • 14
    • 0012198552 scopus 로고
    • Landslides in soil debris cover triggered by rainstorms in Valtellina (central Alps, Italy)
    • Paper presented at, Tokyo
    • Cancelli A, Nova R. 1985. Landslides in soil debris cover triggered by rainstorms in Valtellina (central Alps, Italy). Paper presented at 4th International Conference on Landslides, Tokyo.
    • (1985) 4th International Conference on Landslides
    • Cancelli, A.1    Nova, R.2
  • 16
    • 1642375093 scopus 로고
    • Rainfalls and landslides in the Alpine area of Lombardia Region, Central Alps Italy
    • Paper presented at, Bern
    • Ceriani M, Lauzi S, Padovan N. 1992. Rainfalls and landslides in the Alpine area of Lombardia Region, Central Alps Italy. Paper presented at Interpraevent 1992, Bern.
    • (1992) Interpraevent 1992
    • Ceriani, M.1    Lauzi, S.2    Padovan, N.3
  • 17
    • 46049112872 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A perturbative view on the subsurface water pressure response at hillslope scale
    • doi:10.1029/2006WR005740
    • Cordano E, Rigon R. 2008. A perturbative view on the subsurface water pressure response at hillslope scale. Water Resources Research 44: W05407, doi:10.1029/2006WR005740.
    • (2008) Water Resources Research , vol.44
    • Cordano, E.1    Rigon, R.2
  • 18
    • 0032143502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regionalization of rainfall thresholds: An aid to landslide hazard evaluation
    • Crosta GB. 1998. Regionalization of rainfall thresholds: an aid to landslide hazard evaluation. Environmental Geology 35(2-3): 131-145.
    • (1998) Environmental Geology , vol.35 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 131-145
    • Crosta, G.B.1
  • 19
    • 0742290873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Observations and modelling of soil slip-debris flow initiation processes in pyroclastic deposits: The Sarno 1998 event
    • Crosta GB, Dal Negro P. 2003. Observations and modelling of soil slip-debris flow initiation processes in pyroclastic deposits: the Sarno 1998 event. Natural Hazards and Earth Systems Science 3(1-2): 53-69.
    • (2003) Natural Hazards and Earth Systems Science , vol.3 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 53-69
    • Crosta, G.B.1    Dal Negro, P.2
  • 21
    • 1642368325 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distributed modeling of shallow landslides triggered by intense rainfall
    • Crosta GB, Frattini P. 2003. Distributed modeling of shallow landslides triggered by intense rainfall, Natural Hazard Earth Systems Science 3(1-2): 81-93.
    • (2003) Natural Hazard Earth Systems Science , vol.3 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 81-93
    • Crosta, G.B.1    Frattini, P.2
  • 23
    • 1642373515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability models for estimation of number and costs of landslides
    • 00-249
    • Crovelli RA. 2000. Probability models for estimation of number and costs of landslides. US Geological Survey Open File Report 00-249, http://greenwood.cr.usgs.gov/pub/open-file-reports/ofr-00-0249/.
    • (2000) US Geological Survey Open File Report
    • Crovelli, R.A.1
  • 24
    • 0032787532 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of rainfall-triggered landslides: A test of the antecedent water status model
    • Crozier MJ. 1999. Prediction of rainfall-triggered landslides: a test of the antecedent water status model. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 24: 825-833.
    • (1999) Earth Surface Processes and Landforms , vol.24 , pp. 825-833
    • Crozier, M.J.1
  • 27
    • 2142660200 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shallow landslides in pyroclastic soils: A distributed modelling approach for hazard assessment
    • Frattini P, Crosta GB, Fusi N, Dal Negro P. 2004. Shallow landslides in pyroclastic soils: a distributed modelling approach for hazard assessment. Engineering Geology 73(3-4): 277-295.
    • (2004) Engineering Geology , vol.73 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 277-295
    • Frattini, P.1    Crosta, G.B.2    Fusi, N.3    Dal Negro, P.4
  • 29
    • 0037293574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An elasto-plastic model for unsaturated soil incorporating the effects of suction and degree of saturation on mechanical behaviour
    • Gallipoli D, Gens A, Sharma R, Vaunat J. 2003. An elasto-plastic model for unsaturated soil incorporating the effects of suction and degree of saturation on mechanical behaviour. Geotechnique 53(1): 123-135.
    • (2003) Geotechnique , vol.53 , Issue.1 , pp. 123-135
    • Gallipoli, D.1    Gens, A.2    Sharma, R.3    Vaunat, J.4
  • 31
    • 0025224314 scopus 로고
    • Multiscaling properties of spatial rainfall and river flow distributions
    • Gupta VK, Waymire E. 1990. Multiscaling properties of spatial rainfall and river flow distributions. Journal of Geophysical Research 95(D3): 1999-2009.
    • (1990) Journal of Geophysical Research , vol.95 , Issue.D3 , pp. 1999-2009
    • Gupta, V.K.1    Waymire, E.2
  • 33
    • 1642341389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Theoretical research on the relationship between return period of rainfall and shallow landslides
    • Iida T. 2004. Theoretical research on the relationship between return period of rainfall and shallow landslides. Hydrological Processes 18(4): 739-756.
    • (2004) Hydrological Processes , vol.18 , Issue.4 , pp. 739-756
    • Iida, T.1
  • 34
    • 0033845039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Landslide triggering by rain infiltration
    • Iverson RM. 2000. Landslide triggering by rain infiltration. Water Resources Research 36: 1897-1910.
    • (2000) Water Resources Research , vol.36 , pp. 1897-1910
    • Iverson, R.M.1
  • 35
    • 0141625702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hydroclimatic threshold for landslide initiation on the North Shore Mountains of Vancouver, British Columbia
    • Jakob M, Weatherly H. 2003. A hydroclimatic threshold for landslide initiation on the North Shore Mountains of Vancouver, British Columbia. Geomorphology 54(3-4): 137-156.
    • (2003) Geomorphology , vol.54 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 137-156
    • Jakob, M.1    Weatherly, H.2
  • 36
    • 0025570812 scopus 로고
    • Hydrologic conditions leading to debris-flow initiation
    • Johnson KA, Sitar N. 1990. Hydrologic conditions leading to debris-flow initiation. Canadian Geotechnology Journal 27: 789-801.
    • (1990) Canadian Geotechnology Journal , vol.27 , pp. 789-801
    • Johnson, K.A.1    Sitar, N.2
  • 39
    • 0037203108 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global goodness-of-fit tests in logistic regression with sparse data
    • Kuss O. 2002. Global goodness-of-fit tests in logistic regression with sparse data. Statistics in Medicine. 21: 3789-3801.
    • (2002) Statistics in Medicine , vol.21 , pp. 3789-3801
    • Kuss, O.1
  • 40
    • 0029722185 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in characterizing soil properties
    • Shackelford CD, Nelson PP, Roth MJS eds, ASCE: New York;
    • Lacasse S, Nadim F. 1996. Uncertainties in characterizing soil properties. In Uncertainty in the Geological Environment: from Theory to Practice, Shackelford CD, Nelson PP, Roth MJS (eds). ASCE: New York; 49-75.
    • (1996) Uncertainty in the Geological Environment: From Theory to Practice , pp. 49-75
    • Lacasse, S.1    Nadim, F.2
  • 43
    • 58149090296 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Infinite slope stability under steady unsaturated seepage conditions
    • doi:10.1029/2008WR006976
    • Lu N, Godt J. 2008. Infinite slope stability under steady unsaturated seepage conditions. Water Resources Research 44: W11404, doi:10.1029/2008WR006976.
    • (2008) Water Resources Research , vol.44
    • Lu, N.1    Godt, J.2
  • 45
    • 0014830111 scopus 로고
    • Safety factors and the probability distribution of soil strength
    • Lumb P. 1970. Safety factors and the probability distribution of soil strength. Canadian Geotechnology Journal 7: 225-242.
    • (1970) Canadian Geotechnology Journal , vol.7 , pp. 225-242
    • Lumb, P.1
  • 47
    • 0018468345 scopus 로고
    • A Comparison of Three Methods for Selecting Values of Input Variables in the Analysis of Output from a Computer Code
    • McKay MD, Conover WJ, Beckman RJ. 1979. A Comparison of Three Methods for Selecting Values of Input Variables in the Analysis of Output from a Computer Code. Technometrics 21: 239-245.
    • (1979) Technometrics , vol.21 , pp. 239-245
    • McKay, M.D.1    Conover, W.J.2    Beckman, R.J.3
  • 48
    • 0027883836 scopus 로고
    • Global fields of soil moisture and land surface evapotranspiration derived from observed from observed precipitation and surface air temperature
    • Mintz Y, Walker GK. 1993. Global fields of soil moisture and land surface evapotranspiration derived from observed from observed precipitation and surface air temperature. Journal of Applied Meteorology 32: 1305-1334.
    • (1993) Journal of Applied Meteorology , vol.32 , pp. 1305-1334
    • Mintz, Y.1    Walker, G.K.2
  • 49
    • 0028667098 scopus 로고
    • A physically based model for the topographic control on shallow landsliding
    • Montgomery DR, Dietrich WE. 1994. A physically based model for the topographic control on shallow landsliding. Water Resources Research 30(4): 1153-1171.
    • (1994) Water Resources Research , vol.30 , Issue.4 , pp. 1153-1171
    • Montgomery, D.R.1    Dietrich, W.E.2
  • 50
  • 52
    • 39749176378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of antecedent rainfall on pore-water pressure distribution characteristics in residual soil slopes under tropical rainfall
    • Rahardjo H, Leong EC, Rezaur RB. 2008. Effect of antecedent rainfall on pore-water pressure distribution characteristics in residual soil slopes under tropical rainfall. Hydrological Processes 22(4): 506-523.
    • (2008) Hydrological Processes , vol.22 , Issue.4 , pp. 506-523
    • Rahardjo, H.1    Leong, E.C.2    Rezaur, R.B.3
  • 54
    • 0028667932 scopus 로고
    • A pore-pressure diffusion model for estimating landslide-inducing rainfall
    • Reid ME. 1994. A pore-pressure diffusion model for estimating landslide-inducing rainfall. Journal of Geology 102: 709-717.
    • (1994) Journal of Geology , vol.102 , pp. 709-717
    • Reid, M.E.1
  • 55
    • 0027801638 scopus 로고
    • The 1987 debris flows in Switzerland: Documentation and analysis
    • Rickenmann D, Zimmermann M. 1993. The 1987 debris flows in Switzerland: documentation and analysis. Geomorphology 8: 175-189.
    • (1993) Geomorphology , vol.8 , pp. 175-189
    • Rickenmann, D.1    Zimmermann, M.2
  • 56
    • 33746639958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A physically based model for the hydrologic control on shallow landsliding
    • Rosso R, Rulli MC, Vannucchi G. 2006. A physically based model for the hydrologic control on shallow landsliding. Water Resources Research 42: W06410.
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42
    • Rosso, R.1    Rulli, M.C.2    Vannucchi, G.3
  • 57
    • 0022267660 scopus 로고
    • Multiple seepage faces on layered slopes and their implications for slope-stability analysis
    • Rulon JJ, Freeze RA. 1985. Multiple seepage faces on layered slopes and their implications for slope-stability analysis. Canadian Geotechnology Journal 22: 347-356.
    • (1985) Canadian Geotechnology Journal , vol.22 , pp. 347-356
    • Rulon, J.J.1    Freeze, R.A.2
  • 62
    • 39749127244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the probability of occurrence of shallow landslides and channelized debris flows using GEOtop-FS
    • Simoni S, Zanotti F, Bertoldi G, Rigon R. 2008. Modelling the probability of occurrence of shallow landslides and channelized debris flows using GEOtop-FS. Hydrological Processes 22(4): 532-545.
    • (2008) Hydrological Processes , vol.22 , Issue.4 , pp. 532-545
    • Simoni, S.1    Zanotti, F.2    Bertoldi, G.3    Rigon, R.4
  • 63
    • 0032143572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The determination of statistical and deterministic hydrological landslide-triggering thresholds
    • Terlien MTJ. 1998. The determination of statistical and deterministic hydrological landslide-triggering thresholds. Environmental Geology 35(2-3): 124-130.
    • (1998) Environmental Geology , vol.35 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 124-130
    • Terlien, M.T.J.1
  • 65
    • 33745503415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling of rainfall-triggered shallow landslide
    • Tsai TL, Yang JC. 2006. Modeling of rainfall-triggered shallow landslide. Environmental Geology 50(4): 525-534.
    • (2006) Environmental Geology , vol.50 , Issue.4 , pp. 525-534
    • Tsai, T.L.1    Yang, J.C.2
  • 66
    • 33747344377 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic factors influencing occurrence of debris flows
    • eds, Praxis and Springer: Berlin, Heidelberg, New York;
    • Wieczorek G, Glade T. 2005. Climatic factors influencing occurrence of debris flows. In Debris-flow Hazards and Related Phenomena. Jakob M, Hungr O (eds). Praxis and Springer: Berlin, Heidelberg, New York; 325-362.
    • (2005) Debris-flow Hazards and Related Phenomena , pp. 325-362
    • Wieczorek, G.1    Glade, T.2
  • 67
    • 0034254765 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Design and application of an automated non-circular slip surface search within a combined hydrology and stability model (CHASM)
    • Wilkinson PL, Brooks SM, Anderson MG. 2000. Design and application of an automated non-circular slip surface search within a combined hydrology and stability model (CHASM). Hydrological Processes 14: 2003-2017.
    • (2000) Hydrological Processes , vol.14 , pp. 2003-2017
    • Wilkinson, P.L.1    Brooks, S.M.2    Anderson, M.G.3
  • 68
    • 0029503389 scopus 로고
    • Rainfall thresholds for the initiation of debris flows at La Honda, California
    • Wilson RC, Wieczorek GF. 1995. Rainfall thresholds for the initiation of debris flows at La Honda, California. Environmental Engineering and Geoscience 1(1): 11-27.
    • (1995) Environmental Engineering and Geoscience , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 11-27
    • Wilson, R.C.1    Wieczorek, G.F.2
  • 69
    • 0029413188 scopus 로고
    • A distributed slope stability model for steep forested basins
    • Wu W, Sidle RC. 1995. A distributed slope stability model for steep forested basins. Water Resources Research 31: 2097-2110.
    • (1995) Water Resources Research , vol.31 , pp. 2097-2110
    • Wu, W.1    Sidle, R.C.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.