메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 45, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 21-32

Statistical model for seasonal prediction of tropical cyclone frequency around Korea

Author keywords

Cross validation; Multiple linear regression model; Seasonal prediction; Snow cover; Stepwise multiple regression; Tropical cyclone frequency

Indexed keywords


EID: 64049087456     PISSN: 19767633     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (17)

References (36)
  • 1
    • 0024813175 scopus 로고
    • The effect of Eurasian snow cover on regional and global climate variations
    • Barnett, T. P., L. Dumenil, U. Schlese, E. Roekler, and M. Latif, 1989: The effect of Eurasian snow cover on regional and global climate variations. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 661-686.
    • (1989) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.46 , pp. 661-686
    • Barnett, T.P.1    Dumenil, L.2    Schlese, U.3    Roekler, E.4    Latif, M.5
  • 2
    • 0002563402 scopus 로고
    • On the connexion of the Himalaya snowfall with dry winds and seasons of drought in India
    • Blanford, H. F., 1884: On the connexion of the Himalaya snowfall with dry winds and seasons of drought in India. Proc. Roy. Soc. London, 37, 3-22.
    • (1884) Proc. Roy. Soc. London , vol.37 , pp. 3-22
    • Blanford, H.F.1
  • 3
    • 0347936084 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual and decadal variations of snow cover over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and their relationships to summer monsoon rainfall in China
    • Chen, L. -T., and R. Wu, 2000: Interannual and decadal variations of snow cover over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and their relationships to summer monsoon rainfall in China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 17, 18-30.
    • (2000) Adv. Atmos. Sci , vol.17 , pp. 18-30
    • Chen, L.-T.1    Wu, R.2
  • 4
    • 0037109320 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The interannual variability in the genesis location of tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific
    • Chia, H.-H., and C. F. Ropelewski, 2002: The interannual variability in the genesis location of tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific. J. Climate., 15, 2934-2944.
    • (2002) J. Climate , vol.15 , pp. 2934-2944
    • Chia, H.-H.1    Ropelewski, C.F.2
  • 5
    • 44849135831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How is the snow-cover in the Tibetan Plateau related to the typhoon activity around the Korean Peninsula?
    • Choi, K.-S. and KR. Kang, 2008: How is the snow-cover in the Tibetan Plateau related to the typhoon activity around the Korean Peninsula? Asia-Pacific J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 201-207.
    • (2008) Asia-Pacific J. Atmos. Sci , vol.44 , pp. 201-207
    • Choi, K.-S.1    Kang, K.R.2
  • 6
  • 7
    • 0028058226 scopus 로고
    • Observed impact of snow cover on the heat balance over the continental spring temperature
    • Groisman, P. Y., T. R. Karl, and R. W. Knight, 1993: Observed impact of snow cover on the heat balance over the continental spring temperature. Science, 263, 198-200.
    • (1993) Science , vol.263 , pp. 198-200
    • Groisman, P.Y.1    Karl, T.R.2    Knight, R.W.3
  • 8
    • 0000113230 scopus 로고
    • An apparent relationship between Eurasian snow cover and Indian monsoon rainfall
    • Hahn, D. G., and J. Shukla, 1976: An apparent relationship between Eurasian snow cover and Indian monsoon rainfall. J. Atmos. Sci., 33, 2461-2462.
    • (1976) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.33 , pp. 2461-2462
    • Hahn, D.G.1    Shukla, J.2
  • 9
    • 0029768948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project
    • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471.
    • (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc , vol.77 , pp. 437-471
    • Kalnay, E.1
  • 10
    • 0042092646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The NCEP/NCAR 50-year reanalysis
    • Kistler, R., and Coauthors, 2001: The NCEP/NCAR 50-year reanalysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82, 247-267.
    • (2001) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc , vol.82 , pp. 247-267
    • Kistler, R.1
  • 11
    • 44849088604 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Korea Meteorological Administration, 22 pp
    • Korea Meteorological Administration, 1996, Typhoon White Book, 22 pp.
    • (1996) Typhoon White Book
  • 12
    • 0032878194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatology and variability of historical Soviet snow depth data: Some new perspectives in snow-Indian monsoon teleconnections
    • Kripalani, R. H., and A. Kulkarni, 1999: Climatology and variability of historical Soviet snow depth data: Some new perspectives in snow-Indian monsoon teleconnections. Climate Dyn., 15, 475-489.
    • (1999) Climate Dyn , vol.15 , pp. 475-489
    • Kripalani, R.H.1    Kulkarni, A.2
  • 13
    • 0036740102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationship between Soviet snow and Korean rainfall
    • Kripalani, R. H., B.-J. Kim, J.-H. Oh, and S.-E. Moon, 2002: Relationship between Soviet snow and Korean rainfall. Int. J. Climatol., 22, 1313-1325.
    • (2002) Int. J. Climatol , vol.22 , pp. 1313-1325
    • Kripalani, R.H.1    Kim, B.-J.2    Oh, J.-H.3    Moon, S.-E.4
  • 14
    • 0034846905 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Condensation heating of the Asian summer monsoon and the subtropical anticyclone in the Eastern Hemisphere
    • Liu, Y. M., G. X. Wu, and H. Liu, 2001: Condensation heating of the Asian summer monsoon and the subtropical anticyclone in the Eastern Hemisphere. Climate Dyn., 17, 327-338.
    • (2001) Climate Dyn , vol.17 , pp. 327-338
    • Liu, Y.M.1    Wu, G.X.2    Liu, H.3
  • 15
    • 0022172279 scopus 로고
    • Some empirical evidence for the influence of snow cover on temperature and precipitation
    • Namias, J., 1985: Some empirical evidence for the influence of snow cover on temperature and precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1542-1553.
    • (1985) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.113 , pp. 1542-1553
    • Namias, J.1
  • 16
    • 64049087142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Change in statistical characteristics of typhoon affecting the Korean Peninsula
    • In Korean with English abstract
    • Park, J.-K., B.-S. Kim, W.-S. Jung, E.-B. Kim, and D.-G. Lee, 2006: Change in statistical characteristics of typhoon affecting the Korean Peninsula. Atmosphere, 16, 1-17. (In Korean with English abstract)
    • (2006) Atmosphere , vol.16 , pp. 1-17
    • Park, J.-K.1    Kim, B.-S.2    Jung, W.-S.3    Kim, E.-B.4    Lee, D.-G.5
  • 17
    • 51249169892 scopus 로고
    • Relationships between regional Indian summer monsoon rainfall and Eurasian snow cover
    • Parthasarathy, B., and S. Yang, 1995: Relationships between regional Indian summer monsoon rainfall and Eurasian snow cover. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 12, 143-150.
    • (1995) Adv. Atmos. Sci , vol.12 , pp. 143-150
    • Parthasarathy, B.1    Yang, S.2
  • 18
    • 0027866279 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robinson, D. A., K. F. Dewey, and R. Heim, Jr., 1993: Global snow cover monitoring: an update. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 1689-1696.
    • Robinson, D. A., K. F. Dewey, and R. Heim, Jr., 1993: Global snow cover monitoring: an update. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 1689-1696.
  • 19
    • 0034082980 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal variability of northern hemisphere snow extent using visible satellite data
    • Robinson, D. A., and A. Frei, 2000: Seasonal variability of northern hemisphere snow extent using visible satellite data. Prof. Geogr., 51, 307-314.
    • (2000) Prof. Geogr , vol.51 , pp. 307-314
    • Robinson, D.A.1    Frei, A.2
  • 20
    • 0035428678 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subtropical anticyclones and summer monsoons
    • Rodwell, M. R., and B. J. Hoskins, 2001: Subtropical anticyclones and summer monsoons. J. Climate, 14, 3192-3211.
    • (2001) J. Climate , vol.14 , pp. 3192-3211
    • Rodwell, M.R.1    Hoskins, B.J.2
  • 21
    • 21444439898 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Study on snow depth anomaly over Eurasia, Indian rainfall and circulations
    • Singh, G. P., and J.-H. Oh, 2005: Study on snow depth anomaly over Eurasia, Indian rainfall and circulations. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 83, 237-250.
    • (2005) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.83 , pp. 237-250
    • Singh, G.P.1    Oh, J.-H.2
  • 22
    • 0040249158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatological aspects and mechanism of spring persistent rain over central China
    • Tian, S. -F., and T. Yasunari, 1998: Climatological aspects and mechanism of spring persistent rain over central China. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 76, 57-71.
    • (1998) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.76 , pp. 57-71
    • Tian, S.-F.1    Yasunari, T.2
  • 23
    • 0000491393 scopus 로고
    • The basic relationship between tropical cyclone intensity and the depth of the environmental steering layer in the Australian region
    • Velden, C. S. and L. M. Leslie, 1991: The basic relationship between tropical cyclone intensity and the depth of the environmental steering layer in the Australian region. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 244-253.
    • (1991) Wea. Forecasting , vol.6 , pp. 244-253
    • Velden, C.S.1    Leslie, L.M.2
  • 24
    • 0029412494 scopus 로고
    • The effect of Eurasian snow cover on the Indian monsoon
    • Vernekar, A. D., J. Zhou, and J. Shukla, 1995: The effect of Eurasian snow cover on the Indian monsoon. J. Climate, 8, 248-266.
    • (1995) J. Climate , vol.8 , pp. 248-266
    • Vernekar, A.D.1    Zhou, J.2    Shukla, J.3
  • 25
    • 0002373138 scopus 로고
    • Correlations in seasonal variations of weather
    • Walker, G. T., 1910: Correlations in seasonal variations of weather. Memo. India. Meteor. Dept., 21, 22-45.
    • (1910) Memo. India. Meteor. Dept , vol.21 , pp. 22-45
    • Walker, G.T.1
  • 27
    • 85071488639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wu, G., Y. Liu, J. Mao, X. Liu, and W. Li, 2004: Adaptation of the atmospheric circulation to thermal forcing of the Tibetan Plateau. In Observation, Theory, and Modeling of Atmospheric Variability, World Sci. Ser. Meteorol. East Asia, 3, 92-114, World Sci., Hackensack, N. J.
    • Wu, G., Y. Liu, J. Mao, X. Liu, and W. Li, 2004: Adaptation of the atmospheric circulation to thermal forcing of the Tibetan Plateau. In Observation, Theory, and Modeling of Atmospheric Variability, World Sci. Ser. Meteorol. East Asia, vol. 3, 92-114, World Sci., Hackensack, N. J.
  • 28
    • 0042346359 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relation between the Tibetan winter snow and the Asian summer monsoon and rainfall: An observational investigation
    • Wu, T.-W., and Z.-A. Qian, 2003:The relation between the Tibetan winter snow and the Asian summer monsoon and rainfall: An observational investigation. J. Climate, 16, 2038-2051.
    • (2003) J. Climate , vol.16 , pp. 2038-2051
    • Wu, T.-W.1    Qian, Z.-A.2
  • 29
    • 26844436394 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationship between western North Pacific typhoon activity and Tibetan Plateau winter and spring snow cover
    • doi:10.1029/2005GL023237
    • Xie, L., T. Yan, L. J. Pietrafesa, T. Karl, and X. Xu, 2005: Relationship between western North Pacific typhoon activity and Tibetan Plateau winter and spring snow cover. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L16703, doi:10.1029/2005GL023237.
    • (2005) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.32
    • Xie, L.1    Yan, T.2    Pietrafesa, L.J.3    Karl, T.4    Xu, X.5
  • 30
    • 53649094292 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • West North Pacific typhoon track patterns and their potential connection to Tibetan Plateau snow cover
    • Xie, L., and T. Yan, 2007: West North Pacific typhoon track patterns and their potential connection to Tibetan Plateau snow cover. Nat. Hazards, 42, 317-333.
    • (2007) Nat. Hazards , vol.42 , pp. 317-333
    • Xie, L.1    Yan, T.2
  • 31
    • 0042534708 scopus 로고
    • The influence of the abnormal snow cover over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau on Chinese precipitation and atmospheric circulation
    • Xu, G.-C., S. Li, and B. Hong, 1994: The influence of the abnormal snow cover over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau on Chinese precipitation and atmospheric circulation. Quart. J. Appl. Meteor., 5, 62-67.
    • (1994) Quart. J. Appl. Meteor , vol.5 , pp. 62-67
    • Xu, G.-C.1    Li, S.2    Hong, B.3
  • 32
    • 0028572785 scopus 로고
    • Linkage between Eurasian winter snow cover and regional Chinese summer rainfall
    • Yang, S., and L. Xu, 1994: Linkage between Eurasian winter snow cover and regional Chinese summer rainfall. Int. J. Climatol., 14, 739-750.
    • (1994) Int. J. Climatol , vol.14 , pp. 739-750
    • Yang, S.1    Xu, L.2
  • 33
    • 24944482757 scopus 로고
    • Local and remote responses to excessive snow mass over Eurasia appearing in the northern spring and summer climate A study with the MRI-GCM
    • Yasunari, T., A. Kitoh, and T. Tokioka, 1991: Local and remote responses to excessive snow mass over Eurasia appearing in the northern spring and summer climate A study with the MRI-GCM. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 69, 473-487.
    • (1991) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.69 , pp. 473-487
    • Yasunari, T.1    Kitoh, A.2    Tokioka, T.3
  • 34
    • 3042576639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diagnostic and modeling study of the effect of Tibetan Plateau snow cover on the Asian summer monsoon
    • Zhang, S., and S. A. Tao, 2001: Diagnostic and modeling study of the effect of Tibetan Plateau snow cover on the Asian summer monsoon. Chin. J. Atmos. Sci., 25, 372-390.
    • (2001) Chin. J. Atmos. Sci , vol.25 , pp. 372-390
    • Zhang, S.1    Tao, S.A.2
  • 35
    • 4043064160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decadal change of the spring snow depth over the Tibetan Plateau: The associated circulation and influence on the East Asian summer monsoon
    • Zhang, Y., T. Li, and B. Wang, 2004: Decadal change of the spring snow depth over the Tibetan Plateau: The associated circulation and influence on the East Asian summer monsoon. J. Climate, 17, 2780-2793.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 2780-2793
    • Zhang, Y.1    Li, T.2    Wang, B.3
  • 36
    • 0342531045 scopus 로고
    • Eurasian snow cover and the East Asian monsoon
    • Zhao, Q., 1984: Eurasian snow cover and the East Asian monsoon. Meteorology, 7, 27-29.
    • (1984) Meteorology , vol.7 , pp. 27-29
    • Zhao, Q.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.