Forecasting the pattern and pace of Fagus forest expansion in Majella National Park, Italy

Applied Vegetation Science

Volumn 11, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 539-546

  Van Gils, Hein ^a   Orgil, Batsukh ^b   Rossiter, David ^a,c   Wizaso, Munthali ^c   Elena, Liberatoscioli ^d  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TWENTE   (Netherlands)

^b National Geographic Information Centre (NGIC)   (Mongolia)

^c Environmental Council of Zambia   (Zambia)

^d Parco Nazionale della Majella ^*  (Italy)

Author keywords

Beech; Land abandonment; Logistic regression modelling; Neighbourhood effect; Park management; Sequential satellite imagery.

Indexed keywords

FAGUS;

EID: 65249098350     PISSN: 14022001     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3170/2008-7-18568     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. Anon. 2006. Global forest resources assessment 2005. FAO Forestry Paper 147. FAO, Rome, IT.
2. Comps, B. 1972. Essai sur le de´terminisme e´cologique du Heˆtre (Fagus sylvatica L.) en Aquitaine. The`se Universite´ Bordeaux, Bordeaux, FR.
3. Curt, T., Coll, L., Pre´vosto, B., Balandier, P. & Kunstler, G. 2005. Plasticity in growth, biomass allocation and root morphology in beech seedlings as induced by irradiance and herbaceous competition. Annals of Forest Science 62: 51-60.
4. DeLeo, J.M. 1993. Receiver Operating Characteristic Laboratory (ROCLAB): software for developing decision strategies that account for uncertainty. Second International Symposium on Uncertainty Modelling and Analysis. IEEE Computer Society Press, College Park, MD, US.
5. Fox, J. 1997. Applied regression analysis, linear models and related methods. Sage, London, UK.
6. Gellrich, M., Baur, P., Koch, B. & Zimmermann, N.E. 2007. Agricultural land abandonment and natural forest re-growth in the Swiss mountains: A spatially explicit economic analysis. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 118: 93-108.
7. Godefroid, S., Phartyal, S.S. & Koedam, N. 2006. Depth distribution and composition of seed banks under different tree layers in a managed temperate forest ecosystem. Ada Ecologia 29: 283-292.
8. Hane, E., Hamburg, S.P., Barber, A.L. & Plaut, J.A. 2003. Phytotoxicity of American beech leachate to sugar maple seedlings in a greenhouse experiment. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 33: 814-821.
9. Ihaka, R. & Gentlemen, R. 1996. R: A language for Data Analysis and Graphics. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 5: 299-314.
10. Kumar, L., Skidmore, A.K. & Knowles, E. 1997. Modelling topographic variation in solar radiation in a GIS environment. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 11: 475-497.
11. Leuschner, C, Meier, I. & Hertel, D. 2006. On the niche breadth of Fagus sylvatica: soil nutrient status in 50 Central European beech stands on a broad range of bedrock types. Annals of Forest Science 63: 355-368.
12. MacDonald, D., Crabtree, J.R., Wiesinger, G., Dax, T., Sta-mou, N., Fleury, P., Gutierrez, L.J. & Gibon, A. 2000. Agricultural abandonment in mountain areas of Europe: Environmental consequences and policy response. Journal of Environmental Management 59: 47-69.
13. Miller, J. & Franklin, J. 2002. Modeling the distribution of four vegetation alliances using generalized linear models and classification trees with spatial dependence. Ecological Modelling 157: 227-247.
14. Nicholls, A.0.1989. How to make biological surveys go further with generalized linear models. Biological Conservation 50:51-75.
15. Nicolini, G., Viola, F., Zucca, M. & Chemini, C. 2002. The Italian mountains. Unasylva 53: 68-70.
16. Olano, J.M., Caballero, I., Laskurain, N.A., Loidi, J. & Escude-ro, A. 2002. Seed bank spatial pattern in a temperate secondary forest. Journal of Vegetation Science 13: 775-784.
17. Pignatti, S. 1982. Flora d'ltalia. Edagricole, Bologna, IT.
18. Piovesan, G., Di Filippo, A., Alessandrini, A, Bondi, F. & Schirone, B. 2005. Structure, dynamics and dendroecology of an old-growth Fagus forest in the Apennines. Journal of Vegetation Science 16: 13-28.
19. Pueyo, Y. & Alados, C.L. 2007. Effects of fragmentation, abiotic factors and land use on vegetation recovery in a semi-arid Mediterranean area. Basic and Applied Ecology 8: 158-170.
20. Puyravaud, J.P. 2003. Standardizing the calculation of the annual rate of deforestation. Forest Ecology and Management 177:593-596.
21. Rozas, V. 2003. Regeneration patterns, dendroecology, and forest-use history in an old-growth beech-oak lowland forest in Northern Spain. Forest Ecology and Management 182: 175-194.
22. Tasser, E., Walde, J., Tappeiner, U., Teutsch, A. & Noggler, W. 2007. Land-use changes and natural reforestation in the Eastern Central Alps. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 118: 115-129.
23. Ubaldi, D., Zanotti, A.L. & Puppi, G. 1995. Les paysages forestieres de l'Emilie Romagne et leur signification bio-climatique. Colloques Phytosociologiques 21: 269-286.
24. Valentini, R., Matteucci, G., Dolman, A.J., Schulze, E.-D., Rebmann, C, Moors, E.J., Granier, A., Gross, P., Jensen, N.O., Pilegaard, K., Lindroth, A., Grelle, A., Bernhofer, Ch., Grunwald, T., Aubinet, M., Ceulemans, R., Kowal-ski, A.S., Vesala, T., Rannik, Ü., Berbigier, P., Loustau, D., Gudmundsson, J., Thorgeirsson, H., Ibrom, A., Mor-genstern, K., Clement, R., Moncrieff, J., Montagnani, L., Minerbi, S. & Jarvis, P.G. 2000. Respiration as the main determinant of the carbon balance in European forest. Nature 404: 861-865.
25. van Gils, H.A.M.J. & Loza Armond Ugon, A.V. 2006. What drives conversion of tropical forest in Carrasco province, Bolivia? Ambio 35: 81-85.
26. Wagner, H.H. & Fortin, M.J. 2005. Spatial analysis of landscapes: concepts and statistics. Ecology 86: 1975-1987.