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1
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6344270133
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note
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This is a revised version of the Government and Opposition/Leonard Schapiro Lecture, delivered to the British Political Science Association, Lincoln, England, 8 April 2004.
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2
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0003542293
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New York, W. W. Norton
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See Douglass C. North, Structure and Change in Economic History, New York, W. W. Norton, 1980; Douglass C. North, Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 1990; Douglass C. North, 'Some Fundamental Puzzles in Economic History/Development', in W. Brian Arthur, Steven N. Durlauf and David A. Lane (eds), The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II, London, Addison-Wesley. 1997, pp. 223-37.
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Structure and Change in Economic History
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North, D.C.1
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0003540038
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Cambridge, Cambridge University Press
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See Douglass C. North, Structure and Change in Economic History, New York, W. W. Norton, 1980; Douglass C. North, Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 1990; Douglass C. North, 'Some Fundamental Puzzles in Economic History/Development', in W. Brian Arthur, Steven N. Durlauf and David A. Lane (eds), The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II, London, Addison-Wesley. 1997, pp. 223-37.
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(1990)
Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance
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North, D.C.1
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4
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3042811216
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Some Fundamental Puzzles in Economic History/Development
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W. Brian Arthur, Steven N. Durlauf and David A. Lane (eds), London, Addison-Wesley.
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See Douglass C. North, Structure and Change in Economic History, New York, W. W. Norton, 1980; Douglass C. North, Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 1990; Douglass C. North, 'Some Fundamental Puzzles in Economic History/Development', in W. Brian Arthur, Steven N. Durlauf and David A. Lane (eds), The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II, London, Addison-Wesley. 1997, pp. 223-37.
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The Economy As An Evolving Complex System II
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North, D.C.1
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5
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0002180961
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Is a Science of Comparative Politics Possible?
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Peter Laslett, W. G. Runciman and Quentin Skinner (eds), Oxford, Basil Blackwell
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Alasdair MacIntyre, 'Is a Science of Comparative Politics Possible?', in Peter Laslett, W. G. Runciman and Quentin Skinner (eds), Philosophy, Politics and Society, Oxford, Basil Blackwell, 1972, pp. 8-26.
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Philosophy, Politics and Society
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MacIntyre, A.1
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6
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0004218079
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Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press
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W. V. Quine, From the Logical Point of View, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1953, p. 42.
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From the Logical Point of View
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Quine, W.V.1
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7
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6344260633
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Letter to the Workers of Europe and America
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Moscow, Foreign Languages Publishing House, [1919]
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V. I. Lenin, 'Letter to the Workers of Europe and America', in Against Revisionism, Moscow, Foreign Languages Publishing House, 1959 [1919], pp. 479-86.
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(1959)
Against Revisionism
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Lenin, V.I.1
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8
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84926980928
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Lineages of the Rule of Law
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José Maria Maravall and Adam Przeworski (eds), New York, Cambridge University Press
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For a discussion of this theme in Rousseau, see Steven Holmes, 'Lineages of the Rule of Law', in José Maria Maravall and Adam Przeworski (eds), Democracy and the Rule of Law, New York, Cambridge University Press, 2003, pp. 19-61.
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Democracy and the Rule of Law
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Holmes, S.1
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10
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0004000536
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Essai sur l'application de l'analyse de la probabilité des décisions rendues a la pluralité des voix
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Olivier de Bernon, Paris, Fayard
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Condorcet, 'Essai sur l'application de l'analyse de la probabilité des décisions rendues a la pluralité des voix', in Olivier de Bernon, Sur les élections et autres textes, Paris, Fayard, 1986, pp. 9-196.
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Sur Les Élections et Autres Textes
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Condorcet1
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11
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6344270132
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unpublished MS, New York University
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For an explanation of these patterns, see Jess Benhabib and Adam Przeworski, 'The Political Economy of Redistribution under Democracy', unpublished MS, New York University, 2004, and Adam Przeworski, 'Democracy as an Equilibrium', Public Choice, forthcoming, 2004.
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(2004)
The Political Economy of Redistribution under Democracy
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Benhabib, J.1
Przeworski, A.2
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12
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6344228514
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Democracy as an Equilibrium
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forthcoming
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For an explanation of these patterns, see Jess Benhabib and Adam Przeworski, 'The Political Economy of Redistribution under Democracy', unpublished MS, New York University, 2004, and Adam Przeworski, 'Democracy as an Equilibrium', Public Choice, forthcoming, 2004.
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(2004)
Public Choice
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Przeworski, A.1
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13
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0004052349
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New York, Cambridge University Press
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For an analysis of this question, based on data covering 135 countries between 1950 and 1990, see Adam Przeworski, José Antonio Cheibub, Michael E. Alvarez and Fernando Limongi, Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and 'Well-Being in the World, 1950-1990, New York, Cambridge University Press, 2000.
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(2000)
Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and 'Well-Being in the World, 1950-1990
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Przeworski, A.1
Cheibub, J.A.2
Alvarez, M.E.3
Limongi, F.4
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14
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6344291752
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note
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All income figures are in 1985 purchasing power parity dollars.
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15
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84959595354
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Counterfactuals and Hypothesis Testing in Political Science
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James D. Fearon, 'Counterfactuals and Hypothesis Testing in Political Science', World Politics, 43 (1991), pp. 169-95.
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World Politics
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Fearon, J.D.1
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0037619666
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London, Routledge
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Important works on counterfactuals, apart from those referred to elsewhere in this paper, include: Yuri Balashov, and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002; Dorothy Edgington, 'Conditionals', in Lou Goble (ed.), The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic, Oxford, Blackwell, 2001, pp. 385-414; Nelson Goodman, Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, 4th edn, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1979; Paul W. Holland, 'Statistics and Causal Inference', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81 (1986), pp. 945-60; David Lewis, Counterfactuals, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1973; J. L. Mackie, 'The Logic of Conditionals', in Yuri Balashov and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002, pp. 106-14; Judea Pearl, Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2000; and Robert C. Stalnaker, Inquiry, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1987.
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(2002)
Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings
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Balashov, Y.1
Rosenberg, A.2
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18
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6344287779
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Conditionals
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Lou Goble (ed.), Oxford, Blackwell
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Important works on counterfactuals, apart from those referred to elsewhere in this paper, include: Yuri Balashov, and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002; Dorothy Edgington, 'Conditionals', in Lou Goble (ed.), The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic, Oxford, Blackwell, 2001, pp. 385-414; Nelson Goodman, Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, 4th edn, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1979; Paul W. Holland, 'Statistics and Causal Inference', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81 (1986), pp. 945-60; David Lewis, Counterfactuals, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1973; J. L. Mackie, 'The Logic of Conditionals', in Yuri Balashov and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002, pp. 106-14; Judea Pearl, Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2000; and Robert C. Stalnaker, Inquiry, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1987.
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(2001)
The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic
, pp. 385-414
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Edgington, D.1
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19
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0004293523
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Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press
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Important works on counterfactuals, apart from those referred to elsewhere in this paper, include: Yuri Balashov, and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002; Dorothy Edgington, 'Conditionals', in Lou Goble (ed.), The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic, Oxford, Blackwell, 2001, pp. 385-414; Nelson Goodman, Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, 4th edn, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1979; Paul W. Holland, 'Statistics and Causal Inference', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81 (1986), pp. 945-60; David Lewis, Counterfactuals, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1973; J. L. Mackie, 'The Logic of Conditionals', in Yuri Balashov and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002, pp. 106-14; Judea Pearl, Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2000; and Robert C. Stalnaker, Inquiry, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1987.
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(1979)
Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, 4th Edn
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Goodman, N.1
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20
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84920420698
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Statistics and Causal Inference
-
Important works on counterfactuals, apart from those referred to elsewhere in this paper, include: Yuri Balashov, and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002; Dorothy Edgington, 'Conditionals', in Lou Goble (ed.), The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic, Oxford, Blackwell, 2001, pp. 385-414; Nelson Goodman, Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, 4th edn, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1979; Paul W. Holland, 'Statistics and Causal Inference', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81 (1986), pp. 945-60; David Lewis, Counterfactuals, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1973; J. L. Mackie, 'The Logic of Conditionals', in Yuri Balashov and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002, pp. 106-14; Judea Pearl, Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2000; and Robert C. Stalnaker, Inquiry, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1987.
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(1986)
Journal of the American Statistical Association
, vol.81
, pp. 945-960
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Holland, P.W.1
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21
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0004271399
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-
Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press
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Important works on counterfactuals, apart from those referred to elsewhere in this paper, include: Yuri Balashov, and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002; Dorothy Edgington, 'Conditionals', in Lou Goble (ed.), The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic, Oxford, Blackwell, 2001, pp. 385-414; Nelson Goodman, Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, 4th edn, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1979; Paul W. Holland, 'Statistics and Causal Inference', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81 (1986), pp. 945-60; David Lewis, Counterfactuals, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1973; J. L. Mackie, 'The Logic of Conditionals', in Yuri Balashov and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002, pp. 106-14; Judea Pearl, Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2000; and Robert C. Stalnaker, Inquiry, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1987.
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(1973)
Counterfactuals
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Lewis, D.1
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22
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6344285889
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The Logic of Conditionals
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Yuri Balashov and Alex Rosenberg (eds), London, Routledge
-
Important works on counterfactuals, apart from those referred to elsewhere in this paper, include: Yuri Balashov, and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002; Dorothy Edgington, 'Conditionals', in Lou Goble (ed.), The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic, Oxford, Blackwell, 2001, pp. 385-414; Nelson Goodman, Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, 4th edn, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1979; Paul W. Holland, 'Statistics and Causal Inference', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81 (1986), pp. 945-60; David Lewis, Counterfactuals, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1973; J. L. Mackie, 'The Logic of Conditionals', in Yuri Balashov and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002, pp. 106-14; Judea Pearl, Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2000; and Robert C. Stalnaker, Inquiry, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1987.
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(2002)
Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings
, pp. 106-114
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-
Mackie, J.L.1
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23
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0003398906
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-
Cambridge, Cambridge University Press
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Important works on counterfactuals, apart from those referred to elsewhere in this paper, include: Yuri Balashov, and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002; Dorothy Edgington, 'Conditionals', in Lou Goble (ed.), The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic, Oxford, Blackwell, 2001, pp. 385-414; Nelson Goodman, Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, 4th edn, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1979; Paul W. Holland, 'Statistics and Causal Inference', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81 (1986), pp. 945-60; David Lewis, Counterfactuals, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1973; J. L. Mackie, 'The Logic of Conditionals', in Yuri Balashov and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002, pp. 106-14; Judea Pearl, Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2000; and Robert C. Stalnaker, Inquiry, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1987.
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(2000)
Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference
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-
Pearl, J.1
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24
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-
0004091673
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Cambridge, MA, MIT Press
-
Important works on counterfactuals, apart from those referred to elsewhere in this paper, include: Yuri Balashov, and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002; Dorothy Edgington, 'Conditionals', in Lou Goble (ed.), The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic, Oxford, Blackwell, 2001, pp. 385-414; Nelson Goodman, Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, 4th edn, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1979; Paul W. Holland, 'Statistics and Causal Inference', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81 (1986), pp. 945-60; David Lewis, Counterfactuals, Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press, 1973; J. L. Mackie, 'The Logic of Conditionals', in Yuri Balashov and Alex Rosenberg (eds), Philosophy of Science: Contemporary Readings, London, Routledge, 2002, pp. 106-14; Judea Pearl, Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2000; and Robert C. Stalnaker, Inquiry, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, 1987.
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(1987)
Inquiry
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Stalnaker, R.C.1
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28
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0000297371
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Instrumental Variables: A Study in Implicit Behavioral Assumptions Used in Making Program Evaluations
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James Heckman, 'Instrumental Variables: A Study in Implicit Behavioral Assumptions Used in Making Program Evaluations', Journal of Human Resources, 2 (1997), pp. 441-62.
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Journal of Human Resources
, vol.2
, pp. 441-462
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Heckman, J.1
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What's so Different about a Counterfactual?
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Richard Ned Lebow, 'What's so Different About a Counterfactual?', World Politics, 52 (2000), pp. 550-85; 575.
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World Politics
, vol.52
, pp. 550-585
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Lebow, R.N.1
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0142004684
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unpublished MS, Harvard University
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Sharun Mukand and Dani Rodrik, 'In Search of the Holy Grail: Policy Convergence, Experimentation, and Economic Performance', unpublished MS, Harvard University, 2002, p. 3.
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(2002)
In Search of the Holy Grail: Policy Convergence, Experimentation, and Economic Performance
, pp. 3
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Mukand, S.1
Rodrik, D.2
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34
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6344220029
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London, Springer-Verlag
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Paul R. Rosenberg, Observational Studies, London, Springer-Verlag, 2001, presents an exceptionally clear discussion of the issues involved. Christopher Winship and Stephen L. Morgan, 'The Estimation of Causal Effects from Observational Data', Annual Review of Sociology, 25 (1999), pp. 659-707, is a good review of the alternative statistical methods.
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(2001)
Observational Studies
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Rosenberg, P.R.1
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35
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0033446553
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The Estimation of Causal Effects from Observational Data
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Paul R. Rosenberg, Observational Studies, London, Springer-Verlag, 2001, presents an exceptionally clear discussion of the issues involved. Christopher Winship and Stephen L. Morgan, 'The Estimation of Causal Effects from Observational Data', Annual Review of Sociology, 25 (1999), pp. 659-707, is a good review of the alternative statistical methods.
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(1999)
Annual Review of Sociology
, vol.25
, pp. 659-707
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Winship, C.1
Morgan, S.L.2
|