Rapid responses of the prairie-forest ecotone to early Holocene aridity in mid-continental North America

Global and Planetary Change

Volumn 66, Issue 3-4, 2009, Pages 195-207

  Williams, John W ^a   Shuman, Bryan ^b   Bartlein, Patrick J ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MADISON   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF WYOMING   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF OREGON   (United States)

Author keywords

aridity; deforestation; drought; Great Plains; Holocene; prairie forest ecotone

Indexed keywords

ALLUVIAL DEPOSIT; ARIDITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; DEFORESTATION; DROUGHT; ECOTONE; FOSSIL RECORD; HOLOCENE; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE; MAPPING; MOISTURE; PALYNOLOGY; PRAIRIE; REFORESTATION; REGRESSION; TEMPORAL VARIATION;

CANADA; GREAT PLAINS; NORTH AMERICA; SASKATCHEWAN;

ULMUS;

EID: 63349106798     PISSN: 09218181     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.10.012     Document Type: Article

References (112)

1. Allen C.D., and Breshears D.D. Drought-induced shift of a forest-woodland ecotone: rapid landscape response to climate variation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 95 (1998) 14839-14842
2. Allison T.D., Moeller R.E., and Davis M.B. Pollen in laminated sediments provides evidence of mid-Holocene forest pathogen outbreak. Ecology 67 (1986) 1101-1105
3. Almendinger J.E. A groundwater model to explain past lake levels at Parkers Prairie, Minnesota, USA. Holocene 3 (1993) 105-115
4. Baker R.G., et al. Holocene paleoenvironments of northeast Iowa. Ecological Monographs 66 (1996) 203-234
5. Baker R.G., et al. Holocene paleoenvironments in southeastern Minnesota - chasing the prairie-forest ecotone. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 177 (2002) 103-122
6. Barnosky C.W., Grimm E.C., and Wright Jr. H.E. Towards a postglacial history of the northern Great Plains: a review of the paleoecologic problems. Annals of the Carnegie Museum 56 (1987) 259-273
7. Bartlein P.J., Webb III T., and Fleri E. Holocene climate change in the northern Midwest: pollen-derived estimates. Quaternary Research 22 (1984) 361-374
8. Bartlein P.J., et al. Paleoclimate simulations for North America over the past 21,000 years: features of the simulated climate and comparisons with paleoenvironmental data. Quaternary Science Reviews 17 (1998) 549-586
9. Bennett K.D., and Fuller J.L. Determining the age of the mid-Holocene Tsuga canadensis (hemlock) decline, eastern North America. Holocene 12 (2002) 421-429
10. Bernabo J.C., and Webb III T. Changing patterns in the Holocene pollen record of northeastern North America: a mapped summary. Quaternary Research 8 (1977) 64-96
11. Bhiry N., and Filion L. Mid-Holocene hemlock decline in eastern North America linked with phytophagous insect activity. Quaternary Research 45 (1996) 312-320
12. Bonan G.B. Frost followed the plow: impacts of deforestation on the climate of the United States. Ecological Applications 9 4 (1999) 1305-1315
13. Bonan G.B. Ecological Climatology: Concepts and Applications (2002), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge 678 pp
14. Bond W.J., and Van Wilgen B.W. Fire and plants. Population and Community Ecology Series vol. 14 (1996), Chapman & Hall, London 263 pp
15. Booth R.K., Jackson S.T., and Thompson T.A. Paleoecology of a northern Michigan lake and the relationship among climate, vegetation, and Great Lakes water levels. Quaternary Research 57 1 (2002) 120-130
16. Booth R.K., Jackson S.T., and Gray C.E.D. Paleoecology and high-resolution paleohydrology of a kettle peatland in upper Michigan. Quaternary Research 61 (2004) 1-13
17. Breshears D.D., et al. Regional vegetation die-off in response to global-change-type drought. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 102 (2005) 15144-15148
18. Burkett V.R., et al. Nonlinear dynamics in ecosystem response to climatic change: case studies and policy implications. Ecological Complexity 2 4 (2005) 357-394
19. Camill P., et al. Late-glacial and Holocene climatic effects on fire and vegetation dynamics at the prairie-forest ecotone in south-central Minnesota. Journal of Ecology 91 (2003) 822-836
20. Cardille J.A., Ventura S.J., and Turner M.G. Environmental and social factors influencing wildfires in the upper Midwest, United States. Ecological Applications 11 (2001) 111-127
21. Castello J.D., Leopold D.J., and Smallidge P.J. Pathogens, patterns, and processes in forest ecosystems. Bioscience 45 (1995) 16-24
22. Christensen J.H., et al. Regional climate projections. In: Solomon S., et al. (Ed). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge 847-940
23. Clarke G.K.C., Leverington D.W., Teller J.T., and Dyke A.S. Paleohydraulics of the last outburst flood from glacial Lake Agassiz and the 8200 BP cold event. Quaternary Science Reviews 23 (2004) 389-407
24. Claussen M., Brovkin V., and Ganopolski A. Biogeophysical versus biogeochemical feedbacks of large-scale land cover change. Geophysical Research Letters 28 6 (2001) 1011-1014
25. Cochrane M.A., et al. Positive feedbacks in the fire dynamic of closed canopy tropical forests. Science 284 (1999) 1832-1835
26. Davis M.B. Outbreaks of forest pathogens in Quaternary history. In: Bharadwaj D.C. (Ed). Proceedings of the Fourth International Palynological Conference, (1981), Lucknow, India 216-227
27. Davis M.B., and Botkin D.B. Sensitivity of cool-temperate forests and their fossil pollen records to rapid temperature change. Quaternary Research 23 (1985) 327-340
28. Davis B.A.S., Brewer S., Stevenson A.C., Guiot J., and Data Contributors. The temperature of Europe during the Holocene reconstructed from pollen data. Quaternary Science Reviews 22 (2003) 1701-1716
29. Dean W.E., and Schwalb A. The lacustrine carbon cycle as illuminated by the waters and sediments of two hydrologically distinct headwater lakes in north-central Minnesota, USA. Journal of Sedimentary Research 72 (2002) 416-431
30. Dean W.E., Forester R.M., and Bradbury J.P. Early Holocene change in atmospheric circulation in the Northern Great Plains: an upstream view of the 8.2 ka cold event. Quaternary Science Reviews 21 (2002) 1763-1775
31. DeFries R.S., Hansen M.C., and Townshend J.R.G. Global continuous fields of vegetation characteristics: a linear mixture model applied to multi-year 8 km AVHRR data. International Journal of Remote Sensing 21 (2000) 1389-1414
32. Diffenbaugh N.S., Pal J.S., Trapp R.J., and Giorgi F. Fine-scale processes regulate the response of extreme events to global climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 102 (2005) 15774-15778
33. Diffenbaugh N.S., Ashfaq M., Shuman B., Williams J.W., and Bartlein P.J. Summer aridity in the United States: response to Mid-Holocene changes in insolation and sea surface temperature. Geophysical Research Letters 33 (2006) 10.1029/2006GL028012
34. Dyke A.S. Late Quaternary vegetation history of northern North America based on pollen, macrofossil, and faunal remains. Géographie Physique et Quaternaire 59 (2005) 211-262
35. 14C dates on pristine corals. Quaternary Science Reviews 24 (2005) 1781-1796
36. Fall P.L. Pollen taphonomy in a canyon stream. Quaternary Research 28 (1987) 393-406
37. Forman S.L., Oglesby R., and Webb R.S. Temporal and spatial patterns of Holocene dune activity on the Great Plains of North America: megadroughts and climate links. Global and Planetary Change 29 (2001) 1-29
38. Foster D.R., Oswald W.W., Faison E.K., Doughty E.D., and Hansen B.C.S. A climatic driver for abrupt mid-Holocene vegetation dynamics and the hemlock decline in New England. Ecology 87 (2006) 2959-2966
39. Gallimore R., Jacob R., and Kutzbach J. Coupled atmosphere-ocean-vegetation simulations for modern and mid-Holocene climates: role of extratropical vegetation cover feedbacks. Climate Dynamics 25 (2005) 755-776
40. Gavin D.G., Oswald W.W., Wahl E.R., and Williams J.W. A statistical approach to evaluating distance metrics and analog assignments for pollen records. Quaternary Research 60 (2003) 356-367
41. Gibbs J.N. Intercontinental epidemiology of Dutch elm disease. Annual Review of Phytopathology 16 (1978) 287-307
42. Gleason H.A. The vegetational history of the Middle West. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 12 (1922) 39-85
43. Gonzales L.M., Williams J.W., and Kaplan J.O. Variations in leaf area index in northern and eastern North America over the past 21,000 years: a data-model comparison. Quaternary Science Reviews 27 (2008) 1453-1466
44. Grimm E.C. Chronology and dynamics of vegetation change in the prairie-woodland region of southern Minnesota, U.S.A. New Phytologist 93 (1983) 311-350
45. Grimm E.C. Fire and other factors controlling the Big Woods vegetation of Minnesota in the mid-nineteenth century. Ecological Monographs 54 (1984) 291-311
46. Grimm E.C. Global pollen database. IGBP PAGES/World Data Centre for Paleoclimatology, NOAA/NGDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder, CO, USA (2000). http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/paleo/pollen.html%20pp http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/paleo/pollen.html
47. Grimm E.C. Trends and palaeoecological problems in the vegetation and climate history of the northern Great Plains, U.S.A. Biology and Environment. Proceedings of the Royal Irish Academy 101B (2001) 47-64
48. Grimm E.C., and Jacobson Jr. G.L. Late-Quaternary vegetation history of the eastern United States. In: Gillespie A.R., Porter S.C., and Atwater B.F. (Eds). The Quaternary Period in the United States. Developments in Quaternary Science (2004), Elsevier, Amsterdam 381-402
49. Harrison S.P., et al. Mid-Holocene climates of the Americas: a dynamical response to changed seasonality. Climate Dynamics 20 (2003) 663-688
50. Hoffman W.A., Schroeder W., and Jackson R.B. Positive feedbacks of fire, climate, and vegetation and the conversion of tropical savanna. Geophysical Research Letters 29 (2002) 9-1-9-4
51. Holmes P.L. The sorting of spores and pollen by water: experimental and field evidence. In: Traverse A. (Ed). Sedimentation of Organic Particles (1994), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge 544
52. Hu F.S., Wright Jr. H.E., Ito E., and Lease K. Climatic effects of glacial Lake Agassiz in the midwestern United States during the last deglaciation. Geology 25 (1997) 207-210
53. Jackson S.T., and Williams J.W. Modern analogs in Quaternary paleoecology: here today, gone yesterday, gone tomorrow?. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 32 (2004) 495-537
54. Küchler A.W. Potential natural vegetation of the conterminous United States. American Geographical Society, Special Publication vol. 36 (1964), Princeton Polychrome Press, New York 116 pp
55. Kurz W.A., et al. Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change. Nature 452 (2008) 987-990
56. Laird K.R., Fritz S.C., Grimm E.C., and Mueller P.G. Century-scale paleoclimatic reconstruction from Moon Lake, a closed-basin lake in the northern Great Plains. Limnology and Oceanography 41 (1996) 890-902
57. Loveland T.R., et al. Development of a global land cover characteristics database and IGBP DISCover from 1-km AVHRR data. International Journal of Remote Sensing 21 (2000) 1303-1330
58. Lyford M.E., Jackson S.T., Betancourt J.L., and Gray S.T. Influence of landscape structure and climate variability on a late Holocene plant migration. Ecological Monographs 73 (2003) 567-583
59. Marschner F.J., and Heinselman M.L. Original Vegetation of Minnesota (1974), U.S. Forest Service, North Central Forest Experiment Station, St. Paul, MN
60. McAndrews J.H. Postglacial history of prairie, savanna, and forest in northwestern Minnesota. Torrey Botanical Club Memoir vol. 22 (2) (1966), Torrey Botanical Club, Durham, NC 72 pp
61. Meehl G.A., and Tebaldi C. More intense, more frequent and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science 305 (2004) 994-997
62. Meehl G.A., et al. Global climate projections. In: Solomon S., et al. (Ed). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
63. Meir P., Cox P.M., and Grace J. The influence of terrestrial ecosystems on climate. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 21 (2006) 254-260
64. Miao X., et al. A 10,000 year record of dune activity, dust storms, and severe drought in the central Great Plains. Geology 35 (2007) 119-122
65. Moorcroft P.R., Pacala S.W., and Lewis M.A. Potential role of natural enemies during tree range expansions following climate change. Journal of Theoretical Biology 241 (2006) 601-616
66. Mott R.J. Palynological studies in central Saskatchewan: pollen stratigraphy from lake sediment sequences. Geological Survey of Canada 72-49 (1973) Ottawa
67. Nelson D.M., and Hu F.S. Patterns and drivers of Holocene vegetational change near the prairie-forest ecotone in Minnesota: revisiting McAndrews' transect. New Phytologist 179 (2008) 449-459
68. Nelson D.M., Hu F.S., Tian J., Stefanova I., and Brown T.A. Response of C3 and C4 plants to middle-Holocene climatic variation near the prairie-forest ecotone of Minnesota. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 101 (2004) 562-567
69. Nelson D.M., Hu F.S., Grimm E.C., Curry B.B., and Slate J.E. The influence of aridity and fire on Holocene prairie communities in the eastern Prairie Peninsula. Ecology 87 (2006) 2523-2536
70. Overpeck J.T., Webb III T., and Prentice I.C. Quantitative interpretation of fossil pollen spectra: dissimilarity coefficients and the method of modern analogs. Quaternary Research 23 (1985) 87-108
71. Pielke Sr. R.A., et al. Interactions between the atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems: influence on weather and climate. Global Change Biology 4 (1998) 461-475
72. Ramankutty N., and Foley J.A. Estimating historical changes in global land cover: croplands from 1700 to 1992. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 13 (1999) 997-1027
73. Reimer P.J., et al. IntCal04 terrestrial radiocarbon age calibration, 0-26 cal kyr BP. Radiocarbon 46 (2004) 1029-1058
74. Ritchie J.C. Absolute pollen frequencies and carbon-14 age of a section of Holocene lake sediment from the Riding Mountain area of Manitoba. Canadian Journal of Botany 47 (1969) 1345-1349
75. Ritchie J.C., and Lichti-Federovich S. Holocene pollen assemblages from the Tiger Hills, Manitoba. Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences 5 (1968) 873-880
76. Sauchyn M.A., and Sauchyn D.J. A continuous record of Holocene pollen from Harris Lake, southwestern Saskatchewan, Canada. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 88 (1991) 13-23
77. Schlarbaum S.E., Hebard F., Spaine P.C., and Kamalay J.C. Three American tragedies: chestnut blight, butternut canker, and Dutch elm disease. In: Britton K.O. (Ed). Proceedings, Exotic Pests of Eastern Forests; 1997 April 8-10 (1997), Tennessee Exotic Pest Plant Council, Nashville, TN 45-54
78. Schweger C.E., and Hickman M. Holocene paleohydrology of central Alberta: testing the general-circulation-model climate simulations. Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences 26 (1993) 1826-1833
79. Shuman B.N., Bartlein P.J., Logar N., Newby P., and Webb III T. Parallel climate and vegetation responses to the early Holocene collapse of the Laurentide Ice Sheet. Quaternary Science Reviews 21 (2002) 1793-1805
80. Shuman B.N., Newby P.C., Huang Y., and Webb III T. Evidence for the close climatic control of New England vegetation history. Ecology 85 (2004) 1297-1310
81. Strong W.L., and Hills L.V. Late-glacial and Holocene palaeovegetation zonal reconstruction for central and north-central North America. Journal of Biogeography 32 (2005) 1043-1062
82. Sugita S. Pollen representation of vegetation in Quaternary sediments: theory and method in patchy vegetation. Journal of Ecology 82 (1994) 881-897
83. Sugita S. Theory of quantitative reconstruction of vegetation I: pollen from large sites REVEALS regional vegetation composition. Holocene 17 (2007) 229-241
84. Sugita S. Theory of quantitative reconstruction of vegetation II: all you need is LOVE. Holocene 17 (2007) 243-257
85. Sugita S., Gaillard M.-J., and Broström A. Landscape openness and pollen records: a simulation approach. Holocene 9 (1999) 409-421
86. Swain, P.C., 1979. The development of some bogs in eastern Minnesota. Ph.D. Dissertation Thesis, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, 258 pp.
87. Tarasov P.E., et al. Satellite- and pollen-based quantitative woody cover reconstructions for northern Asia: verification and application to late-Quaternary pollen data. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 264 (2007) 284-298
88. Transeau E.N. The prairie peninsula. Ecology 16 (1935) 425-437
89. Umbanhowar Jr. C.E., Camill P., Geiss C.E., and Teed R. Asymmetric vegetation responses to mid-Holocene aridity at the prairie-forest ecotone in south-central Minnesota. Quaternary Research 66 (2006) 53-66
90. Viau A.E., Gajewski K., Sawada M.C., and Fines P. Millennial-scale temperature variations in North America during the Holocene. Journal of Geophysical Research 111 (2006)
91. Webb III T., Howe S.E., Bradshaw R.H.W., and Heide K.M. Estimating plant abundances from pollen percentages: the use of regression analysis. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology 34 (1981) 269-300
92. Webb III T., Cushing E.J., and Wright Jr. H.E. Holocene changes in the vegetation of the Midwest. In: Wright Jr. H.E. (Ed). Late-Quaternary Environments of the United States (1983), University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis 142-165
93. Wells P.V. Scarp woodlands, transported grassland soils, and concept of grassland climate in the Great Plains region. Science 148 (1965) 246-249
94. Whelan R.J. The Ecology of Fire (1995), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge 346 pp
95. Whitlock C., Bartlein P.J., and Watts W.A. Vegetation history of Elk Lake. In: Bradbury J.P., and Dean W.E. (Eds). Elk Lake, Minnesota: Evidence for Rapid Climate Change in the North-Central United States. Special Paper (1993), Geological Society of America, Boulder, CO 251-274
96. Whitmore J., et al. North American and Greenland modern pollen data for multi-scale paleoecological and paleoclimatic applications. Quaternary Science Reviews 24 (2005) 1828-1848
97. Williams J.W. Variations in tree cover in North America since the Last Glacial Maximum. Global and Planetary Change 35 (2003) 1-23
98. Williams J.W., and Jackson S.T. Palynological and AVHRR observations of modern vegetational gradients in eastern North America. Holocene 13 (2003) 485-497
99. Williams J.W., and Shuman B. Obtaining accurate and precise environmental reconstructions from the modern analog technique and North American surface pollen dataset. Quaternary Science Reviews 27 (2008) 669-687
100. Williams J.W., Post D.M., Cwynar L.C., Lotter A.F., and Levesque A.J. Rapid and widespread vegetation responses to past climate change in the North Atlantic region. Geology 30 (2002) 971-974
101. Williams J.W., Shuman B.N., Webb III T., Bartlein P.J., and Leduc P.L. Late Quaternary vegetation dynamics in North America: scaling from taxa to biomes. Ecological Monographs 74 (2004) 309-334
102. Williams J.W., et al. An atlas of pollen-vegetation-climate relationships for the United States and Canada. AASP Contributions Series (2006), American Association of Stratigraphic Palynologists Foundation, Dallas, TX 293 pp
103. Williams J.W., Gonzales L.M., and Kaplan J.O. Leaf area index for northern and eastern North America at the Last Glacial Maximum: a data-model comparison. Global Ecology and Biogeography 17 (2008) 122-134
104. Williams, J.W., Shuman, B., Bartlein, P.J., Diffenbaugh, N.S. and Webb, T., III, in review. Rapid, time-transgressive, and variable responses to end-Pleistocene/early-Holocene midcontinental drying in North America.
105. Winkler M.G., Swain A.M., and Kutzbach J.E. Middle Holocene dry period in the northern midwestern United States: lake levels and pollen stratigraphy. Quaternary Research 25 (1986) 235-250
106. Wolfe S.A., Ollerhead J., and Lian O.B. Holocene eolian activity in south-central Saskatchewan and the southern Canadian prairies. Géographie Physique et Quaternaire 56 (2002) 215-227
107. Wright Jr. H.E. Patterns of Holocene climatic change in the midwestern United States. Quaternary Research 38 (1992) 129-134
108. Wright Jr. H.E., Stefanova I., Tian J., Brown T.A., and Hu F.S. A chronological framework for the Holocene vegetational history of central Minnesota: the Steel Lake pollen record. Quaternary Science Reviews 23 (2004) 611-626
109. Wright Jr. H.E., and Watts W.A. Glacial and vegetational history of northeastern Minnesota. SP-11, Minnesota Geological Survey (1969), University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN
110. Wright Jr. H.E., Winter T.C., and Patton H.L. Two pollen diagrams from southeastern Minnesota: problems in the regional late-glacial and postglacial vegetational history. Geological Society of America Bulletin 74 (1963) 1371-1396
111. Yang W., et al. Analysis of leaf area index and fraction of PAR absorbed by vegetation products from the Terra MODIS sensor: 2000-2005. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing 44 (2006) 1829-1842
112. Yu Z., Andrews J.H., and Eicher U. Middle Holocene dry climate caused by change in atmospheric circulation patterns: evidence from lake levels and stable isotopes. Geology 25 (1997) 251-254